CJ Abrams — OGILVIE

CJ AbramsSS Washington Nationals

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 191 lbs MLB Svc 3.756 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION395 act + 263 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 112123vR 127

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .333 / .467

PA263

HR11

SB12

K%21

BB%8

BABIP294

ISO208

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

708.9%

xwOBA

600.321

POWER45

Barrel%

487.9

Avg EV

4688.8

Bat Spd

5772.1

EYE40

Chase%

6628.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1351 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

421

930

—

wRC+

122

▶▶R

wOBA

307

345

▶R

ISO

133

215

▶▶R

BABIP

337

269

◀◀L

26.6%

17.3%

▶▶R

BB%

4.3%

7.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.756 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+1.9	$15M	+$13M
2027	Arb-2	$12M	+3.7	$27M	+$17M
2028	Arb-3	$17M	+3.6	$25M	+$11M
Totals		$31M		$67M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	156	146	42	8	5	2	6	20	2	14	6	288	325	452	777	164	317	13	4	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	156	142	57	12	8	3	10	14	2	14	6	401	448	662	1.110	261	425	9	6	473	220	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	183	167	46	14	0	2	10	52	3	13	2	275	328	395	723	120	383	28	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	183	162	48	14	0	2	15	36	3	13	2	296	367	420	786	123	365	20	8	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	MLB	2 teams	—	488	458	117	18	3	7	12	86	13	21	8	255	294	354	648	98	299	18	2	285	76	-13	+1	-5	+5	+14	0.2
2022	21	MLB	2 teams	—	488	455	123	18	3	9	15	83	13	21	8	270	313	382	695	112	311	17	3	309	95	-3	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.2
2023	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	614	563	138	28	6	18	32	118	13	47	4	245	301	412	713	167	279	19	5	308	94	-4	+8	-3	+7	+17	2.5
2023	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	614	563	138	28	6	18	32	118	13	47	4	245	301	412	713	167	279	19	5	314	98	-1	+8	-3	+7	+17	2.8
2024	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	602	541	133	29	6	20	40	128	16	31	12	246	317	433	749	187	285	21	7	323	105	+4	+1	-11	+6	+17	1.8
2024	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	602	541	133	29	6	20	40	128	16	31	12	246	317	433	749	187	285	21	7	330	111	+7	+1	-11	+6	+17	2.2
2025	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	635	580	149	35	5	19	37	125	14	31	3	257	317	433	750	176	296	20	6	326	108	+6	+5	-5	+7	+18	3.1
2025	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	635	580	149	35	5	19	37	125	14	31	3	257	317	433	750	176	296	20	6	331	111	+8	+5	-5	+7	+18	3.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	WSH	—	395	345	95	17	2	20	34	85	10	15	4	275	357	510	867	235	305	22	9	368	140	+18	+1	-3	+4	+11	3.2
YTD	25	MLB	WSH	—	395	345	95	17	2	20	34	85	10	15	4	275	357	510	867	235	305	22	9	376	146	+20	+1	-3	+4	+11	3.5
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	100%	263	235	61	12	2	11	20	55	6	12	3	259	333	467	800	208	290	21	8	351	127	+8	+1	-5	+3	+7	1.5
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	100%	263	235	61	12	2	11	20	55	6	12	3	260	333	468	801	209	290	21	8	333	113	+4	+1	-5	+3	+7	1.1
FULL	25	MLB	WSH	—	658	580	156	29	4	31	54	140	16	27	7	269	348	493	841	224	300	21	8	354	129	+22	+3	-8	+7	+19	4.3
TOT	25	MLB	WSH	—	658	580	156	29	4	31	54	140	16	27	7	269	348	493	840	224	300	21	8	361	135	+26	+3	-8	+7	+19	4.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	WSH	100%	645	575	147	29	5	27	49	135	16	30	7	256	331	464	796	209	287	21	8	350	126	+19	+3	-12	+7	+18	3.6
2028	27	MLB	WSH	100%	632	564	144	28	5	27	48	133	15	29	7	255	330	466	796	211	287	21	8	350	126	+19	+3	-12	+7	+18	3.5
2029	28	MLB	WSH	100%	620	552	141	27	5	26	48	131	15	27	6	255	332	464	795	208	287	21	8	349	125	+18	+3	-13	+7	+18	3.3
2030	29	MLB	WSH	100%	607	540	137	27	4	25	47	129	15	25	6	254	331	457	788	204	286	21	8	347	124	+16	+3	-13	+7	+17	3.0
2031	30	MLB	WSH	100%	595	529	133	26	4	24	47	128	14	22	5	251	329	452	781	200	285	22	8	345	122	+15	+2	-13	+6	+17	2.7
2032	31	MLB	WSH	100%	583	518	129	25	4	24	46	128	14	18	4	249	327	452	779	203	283	22	8	341	119	+12	+2	-14	+6	+17	2.4
2033	32	MLB	WSH	100%	572	509	124	24	4	22	45	127	13	15	4	244	321	436	757	193	279	22	8	335	114	+9	+1	-14	+6	+16	1.9
2034	33	MLB	WSH	100%	509	453	107	20	3	19	39	116	12	10	2	236	313	419	733	183	274	23	8	327	108	+5	+1	-14	+5	+14	1.2
2035	34	MLB	WSH	100%	462	413	95	17	3	17	35	108	11	7	2	230	307	409	716	179	267	23	8	317	101	+0	+1	-14	+5	+13	0.5
2036	35	MLB	WSH	100%	406	363	81	14	3	14	31	98	9	4	1	223	300	394	694	171	260	24	8	306	92	-4	+0	-13	+4	+12	-0.1
2037	36	MLB	WSH	100%	346	309	65	11	2	11	26	86	8	2	1	210	289	366	654	155	252	25	8	294	83	-7	+0	-13	+4	+10	-0.6
2027	26	MLB	WSH	100%	645	575	147	29	5	27	49	135	16	30	7	256	331	464	796	209	287	21	8	332	112	+9	+3	-12	+7	+18	2.5
2028	27	MLB	WSH	100%	632	564	144	28	5	27	48	133	15	29	7	255	330	466	796	211	287	21	8	332	112	+9	+3	-12	+7	+18	2.5
2029	28	MLB	WSH	100%	620	552	141	27	5	26	48	131	15	27	6	255	332	464	795	208	287	21	8	331	112	+8	+3	-13	+7	+18	2.3
2030	29	MLB	WSH	100%	607	540	137	27	4	25	47	129	15	25	6	254	331	457	788	204	286	21	8	330	110	+7	+3	-13	+7	+17	2.1
2031	30	MLB	WSH	100%	595	529	133	26	4	24	47	128	14	22	5	251	329	452	781	200	285	22	8	327	108	+6	+2	-13	+6	+17	1.8
2032	31	MLB	WSH	100%	583	518	129	25	4	24	46	128	14	18	4	249	327	452	779	203	283	22	8	323	105	+4	+2	-14	+6	+17	1.5
2033	32	MLB	WSH	100%	572	509	124	24	4	22	45	127	13	15	4	244	321	436	757	193	279	22	8	317	101	+1	+1	-14	+6	+16	1.0
2034	33	MLB	WSH	100%	509	453	107	20	3	19	39	116	12	10	2	236	313	419	733	183	274	23	8	310	95	-3	+1	-14	+5	+14	0.5
2035	34	MLB	WSH	100%	462	413	95	17	3	17	35	108	11	7	2	230	307	409	716	179	267	23	8	300	88	-6	+1	-14	+5	+13	-0.1
2036	35	MLB	WSH	100%	406	363	81	14	3	14	31	98	9	4	1	223	300	394	694	171	260	24	8	289	79	-9	+0	-13	+4	+12	-0.7
2037	36	MLB	WSH	100%	346	309	65	11	2	11	26	86	8	2	1	210	289	366	654	155	252	25	8	277	71	-12	+0	-13	+4	+10	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8393	7528	1854	364	63	306	595	1795	200	317	71	246	318	433	752	187	283	21	7	319	102	+20	+35	-175	+92	+238	21.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	144	28	5	24	46	139	15	25	5	247	318	436	754	189	284	21	7	319	102	+2	+3	-14	+7	+18	1.7
Career	—			—	8918	8015	1989	392	69	315	618	1903	209	358	83	248	318	432	751	184	286	21	7	330	110	+106	+38	-175	+96	+253	32.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	145	29	5	23	45	139	15	26	6	248	318	433	751	185	287	21	7	330	110	+8	+3	-13	+7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	156	142	57	12	8	3	10	14	2	14	6	401	448	662	1.110	261	425	9	6	473	220	+21	+0	—	—	+4	2.7
2021	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	183	162	48	14	0	2	15	36	3	13	2	296	367	420	786	123	365	20	8	348	125	+5	+2	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	21	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	302	284	70	12	2	2	5	50	9	7	4	246	282	324	606	77	291	17	2	271	65	-12	-0	-5	+5	+9	-0.3
2022	21	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	186	171	53	6	1	7	10	33	4	14	4	310	362	480	842	170	348	18	5	371	142	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	614	563	138	28	6	18	32	118	13	47	4	245	301	412	713	167	279	19	5	314	98	-1	+8	-3	+7	+17	2.8
2024	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	602	541	133	29	6	20	40	128	16	31	12	246	317	433	749	187	285	21	7	330	111	+7	+1	-11	+6	+17	2.2
2025	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	635	580	149	35	5	19	37	125	14	31	3	257	317	433	750	176	296	20	6	331	111	+8	+5	-5	+7	+18	3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2153	1968	490	104	19	59	114	421	52	116	23	249	307	411	718	162	287	20	5	317	101	+3	+14	-24	+25	+61	8.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 17 projected seasons	17	9,179	340	355	248	317	438	+90	-62	51.5	40.6
	/162	664	25	26	248	317	438	+6.5	-4.5	3.7	pk7: 30
#2Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#3Adam Joneslast yr '19 AS×10SS×7HOF career totals — 14 seasons, 7,516 PA	14	7,516	282	97	277	317	454	+18	-33	33.3	29.4
	/162	664	25	9	277	317	454	+1.6	-2.9	2.9	pk7: 25
#4Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#5B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#6Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
CJ Abrams (OGILVIE)	25	50	45	55	40	269/348/493	224	300	31	27	21%	8%	135	+4.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Carlos González 2011 · MLB	25	54→56	55→60	57→55	46	274/325/470	196	320	22	20	22%	7%	124	+3.4	262/328/448	186	306	22	22	21%	9%	121	+3.2	254/329/440	185	298	22	24	22%	9%	109	+2.0
✕Jake Fraley 2020 · MLB	25	50	56→60	52→55	41	256/305/454	199	317	22	18	27%	5%	113	+2.6	245/325/428	183	313	22	18	27%	10%	115	+2.7	241/341/414	173	287	23	23	23%	12%	114	+1.5
●Ozzie Albies 2022 · MLB	25	51→59	58→60	55	48	266/319/481	215	291	25	15	19%	7%	125	+3.5	261/314/459	198	284	24	12	17%	7%	118	+3.0	255/316/425	170	273	20	12	15%	7%	107	+2.1
●Trent Grisham 2022 · MLB	25	48→50	55→60	52→55	53	248/332/441	193	295	21	15	23%	10%	120	+3.1	211/309/381	170	267	19	12	27%	11%	96	+1.5	221/330/419	198	244	27	6	22%	13%	112	+1.6
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	56→62	56→60	55	45	288/333/477	190	330	24	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	285/326/453	168	336	20	11	21%	6%	121	+3.2	288/331/441	153	329	16	5	17%	6%	116	+2.5
●Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	52→57	54→55	51→55	44	262/336/446	184	324	22	23	25%	6%	124	+3.4	263/342/453	190	333	21	22	26%	9%	128	+3.6	259/347/445	186	326	21	23	25%	10%	124	+3.6
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
✕Flavio Romero 2006 · AAA	26	54→57	52→45	51→60	53	275/345/441	166	301	21	26	17%	9%	125	+3.5	237/321/342	105	291	9	28	20%	10%	89	+1.0	240/335/317	78	296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	54→57	56→60	54→60	42	274/326/471	197	341	24	19	26%	6%	126	+3.5	265/312/457	192	323	25	19	25%	5%	117	+2.9	250/299/444	193	309	26	22	28%	5%	103	+1.6
●Oneil Cruz 2023 · MLB	24	44→53	57→60	54→60	42	231/290/432	201	300	25	20	31%	7%	101	+1.8	237/308/423	186	317	22	24	31%	9%	105	+2.1	238/321/427	189	324	23	34	32%	10%	106	+1.7
●Kyle Tucker 2021 · MLB	24	46→54	59→65	58→55	46	245/304/461	216	283	27	23	24%	7%	115	+2.7	264/334/486	222	280	27	20	17%	9%	133	+4.0	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0
●Austin Meadows 2020 · MLB	25	51→57	60→65	50→55	48	270/328/492	223	298	28	15	20%	7%	132	+4.0	246/322/456	210	281	25	8	22%	9%	121	+3.2	225/312/415	190	256	22	4	21%	10%	102	+1.0
✕Daulton Varsho 2021 · MLB	25	46→49	52→60	55→50	47	239/304/408	170	277	19	18	22%	7%	100	+1.7	233/299/427	194	270	24	14	23%	8%	103	+1.9	227/294/419	192	260	25	15	23%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	50→54	53→55	57→60	49	255/318/432	178	288	20	25	20%	8%	112	+2.6	244/310/405	161	282	18	27	20%	8%	102	+1.8	231/299/380	150	267	17	31	20%	8%	88	+0.8
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
●Nate McLouth 2009 · MLB	27	52→55	55→60	58→60	55	264/344/467	203	284	21	22	16%	9%	132	+4.0	240/332/406	166	266	18	17	17%	11%	111	+2.5	225/326/370	145	252	16	16	17%	12%	95	+1.1
●Chris Young 2009 · MLB	25	46→49	56→60	53→55	49	240/304/440	201	276	23	17	23%	8%	108	+2.3	238/321/426	188	288	20	18	23%	11%	111	+2.5	233/326/416	183	279	20	20	23%	12%	108	+2.4
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	55→60	51→50	56→55	43	272/338/433	162	329	18	21	22%	6%	121	+3.2	251/311/378	127	291	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.4	238/299/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Ramón Laureano 2020 · MLB	26	51→57	56→60	54→55	43	262/321/459	196	327	24	18	27%	6%	121	+3.2	247/324/436	189	308	22	15	26%	8%	116	+2.8	263/329/458	195	337	23	13	28%	7%	122	+2.3