Starting Pitcher Tiers

Updated May 17, 2026 20:28 UTC · 128 pitchers currently in a rotation · tiered by Game Score for an avg start vs a league-avg team + average defense behind them.

Boxscore line is the pitcher's average start: K and BB use his skill-based rates (defense-independent), H uses xBA × AB (defense-neutralized expected batting average), ER uses xERA from xwOBA. "Real ERA" shows actual ERA so far for context. Game Score = Bill James v1.

Ace12 SP218 SP330 SP440 SP528 Spot0

Ace 12

#	Pitcher	Team	Status	GS	Real ERA	Avg start vs league-avg team / avg defense						Arsenal	Game Sc
						IP	H	R	ER	BB	K
1	Paul Skenes	Pittsburgh P	ROT	4	4.00	5.2 IP	3.1	1.7	1.6	1.3	6.4	FF 37%CH 18%ST 17%	63
2	Tarik Skubal	Detroit Tige	D15	4	2.22	6.0 IP	4.8	1.9	1.7	1.1	7.0	FF 39%CH 26%SI 19%	61
3	Chris Sale	Atlanta Brav	ROT	4	3.27	6.0 IP	4.6	2.1	1.9	1.4	6.9	SL 40%FF 39%CH 12%	60
4	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Los Angeles	ROT	4	2.10	5.2 IP	4.3	2.0	1.9	1.7	6.1	FS 30%FF 26%FC 17%	58
5	Cristopher Sánchez	Philadelphia	ROT	4	2.01	6.0 IP	6.0	2.2	2.1	1.4	5.7	SI 44%CH 38%SL 18%	56
6	Rhett Lowder	Cincinnati R	D15	4	3.52	5.1 IP	4.7	1.9	1.8	2.0	4.8	SI 30%SL 25%FF 24%	55
7	Kris Bubic	Kansas City	ROT	4	3.97	5.2 IP	3.7	2.1	1.9	1.8	5.6	FF 41%CH 20%ST 17%	59
8	Garrett Crochet	Boston Red S	D15	4	7.58	5.2 IP	5.8	2.1	2.0	1.3	6.5	FF 34%FC 25%SI 22%	56
9	Logan Webb	San Francisc	D15	4	5.25	6.0 IP	5.6	2.3	2.1	1.4	5.9	SI 38%CH 23%ST 21%	56
10	Connelly Early	Boston Red S	ROT	4	2.29	5.0 IP	3.8	1.8	1.7	1.8	5.3	FF 33%CH 21%SI 19%	56
11	Max Fried	New York Yan	D15	5	2.97	6.0 IP	3.6	2.3	2.2	1.7	5.6	FC 22%SI 22%FF 17%	60
12	Kyle Bradish	Baltimore Or	ROT	4	5.49	5.1 IP	5.6	2.0	1.9	1.7	6.0	SI 30%SL 29%CU 23%	54

SP2 18

#	Pitcher	Team	Status	GS	Real ERA	Avg start vs league-avg team / avg defense						Arsenal	Game Sc
						IP	H	R	ER	BB	K
13	Reynaldo López	Atlanta Brav	ROT	4	2.18	5.1 IP	4.0	2.1	1.9	1.8	5.6	FF 53%SL 33%CU 10%	57
14	Nolan McLean	New York Met	ROT	4	2.28	5.2 IP	2.6	2.2	2.0	2.3	5.5	SI 37%FF 18%ST 15%	60
15	Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh P	ROT	4	2.38	6.1 IP	5.0	2.5	2.3	2.1	6.1	FF 32%CU 27%SL 20%	58
16	Shohei Ohtani	Los Angeles	ROT	3	0.50	4.2 IP	2.0	1.8	1.7	1.3	5.5	FF 45%ST 27%CU 12%	59
17	Brandon Woodruff	Milwaukee Br	D15	3	4.32	5.1 IP	4.9	2.2	2.0	1.5	6.0	FF 42%CH 21%SI 19%	56
18	Nathan Eovaldi	Texas Ranger	ROT	4	5.40	5.2 IP	6.0	2.3	2.2	1.3	5.7	FS 38%FC 23%CU 20%	54
19	Cole Ragans	Kansas City	D15	4	3.78	5.1 IP	4.4	2.2	2.0	1.8	6.4	FF 56%CH 16%SL 13%	56
20	Parker Messick	Cleveland Gu	ROT	4	1.05	5.2 IP	3.3	2.3	2.1	1.9	5.5	FF 30%CH 25%SI 14%	58
21	Drew Rasmussen	Tampa Bay Ra	ROT	3	1.12	5.0 IP	2.8	2.1	2.0	1.3	4.7	FC 36%FF 28%SI 20%	57
22	Framber Valdez	Detroit Tige	ROT	4	3.75	6.0 IP	5.4	2.6	2.4	2.0	5.7	SI 46%CU 30%CH 19%	55
23	Bryan Woo	Seattle Mari	ROT	4	2.16	6.0 IP	4.3	2.5	2.3	1.2	5.9	FF 50%SI 20%ST 15%	58
24	Tyler Mahle	San Francisc	ROT	4	7.23	5.1 IP	6.1	2.3	2.1	1.9	4.7	FF 48%FS 25%FC 16%	51
25	Michael King	San Diego Pa	ROT	4	2.78	5.1 IP	3.9	2.3	2.1	1.8	5.7	CH 27%SI 27%ST 21%	56
26	Jacob deGrom	Texas Ranger	ROT	3	2.87	5.2 IP	4.1	2.4	2.2	1.3	6.0	FF 46%SL 31%CH 16%	58
27	Ranger Suarez	Boston Red S	ROT	3	5.02	5.2 IP	6.4	2.5	2.3	1.6	5.5	SI 29%FC 20%CH 18%	53
28	Cam Schlittler	New York Yan	ROT	4	2.49	5.1 IP	4.2	2.3	2.1	2.1	5.6	FF 44%FC 27%SI 20%	55
29	Logan Gilbert	Seattle Mari	ROT	4	4.18	5.2 IP	5.4	2.4	2.2	1.2	6.2	FF 31%SL 21%FS 14%	55
30	Tyler Glasnow	Los Angeles	D15	3	4.00	5.1 IP	4.0	2.3	2.1	1.9	6.0	CU 30%FF 29%SI 25%	56

SP3 30

#	Pitcher	Team	Status	GS	Real ERA	Avg start vs league-avg team / avg defense						Arsenal	Game Sc
						IP	H	R	ER	BB	K
31	George Kirby	Seattle Mari	ROT	4	3.25	5.2 IP	4.5	2.4	2.2	1.1	5.7	FF 32%ST 26%SI 20%	56
32	Kevin Gausman	Toronto Blue	ROT	4	2.42	6.0 IP	3.8	2.5	2.4	1.7	5.7	FF 54%FS 39%	58
33	Emmet Sheehan	Los Angeles	ROT	3	6.60	5.2 IP	5.8	2.5	2.3	1.7	6.5	FF 41%SL 32%CH 18%	54
34	Sonny Gray	Boston Red S	ROT	4	4.43	5.2 IP	5.8	2.5	2.3	1.3	6.1	FC 24%CU 20%SI 18%	54
35	Jesús Luzardo	Philadelphia	ROT	4	7.94	5.2 IP	6.6	2.5	2.3	1.7	6.0	ST 37%FF 26%CH 22%	52
36	Freddy Peralta	New York Met	ROT	4	3.86	5.1 IP	4.0	2.4	2.2	1.9	5.9	FF 56%CH 22%CU 15%	56
37	Trevor Rogers	Baltimore Or	ROT	4	3.04	5.2 IP	5.7	2.5	2.3	1.9	5.0	FF 41%CH 25%SI 11%	52
38	Clay Holmes	New York Met	D15	4	1.96	5.1 IP	3.9	2.4	2.3	2.0	4.4	SI 51%ST 18%CH 15%	54
39	Nick Pivetta	San Diego Pa	D15	4	4.50	5.2 IP	4.2	2.6	2.4	1.6	6.0	FF 58%ST 12%	57
40	Kodai Senga	New York Met	D15	3	7.07	5.1 IP	5.9	2.4	2.2	2.4	5.0	FF 38%FS 23%FC 22%	50
41	Kyle Leahy	St. Louis Ca	ROT	3	5.14	4.2 IP	5.3	2.1	1.9	1.6	4.5	FF 32%SL 16%CU 15%	49
42	Michael Wacha	Kansas City	ROT	3	0.43	5.2 IP	3.1	2.6	2.4	1.6	4.7	FF 29%CH 25%FC 17%	57
43	Dylan Cease	Toronto Blue	ROT	4	1.74	5.1 IP	3.5	2.5	2.3	1.9	6.0	FF 35%SL 29%CH 11%	57
44	Noah Cameron	Kansas City	ROT	3	3.94	5.2 IP	5.6	2.6	2.4	1.9	5.1	FF 31%FC 21%CH 20%	52
45	Luis Castillo	Seattle Mari	ROT	4	5.40	5.2 IP	6.8	2.6	2.4	1.5	5.4	FF 44%SL 26%SI 18%	50
46	Joe Ryan	Minnesota Tw	ROT	4	3.80	5.2 IP	4.1	2.6	2.4	1.3	6.2	FF 43%SI 14%CU 12%	57
47	Andrew Abbott	Cincinnati R	ROT	4	5.85	5.2 IP	6.7	2.6	2.4	1.7	5.1	FF 46%ST 20%CH 20%	50
48	Chase Burns	Cincinnati R	ROT	4	2.42	5.1 IP	4.0	2.6	2.4	1.7	6.6	FF 56%SL 37%CH 6%	56
49	Janson Junk	Miami Marlin	ROT	3	4.32	6.0 IP	6.1	2.8	2.6	1.3	5.0	FF 32%SL 24%CH 21%	53
50	Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Gu	ROT	4	6.38	5.2 IP	7.0	2.7	2.5	1.7	5.5	FC 27%FF 24%CH 19%	50
51	Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Ra	ROT	3	3.95	4.2 IP	1.7	2.1	1.9	1.7	4.6	FF 36%CH 29%SL 23%	56
52	Nick Martinez	Tampa Bay Ra	ROT	3	2.16	6.1 IP	4.8	3.1	2.8	1.5	5.0	SI 30%CH 28%FC 18%	56
53	David Peterson	New York Met	ROT	4	6.41	5.2 IP	6.4	2.7	2.5	2.2	5.1	SI 32%FF 21%SL 21%	50
54	Eury Pérez	Miami Marlin	ROT	4	5.40	5.1 IP	4.7	2.4	2.3	1.8	5.4	FF 51%SL 16%ST 14%	53
55	Joey Cantillo	Cleveland Gu	ROT	4	2.61	6.0 IP	5.0	2.9	2.7	2.5	6.3	FF 45%CH 26%CU 16%	55
56	Steven Matz	Tampa Bay Ra	D15	4	3.80	5.2 IP	4.6	2.7	2.5	1.4	5.1	SI 48%CH 30%SL 12%	54
57	Landen Roupp	San Francisc	ROT	4	2.38	5.1 IP	3.7	2.5	2.3	2.2	4.9	SI 36%CU 29%CH 20%	54
58	Chris Bassitt	Baltimore Or	ROT	3	9.00	5.2 IP	7.2	2.6	2.4	1.8	5.2	SI 37%CU 25%FC 21%	48
59	José Soriano	Los Angeles	ROT	4	0.33	5.2 IP	2.1	2.6	2.4	2.4	4.9	SI 28%CU 25%FF 25%	58
60	Bubba Chandler	Pittsburgh P	ROT	3	3.86	4.2 IP	3.3	2.2	2.1	2.0	4.9	FF 55%CH 20%SL 13%	53

SP4 40

#	Pitcher	Team	Status	GS	Real ERA	Avg start vs league-avg team / avg defense						Arsenal	Game Sc
						IP	H	R	ER	BB	K
61	Grant Holmes	Atlanta Brav	ROT	4	3.32	5.2 IP	3.9	2.8	2.6	2.1	5.6	SL 38%FF 37%CU 10%	56
62	Shane Smith	Chicago Whit	MiLB	3	10.80	5.1 IP	5.4	2.6	2.4	1.9	4.9	FF 33%CU 24%CH 18%	51
63	Jack Flaherty	Detroit Tige	ROT	4	4.05	5.1 IP	3.6	2.6	2.4	1.7	5.8	FF 49%SL 26%CU 18%	56
64	Gavin Williams	Cleveland Gu	ROT	4	2.38	5.1 IP	2.5	2.6	2.4	2.4	5.2	FF 29%ST 27%CU 21%	57
65	Robbie Ray	San Francisc	ROT	4	2.42	5.2 IP	3.4	2.7	2.5	2.2	5.6	FF 48%SL 29%CH 16%	56
66	MacKenzie Gore	Texas Ranger	ROT	4	3.00	5.1 IP	3.2	2.6	2.4	2.0	5.6	FF 45%CU 21%CH 12%	56
67	Casey Mize	Detroit Tige	ROT	3	3.94	5.1 IP	5.4	2.6	2.4	1.4	4.9	FF 33%FS 29%SL 24%	51
68	Seth Lugo	Kansas City	ROT	4	1.48	5.2 IP	4.7	2.8	2.6	1.8	4.9	SI 20%CU 18%FF 17%	54
69	Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Br	ROT	4	3.32	5.1 IP	3.2	2.6	2.4	2.4	5.6	FF 61%SL 24%CU 13%	55
70	Yusei Kikuchi	Los Angeles	D15	4	7.50	5.1 IP	6.2	2.7	2.5	1.8	5.5	FF 34%SL 24%FS 22%	50
71	Shota Imanaga	Chicago Cubs	ROT	4	2.45	5.2 IP	3.4	2.9	2.6	1.2	5.4	FF 42%FS 36%ST 14%	57
72	Michael McGreevy	St. Louis Ca	ROT	4	2.49	5.2 IP	4.4	2.8	2.6	1.5	4.7	FF 24%CH 20%SI 17%	54
73	Mitch Keller	Pittsburgh P	ROT	4	2.86	5.2 IP	4.6	2.8	2.6	1.6	5.0	FF 34%ST 19%SI 16%	53
74	Edward Cabrera	Chicago Cubs	ROT	3	1.62	5.1 IP	3.3	2.7	2.5	2.0	5.3	CH 34%SI 20%CU 20%	55
75	Jacob Lopez	Athletics	ROT	4	6.38	5.1 IP	4.9	2.8	2.6	2.1	5.9	FF 34%SL 31%FC 19%	53
76	Brady Singer	Cincinnati R	ROT	4	5.60	5.1 IP	7.2	2.7	2.5	1.8	5.0	SI 47%SL 34%ST 11%	47
77	Mike Burrows	Houston Astr	ROT	4	6.55	5.1 IP	7.2	2.7	2.5	1.8	5.4	FF 27%CH 26%SL 17%	47
78	Zac Gallen	Arizona Diam	ROT	4	3.60	5.2 IP	6.0	2.8	2.6	1.8	5.3	FF 37%SL 25%CU 19%	51
79	Brayan Bello	Boston Red S	ROT	3	6.14	5.2 IP	6.3	2.9	2.7	2.1	4.7	SI 44%FC 20%CH 12%	49
80	Ryne Nelson	Arizona Diam	ROT	4	3.54	6.0 IP	3.8	3.1	2.9	1.7	5.3	FF 59%SL 18%CU 10%	57
81	Aaron Nola	Philadelphia	ROT	4	4.03	5.2 IP	5.9	2.9	2.7	1.6	5.7	CU 32%FF 27%SI 18%	52
82	Adrian Houser	San Francisc	ROT	3	5.06	6.0 IP	6.9	3.1	2.9	2.2	4.8	SI 46%CH 19%SL 14%	49
83	Eric Lauer	Toronto Blue	NYR	3	7.82	6.0 IP	4.9	3.1	2.9	1.9	5.8	FF 46%CH 17%FC 16%	54
84	Shane Baz	Baltimore Or	ROT	4	4.91	5.1 IP	6.0	2.9	2.6	2.0	5.3	FF 34%CU 33%FC 19%	49
85	Simeon Woods Richardson	Minnesota Tw	ROT	4	6.10	5.0 IP	6.0	2.7	2.5	1.9	4.6	FF 44%FS 28%SL 24%	48
86	Jeffrey Springs	Athletics	ROT	4	1.46	5.2 IP	2.8	2.9	2.7	1.7	4.7	FF 43%SL 25%CH 20%	56
87	Kyle Harrison	Milwaukee Br	ROT	3	3.07	5.1 IP	4.6	2.9	2.7	2.1	5.3	FF 59%SV 27%CH 13%	52
88	Max Scherzer	Toronto Blue	D15	3	9.58	5.1 IP	5.2	2.8	2.6	1.5	5.2	FF 47%SL 22%CH 15%	51
89	Aaron Civale	Athletics	ROT	3	1.72	5.1 IP	3.7	2.9	2.7	1.8	5.0	FC 33%CU 22%SI 20%	54
90	Cade Cavalli	Washington N	ROT	4	4.60	5.1 IP	4.6	2.8	2.6	1.9	4.8	FF 33%CU 25%SI 17%	51
91	Jameson Taillon	Chicago Cubs	ROT	3	4.86	5.2 IP	4.9	3.0	2.8	1.4	4.7	FF 27%FC 23%ST 15%	52
92	Bailey Ober	Minnesota Tw	ROT	4	5.49	5.2 IP	5.4	2.9	2.7	1.3	5.3	CH 36%FF 32%SL 15%	51
93	Matthew Liberatore	St. Louis Ca	ROT	4	4.29	6.0 IP	6.5	3.1	2.9	1.8	5.0	FF 34%SL 25%CH 16%	50
94	Cristian Javier	Houston Astr	D60	3	12.54	5.1 IP	6.0	2.8	2.6	2.2	4.8	FF 48%	48
95	Randy Vásquez	San Diego Pa	ROT	4	2.49	5.1 IP	4.9	2.8	2.6	2.0	3.7	FF 31%FC 25%CU 13%	49
96	Davis Martin	Chicago Whit	ROT	3	2.50	5.2 IP	5.3	3.0	2.8	2.0	4.5	FF 26%CH 18%SI 15%	50
97	Luis Severino	Athletics	ROT	4	5.59	5.2 IP	4.7	3.1	2.8	1.9	4.7	SI 25%ST 25%FF 21%	52
98	Eduardo Rodriguez	Arizona Diam	ROT	4	1.96	5.1 IP	4.6	2.9	2.7	1.9	5.0	FF 37%CH 31%FC 16%	51
99	Brandon Williamson	Cincinnati R	D60	3	5.28	5.0 IP	4.0	2.8	2.6	2.0	4.7	FC 26%CH 24%FF 20%	52
100	Dustin May	St. Louis Ca	ROT	4	6.98	5.2 IP	7.8	3.1	2.8	2.2	5.1	FF 27%FC 20%ST 19%	46

SP5 28

#	Pitcher	Team	Status	GS	Real ERA	Avg start vs league-avg team / avg defense						Arsenal	Game Sc
						IP	H	R	ER	BB	K
101	Ryan Weathers	New York Yan	ROT	4	4.29	5.1 IP	5.4	2.9	2.7	1.8	4.9	FF 30%CH 24%ST 20%	50
102	Reid Detmers	Los Angeles	ROT	4	3.57	5.1 IP	4.5	2.9	2.7	1.9	6.0	FF 41%SL 33%CH 13%	53
103	Joe Boyle	Tampa Bay Ra	D15	3	5.17	5.1 IP	4.0	3.0	2.8	2.9	5.7	SL 34%FF 21%SI 19%	53
104	Sandy Alcantara	Miami Marlin	ROT	4	2.67	5.2 IP	4.1	3.1	2.8	1.9	4.8	CH 24%SI 23%FF 20%	53
105	Brandon Pfaadt	Arizona Diam	ROT	3	5.94	5.1 IP	5.4	3.0	2.8	1.3	5.1	CU 21%SI 21%FF 18%	51
106	Michael Soroka	Arizona Diam	ROT	3	2.87	5.2 IP	4.7	3.2	2.9	2.1	5.7	FF 34%SV 32%FC 12%	53
107	Taj Bradley	Minnesota Tw	D15	4	1.25	5.1 IP	4.6	3.0	2.8	1.9	5.1	FF 46%FS 23%FC 20%	51
108	Will Warren	New York Yan	ROT	4	2.45	5.0 IP	4.7	2.9	2.7	1.9	5.1	FF 40%SI 27%ST 24%	50
109	Bryce Elder	Atlanta Brav	ROT	4	0.77	5.1 IP	4.4	3.1	2.9	2.0	4.8	SL 31%FF 24%SI 23%	52
110	Jack Leiter	Texas Ranger	ROT	4	4.87	5.1 IP	5.3	3.0	2.8	2.3	5.1	FF 40%CH 19%SL 18%	50
111	Kyle Freeland	Colorado Roc	ROT	3	2.30	5.1 IP	4.4	3.0	2.8	1.4	4.2	FF 27%CU 25%ST 17%	51
112	Andre Pallante	St. Louis Ca	ROT	3	4.80	5.1 IP	5.0	3.1	2.9	2.1	3.9	FF 31%SL 27%SI 20%	49
113	Ryan Feltner	Colorado Roc	D15	3	7.30	5.1 IP	6.1	3.1	2.8	2.2	4.4	FF 23%SL 22%CH 16%	47
114	Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles	ROT	3	6.23	5.1 IP	5.0	3.0	2.8	2.7	4.4	FF 44%FS 37%SL 19%	48
115	Emerson Hancock	Seattle Mari	ROT	4	2.28	5.1 IP	3.8	3.2	2.9	2.0	4.4	FF 36%SI 24%ST 22%	52
116	Slade Cecconi	Cleveland Gu	ROT	4	5.03	5.2 IP	4.6	3.3	3.0	1.5	5.1	FF 34%FC 26%SI 16%	52
117	Kumar Rocker	Texas Ranger	ROT	3	4.30	5.1 IP	5.0	3.0	2.8	1.8	4.8	SI 37%SL 36%FF 11%	49
118	Tomoyuki Sugano	Colorado Roc	ROT	3	2.16	5.1 IP	3.6	3.1	2.9	1.4	4.1	FF 24%FS 22%SI 14%	52
119	Keider Montero	Detroit Tige	ROT	3	3.31	6.1 IP	5.0	3.6	3.4	2.4	5.3	FF 34%SI 20%SL 18%	52
120	Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astr	ROT	3	7.27	3.0 IP	2.3	1.9	1.8	1.4	3.4	SL 41%FF 34%SI 18%	49
121	Max Meyer	Miami Marlin	ROT	4	4.12	5.1 IP	4.5	3.2	3.0	1.9	5.3	SL 29%ST 25%FF 22%	51
122	Foster Griffin	Washington N	ROT	4	3.05	5.0 IP	4.8	3.1	2.9	1.6	4.3	FC 31%FF 16%ST 13%	49
123	Taijuan Walker	Philadelphia	Off40	3	7.36	5.2 IP	7.2	3.4	3.2	2.2	4.4	FS 23%SI 23%FC 20%	45
124	Walker Buehler	San Diego Pa	ROT	4	4.58	5.1 IP	5.1	3.3	3.0	2.4	4.2	FC 24%FF 18%CU 16%	47
125	Jake Irvin	Washington N	ROT	4	6.16	5.2 IP	4.5	3.4	3.2	1.9	4.3	FF 26%SI 24%CU 24%	50
126	Lance McCullers Jr.	Houston Astr	ROT	3	5.87	5.0 IP	5.2	3.4	3.2	2.7	4.9	FC 27%SI 23%ST 17%	46
127	Jack Kochanowicz	Los Angeles	ROT	4	3.47	5.1 IP	3.2	3.5	3.2	2.2	3.6	SI 40%CH 22%SL 19%	50
128	Germán Márquez	San Diego Pa	D15	3	5.54	5.1 IP	6.9	3.5	3.3	1.9	3.8	CU 38%FF 38%SI 10%	42