Chris Stratton P Los Angeles Dodgers
+0.1 WAR
Age 35 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.73
FIP4.49
xFIP4.30
SIERA4.02
K%20.9%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%10.8%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†4545
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p6327.3%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
SI (3%)
CU (21%)
CH-1.0 (18%)
SL-1.9 (18%)
FB-4.9 (43%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201524AAASacramento River Cats262614862711161915.1%10.4%1.8%3.954.10+2.0
201625MLBSan Francisco Giants282013656910943717.2%7.6%1.2%3.853.25+3.2
201726MLBSan Francisco Giants2825138608122501518.7%8.4%3.1%4.504.28+1.6
201827MLBSan Francisco Giants3230169728136612218.3%8.4%3.3%4.794.43+1.7
201928MLBPittsburgh Pirates3758036473331420.1%9.3%4.1%5.514.83+0.3
202029MLBPittsburgh Pirates270301313913329.8%9.9%2.6%3.903.28+0.6
202130MLBPittsburgh Pirates680793378631925.5%9.2%2.7%3.633.59+1.4
202231MLBSt. Louis Cardinals601632796023421.5%8.2%1.4%4.263.07+1.4
202332MLBTexas Rangers640833388125824.0%7.4%1.9%3.923.04+2.0
202433MLBKansas City Royals570582574432517.1%12.5%2.0%5.554.34+0.4
202534MLBLos Angeles Dodgers150211042210421.2%9.6%3.4%7.714.37+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202635MLBSF28281202412319.6%10.1%2.8%4.744.62+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202736MLBSF27271122112318.9%10.3%2.9%4.764.78+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career4421071005434284538910719.5%9.0%2.5%4.443.94+15.5
/ 200 IP8821200864168772119.5%9.0%2.5%4.443.94+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Chris Stratton (OGILVIE) 4.62 19.6%10.1%2.8% 4.78 18.9%8.5%27 +0.16
Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP 35 SU 5.06 20.0%10.0%4.3%.288 2.00 320 77
Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP 34 SU 5.01 16.4%10.0%3.7%.331 2.30 153 73
Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP 35 SW 4.09 18.1%9.1%2.5%.273 3.07 23.2%9.9%44 -1.02 3.07 102 72
Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 35 SU 4.71 14.9%9.1%3.1%.318 3.31 244 72
Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 35 SU 4.37 19.3%11.0%2.7%.274 2.96 358 71
Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 34 SU 3.94 18.1%12.9%1.3%.333 2.48 147 71
Rafael Dolis R 2025 · 3.60 FIP 34 SU 3.60 19.9%11.9%1.2%.275 2.80 162 71
Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP 34 SU 4.09 15.0%6.4%2.6%.312 3.80 132 71
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.98 FIP 34 SW 3.98 18.1%11.3%1.8%.270 3.98 104 71
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 35 SW 4.52 16.8%7.8%3.4%.285 2.57 251 70
Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP 38 SW 4.17 20.9%9.4%3.0%.272 3.38 26.2%15.2%185 -0.79 2.67 295 70
Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP 34 SU 4.14 20.4%6.4%3.6%.311 2.32 107 70
Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 35 SU 4.37 15.0%5.4%3.4%.281 2.96 15.2%9.0%81 -1.41 2.30 126 69
Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.12 FIP 36 SW 4.12 16.4%10.0%2.1%.267 6.46 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.34 4.12 145 69
Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 35 SW 4.11 18.6%6.6%3.2%.285 4.11 186 69
Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP 33 SU 5.25 20.2%7.9%5.2%.289 3.10 120 68
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2024 · 5.39 FIP 33 SU 5.39 14.3%10.4%4.0%.341 3.11 148 68
Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 35 SU 3.50 14.0%5.8%1.6%.286 2.37 140 67
Jason Motte R 2026 · 5.24 FIP 35 SU 5.24 16.3%11.4%3.8%.193 3.06 113 67
Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 35 SW 4.61 21.8%9.9%3.8%.255 1.94 268 67

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.