Andrés Giménez

SS Toronto Blue Jays
Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 161 lbs MLB Svc 6.616 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425MLBCLE633.252/.301/.340930792.0
202526AAA/ATOR34.300/.364/.3330164—.254/.300/.288
202526MLBTOR369.210/.288/.313712710.7
202627MLBTOR508.244/.293/.359920800.9
2027PROJ28MLBTOR427.247/.301/.357817861.0
2028PROJ29MLBTOR412.244/.298/.351714830.6
2029PROJ30MLBTOR397.241/.294/.342711800.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.6  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service6.616First FA2028Options3
2027Ext$15M2028Ext$15M2029Ext$15M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed55
xwOBA38
Bat Spd13
Barrel%10
Avg EV10
Form.249/.300/.360 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .246/.298/.356
CompsBuck Coats (age 28) · Jake Alu (age 27) · Julio Borbon (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 6486vR 94
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .301 / .357
PA427
HR8
SB17
K%18
BB%4
BABIP286
ISO109
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +2.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +4.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +9.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.22.40.90.60.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$31M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
490.251
POWER35
Barrel%
103.1
Avg EV
1086.0
Bat Spd
1367.3
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
5527.7
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%17%▲16% over 76 PA (60d) · proj 18%
BB%4%·4% over 76 PA (60d) · proj 4%
ISO.111·.114 over 70 AB (60d) · proj .110
HR/BB2.2%·1.7% over 58 BBE (60d) · proj 2.5%
BABIP.286·.298 over 57 BIP (60d) · proj .285
SLASH.249/.300/.360·proj .246/.298/.356
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1102 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
283
819
—
wRC+
51
89
▶▶R
wOBA
243
299
▶▶R
ISO
064
114
▶▶R
BABIP
253
280
▶R
K%
17.0%
16.0%
▶R
BB%
2.8%
5.6%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2020
Service   6.616 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$15M+0.9$4M-$12M
2028Ext$15M+0.6$2M-$11M
2029Ext$15M+0.3$1M-$11M
Totals $46M $7M -$34M
Options · projected decision
2030CLUB OPT$15.2M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2031CLUB OPT$23.0M / $2.5M buyoutDECLINE
2032CLUB OPT$15.2M / $2.5M buyoutDECLINE
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$34M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201617 ROKDSL Mets 1 — 275214 752043 46228 138 3504815231.005 173367 817 436 90 — — — — — —
201718 AColumbia Fireflies — 399347 92944 286116 148 265348349697 84310 157 315 78 — — — — — —
201819 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 153137 38910 9225 103 277344358702 80330 146 317 94 — — — — — —
201819 A+St. Lucie Mets — 351308 872046 227011 2811 282352432784 149343 206 341 91 — — — — — —
201819 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 5748 6311 8150 01 125250292542 167156 2614 246 53 — — — — — —
201920 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 479432 1082259 2410214 2816 250311387697 137306 215 307 72 — — — — — —
201920 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 7570 26522 4151 20 371413586999 214453 205 436 181 — — — — — —
202021 MLBNew York Mets — 132118 31323 7286 81 263336398734 136318 215 329 113 +2 +1 +5 +1 +3 1.3
202122 MLBCleveland Indians — 210188 411005 11547 110 218286351637 133273 265 284 77 -6 +2 +3 +5 +5 0.9
202122 AAAColumbus Clippers — 233209 6013110 12556 84 287344502846 215345 245 363 101 — — — — — —
202223 MLBCleveland Guardians — 557491 14626317 3411225 203 297373466839 169353 206 370 134 +22 +3 +11 +2 +12 5.1
202223 INTLCardenales de Lara — 4437 8101 421 10 216310324634 108194 59 280 76 — — — — — —
202324 MLBCleveland Guardians — 616557 14027515 3211220 306 251315399714 147289 185 317 99 -1 +4 +15 +2 +13 3.4
202425 MLBCleveland Guardians — 633583 1472219 269715 305 252301340641 87286 154 287 79 -16 +4 +15 +2 +14 2.0
202526 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 369329 691117 256611 122 210288313601 103239 187 274 71 -13 +2 +8 +1 +8 0.7
202526 AAABuffalo Bisons — 1918 7000 051 10 389421389810 538 260 372 98 — — — — — —
202526 ADunedin Blue Jays — 1512 2100 210 00 167286250536 83167 713 239 22 — — — — — —
202627 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 508468 1142519 179416 204 244293359652 115284 193 290 80 -12 +2 +2 +5 +11 0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 30252734 6881241365 152563100 13121 252315378693 126292 195 309 95 -17 +18 +59 +20 +66 14.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201617 ROK MLEDSL Mets 1 — 275228 531332 32278 138 232347342689 110236 1012 301 90 — — — — — —
201718 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 399355 90853 207916 148 254322330652 76304 205 283 78 — — — — — —
201819 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 153140 40910 6275 103 286338364702 79348 184 307 94 — — — — — —
201819 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 351312 802045 1810311 2811 256320394714 138340 295 303 91 — — — — — —
201920 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 479437 1012057 1911514 2816 231285348633 117286 244 274 72 — — — — — —
202021 MLB MLENew York Mets — 132118 32323 7286 81 271344407750 136318 215 336 113 +2 +1 +5 +1 +3 1.3
202122 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 210188 411005 11547 110 218286351637 133273 265 283 77 -6 +2 +3 +5 +5 0.9
202122 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 233213 571217 8666 84 268313432745 164341 283 317 101 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 557495 14726417 3011225 203 297367469836 172353 205 366 134 +22 +3 +11 +2 +12 5.1
202324 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 616560 14127615 2911220 306 252312402714 150289 185 315 99 -1 +4 +15 +2 +13 3.4
202425 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 633584 1472219 259715 305 252300339639 87286 154 286 79 -16 +4 +15 +2 +14 2.0
202526 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 369329 691117 256611 122 210288313601 103239 187 273 71 -13 +2 +8 +1 +8 0.7
202526 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 1918 6000 061 10 333368333702 499 320 313 98 — — — — — —
202526 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 1513 2100 110 00 154214231445 77136 77 200 22 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 508470 1142519 159416 204 243289357647 115284 193 287 80 -12 +2 +2 +5 +11 0.9
201617 ROK MLEDSL Mets 1 — 275228 531332 32278 138 232347342689 110248 1012 301 90 — — — — — —
201617 ROK RAWDSL Mets 1 — 275214 752043 46228 138 3504815231.005 173367 817 436 90 — — — — — —
201718 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 399355 90853 207916 148 254322330652 76316 205 283 78 — — — — — —
201718 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 399347 92944 286116 148 265348349697 84310 157 315 78 — — — — — —
201819 A+ MLE3 teams — 561505 1333355 2714516 3815 263321378699 115357 265 304 92 — — — — — —
201819 A+ RAW3 teams — 561493 1313267 3910716 3815 266339398737 132324 197 325 92 — — — — — —
201920 AA MLE2 teams — 554508 1162368 2213315 3016 228281344625 116292 244 274 72 — — — — — —
201920 AA RAW2 teams — 554502 13427711 2811715 3016 267325414739 147326 215 325 72 — — — — — —
202021 MLB MLENew York Mets — 132118 32323 7286 81 271344407750 136330 215 336 113 +2 +1 +5 +1 +3 1.3
202021 MLB RAWNew York Mets — 132118 31323 7286 81 263336398734 136318 215 329 113 +2 +1 +5 +1 +3 1.3
202122 AAA MLE2 teams — 443401 9822112 1912013 194 244300394694 150315 274 301 90 — — — — — —
202122 AAA RAW2 teams — 443397 10123115 2310913 194 254316431747 176310 255 325 90 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE2 teams — 601534 15828418 3212126 213 296365464829 169350 205 366 134 +24 +3 +11 +2 +13 5.4
202223 MLB RAW2 teams — 601528 15427318 3811426 213 292368456825 165339 196 364 134 +24 +3 +11 +2 +13 5.4
202324 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 616560 14127615 2911220 306 252312402714 150289 185 315 99 -1 +4 +15 +2 +13 3.4
202324 MLB RAWCleveland Guardians — 616557 14027515 3211220 306 251315399714 147289 185 317 99 -1 +4 +15 +2 +13 3.4
202425 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 633584 1472219 259715 305 252300339639 87285 154 286 79 -16 +4 +15 +2 +14 2.0
202425 MLB RAWCleveland Guardians — 633583 1472219 269715 305 252301340641 87286 154 287 79 -16 +4 +15 +2 +14 2.0
202526 MLB MLE3 teams — 403360 771217 267312 132 214289311600 97246 186 272 71 -14 +2 +8 +1 +9 0.6
202526 MLB RAW3 teams — 403359 781217 277212 132 217294315609 97250 187 277 71 -14 +2 +8 +1 +9 0.6
202627 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 508470 1142519 159416 204 243289357647 115282 193 287 80 -12 +2 +2 +5 +11 0.9
202627 MLB RAWToronto Blue Jays — 508468 1142519 179416 204 244293359652 115284 193 290 80 -12 +2 +2 +5 +11 0.9
201617 ROK MLEDSL Mets 1 — 275233 531332 32278 138 227347335682 107236 1012 301 90 — — — — — —
201718 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 399360 90853 207916 148 250322325647 75304 205 283 78 — — — — — —
201819 A+ MLE3 teams — 561513 1333355 2714516 3815 259321372693 113342 265 304 92 — — — — — —
201920 AA MLE2 teams — 554512 1162368 2213315 3016 227281342623 115286 244 274 72 — — — — — —
202021 MLB MLENew York Mets — 132118 32323 7286 81 271344407750 136318 215 336 113 — — — — — —
202122 AAA MLE2 teams — 443408 9822112 1912013 194 240300387687 147309 274 301 90 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE2 teams — 601538 15828418 3212126 213 294365461826 167353 205 366 134 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 616562 14127615 2911220 306 251312400712 149289 185 315 99 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 633588 1472219 259715 305 250300337636 87286 154 286 79 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE3 teams — 403362 771217 267312 132 213289309598 97248 186 272 71 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 508472 1142519 159416 204 242289356645 114284 193 287 80 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 633588 1472219 259715 305 250300337636 87286 154 286 79 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE3 teams — 403362 771217 267312 132 213289309598 97248 186 272 71 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 508472 1142519 159416 204 242289356645 114284 193 287 80 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLETOR 100% 490452 1112019 218814 204 246300356656 110285 184 295 86 -8 +2 +1 +5 +11 0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXTOR 100% 427393 971718 197712 174 247301357658 110286 184 296 86 -7 +2 +1 +5 +9 1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLETOR 100% 412380 931717 187511 143 243298350647 106283 184 291 83 -8 +2 -0 +4 +9 0.6
202930 MLB MLETOR 100% 397366 891617 177411 113 240294342635 101281 194 286 80 -10 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.3
202829 MLB CTXTOR 100% 412380 931717 187511 143 244298351649 106284 184 292 83 -8 +2 -0 +4 +9 0.6
202930 MLB CTXTOR 100% 397366 891617 177411 113 241294342637 101282 194 287 80 -10 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 38343480 8701571579 187712122 15627 250311372683 122291 195 305 89 -35 +20 +57 +28 +83 15.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 14827313 3212121 265 251313373686 122293 195 305 89 -6 +3 +10 +5 +14 2.7
Career— MLE — 63615762 143726638113 3081255197 27882 249310368677 118298 205 299 89 -42 +22 +58 +33 +92 16.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 14727412 3112820 288 250309370679 121297 205 299 89 -6 +3 +9 +5 +14 2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 19 PAwOBA .362 → .313 (−50)K% 26.3% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.32%÷0.988×1.200——31.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.984×0.690—×1.0030.00%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.940—×1.0034.96%
Singles /BIP53.85%÷1.007×0.930—×1.00349.87%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.098×0.830—×1.0030.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.970—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.847×0.700—×1.0030.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .362 → .313; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .538 → .499. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 15 PAwOBA .250 → .200 (−51)K% 6.7% → 9.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA6.67%÷0.968×1.360——9.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.015×0.690—×0.9508.61%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9500.00%
Singles /BIP9.09%÷1.006×0.920—×0.9507.89%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.047×0.830—×0.9506.85%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910—×0.9500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.284×0.800—×0.9500.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .250 → .200; ISO .083 → .070; BABIP .167 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 233 PAwOBA .352 → .317 (−35)K% 23.6% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.61%÷1.002×1.200——28.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.72%÷1.008×0.690—×1.0503.39%
HBP% /PA2.58%—×0.940—×1.0502.54%
Singles /BIP23.38%÷0.949×0.930×1.008×1.05024.24%
Doubles /BIP8.44%÷0.949×0.830×1.008×1.0507.82%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷0.900×0.920×1.008×1.0500.70%
Home runs /BIP6.49%÷1.034×0.700—×1.0504.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .352 → .317; ISO .215 → .169; BABIP .345 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 479 PAwOBA .301 → .274 (−27)K% 21.3% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.29%÷1.083×1.220——23.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.01%÷0.942×0.700—×1.0503.91%
HBP% /PA2.92%—×0.850—×1.0502.61%
Singles /BIP21.82%÷1.026×0.970×0.950×1.05020.58%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.945×0.860×0.950×1.0506.05%
Triples /BIP1.52%÷0.900×0.950×0.950×1.0501.60%
Home runs /BIP2.73%÷1.012×0.780—×1.0502.21%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 117, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .301 → .274; ISO .137 → .122; BABIP .306 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+St. Lucie Mets · 351 PAwOBA .335 → .303 (−32)K% 19.9% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.94%÷0.967×1.420——29.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.98%÷0.907×0.750—×1.0425.16%
HBP% /PA3.13%—×0.930—×1.0423.04%
Singles /BIP23.95%÷1.022×0.920×1.036×1.04223.27%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷0.964×0.960×1.036×1.0429.03%
Triples /BIP1.68%÷0.900×0.810×1.036×1.0421.63%
Home runs /BIP2.52%÷1.074×0.880—×1.0422.15%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 81 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .335 → .303; ISO .149 → .134; BABIP .343 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 153 PAwOBA .309 → .307 (−2)K% 14.4% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.38%÷0.992×1.220——17.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷1.028×0.700—×1.0504.21%
HBP% /PA3.27%—×0.850—×1.0502.92%
Singles /BIP24.35%÷1.009×0.970×1.050×1.05025.82%
Doubles /BIP7.83%÷0.906×0.860×1.050×1.0508.19%
Triples /BIP0.87%÷1.134×0.950×1.050×1.0500.80%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.013×0.780—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .309 → .307; ISO .080 → .082; BABIP .330 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AColumbia Fireflies · 399 PAwOBA .308 → .283 (−25)K% 15.3% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.29%÷1.037×1.340——19.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.02%÷0.981×0.660—×1.0454.93%
HBP% /PA4.01%—×0.770—×1.0453.23%
Singles /BIP26.22%÷1.009×0.920×1.032×1.04525.79%
Doubles /BIP3.15%÷0.976×0.820×1.032×1.0452.85%
Triples /BIP1.40%÷0.900×0.940×1.032×1.0451.57%
Home runs /BIP1.40%÷0.995×0.820—×1.0451.20%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .308 → .283; ISO .084 → .080; BABIP .310 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 DSLDSL Mets 1 · 275 PAwOBA .436 → .301 (−135)K% 8.0% → 9.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.00%÷1.000×1.220——9.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.73%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00811.80%
HBP% /PA2.91%—×0.700—×1.0082.05%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.680×0.980×1.00816.78%
Doubles /BIP10.42%÷1.000×0.600×0.980×1.0086.17%
Triples /BIP2.08%÷1.000×0.600×0.980×1.0081.23%
Home runs /BIP1.56%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .436 → .301; ISO .173 → .107; BABIP .367 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .