Jonathan Davis — OGILVIE

Jonathan DavisCF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 34 R/R 5'8" / 190 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 309 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .298 / .346

PA309

HR7

SB15

K%27

BB%8

ISO128

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT27

Whiff%

669.3%

xwOBA

340.290

POWER40

Barrel%

163.9

Avg EV

1084.7

EYE68

Chase%

9023.4%

SPEED69

Sprint

8728.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$2M
Totals		$2M		$0.1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	136	25	8	2	2	8	37	8	4	2	184	270	316	586	132	235	24	5	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	130	31	11	3	2	14	26	8	4	2	238	349	415	764	177	282	17	9	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	2 teams	—	237	215	45	13	1	2	13	63	4	11	7	209	267	307	574	98	283	27	5	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	2 teams	—	237	210	57	17	1	3	17	41	4	11	7	271	336	405	741	133	321	17	7	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	2 teams	—	574	487	91	18	5	15	53	192	18	39	7	187	290	337	627	150	266	33	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	2 teams	—	574	462	115	22	9	14	77	126	18	39	7	249	376	426	803	177	308	22	13	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	2 teams	—	637	547	118	20	6	8	56	164	16	27	15	216	307	318	625	102	289	26	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	2 teams	—	637	524	134	26	4	11	78	125	16	27	15	256	368	384	752	128	312	20	12	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA	4 teams	—	620	557	140	28	4	9	38	127	17	30	5	251	319	364	683	113	308	20	6	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA	4 teams	—	620	546	147	30	6	10	49	110	17	30	5	269	348	401	749	132	318	18	8	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	2 teams	—	447	387	79	17	3	10	35	130	22	16	5	204	306	341	647	137	278	29	8	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	2 teams	—	447	377	92	20	3	12	45	107	22	16	5	244	358	408	767	164	309	24	10	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	28	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	250	364	429	792	179	353	32	9	343	121	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2020	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	27	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	259	364	444	808	185	375	32	9	348	124	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2021	29	MLB	2 teams	—	189	157	23	3	1	2	21	54	9	9	3	146	283	217	500	70	204	29	11	238	41	-13	+1	+1	+1	+5	-0.5
2021	29	MLB	2 teams	—	189	154	24	3	1	3	24	49	9	9	3	156	305	247	552	91	202	26	13	267	62	-8	+1	+1	+1	+5	-0.0
2022	30	AAA	2 teams	—	312	269	67	11	1	4	33	82	5	21	2	249	342	342	684	93	339	26	11	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA	2 teams	—	312	260	71	12	1	4	42	70	5	21	2	273	384	373	757	100	354	22	13	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA	2 teams	—	245	220	51	10	4	7	17	68	3	6	4	232	296	409	705	177	297	28	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA	2 teams	—	245	214	54	13	5	7	21	61	3	6	4	252	325	458	783	206	315	25	9	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	253	51	11	1	4	23	96	9	8	2	202	291	300	592	99	307	34	8	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	242	55	12	1	4	33	80	9	8	2	227	340	335	675	107	323	28	12	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	34	MLB	MIA	—	309	275	62	12	2	7	25	85	6	15	3	225	304	360	664	135	291	28	8	293	83	-6	+2	+1	+1	+9	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	35	MLB	MIA	6%	251	224	48	9	1	5	20	71	5	9	2	214	293	330	624	116	285	28	8	283	75	-7	+1	-5	+1	+7	-0.3
2028	36	MLB	MIA	0%	194	173	36	6	1	4	15	56	4	4	1	208	286	324	610	116	278	29	8	273	67	-7	+0	-6	+1	+5	-0.6
2027	35	MLB	MIA	6%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		280	29	7	265	61	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
2028	36	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	255	53	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	468	402	79	10	1	6	43	126	13	19	5	197	294	271	565	75	265	27	9	265	61	-21	+2	+5	+6	+13	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	109	14	1	8	60	175	18	26	7	195	294	267	561	72	264	27	9	265	61	-29	+2	+8	+9	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	4489	3928	843	168	32	80	360	1236	128	200	58	215	301	335	636	120	288	28	8	281	73	-135	+17	-4	+16	+127	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	123	24	5	12	52	179	19	29	8	216	304	339	643	123	290	28	8	281	73	-20	+3	-1	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	130	31	11	3	2	14	26	8	4	2	238	349	415	764	177	282	17	9	338	117	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2015	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	179	161	37	15	0	1	10	34	4	5	6	230	290	342	631	112	281	19	6	281	73	-5	-1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2015	23	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	58	49	20	2	1	2	7	7	0	6	1	408	482	612	1.094	204	450	12	12	462	212	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2016	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	518	417	105	21	8	14	70	111	17	33	6	252	380	441	821	189	305	21	14	360	134	+20	+4	—	—	+15	3.9
2016	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	56	45	10	1	1	0	7	15	1	6	1	222	340	289	629	67	333	27	12	281	74	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2017	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	546	446	111	20	4	10	69	110	13	20	14	249	365	379	744	130	304	20	13	330	111	+7	-2	—	—	+15	2.1
2017	25	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	91	78	23	6	0	1	9	15	3	7	1	295	389	410	799	115	355	16	10	360	134	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2018	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	6	1	3	0	200	259	240	499	40	263	22	4	235	38	-2	+1	-0	+2	+1	0.1
2018	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	202	185	46	7	2	5	12	41	4	7	1	249	308	389	698	141	295	20	6	311	96	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
2018	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	358	305	92	22	3	5	35	53	11	19	3	302	393	443	836	141	345	15	10	369	141	+16	+3	—	—	+10	3.0
2018	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	33	31	4	0	1	0	1	10	1	1	1	129	182	194	375	65	190	30	3	175	-8	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	95	83	15	1	0	2	5	24	5	3	1	181	269	265	534	84	224	25	5	247	47	-6	+0	+2	+2	+3	0.0
2019	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	352	294	77	19	3	10	40	83	17	13	4	262	382	449	831	187	333	24	11	373	143	+17	+1	—	—	+10	2.9
2020	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	27	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	259	364	444	808	185	375	32	9	348	124	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2021	29	MLB	New York Yankees	—	103	87	11	1	0	1	12	26	3	4	1	126	255	172	427	46	164	25	12	214	22	-9	+0	+1	+1	+3	-0.4
2021	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	86	67	13	2	1	2	12	23	6	5	2	194	365	343	708	149	256	27	14	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	91	76	17	1	0	0	14	26	0	7	1	224	344	237	581	13	340	29	15	281	73	-3	+1	+4	+1	+3	0.6
2022	30	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	221	184	54	11	1	4	28	44	5	14	1	293	401	429	830	136	360	20	13	370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	104	90	22	4	1	2	7	29	2	1	2	244	310	378	688	133	328	28	7	297	85	-2	-1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2023	31	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	141	124	32	9	4	5	14	32	1	5	2	258	336	516	852	258	307	23	10	366	138	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	32	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	242	55	12	1	4	33	80	9	8	2	227	340	335	675	107	323	28	12	314	98	-1	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	454	388	77	10	1	6	42	122	13	19	5	198	297	276	572	77	268	27	9	265	61	-20	+2	+6	+6	+13	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	632	9	21	198	286	285	-1	+5	-0.6	-0.5
	/162	664	10	22	198	286	285	-0.7	+4.8	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Davis (OGILVIE)	34	27	40	69	68	220/298/346	127	291	7	15	27%	8%	83	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Willy Taveras 2016 · AAA	34	47→57	43→45	59→65	43	229/283/342	113	280	11	28	22%	5%	73	-0.1	249/300/365	116	303	10	21	21%	4%	87	+0.8	256/309/371	115	312	10	22	20%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	47→45	61→60	44	233/280/372	139	279	14	30	22%	6%	80	+0.4	234/283/346	112	296	10	33	23%	6%	75	-0.0	231/283/327	95	299	8	39	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	48→50	47→45	56→60	45	237/298/376	139	300	14	23	25%	7%	89	+1.0	202/266/327	125	291	14	16	34%	7%	63	-0.8	150/219/244	93	230	11	15	38%	6%	20	-2.3
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	46→51	48→50	58→60	47	223/301/364	141	318	16	26	33%	10%	88	+0.9	220/296/336	116	326	12	16	33%	9%	78	+0.2	207/285/298	91	317	9	13	34%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Pete Orr 2013 · MLB	34	48→45	40→45	56→55	41	230/269/327	97	280	7	22	20%	4%	63	-0.9	234/265/326	92	297	6	15	23%	3%	61	-1.0	233/265/317	84	298	5	14	23%	3%	55	-0.9
✕Kristopher Negrón 2019 · MLB	33	44→51	45	54→55	38	217/273/340	123	308	13	16	33%	6%	69	-0.4	231/291/357	126	336	14	14	33%	7%	82	+0.5	239/303/358	120	349	14	14	33%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Manny Alexander 2006 · MLB	35	49→50	45	54→55	45	240/290/365	125	284	11	23	20%	6%	82	+0.5	220/262/311	91	262	7	14	18%	5%	56	-1.3	210/249/283	73	249	5	10	17%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	209/290/363	154	264	18	18	27%	10%	83	+0.6	194/263/323	129	274	14	13	32%	8%	61	-1.0	130/199/223	93	194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
✕Christian Zazueta 2019 · AAA	34	45→55	42→50	55→60	36	223/247/324	101	267	10	31	21%	2%	53	-1.5	236/270/355	119	266	12	16	16%	4%	71	-0.3	246/275/362	116	268	12	17	13%	3%	71	-0.1
✕Charlie Culberson 2022 · MLB	33	48→49	47→45	53→50	44	240/293/382	142	299	14	13	24%	6%	89	+0.9	229/274/343	114	308	11	12	28%	6%	70	-0.3	214/242/286	73	304	7	12	31%	4%	40	-0.5
✕Jarrod Dyson 2020 · MLB	35	47→57	41→45	61→70	55	226/306/320	94	262	9	35	17%	10%	78	+0.2	218/286/311	93	267	8	30	20%	8%	66	-0.6	199/253/276	77	261	0	40	22%	7%	41	-0.6
✕Tim Torres 2017 · AAA	33	50→51	45	55	45	243/301/368	125	322	12	20	27%	7%	88	+0.9	246/312/383	137	328	14	18	27%	9%	96	+1.5	255/343/395	140	342	16	20	28%	12%	116	+0.8
✕Tom Goodwin 2002 · MLB	34	51→56	41→45	65	53	246/316/348	102	296	8	42	19%	9%	89	+0.9	247/305/344	97	297	7	39	18%	8%	82	+0.5	252/305/328	76	305	3	51	17%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	226/297/394	168	295	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	232/315/356	124	320	11	15	29%	7%	92	+1.2	233/334/324	91	343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Willie Bloomquist 2011 · MLB	33	54→56	40	56→60	49	258/306/354	96	295	7	26	15%	6%	85	+0.7	270/312/360	90	311	5	19	14%	5%	89	+1.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Ryan LaMarre 2023 · MLB	34	50→54	46→45	51→60	44	242/319/378	136	328	14	21	29%	7%	99	+1.7	221/290/351	130	315	14	19	32%	7%	80	+0.4	147/227/246	99	224	13	33	39%	7%	24	-0.6
✕Dewayne Wise 2013 · MLB	35	49→40	51→60	59→55	40	247/285/411	164	297	18	27	24%	4%	92	+1.2	230/276/369	139	290	14	18	25%	5%	78	+0.2	193/227/281	88	261	5	9	27%	4%	30	-0.6
✕Jon Berti 2023 · MLB	33	50→60	42→45	62→60	55	237/326/345	108	304	8	39	23%	11%	93	+1.3	265/328/371	106	327	10	29	21%	8%	99	+1.7	279/335/370	91	341	9	30	20%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Andrew Romine 2021 · MLB	35	47→56	44→45	54→55	43	231/279/343	112	277	12	19	21%	5%	72	-0.2	235/283/328	93	302	8	9	24%	6%	69	-0.4	243/290/307	64	318	3	3	23%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Mike McCoy 2015 · MLB	34	44→54	38→40	52→60	51	207/278/282	75	256	5	22	21%	8%	56	-1.3	201/277/283	82	269	6	15	25%	8%	56	-1.3	174/271/225	51	247	2	17	27%	10%	37	-1.2