CJ Abrams — OGILVIE

CJ AbramsSS Washington Nationals

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 191 lbs MLB HR -9% Svc 3.756 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 4.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 120134vR 136

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .313 / .434

PA635

HR21

SB34

K%20

BB%6

xwOBA.399

Barrel%12.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

45↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.5peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.756 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$4M	+4.5	$36M	+$32M
2027	Arb-2	$14M	+4.0	$33M	+$19M
2028	Arb-3	$21M	+4.0	$34M	+$13M
Totals		$39M		$103M	+$64M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	156	146	42	8	5	2	6	20	2	14	6	.288	.325	.452	.777	.164	.317	13	4	.339	118	+3	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.0
2021	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	183	167	43	12	0	2	10	49	3	13	2	.257	.311	.365	.676	.108	.347	27	5	.298	86	-3	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.6
2022	21	MLB	2 teams	488	458	118	17	3	7	12	88	13	21	8	.258	.296	.354	.650	.096	.303	18	2	.288	79	-12	+1	-5	+5	+14	0.3
2023	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	614	563	136	27	7	18	32	118	13	47	4	.242	.298	.410	.708	.169	.274	19	5	.310	96	-3	+8	-3	+7	+17	2.6
2024	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	602	541	131	31	7	17	40	128	16	31	12	.242	.313	.420	.733	.177	.285	21	7	.316	100	-0	+1	-11	+6	+17	1.5
2025	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	635	580	153	37	6	21	37	125	14	31	3	.264	.323	.457	.780	.193	.302	20	6	.337	116	+12	+5	-5	+7	+18	3.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	109	89	26	3	0	7	13	18	6	5	2	.292	.417	.562	.978	.270	.292	17	12	.408	170	+9	+0	-3	+1	+3	1.0
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	526	466	121	24	4	20	39	102	16	29	7	.260	.338	.457	.795	.197	.289	19	7	.351	127	+16	+3	-5	+6	+15	3.5
TOT	25	MLB	WSH	635	555	147	27	4	27	52	120	22	34	9	.265	.351	.474	.825	.209	.291	19	8	.361	134	+24	+3	-8	+7	+18	4.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	WSH	635	567	146	30	5	23	44	113	19	34	8	.257	.332	.450	.781	.192	.282	18	7	.344	122	+16	+4	-6	+7	+18	3.9
2028	27	MLB	WSH	630	562	145	30	5	23	44	113	19	34	8	.258	.333	.452	.785	.194	.282	18	7	.344	122	+16	+4	-6	+7	+18	3.9
2029	28	MLB	WSH	622	554	141	29	5	22	44	113	19	33	8	.255	.331	.444	.775	.190	.281	18	7	.343	121	+15	+3	-7	+7	+18	3.7
2030	29	MLB	WSH	610	543	138	28	5	22	44	112	18	31	7	.254	.331	.446	.776	.192	.281	18	7	.341	119	+13	+3	-7	+7	+17	3.4
2031	30	MLB	WSH	598	532	133	27	4	21	43	112	18	29	6	.250	.327	.434	.761	.184	.279	19	7	.338	117	+11	+3	-8	+6	+17	3.1
2032	31	MLB	WSH	583	519	128	26	4	20	42	112	17	25	5	.247	.324	.428	.751	.181	.278	19	7	.334	114	+9	+3	-8	+6	+17	2.7
2033	32	MLB	WSH	564	503	123	25	4	19	40	111	16	22	4	.245	.320	.423	.744	.179	.276	20	7	.330	110	+7	+3	-9	+6	+16	2.3
2034	33	MLB	WSH	534	476	115	23	4	17	38	109	15	19	3	.242	.318	.414	.731	.172	.275	20	7	.324	106	+4	+3	-9	+6	+15	1.8
2035	34	MLB	WSH	486	435	101	20	3	15	34	103	14	16	3	.232	.308	.395	.704	.163	.273	21	7	.317	101	+0	+2	-9	+5	+14	1.2
2036	35	MLB	WSH	430	385	87	17	3	12	30	96	12	13	2	.226	.302	.379	.681	.153	.270	22	7	.309	94	-3	+2	-10	+5	+12	0.6
2037	36	MLB	WSH	369	331	74	14	3	10	25	86	10	11	1	.224	.298	.375	.672	.151	.267	23	7	.299	87	-5	+2	-10	+4	+10	0.1
2038	37	MLB	WSH	305	273	58	11	2	7	20	74	9	8	1	.212	.288	.344	.632	.132	.263	24	7	.289	79	-7	+1	-10	+3	+9	-0.4
2039	38	MLB	WSH	235	211	44	8	2	5	15	59	7	6	0	.209	.283	.336	.620	.128	.258	25	6	.278	71	-8	+1	-10	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9805	8812	2177	444	81	303	639	1943	270	467	98	.247	.317	.419	.736	.172	.283	20	7	.325	107	+80	+54	-137	+105	+278	38.8
/ 162G	—			650	584	143	29	5	20	42	129	18	31	6	.245	.315	.414	.730	.170	.280	20	6	.325	107	+5	+4	-9	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	156	142	57	12	8	3	10	14	2	14	6	.401	.448	.662	1.110	.261	.425	9	6	.473	220	+21	+0	—	—	+4	2.7
2021	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	183	162	48	14	0	2	15	36	3	13	2	.296	.367	.420	.786	.123	.365	20	8	.348	125	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	21	MLB	Washington Nationals	302	284	70	12	2	2	5	50	9	7	4	.246	.282	.324	.606	.077	.291	17	2	.271	65	-12	-0	-5	+5	+9	-0.3
2022	21	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	186	171	53	6	1	7	10	33	4	14	4	.310	.362	.480	.842	.170	.348	18	5	.371	142	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	614	563	138	28	6	18	32	118	13	47	4	.245	.301	.412	.713	.167	.279	19	5	.314	98	-1	+8	-3	+7	+17	2.8
2024	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	602	541	133	29	6	20	40	128	16	31	12	.246	.317	.433	.749	.187	.285	21	7	.330	111	+7	+1	-11	+6	+17	2.2
2025	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	635	580	149	35	5	19	37	125	14	31	3	.257	.317	.433	.750	.176	.296	20	6	.331	111	+8	+5	-5	+7	+18	3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2153	1968	490	104	19	59	114	421	52	116	23	.249	.307	.411	.718	.162	.287	20	5	.317	101	+3	+14	-24	+25	+61	8.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
CJ Abrams (OGILVIE)	25	50	45	55	40	.257/.334/.456	.198	.274	25	35	16%	7%	127	+3.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	55→60	45	.247/.310/.458	.212	.304	26	24	28%	8%	116	+2.8	.250/.316/.451	.201	.310	27	31	27%	8%	117	+2.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Flavio Romero 2006 · AAA	26	54→57	52→45	51→60	53	.273/.343/.439	.165	.300	21	25	17%	9%	124	+3.4	.239/.322/.347	.108	.292	10	28	20%	10%	92	+1.2	.240/.335/.317	.078	.296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	54→60	52→50	56→55	43	.269/.335/.437	.168	.325	19	22	23%	6%	121	+3.2	.254/.315/.386	.132	.295	14	24	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.301/.348	.107	.278	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→55	52→55	57→60	42	.267/.310/.443	.176	.322	19	23	23%	5%	111	+2.5	.251/.293/.406	.155	.297	18	31	22%	5%	95	+1.4	.247/.286/.384	.137	.285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
●Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	57→55	47	.267/.324/.467	.200	.308	21	24	21%	7%	124	+3.4	.269/.321/.462	.193	.306	20	17	19%	6%	121	+3.2	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2
●Daulton Varsho 2021 · MLB	25	46→49	52→60	55→50	46	.238/.302/.404	.166	.280	19	18	23%	7%	98	+1.6	.238/.303/.434	.196	.276	24	15	23%	8%	107	+2.2	.235/.301/.435	.201	.269	26	15	23%	8%	102	+1.6
●Nate McLouth 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	55→60	58→60	54	.261/.340/.460	.199	.284	21	22	16%	9%	128	+3.7	.242/.334/.413	.171	.267	19	18	17%	11%	114	+2.7	.223/.325/.366	.142	.250	16	16	17%	12%	93	+1.0
●Rickie Weeks Jr. 2008 · MLB	25	51→58	51→55	59→55	55	.252/.358/.425	.173	.312	17	24	23%	11%	127	+3.6	.249/.352/.427	.178	.302	18	18	22%	11%	125	+3.5	.253/.353/.435	.182	.308	20	13	23%	10%	124	+2.8
●Gregory Polanco 2017 · MLB	25	52→55	50→60	52→55	51	.258/.320/.421	.163	.298	17	21	20%	8%	110	+2.4	.251/.319/.437	.186	.287	21	14	20%	9%	114	+2.7	.245/.318/.436	.192	.281	22	13	21%	9%	107	+1.5
●Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	49→53	51→45	56→50	48	.247/.333/.413	.166	.304	18	23	24%	8%	115	+2.7	.230/.322/.356	.126	.289	12	14	23%	9%	95	+1.4	.239/.327/.362	.123	.288	12	10	20%	9%	94	+1.0
●Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	51→56	53→55	51→55	44	.258/.331/.431	.173	.320	20	23	25%	6%	118	+3.0	.266/.344/.451	.185	.338	21	22	26%	9%	128	+3.7	.262/.349/.440	.179	.332	20	23	25%	10%	121	+3.4
✕Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→60	49→50	62→60	45	.251/.315/.410	.159	.320	16	32	26%	7%	105	+2.1	.258/.320/.384	.126	.310	11	32	20%	7%	100	+1.7	.252/.316/.362	.110	.298	9	32	18%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	49→56	50→55	57→60	49	.249/.310/.408	.159	.285	17	25	20%	7%	102	+1.9	.251/.316/.417	.166	.291	18	27	20%	8%	107	+2.2	.237/.305/.396	.159	.274	18	31	20%	8%	94	+1.2
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	51→57	56→60	53→55	46	.260/.323/.454	.194	.317	23	23	26%	8%	120	+3.1	.250/.327/.433	.183	.337	23	17	31%	9%	116	+2.8	.240/.329/.428	.189	.325	25	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
●Ozzie Albies 2022 · MLB	25	51→59	57→60	54→55	49	.266/.320/.473	.207	.291	24	15	18%	7%	124	+3.4	.254/.307/.447	.193	.277	23	12	18%	7%	111	+2.5	.251/.312/.418	.167	.268	20	12	15%	7%	103	+1.9
●Austin Meadows 2020 · MLB	25	51→56	58→65	51→55	48	.268/.324/.477	.209	.299	25	15	20%	7%	127	+3.6	.249/.324/.459	.210	.286	25	9	22%	9%	121	+3.2	.224/.311/.410	.186	.254	22	4	21%	10%	98	+0.8
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	52→60	55→50	45	.253/.312/.425	.172	.306	19	22	23%	7%	108	+2.3	.261/.317/.468	.207	.304	29	15	24%	7%	121	+3.2	.244/.300/.437	.193	.276	28	12	23%	7%	102	+1.1
●Chris Young 2008 · MLB	24	42→49	58→60	54→55	47	.231/.295/.441	.210	.261	26	22	23%	8%	105	+2.1	.238/.310/.431	.193	.285	21	17	24%	9%	109	+2.4	.239/.321/.424	.186	.290	20	17	24%	10%	107	+2.4
★Kyle Tucker 2021 · MLB	24	46→55	58→65	58→55	46	.244/.303/.453	.209	.284	26	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	.265/.334/.493	.228	.282	28	20	17%	9%	134	+4.1	.277/.380/.508	.231	.285	28	25	15%	14%	146	+4.4
●Trent Grisham 2022 · MLB	25	47→48	54→60	53→55	53	.241/.325/.426	.186	.286	21	14	23%	10%	114	+2.7	.206/.303/.363	.157	.263	17	12	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.210/.323/.396	.186	.251	24	8	26%	13%	101	+1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)