2026 World Series · OGILVIE preview
TB vs MIL
TB 40%
MIL 60%
Series length: TB 4-0 4% · TB 4-1 10% · TB 4-2 13% · TB 4-3 13% · MIL 4-0 8% · MIL 4-1 15% · MIL 4-2 19% · MIL 4-3 18% · expected 5.8 games
GmDateMatchupAway SP (* = projected) · sim lineHome SP · sim lineProj runsLikeliest HRWin prob
G110-23TB @ MIL Final TB 2-3 MILNick Martinez
5.2 IP · 3.8 K · 2.8 ER
Jacob Misiorowski
5.3 IP · 7.3 K · 1.8 ER
3.4 – 4.4
extras 10%
Caminero 20% · Bauers 20% · Chourio 18%MIL 64%
G210-24TB @ MIL Final TB 4-5 MILDrew Rasmussen
5.2 IP · 5.9 K · 2.2 ER
Logan Henderson
5.0 IP · 5.2 K · 2.2 ER
3.9 – 3.9
extras 11%
Caminero 23% · Bauers 17% · Jr. 16%MIL 53%
G310-26MIL @ TB Final MIL 10-1 TBRobert Gasser
1.7 IP · 1.4 K · 0.8 ER
Freddy Peralta
5.0 IP · 5.4 K · 2.5 ER
4.4 – 4.0
extras 10%
Caminero 19% · Bauers 16% · Chourio 16%TB 48%
G410-27MIL @ TB Final MIL 3-4 TBDustin May
1.7 IP · 1.4 K · 0.9 ER
Griffin Jax
4.4 IP · 5.6 K · 1.9 ER
4.0 – 4.0
extras 11%
Caminero 19% · Bauers 17% · Chourio 15%TB 53%
G510-28MIL @ TBJacob Misiorowski
5.2 IP · 6.7 K · 1.9 ER
Drew Rasmussen
5.2 IP · 5.7 K · 2.2 ER
3.9 – 3.5
extras 11%
Caminero 17% · Bauers 15% · Chourio 14%TB 48%
G610-30TB @ MIL (if nec.)Griffin Jax *
4.4 IP · 5.7 K · 2.0 ER
Brandon Woodruff *
4.8 IP · 5.1 K · 2.0 ER
3.9 – 4.0
extras 12%
Caminero 22% · Bauers 19% · Chourio 18%MIL 54%
G710-31TB @ MIL (if nec.)Freddy Peralta *
4.9 IP · 5.5 K · 2.6 ER
Logan Henderson *
5.0 IP · 5.3 K · 2.1 ER
3.9 – 4.4
extras 12%
Caminero 24% · Bauers 20% · Chourio 18%MIL 58%
Model: OGILVIE simulator (Monte Carlo, plate-appearance level). Full World Series preview → lineups vs RHP/LHP, real + projected splits, bullpen usage, defense, baserunning. · Play it yourself in the Simulator →

OGILVIE baseball projections: every MLB and minor-league player

OGILVIE · 2027 Season How it works →
2026 Postseason
Full lineups + matchups →
Wild Card
Division Series
League Championship
World Series
series: MIL 88%
Still alive · current true talent
MILlineup TT116 wRC+rotation TT3.67 FIP
TBlineup TT113 wRC+rotation TT4.16 FIP
2027 Preseason Preview
Top projected bats
1Shohei OhtaniLAD161 wRC++7.6
2Bobby Witt Jr.KC139 wRC++6.7
3Elly De La CruzCIN134 wRC++5.3
4Fernando Tatis Jr.SD138 wRC++5.2
5Juan SotoNYM168 wRC++5.0
Top projected arms
1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL2.58 FIP+5.9
2Tarik SkubalLAD2.72 FIP+5.3
3Cristopher SánchezPHI3.05 FIP+5.2
4Cam SchlittlerNYY3.05 FIP+5.2
5Chris SaleATL2.54 FIP+4.5
BattersPitchersMLE boardsTrade ValueProspects
Today’s playoff games · odds to win
MIL@TBWorld Series · MIL leads 3-1MIL 52% / TB 48%
FB velo 99.6→100.7 mph (last 10 starts)4 gem · 1 dud
K% 37.3% · BB% 7.9%
ERA 2.68 · FIP 2.58
wRC+ against: vL 82 · 74 · vR 66
+15.6% win/start
FB velo 96.1→95.6 mph (last 10 starts)5 gem · 1 dud
K% 25.2% · BB% 5.3%
ERA 3.29 · FIP 3.38
wRC+ against: vL 97 · 89 · vR 81
+10.0% win/start
MIL vs RHP: C. Yelich 132 · J. Bauers 129 · B. Turang 122 · lineup 115 wRC+
TB vs RHP: J. Caminero 133 · J. Aranda 132 · Y. Díaz 120 · lineup 103 wRC+
Projected 2027 Stat Leaders
Batting Avg (400+ PA)
1Luis Arraez.302
2Bobby Witt Jr..294
3Yordan Alvarez.293
4Javier Sanoja.292
5Juan Soto.289
OBP (400+ PA)
1Juan Soto.394
2Yordan Alvarez.379
3Mike Trout.378
4Gabriel Moreno.376
5Bryce Harper.371
SLG (400+ PA)
1Shohei Ohtani.578
2Juan Soto.552
3Yordan Alvarez.548
4Ben Rice.548
5Kyle Schwarber.546
Home Runs
1Kyle Schwarber0 → 39
2Shohei Ohtani0 → 36
3Ben Rice0 → 36
4Junior Caminero0 → 36
5Pete Alonso0 → 34
Stolen Bases
1Chandler Simpson0 → 51
2Bobby Witt Jr.0 → 45
3Henry Bolte0 → 40
4Nasim Nuñez0 → 40
5Corbin Carroll0 → 39
Strikeouts (P)
1Jacob Misiorowski0 → 245
2Cam Schlittler0 → 223
3Dylan Cease0 → 206
4Gavin Williams0 → 203
5Logan Gilbert0 → 201
K% (130+ IP)
1Jacob Misiorowski37.3%
2Dylan Cease33.4%
3Chase Burns32.5%
4Tarik Skubal31.6%
5Cam Schlittler31.2%
BB% (130+ IP, low)
1Nick Martinez4.4%
2Tarik Skubal4.5%
3Shota Imanaga5.0%
4Bryan Woo5.1%
5Joe Ryan5.3%
ERA (130+ IP)
1Jacob Misiorowski2.68
2Tarik Skubal2.74
3Cam Schlittler2.98
4Cristopher Sánchez3.11
5Paul Skenes3.12
Top Hitters AL→
1Bobby Witt Jr.KC+6.7 WARfull-season projection
2Yordan AlvarezHOU+4.5 WARfull-season projection
3Kevin McGonigleDET+4.4 WARfull-season projection
4Ben RiceNYY+4.3 WARfull-season projection
5Junior CamineroTB+4.2 WARfull-season projection
View all →
Top Pitchers AL→
1Cam SchlittlerNYY+5.0 WARfull-season projection
2Dylan CeaseTOR+4.0 WARfull-season projection
3Reid DetmersLAA+3.6 WARfull-season projection
4Parker MessickCLE+3.6 WARfull-season projection
5Bryan WooSEA+3.3 WARfull-season projection
View all →
Top Rookies AL
1River RyanDET+2.6 WARfull-season projection
2Ty JohnsonIL · 40MTB+2.5 WARfull-season projection
3Austin PetersonCLE+2.1 WARfull-season projection
4Kade AndersonSEA+2.1 WARfull-season projection
5Robinson PiñaTOR+1.9 WARfull-season projection
Top Hitters NL→
1Shohei OhtaniLAD+7.6 WARfull-season projection
2Elly De La CruzCIN+5.3 WARfull-season projection
3Fernando Tatis Jr.SD+5.2 WARfull-season projection
4Juan SotoNYM+5.0 WARfull-season projection
5Gabriel MorenoARI+4.5 WARfull-season projection
View all →
Top Pitchers NL→
1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL+5.7 WARfull-season projection
2Tarik SkubalIL · ALAD+5.1 WARfull-season projection
3Cristopher SánchezPHI+5.0 WARfull-season projection
4Chris SaleATL+4.3 WARfull-season projection
5Paul SkenesPIT+4.3 WARfull-season projection
View all →
Top Rookies NL
1Hancel RinconSTL+2.4 WARfull-season projection
2Coleman CrowIL · 40MMIL+1.8 WARfull-season projection
3Mason AdamsCOL+1.7 WARfull-season projection
4Brad PachecoPHI+1.7 WARfull-season projection
5Sem RobberseSTL+1.6 WARfull-season projection
2027 Team Pagesroster control · prospects · offseason outlook · positional grid
ARIATLBALBOSCHCCINCLECOLCWSDETHOUKCLAALADMIAMILMINNYMNYYOAKPHIPITSDSEASFSTLTBTEXTORWSH
Best at Each PositionStarters = projected 2027 WAR · faded = top prospect (#overall board rank)
AMERICAN
POS
NATIONAL
#56Caden Bodine
+3.9Cal Raleigh
C
Gabriel Moreno+4.7
R. Rodriguez#5
#168R. Velazquez
+4.7Ben Rice
1B
Bryce Harper+3.5Sal Stewart+3.5
Luke Adams#277
#127J. Kuroda-Grauer
+3.2Luke Keaschall
2B
Ketel Marte+3.8JJ Wetherholt+3.5
Juan Ortuno#152
#3Franklin Arias#6Leo De Vries
+6.4Bobby Witt Jr.
SS
Elly De La Cruz+5.7
Jesús Made#2
#11Caleb Bonemer
+4.1Kevin McGonigle+4.1Junior Caminero
3B
Alex Bregman+3.2
Andrew Fischer#37Murf Gray#43
#14Theo Gillen#73Lazaro Montes#89E. Rodriguez
+4.5Yordan Alvarez
LF
Juan Soto+4.8
+3.6Julio Rodríguez
CF
Pete Crow-Armstrong+4.2
+4.3Aaron Judge
RF
Fernando Tatis Jr.+5.0Corbin Carroll+5.0
Josue De Paula#4Kane Kepley#36J. Hartshorn#142
+1.9Dominic Canzone
DH
Shohei Ohtani+4.5
#1Ryan Sloan#7B. Doughty#8Kendry Chourio#12Kade Anderson#19David Shields
+5.2Cam Schlittler
SP1
Jacob Misiorowski+5.9
+4.1Dylan Cease
SP2
Tarik Skubal+5.3
+3.7Reid Detmers
SP3
Cristopher Sánchez+5.2
+3.7Parker Messick
SP4
Chris Sale+4.5
+3.4Bryan Woo
SP5
Paul Skenes+4.5
Robby Snelling#9Seth Hernandez#10Thomas White#13C. Zazueta#20Cam Caminiti#22
#286T. McDougal
+1.9Cade Smith+1.8Bryan Mata
RP
Hancel Rincon+2.5
Hancel Rincon#41
Top Trade Value · WAR Trajectory
Full board →
1Jacob Misiorowski+3.8w$11M'31
2Pete Crow-Armstrong+4.5w$18M'32
3Kevin McGonigle+4.0w$19M'34
4Bobby Witt Jr.+3.8w$29M'34
5Cam Schlittler+2.7w$8M'31
Top Prospects · WAR Trajectory
Full board →
1Ryan Sloan3.7pk'28
2Jesús Made3.7pk'28
3Franklin Arias3.2pk'29
4Josue De Paula3.2pk'26
5Rainiel Rodriguez3.0pk'28
OGILVIE PIPELINE Top Prospects ranked by disc. career WAR
Full board →
ETA:
1
SEA · P · AA · age 21 · ETA 2028
3.7pk
2
MIL · SS · AA · age 20 · ETA 2028
3.7pk
3
BOS · SS · AA · age 21 · ETA 2028
3.2pk
4
LAD · CF · MLB · age 22 · ETA 2027
3.2pk
5
STL · C · AA · age 20 · ETA 2028
3.0pk
6
OAK · SS · AA · age 20 · ETA 2028
3.1pk
7
CLE · P · AA · age 21 · ETA 2028
3.3pk
8
KC · P · A+ · age 19 · ETA 2028
3.6pk
9
MIA · P · MLB · age 23 · ETA 2027
2.8pk
10
PIT · P · A+ · age 21 · ETA 2028
3.4pk
11
CWS · 3B · AA · age 21 · ETA 2028
2.6pk
12
SEA · P · MLB · age 23 · ETA 2027
2.7pk
13
MIA · P · AAA · age 22 · ETA 2028
2.7pk
14
TB · CF · AA · age 21 · ETA 2028
2.6pk
15
SD · C · MLB · age 21 · ETA 2027
2.3pk
16
WSH · SS · A+ · age 19 · ETA 2028
3.4pk
17
CIN · C · A+ · age 21 · ETA 2028
2.3pk
18
SEA · SS · MLB · age 22 · ETA 2027
2.4pk
19
KC · P · A+ · age 20 · ETA 2028
2.9pk
20
LAD · P · AA · age 22 · ETA 2028
2.8pk