Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 31 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 0.4 | 3.6% | 46.4% | -42.9% | 0.0% | 24.00 | 8.68 | — |
| 2016 | 31 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 0.4 | 3.6% | 46.4% | -42.9% | 0.0% | 24.00 | 15.43 | — |
| 2017 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 12.3% | 42.1% | -29.8% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 7.40 | — |
| 2017 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 12.3% | 42.1% | -29.8% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 9.31 | — |
| 2020 | 35 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 23 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 17.9% | 1.4% | 3.65 | 2.70 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 35 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 23 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 17.9% | 1.9% | 3.65 | 2.94 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 36 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 67 | 0 | 66 | 304 | 80 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 5.21 | 3.44 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 36 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 67 | 0 | 66 | 304 | 80 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 2.6% | 5.21 | 3.85 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 37 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 57 | 0 | 60 | 245 | 69 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 0.9% | 1.79 | 2.48 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 37 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 57 | 0 | 60 | 245 | 69 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 1.2% | 1.79 | 2.65 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 50 | 46 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 4.47 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 50 | 46 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 19.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.47 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 40 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 3.4% | 27.6% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 0.92 | — |
| 2025 | 40 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 3.4% | 27.6% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 0.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | MLB | SEA | 47 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 51 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.81 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.81 | 5.00 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 887 | 223 | 113 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 3.82 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 887 | 223 | 113 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 3.82 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 224 | 1 | 220 | 1005 | 241 | 152 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 4.54 | 3.75 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 1 | 200 | 914 | 219 | 138 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 4.54 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Bard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 24.4% | 12.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.00 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 42 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.82 | 24.6% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.07 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 48 | +0.25 | 2.67 | 295 | 80 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 40 | SU | 4.35 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 164 | 79 |
| Rafael Diaz R 2029 · 3.91 FIP | 44 | SW | 3.91 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 1.7% | .301 | 3.13 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.78 | 3.09 | 215 | 65 |
| Jason Grilli R 2025 · 5.63 FIP | 40 | SU | 5.63 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.98 | 133 | 62 |
| Luis Ayala R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 58 |
| Jose Valverde R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 41 | SU | 5.20 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 122 | 57 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 26 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 41 | SW | 4.46 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.3% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 19 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.62 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 199 | 19 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 23.8% | 12.7% | 1.19 | 4.65 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |