Clay Dungan2B El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 30 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .285 / .322
PA166
HR3
SB5
K%32
BB%8
BABIP298
ISO114
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -17.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-18BATRUN: +1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +11.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.3-0.52628
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202125 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 499456 1201239 28889 2811 263318362680 99307 186 296 85
202125 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 499444 1281749 40739 2811 288359405764 117326 158 341 119
202226 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 515467 781638 3213110 172 167236266501 99211 256 221 27
202226 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 515452 942249 4710010 172 208297334631 126245 199 285 77
202327 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 329288 721213 33823 162 250333330663 80332 2510 296 85
202327 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 329271 741413 50683 162 273392365757 92346 2115 345 122
202428 AAA3 teams 673590 1102788 632158 278 186274300574 114271 329 259 57
202428 AAA3 teams 673561 1323299 921538 278 235351373724 137301 2314 325 107
202529 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 625554 12025511 4619410 307 217289339628 123306 317 276 69
202529 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 625527 14434814 7314210 307 273372448820 175344 2312 358 132
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD30 AAASD 249218 44705 20853 61 202278303581 101295 348 265 61 -11 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
YTD30 AAASD 249208 52907 30663 61 250353394747 144324 2712 329 110 +3 +1 +0 +1 +7 1.2
ROS30 AAASD 10% 166149 31613 14532 51 208285322607 114292 328 270 65 -7 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
ROS30 MLBSD 10% 1716 3100 150 10 188235250485 62288 296 257 55 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL30 AAASD 266234 47805 21903 71 201275299574 98294 348 265 61 -12 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.2
TOT30 AAASD 415367 751318 341385 112 204281311591 106296 338 267 63 -18 +1 +0 +1 +12 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBSD 27% 561503 10520310 461747 153 209284320604 111293 318 275 68 -20 +2 -3 +2 +16 -0.3
202832 MLBSD 37% 585525 11021311 481817 133 210284324608 114290 318 273 67 -22 +1 -4 +2 +17 -0.5
202731 MLBSD 27% 153137 28513 13482 41 204283321604 117289 318 262 59 -7 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.3
202832 MLBSD 37% 219196 41814 18683 51 209286321607 112286 318 261 58 -10 +1 -1 +1 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 389349 721427 321215 102 206282318600 112291 318 261 58 -19 +1 -2 +1 +11 -0.7
/ 162G 650583 12023312 532028 173 206281317598 111290 318 261 58 -31 +2 -3 +2 +18 -1.2
Career 39533532 7461392763 310111856 15137 211285319605 108286 288 269 64 -160 +15 -6 +14 +112 -2.5
/ 162G 650581 12223410 511849 256 210284315599 105285 288 269 64 -26 +3 -1 +2 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202125 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 499444 1281749 40739 2811 288359405764 117326 158 341 119 +11 +1 +14 2.7
202226 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 515452 942249 4710010 172 208297334631 126245 199 285 77 -14 +3 +15 0.4
202327 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 329271 741413 50683 162 273392365757 92346 2115 345 122 +8 +2 +9 2.0
202428 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 388326 822487 50906 164 252361439800 187321 2313 352 127 +12 +2 +11 2.5
202428 AASan Antonio Missions 152124 27502 24351 92 218349306655 89278 2316 304 91 -2 +1 +4 0.4
202428 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 133111 23310 18281 22 207323252575 45271 2114 270 65 -5 -0 +4 -0.2
202529 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 625527 14434814 7314210 307 273372448820 175344 2312 358 132 +23 +3 +18 4.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1397710209281321+1+1-0.3-0.1
/1626641216+2.4+1.7-0.4pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Clay Dungan (OGILVIE) 30 50 50 55 55 204/281/311 106296 811 33% 8% 63 -0.3
Pedro Florimón
2017 · MLB
30 44→52 41→45 57→55 39 214/260/321 107302 821 31% 6% 57 -1.2 218/275/338 120328 129 35% 7% 69 -0.4 206/271/32712131713437%7%63-0.5
J.J. Furmaniak
2009 · MLB
30 46→50 44→45 51→50 42 227/286/340 113298 1218 27% 6% 75 -0.0 217/266/306 89273 611 22% 6% 56 -1.3 211/259/2897826441021%5%46-1.3
Wynton Bernard
2021 · AAA
30 45→55 42→45 56→60 43 220/268/329 110279 925 24% 6% 63 -0.8 222/272/341 119283 1129 24% 6% 69 -0.4 241/291/361120296113722%6%78+0.2
Matt Long
2015 · AAA
28 44→53 44→50 55 44 217/273/334 117286 1121 28% 7% 67 -0.5 200/252/305 105265 1014 27% 6% 51 -1.7 176/227/2699422881126%6%30-2.6
Matt Lipka
2021 · AAA
29 44→54 41→45 54→60 41 216/265/319 104290 822 28% 6% 59 -1.1 237/292/356 119338 1235 31% 6% 81 +0.4 239/297/356116343124632%6%78+0.1
Jason Pridie
2015 · AAA
31 46→54 45→50 55 41 229/272/352 122291 1319 26% 5% 71 -0.3 254/301/421 167307 2119 24% 6% 102 +1.8 275/323/469194323261923%6%122+2.9
Tim Torres
2013 · AAA
29 45→51 42→45 53→55 43 216/282/319 103315 917 32% 8% 67 -0.5 208/265/311 103316 916 34% 7% 58 -1.2 245/314/370125332122128%9%93+0.5
Jonathan Davis
2022 · MLB
30 40→50 44→45 52→55 48 198/302/313 116269 1119 29% 9% 77 +0.1 225/308/344 119307 1122 28% 9% 85 +0.7 224/306/341117313112229%9%81+0.2
Bradley Zimmer
2023 · MLB
30 45→51 45→50 51→60 41 210/305/330 120322 1320 36% 8% 82 +0.5 206/287/330 124332 1422 39% 8% 74 -0.1 174/262/275101304133243%8%46-1.0
Tyler Saladino
2019 · MLB
30 45→47 43→45 50→55 46 220/285/327 107284 1116 26% 8% 71 -0.3 219/288/382 163284 2014 29% 8% 87 +0.8 199/271/381183248241430%8%76+0.1
Kenny Wilson
2019 · AAA
29 46→51 40 54→60 42 215/282/308 93310 723 31% 7% 65 -0.7 210/270/328 118331 1116 37% 7% 65 -0.7 164/223/274110278101643%6%27-0.9
Freddie Bynum Jr.
2009 · MLB
29 46→52 41→40 56→55 41 222/272/329 107301 720 28% 6% 65 -0.7 218/259/310 92293 714 27% 5% 54 -1.4 212/246/2928028461227%4%40-1.0
Brian Bixler
2013 · MLB
30 49→56 39→45 53→55 42 231/287/321 90316 719 28% 6% 69 -0.4 205/258/281 76307 612 33% 6% 47 -1.9 188/241/2425429141035%5%26-1.9
Cole Sturgeon
2022 · AAA
30 49→47 46→45 49→50 40 240/290/370 130314 1311 27% 5% 84 +0.6 217/269/326 109262 1112 21% 6% 63 -0.8 207/261/30295247101120%6%50-1.4
Eric Patterson
2013 · MLB
30 41→51 42→50 57→60 47 203/271/310 107266 922 26% 8% 60 -1.0 209/274/302 93278 815 26% 8% 59 -1.1 167/228/191242260824%7%7-0.9
Trent Oeltjen
2013 · MLB
30 43→53 44→50 52→55 40 212/271/335 124303 1119 33% 6% 67 -0.5 200/264/336 136309 1420 38% 6% 65 -0.7 186/260/344158292162840%7%63-0.5
Jack Reinheimer
2023 · AAA
31 46→51 40 55 41 222/271/314 93299 820 28% 6% 61 -1.0 188/232/271 83274 716 32% 5% 33 -2.9 144/183/1945019831228%5%-9-1.3
Sherman Johnson
2019 · AAA
29 42→52 42→50 51→50 48 205/277/309 104273 812 27% 9% 63 -0.8 199/271/304 105280 99 30% 8% 59 -1.1 171/259/261902438731%9%41-1.0
Zach Remillard
2023 · AAA
29 44→49 40 51→55 43 212/281/302 90291 818 29% 7% 63 -0.9 206/266/294 88279 817 27% 6% 54 -1.4 192/252/2687625861927%6%38-1.4
Elliot Johnson
2013 · MLB
29 47→53 45 54→60 44 231/288/351 120297 1226 26% 7% 78 +0.2 208/265/313 105274 924 26% 7% 58 -1.2 192/248/2899625672426%7%42-1.1