Chris Stratton
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 35
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.64
FIP4.75
K%19.3%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p6327.3%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
SI (3%)
CU (21%)
CH-1.0 (18%)
SL-1.9 (18%)
FB-4.9 (43%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 627 | 111 | 61 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 3.95 | 4.17 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 627 | 111 | 61 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 3.95 | 3.63 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 20 | 136 | 569 | 109 | 43 | 7 | 71% | 4.8 | 17.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 1.1% | 3.85 | 3.20 | +3.5 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 20 | 136 | 569 | 109 | 43 | 7 | 71% | 4.8 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 3.85 | 3.11 | +3.6 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 25 | 138 | 608 | 122 | 50 | 15 | 89% | 4.9 | 18.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.36 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 25 | 138 | 608 | 122 | 50 | 15 | 89% | 4.9 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 4.50 | 3.83 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 30 | 169 | 728 | 136 | 61 | 22 | 94% | 5.3 | 18.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.43 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 30 | 169 | 728 | 136 | 61 | 22 | 94% | 5.3 | 18.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.27 | +2.2 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 5 | 80 | 364 | 73 | 33 | 14 | 14% | 2.2 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 5.51 | 4.68 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 5 | 80 | 364 | 73 | 33 | 14 | 14% | 2.2 | 20.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.51 | 4.79 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 0 | 30 | 131 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 3.11 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 0 | 30 | 131 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 3.10 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 68 | 0 | 79 | 337 | 86 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 3.63 | 3.59 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 68 | 0 | 79 | 337 | 86 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 3.63 | 3.58 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 60 | 1 | 63 | 279 | 60 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 1.4% | 4.26 | 3.12 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 60 | 1 | 63 | 279 | 60 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 1.4% | 4.26 | 3.12 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 64 | 0 | 83 | 338 | 81 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.0% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 3.92 | 3.28 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 64 | 0 | 83 | 338 | 81 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.0% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 2.4% | 3.92 | 3.31 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 57 | 0 | 58 | 257 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 5.55 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 57 | 0 | 58 | 257 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 5.55 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 15 | 0 | 21 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 7.71 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 15 | 0 | 21 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 7.71 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 27 | 0 | 28 | 120 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 398 | 42 | 649 | 2820 | 589 | 263 | 74 | 11% | 1.6 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 3.97 | +10.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 13 | 200 | 868 | 181 | 81 | 23 | 11% | 1.6 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 3.97 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 442 | 107 | 1005 | 4342 | 845 | 389 | 109 | 24% | 2.3 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 3.97 | +16.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 21 | 200 | 864 | 168 | 77 | 22 | 24% | 2.3 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Stratton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.12 | 18.2% | 7.5% | 25 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 68 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 68 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 67 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 67 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 67 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 67 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 66 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 66 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.39 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 358 | 64 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 64 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 64 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 63 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.22 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 269 | 62 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 62 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 61 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 60 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.68 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.97 | 268 | 60 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 59 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 59 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 18.8% | 10.4% | 1.21 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |