Clay Dungan — OGILVIE

Clay Dungan2B El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 30 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .285 / .322

PA166

HR3

SB5

K%32

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO114

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	499	456	120	12	3	9	28	88	9	28	11	263	318	362	680	99	307	18	6	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	499	444	128	17	4	9	40	73	9	28	11	288	359	405	764	117	326	15	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	515	467	78	16	3	8	32	131	10	17	2	167	236	266	501	99	211	25	6	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	515	452	94	22	4	9	47	100	10	17	2	208	297	334	631	126	245	19	9	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	329	288	72	12	1	3	33	82	3	16	2	250	333	330	663	80	332	25	10	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	329	271	74	14	1	3	50	68	3	16	2	273	392	365	757	92	346	21	15	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	3 teams	—	673	590	110	27	8	8	63	215	8	27	8	186	274	300	574	114	271	32	9	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	3 teams	—	673	561	132	32	9	9	92	153	8	27	8	235	351	373	724	137	301	23	14	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	625	554	120	25	5	11	46	194	10	30	7	217	289	339	628	123	306	31	7	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	625	527	144	34	8	14	73	142	10	30	7	273	372	448	820	175	344	23	12	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	SD	—	249	218	44	7	0	5	20	85	3	6	1	202	278	303	581	101	295	34	8	265	61	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
YTD	30	AAA	SD	—	249	208	52	9	0	7	30	66	3	6	1	250	353	394	747	144	324	27	12	329	110	+3	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.2
ROS	30	AAA	SD	10%	166	149	31	6	1	3	14	53	2	5	1	208	285	322	607	114	292	32	8	270	65	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
ROS	30	MLB	SD	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	188	235	250	485	62	288	29	6	257	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	30	AAA	SD	—	266	234	47	8	0	5	21	90	3	7	1	201	275	299	574	98	294	34	8	265	61	-12	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
TOT	30	AAA	SD	—	415	367	75	13	1	8	34	138	5	11	2	204	281	311	591	106	296	33	8	267	63	-18	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SD	27%	561	503	105	20	3	10	46	174	7	15	3	209	284	320	604	111	293	31	8	275	68	-20	+2	-3	+2	+16	-0.3
2028	32	MLB	SD	37%	585	525	110	21	3	11	48	181	7	13	3	210	284	324	608	114	290	31	8	273	67	-22	+1	-4	+2	+17	-0.5
2027	31	MLB	SD	27%	153	137	28	5	1	3	13	48	2	4	1	204	283	321	604	117	289	31	8	262	59	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	32	MLB	SD	37%	219	196	41	8	1	4	18	68	3	5	1	209	286	321	607	112	286	31	8	261	58	-10	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	389	349	72	14	2	7	32	121	5	10	2	206	282	318	600	112	291	31	8	261	58	-19	+1	-2	+1	+11	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	120	23	3	12	53	202	8	17	3	206	281	317	598	111	290	31	8	261	58	-31	+2	-3	+2	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	3953	3532	746	139	27	63	310	1118	56	151	37	211	285	319	605	108	286	28	8	269	64	-160	+15	-6	+14	+112	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	122	23	4	10	51	184	9	25	6	210	284	315	599	105	285	28	8	269	64	-26	+3	-1	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	499	444	128	17	4	9	40	73	9	28	11	288	359	405	764	117	326	15	8	341	119	+11	+1	—	—	+14	2.7
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	515	452	94	22	4	9	47	100	10	17	2	208	297	334	631	126	245	19	9	285	77	-14	+3	—	—	+15	0.4
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	329	271	74	14	1	3	50	68	3	16	2	273	392	365	757	92	346	21	15	345	122	+8	+2	—	—	+9	2.0
2024	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	388	326	82	24	8	7	50	90	6	16	4	252	361	439	800	187	321	23	13	352	127	+12	+2	—	—	+11	2.5
2024	28	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	152	124	27	5	0	2	24	35	1	9	2	218	349	306	655	89	278	23	16	304	91	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	28	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	133	111	23	3	1	0	18	28	1	2	2	207	323	252	575	45	271	21	14	270	65	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	625	527	144	34	8	14	73	142	10	30	7	273	372	448	820	175	344	23	12	358	132	+23	+3	—	—	+18	4.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	397	7	10	209	281	321	+1	+1	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	12	16	209	281	321	+2.4	+1.7	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Clay Dungan (OGILVIE)	30	50	50	55	55	204/281/311	106	296	8	11	33%	8%	63	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Florimón 2017 · MLB	30	44→52	41→45	57→55	39	214/260/321	107	302	8	21	31%	6%	57	-1.2	218/275/338	120	328	12	9	35%	7%	69	-0.4	206/271/327	121	317	13	4	37%	7%	63	-0.5
✕J.J. Furmaniak 2009 · MLB	30	46→50	44→45	51→50	42	227/286/340	113	298	12	18	27%	6%	75	-0.0	217/266/306	89	273	6	11	22%	6%	56	-1.3	211/259/289	78	264	4	10	21%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2021 · AAA	30	45→55	42→45	56→60	43	220/268/329	110	279	9	25	24%	6%	63	-0.8	222/272/341	119	283	11	29	24%	6%	69	-0.4	241/291/361	120	296	11	37	22%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Matt Long 2015 · AAA	28	44→53	44→50	55	44	217/273/334	117	286	11	21	28%	7%	67	-0.5	200/252/305	105	265	10	14	27%	6%	51	-1.7	176/227/269	94	228	8	11	26%	6%	30	-2.6
✕Matt Lipka 2021 · AAA	29	44→54	41→45	54→60	41	216/265/319	104	290	8	22	28%	6%	59	-1.1	237/292/356	119	338	12	35	31%	6%	81	+0.4	239/297/356	116	343	12	46	32%	6%	78	+0.1
●Jason Pridie 2015 · AAA	31	46→54	45→50	55	41	229/272/352	122	291	13	19	26%	5%	71	-0.3	254/301/421	167	307	21	19	24%	6%	102	+1.8	275/323/469	194	323	26	19	23%	6%	122	+2.9
✕Tim Torres 2013 · AAA	29	45→51	42→45	53→55	43	216/282/319	103	315	9	17	32%	8%	67	-0.5	208/265/311	103	316	9	16	34%	7%	58	-1.2	245/314/370	125	332	12	21	28%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	44→45	52→55	48	198/302/313	116	269	11	19	29%	9%	77	+0.1	225/308/344	119	307	11	22	28%	9%	85	+0.7	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Bradley Zimmer 2023 · MLB	30	45→51	45→50	51→60	41	210/305/330	120	322	13	20	36%	8%	82	+0.5	206/287/330	124	332	14	22	39%	8%	74	-0.1	174/262/275	101	304	13	32	43%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	50→55	46	220/285/327	107	284	11	16	26%	8%	71	-0.3	219/288/382	163	284	20	14	29%	8%	87	+0.8	199/271/381	183	248	24	14	30%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2019 · AAA	29	46→51	40	54→60	42	215/282/308	93	310	7	23	31%	7%	65	-0.7	210/270/328	118	331	11	16	37%	7%	65	-0.7	164/223/274	110	278	10	16	43%	6%	27	-0.9
✕Freddie Bynum Jr. 2009 · MLB	29	46→52	41→40	56→55	41	222/272/329	107	301	7	20	28%	6%	65	-0.7	218/259/310	92	293	7	14	27%	5%	54	-1.4	212/246/292	80	284	6	12	27%	4%	40	-1.0
✕Brian Bixler 2013 · MLB	30	49→56	39→45	53→55	42	231/287/321	90	316	7	19	28%	6%	69	-0.4	205/258/281	76	307	6	12	33%	6%	47	-1.9	188/241/242	54	291	4	10	35%	5%	26	-1.9
✕Cole Sturgeon 2022 · AAA	30	49→47	46→45	49→50	40	240/290/370	130	314	13	11	27%	5%	84	+0.6	217/269/326	109	262	11	12	21%	6%	63	-0.8	207/261/302	95	247	10	11	20%	6%	50	-1.4
✕Eric Patterson 2013 · MLB	30	41→51	42→50	57→60	47	203/271/310	107	266	9	22	26%	8%	60	-1.0	209/274/302	93	278	8	15	26%	8%	59	-1.1	167/228/191	24	226	0	8	24%	7%	7	-0.9
✕Trent Oeltjen 2013 · MLB	30	43→53	44→50	52→55	40	212/271/335	124	303	11	19	33%	6%	67	-0.5	200/264/336	136	309	14	20	38%	6%	65	-0.7	186/260/344	158	292	16	28	40%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	46→51	40	55	41	222/271/314	93	299	8	20	28%	6%	61	-1.0	188/232/271	83	274	7	16	32%	5%	33	-2.9	144/183/194	50	198	3	12	28%	5%	-9	-1.3
✕Sherman Johnson 2019 · AAA	29	42→52	42→50	51→50	48	205/277/309	104	273	8	12	27%	9%	63	-0.8	199/271/304	105	280	9	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	171/259/261	90	243	8	7	31%	9%	41	-1.0
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA	29	44→49	40	51→55	43	212/281/302	90	291	8	18	29%	7%	63	-0.9	206/266/294	88	279	8	17	27%	6%	54	-1.4	192/252/268	76	258	6	19	27%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Elliot Johnson 2013 · MLB	29	47→53	45	54→60	44	231/288/351	120	297	12	26	26%	7%	78	+0.2	208/265/313	105	274	9	24	26%	7%	58	-1.2	192/248/289	96	256	7	24	26%	7%	42	-1.1