Jonathan Davis

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1992-05-12

Age (2027)35

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	30	AAAMIL	221	.293/.401/.429	4	14	91	—	.249/.332/.352
2022	30	MLBMIL	91	.224/.344/.237	0	7	77	0.5
2023	31	AAADET	141	.258/.336/.516	5	5	78	—	.208/.264/.392
2023	31	MLBMIA	104	.244/.310/.378	2	1	93	0.2
2024	32	AAAMIA	285	.227/.340/.335	4	8	53	—	.189/.277/.272
2025	33	No MLB games played
2026	34	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

Speed87

xwOBA34

Barrel%16

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	130	31	11	3	2	14	26	8	4	2	238	349	415	764	177	282	17	9	338	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	179	161	37	15	0	1	10	34	4	5	6	230	290	342	631	112	281	19	6	281	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	58	49	20	2	1	2	7	7	0	6	1	408	482	612	1.094	204	450	12	12	462	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	518	417	105	21	8	14	70	111	17	33	6	252	380	441	821	189	305	21	14	360	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	56	45	10	1	1	0	7	15	1	6	1	222	340	289	629	67	333	27	12	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	546	446	111	20	4	10	69	110	13	20	14	249	365	379	744	130	304	20	13	330	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	91	78	23	6	0	1	9	15	3	7	1	295	389	410	799	115	355	16	10	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	6	1	3	0	200	259	240	499	40	263	22	4	235	45	-2	+1	-0	+2	+1	0.1
2018	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	202	185	46	7	2	5	12	41	4	7	1	249	308	389	698	141	295	20	6	311	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	358	305	92	22	3	5	35	53	11	19	3	302	393	443	836	141	345	15	10	369	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	33	31	4	0	1	0	1	10	1	1	1	129	182	194	375	65	190	30	3	175	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	95	83	15	1	0	2	5	24	5	3	1	181	269	265	534	84	224	25	5	247	53	-5	+0	+2	+2	+2	0.0
2019	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	352	294	77	19	3	10	40	83	17	13	4	262	382	449	831	187	333	24	11	373	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	27	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	259	364	444	808	185	375	32	9	348	121	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2021	29	MLB	New York Yankees	—	103	87	11	1	0	1	12	26	3	4	1	126	255	172	427	46	164	25	12	214	31	-9	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.4
2021	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	86	67	13	2	1	2	12	23	6	5	2	194	365	343	708	149	256	27	14	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	91	76	17	1	0	0	14	26	0	7	1	224	344	237	581	13	340	29	15	281	77	-2	+1	+4	+1	+2	0.5
2022	30	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	221	184	54	11	1	4	28	44	5	14	1	293	401	429	830	136	360	20	13	370	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	104	90	22	4	1	2	7	29	2	1	2	244	310	378	688	133	328	28	7	297	93	-1	-1	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2023	31	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	141	124	32	9	4	5	14	32	1	5	2	258	336	516	852	258	307	23	10	366	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	242	55	12	1	4	33	80	9	8	2	227	340	335	675	107	323	28	12	314	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	454	388	77	10	1	6	42	122	13	19	5	198	297	276	572	77	268	27	9	265	65	-19	+2	+6	+6	+10	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	136	25	8	2	2	8	37	8	4	2	184	270	316	586	132	224	24	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	179	164	30	12	0	1	8	51	4	5	6	183	239	274	513	91	250	28	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	58	51	18	1	1	2	5	10	0	6	1	353	411	529	940	176	377	17	9	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	518	439	87	18	5	13	49	165	17	33	6	198	303	351	654	153	261	32	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	546	467	106	18	4	7	49	133	13	20	14	227	318	328	645	101	282	24	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	6	1	3	0	200	259	240	499	40	263	22	4	234	45	-2	+1	-0	+2	+1	0.1
2018	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	202	188	43	6	2	4	9	49	4	7	1	229	279	346	624	117	281	24	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	358	315	87	19	3	4	25	63	11	19	3	276	350	394	744	117	315	18	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	95	83	15	1	0	2	5	24	5	3	1	181	269	265	534	84	224	25	5	247	53	-5	+0	+2	+2	+2	0.0
2019	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	352	306	64	15	3	8	28	103	17	13	4	209	311	356	667	147	287	29	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	28	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	250	364	429	792	179	375	32	9	348	121	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2021	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	103	87	11	1	0	1	12	26	3	4	1	126	255	172	427	46	164	25	12	213	31	-9	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.4
2021	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	86	71	12	2	1	1	8	28	6	5	2	169	306	268	573	99	230	33	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	91	76	17	1	0	0	14	26	0	7	1	224	344	237	581	13	340	29	15	282	77	-2	+1	+4	+1	+2	0.5
2022	30	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	221	193	48	9	1	3	19	54	5	14	1	249	332	352	684	104	314	24	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	104	91	22	4	1	2	7	29	2	1	2	242	310	374	684	132	328	28	7	306	93	-1	-1	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2023	31	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	141	130	27	6	3	4	9	39	1	5	2	208	264	392	657	185	261	28	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	254	48	10	1	3	22	96	9	8	2	189	277	272	549	83	289	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	136	25	8	2	2	8	37	8	4	2	184	270	316	586	132	235	24	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	130	31	11	3	2	14	26	8	4	2	238	349	415	764	177	282	17	9	338	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	237	216	48	14	1	2	12	61	4	11	7	222	276	324	600	102	297	26	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	237	210	57	17	1	3	17	41	4	11	7	271	336	405	741	133	321	17	7	325	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	574	485	95	19	6	14	55	183	18	39	7	196	301	346	647	151	276	32	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	574	462	115	22	9	14	77	126	18	39	7	249	376	426	803	177	308	22	13	352	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	637	546	124	21	5	8	57	155	16	27	15	227	318	328	646	101	298	24	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	637	524	134	26	4	11	78	125	16	27	15	256	368	384	752	128	312	20	12	335	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA MLE	4 teams	—	620	558	143	28	5	9	37	125	17	30	5	256	322	373	695	116	312	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA RAW	4 teams	—	620	546	147	30	6	10	49	110	17	30	5	269	348	401	749	132	318	18	8	334	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	447	389	79	16	3	10	33	127	22	16	5	203	302	337	639	134	273	28	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	447	377	92	20	3	12	45	107	22	16	5	244	358	408	767	164	309	24	10	346	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	28	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	250	364	429	792	179	353	32	9	348	121	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2020	28	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	27	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	259	364	444	808	185	375	32	9	348	121	+1	+0	-1	-0	+1	0.1
2021	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	189	158	23	3	1	2	20	54	9	9	3	146	278	215	493	70	202	29	11	235	46	-12	+1	+1	+1	+4	-0.6
2021	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	189	154	24	3	1	3	24	49	9	9	3	156	305	247	552	91	202	26	13	267	46	-12	+1	+1	+1	+4	-0.6
2022	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	312	269	65	10	1	3	33	80	5	21	2	242	336	320	655	78	328	26	11	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	312	260	71	12	1	4	42	70	5	21	2	273	384	373	757	100	354	22	13	344	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	245	221	50	11	4	6	16	68	3	6	4	226	287	394	681	167	293	28	7	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	245	214	54	13	5	7	21	61	3	6	4	252	325	458	783	206	315	25	9	336	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	254	48	10	1	3	22	96	9	8	2	189	277	272	549	83	290	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	242	55	12	1	4	33	80	9	8	2	227	340	335	675	107	323	28	12	314	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	155	138	25	8	2	2	8	37	8	4	2	181	270	312	581	130	224	24	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	237	219	48	14	1	2	12	61	4	11	7	219	276	320	595	100	281	26	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	574	496	95	19	6	14	55	183	18	39	7	192	301	339	640	147	261	32	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	637	559	124	21	5	8	57	155	16	27	15	222	318	320	638	98	282	24	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA MLE	4 teams	—	620	561	143	28	5	9	37	125	17	30	5	255	322	371	693	116	301	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	447	389	79	16	3	10	33	127	22	16	5	203	302	337	639	134	274	28	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	34	29	7	2	0	1	3	11	2	1	0	241	364	414	777	172	375	32	9	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	189	158	23	3	1	2	20	54	9	9	3	146	278	215	493	70	194	29	11	235	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	312	271	65	10	1	3	33	80	5	21	2	240	336	317	653	77	322	26	11	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	245	224	50	11	4	6	16	68	3	6	4	223	287	388	676	165	289	28	7	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	252	48	10	1	3	22	96	9	8	2	190	277	274	551	83	289	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	32	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	285	252	48	10	1	3	22	96	9	8	2	190	277	274	551	83	289	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	454	388	77	10	1	6	42	122	13	19	5	198	297	276	572	77	268	27	9	265	76	-19	+2	+6	+6	+10	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	556	110	14	1	9	60	175	19	27	7	198	297	275	572	77	266	27	9	265	76	-27	+3	+8	+9	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3735	3260	707	142	29	60	296	997	113	172	52	217	304	333	638	117	290	27	8	281	76	-19	+2	+6	+6	+10	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	123	25	5	10	52	174	20	30	9	217	305	332	637	115	291	27	8	281	76	-27	+3	+8	+9	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 285 PAwOBA .306 → .247 (−59)K% 28.1% → 33.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.07%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	33.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.58%	÷1.005	×0.690	—	×0.952	7.57%
HBP% /PA	3.16%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	2.83%
Singles /BIP	23.46%	÷1.016	×0.930	×1.050	×0.952	21.46%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷0.970	×0.830	×1.050	×0.952	6.33%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.985	×0.970	×1.050	×0.952	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	2.47%	÷0.925	×0.700	—	×0.952	1.78%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .306 → .247; ISO .107 → .085; BABIP .323 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 141 PAwOBA .359 → .284 (−74)K% 22.7% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.70%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	27.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.93%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.55%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.64%
Singles /BIP	15.22%	÷0.965	×0.930	×1.039	×0.962	14.66%
Doubles /BIP	9.78%	÷1.156	×0.830	×1.039	×0.962	7.02%
Triples /BIP	4.35%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.039	×0.962	3.66%
Home runs /BIP	5.43%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×0.962	4.06%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 93, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .359 → .284; ISO .258 → .197; BABIP .307 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANashville Sounds · 221 PAwOBA .365 → .302 (−64)K% 19.9% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.91%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	24.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.67%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×0.972	8.55%
HBP% /PA	2.26%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.07%
Singles /BIP	27.14%	÷0.996	×0.930	×0.984	×0.972	24.25%
Doubles /BIP	7.86%	÷0.952	×0.830	×0.984	×0.972	6.55%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.984	×0.972	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷0.946	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.05%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .365 → .302; ISO .136 → .108; BABIP .360 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 86 PAwOBA .326 → .262 (−64)K% 26.7% → 32.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.74%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	32.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.95%	÷0.973	×0.690	—	×0.982	9.71%
HBP% /PA	6.98%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	6.44%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷0.974	×0.930	×0.999	×0.982	17.03%
Doubles /BIP	4.55%	÷0.915	×0.830	×0.999	×0.982	4.05%
Triples /BIP	2.27%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.999	×0.982	1.78%
Home runs /BIP	4.55%	÷1.149	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.72%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 95, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .326 → .262; ISO .149 → .104; BABIP .256 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAABuffalo Bisons · 352 PAwOBA .362 → .299 (−64)K% 23.6% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.58%	÷0.968	×1.200	—	—	29.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.08%	÷0.953	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.05%
HBP% /PA	4.83%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	4.55%
Singles /BIP	21.33%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	18.69%
Doubles /BIP	9.00%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	7.46%
Triples /BIP	1.42%	÷0.909	×0.970	×0.950	×1.003	1.45%
Home runs /BIP	4.74%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	3.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .362 → .299; ISO .187 → .156; BABIP .333 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 358 PAwOBA .365 → .323 (−42)K% 14.8% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.80%	÷1.033	×1.220	—	—	17.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.78%	÷0.961	×0.700	—	×0.988	7.04%
HBP% /PA	3.07%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	2.58%
Singles /BIP	24.60%	÷0.995	×0.970	×0.979	×0.988	23.21%
Doubles /BIP	8.73%	÷0.980	×0.860	×0.979	×0.988	7.41%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷1.086	×0.950	×0.979	×0.988	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	1.98%	÷0.945	×0.780	—	×0.988	1.62%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 117, K 107, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .365 → .323; ISO .141 → .122; BABIP .345 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAABuffalo Bisons · 202 PAwOBA .303 → .265 (−38)K% 20.3% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.30%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	24.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.94%	÷0.954	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.38%
HBP% /PA	1.98%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.89%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷0.970	×0.930	×1.010	×1.018	21.91%
Doubles /BIP	4.86%	÷0.987	×0.830	×1.010	×1.018	4.20%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.010	×1.018	1.20%
Home runs /BIP	3.47%	÷1.080	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.75%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .303 → .265; ISO .141 → .112; BABIP .295 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 546 PAwOBA .326 → .283 (−43)K% 20.1% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.15%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	24.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.64%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×0.998	8.88%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	2.02%
Singles /BIP	22.92%	÷1.024	×0.970	×1.009	×0.998	21.86%
Doubles /BIP	5.95%	÷1.024	×0.860	×1.009	×0.998	5.03%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.009	×0.998	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	2.98%	÷1.165	×0.780	—	×0.998	1.99%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .326 → .283; ISO .130 → .107; BABIP .304 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .