Jake Alu3B
Rochester Red Wings
Age 29
L/R
5'10" / 195 lbs
AAA
HR -9%
Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .303 / .351
PA250
HR4
SB8
K%19
BB%7
xwOBA.283
Barrel%2.5%
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
60→60
PWR
37→37
SPD
61→61
EYE
45↘37
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
Barrel%
102.5
xwOBA
280.283
Avg EV
4388.6
Whiff%
490.110
Chase%
130.388
Speed
6628.1
Bat Spd
1767.8
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2023
Service 3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2029
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-3M | $-3M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 370 | 348 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 102 | 6 | 13 | 3 | .239 | .282 | .379 | .661 | .141 | .311 | 28 | 4 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 567 | 518 | 139 | 37 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 127 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .268 | .322 | .446 | .768 | .178 | .319 | 22 | 6 | .330 | 110 | +7 | +2 | +0 | -6 | +16 | 1.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | 3 teams | 522 | 475 | 114 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 102 | 5 | 22 | 4 | .240 | .295 | .324 | .619 | .084 | .289 | 20 | 6 | .276 | 70 | -18 | +3 | +1 | -6 | +15 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 252 | 231 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 0 | 9 | 1 | .212 | .266 | .303 | .569 | .091 | .242 | 17 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -15 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 250 | 229 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 47 | 2 | 8 | 2 | .253 | .310 | .362 | .673 | .109 | .295 | 19 | 7 | .296 | 85 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | WSH | 330 | 302 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 65 | 2 | 10 | 2 | .245 | .303 | .348 | .650 | .103 | .294 | 20 | 7 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | WSH | 315 | 288 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 2 | 8 | 2 | .243 | .301 | .347 | .649 | .104 | .294 | 20 | 7 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | WSH | 296 | 271 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 62 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .240 | .299 | .347 | .646 | .107 | .292 | 21 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -6 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | WSH | 266 | 243 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .235 | .295 | .333 | .629 | .099 | .291 | 21 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | WSH | 223 | 204 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .230 | .290 | .324 | .613 | .093 | .290 | 22 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3391 | 3109 | 756 | 153 | 12 | 61 | 217 | 718 | 28 | 99 | 19 | .243 | .298 | .359 | .657 | .116 | .295 | 21 | 6 | .291 | 81 | -73 | +12 | -24 | -36 | +96 | -2.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 596 | 145 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 138 | 5 | 19 | 4 | .243 | .299 | .359 | .658 | .116 | .295 | 21 | 6 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 213 | 197 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 3 | .264 | .316 | .411 | .727 | .147 | .313 | 20 | 6 | .323 | 105 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 157 | 145 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .303 | .357 | .490 | .846 | .186 | .361 | 20 | 5 | .374 | 144 | +8 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 242 | 217 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 2 | .323 | .380 | .553 | .933 | .230 | .353 | 18 | 8 | .399 | 164 | +17 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 325 | 285 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 59 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .281 | .363 | .470 | .834 | .189 | .323 | 18 | 10 | .367 | 139 | +14 | +1 | — | — | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 175 | 159 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .226 | .285 | .289 | .574 | .063 | .291 | 24 | 6 | .260 | 58 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 330 | 292 | 87 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 46 | 2 | 16 | 3 | .298 | .365 | .428 | .793 | .130 | .333 | 14 | 9 | .348 | 125 | +9 | +2 | — | — | +9 | 2.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .294 | .267 | .561 | .067 | .250 | 18 | 12 | .264 | 60 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 221 | 196 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 1 | .230 | .304 | .332 | .636 | .102 | .251 | 14 | 10 | .285 | 77 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 31 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .393 | .452 | .500 | .952 | .107 | .440 | 10 | 10 | .425 | 184 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 175 | 159 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .226 | .285 | .289 | .574 | .063 | .291 | 24 | 6 | .260 | 58 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +5 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jake Alu (OGILVIE) | 29 | 60 | 37 | 61 | 37 | .247/.303/.351 | .104 | .295 | 4 | 8 | 19% | 7% | 85 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Shawn O'Malley 2017 · MLB |
29 | 53→58 | 40 | 56→60 | 47 | .253/.313/.354 | .101 | .313 | 6 | 21 | 20% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.288/.332 | .100 | .297 | 8 | 13 | 23% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.270/.301 | .082 | .281 | 6 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 54 | -0.4 |
|
●Julio Borbon 2015 · MLB |
29 | 53→61 | 39→40 | 56→60 | 46 | .254/.296/.336 | .082 | .297 | 7 | 26 | 17% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .259/.293/.328 | .069 | .307 | 5 | 28 | 17% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .278/.311/.346 | .068 | .324 | 5 | 28 | 15% | 4% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Cory Sullivan 2009 · MLB |
29 | 52→60 | 41→45 | 50 | 45 | .249/.297/.359 | .110 | .309 | 6 | 13 | 21% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .240/.298/.332 | .092 | .284 | 6 | 11 | 17% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .238/.306/.312 | .074 | .273 | 4 | 10 | 13% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Mike Freeman 2017 · MLB |
29 | 55→60 | 39→45 | 57→55 | 45 | .259/.303/.350 | .092 | .319 | 5 | 12 | 20% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .246/.299/.341 | .095 | .323 | 8 | 11 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.297/.331 | .097 | .311 | 10 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Raimel Tapia 2023 · MLB |
29 | 55→64 | 41→50 | 52→55 | 47 | .265/.309/.368 | .103 | .307 | 8 | 17 | 16% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .248/.308/.366 | .118 | .306 | 12 | 20 | 22% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .232/.311/.333 | .101 | .300 | 12 | 33 | 25% | 10% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Buck Coats 2010 · MLB |
28 | 54→58 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 45 | .258/.299/.360 | .102 | .307 | 8 | 18 | 18% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .256/.301/.354 | .098 | .304 | 8 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .272/.316/.364 | .093 | .324 | 7 | 8 | 18% | 6% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Will Rhymes 2012 · MLB |
29 | 55→61 | 38→40 | 52→55 | 51 | .260/.311/.346 | .086 | .291 | 4 | 16 | 12% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .247/.303/.332 | .085 | .273 | 5 | 9 | 11% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .235/.292/.318 | .083 | .259 | 5 | 6 | 11% | 7% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Alex Sanchez 2007 · MLB |
30 | 55→61 | 39→40 | 50→65 | 42 | .266/.292/.349 | .083 | .305 | 7 | 21 | 16% | 3% | 78 | +0.2 | .259/.288/.363 | .104 | .289 | 11 | 16 | 14% | 4% | 80 | +0.4 | .286/.310/.375 | .088 | .310 | 8 | 20 | 10% | 3% | 90 | +0.5 |
|
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2017 · MLB |
30 | 52→62 | 42→45 | 53→60 | 48 | .251/.310/.351 | .100 | .305 | 9 | 24 | 20% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .240/.303/.349 | .109 | .304 | 12 | 18 | 24% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .244/.306/.344 | .100 | .310 | 11 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Angle 2014 · MLB |
28 | 48→58 | 39→40 | 57→60 | 44 | .227/.289/.313 | .086 | .305 | 7 | 23 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.268/.280 | .074 | .296 | 5 | 18 | 30% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .183/.248/.221 | .038 | .271 | 1 | 18 | 30% | 7% | 25 | -1.3 |
|
✕Kerry Robinson 2003 · MLB |
29 | 53→62 | 40 | 55→60 | 50 | .253/.303/.349 | .096 | .284 | 6 | 21 | 14% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .257/.295/.339 | .082 | .290 | 5 | 25 | 13% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .283/.317/.345 | .062 | .317 | 2 | 32 | 11% | 4% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕James Adduci 2014 · MLB |
29 | 51→59 | 44→45 | 55→60 | 46 | .247/.301/.363 | .116 | .311 | 12 | 25 | 24% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .226/.283/.339 | .113 | .297 | 11 | 20 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .245/.283/.365 | .120 | .325 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Don Kelly 2010 · MLB |
30 | 52→59 | 41→45 | 55 | 49 | .247/.297/.348 | .101 | .277 | 7 | 17 | 14% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .240/.287/.357 | .117 | .267 | 13 | 13 | 15% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.273/.329 | .108 | .242 | 15 | 8 | 16% | 6% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Adam Stern 2008 · MLB |
28 | 48→56 | 41→40 | 56→55 | 41 | .234/.270/.336 | .102 | .293 | 7 | 24 | 23% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .242/.284/.334 | .092 | .297 | 6 | 22 | 20% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .259/.306/.347 | .089 | .308 | 5 | 21 | 17% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Hernan Iribarren 2013 · AAA |
29 | 50→60 | 38→40 | 52→55 | 46 | .236/.284/.312 | .076 | .291 | 5 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .237/.286/.304 | .067 | .298 | 3 | 13 | 20% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .270/.303/.345 | .075 | .327 | 3 | 3 | 18% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Rich Thompson 2009 · AAA |
30 | 53→61 | 40→45 | 59→65 | 46 | .249/.305/.350 | .101 | .304 | 5 | 24 | 20% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .250/.298/.349 | .099 | .305 | 5 | 30 | 19% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .266/.316/.370 | .104 | .324 | 4 | 44 | 18% | 5% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Trent Oeltjen 2012 · MLB |
29 | 49→59 | 46→50 | 57→55 | 42 | .236/.291/.376 | .140 | .314 | 11 | 22 | 28% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .216/.277/.354 | .138 | .312 | 13 | 20 | 33% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .206/.268/.349 | .143 | .302 | 14 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Nick Buss 2016 · MLB |
29 | 50→58 | 40→50 | 52→55 | 45 | .241/.291/.335 | .093 | .289 | 8 | 15 | 19% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .241/.286/.355 | .114 | .296 | 8 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .239/.284/.363 | .124 | .296 | 9 | 12 | 22% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
●Joe Inglett 2007 · MLB |
29 | 59→64 | 41→45 | 54→50 | 47 | .284/.328/.397 | .114 | .326 | 7 | 16 | 15% | 5% | 106 | +2.2 | .267/.319/.376 | .109 | .310 | 6 | 12 | 15% | 6% | 96 | +1.5 | .293/.354/.411 | .118 | .341 | 5 | 12 | 15% | 8% | 116 | +1.4 |
|
✕Jason Pridie 2013 · MLB |
29 | 47→53 | 44→50 | 54→55 | 44 | .233/.282/.349 | .117 | .293 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .234/.281/.368 | .134 | .297 | 14 | 16 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .238/.286/.378 | .140 | .295 | 16 | 19 | 25% | 6% | 81 | +0.3 |