J.T. Ginn
P
Athletics
+0.4
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.65
FIP4.51
xFIP4.02
SIERA4.11
K%23.6%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%15.2%
IP72
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†5555
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p4825.0%
K%
p3419.8%
xwOBA vs
p820.281
FB+5.3 (48%)
CH+1.9 (17%)
SI (34%)
CT-2.0 (18%)
SL-3.8 (17%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 18 | 18 | 92 | 370 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 16.6% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 3.03 | 3.12 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 12 | 12 | 42 | 186 | 46 | 14 | 3 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.19 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 8 | 8 | 27 | 130 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 8.2% | 13.2% | 2.3% | 7.43 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 29 | 26 | 137 | 599 | 126 | 48 | 17 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 4.31 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Athletics | 28 | 21 | 112 | 476 | 129 | 39 | 18 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 4.51 | 4.12 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Athletics | 5 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 3.31 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | OAK | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 49 | 20 | 8 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 4.35 | 4.33 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 72 | 296 | 60 | 27 | 10 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 4.11 | 4.43 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 70 | 298 | 63 | 25 | 11 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.73 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 60 | 25 | 11 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.78 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 57 | 24 | 10 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 4.85 | 4.90 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 53 | 24 | 10 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 4.94 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 49 | 23 | 10 | 18.9% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 46 | 23 | 10 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 5.17 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 56 | — | 56 | 237 | 42 | 22 | 10 | 17.6% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 5.30 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 16.8% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 5.44 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 5.60 | 5.70 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 87 | 426 | 1824 | 359 | 156 | 52 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.10 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 41 | 200 | 857 | 169 | 73 | 24 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.10 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| J.T. Ginn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.4% | 7.9% | 3.6% | — | 4.81 | 20.7% | 12.1% | 206 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 82 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.05 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.12 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | +0.07 | 3.40 | 556 | 81 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 77 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 77 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.20 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | .302 | 3.84 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.36 | 3.68 | 331 | 77 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.04 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.38 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.34 | 4.04 | 101 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 77 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.46 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.13 | 4.33 | 125 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 76 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 76 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 76 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 76 |
| Pedro Beato R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.46 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% | .276 | 3.94 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 192 | +0.48 | 3.46 | 295 | 75 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.95 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.75 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.80 | 3.95 | 297 | 75 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 75 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 75 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 75 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 75 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.