Clay Dungan

2B El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 31 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202428AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs673.235/.351/.37392771—.206/.290/.334
202529AAASD625.273/.372/.448143082—.235/.305/.365
202630AAA/INTL2 orgs394.231/.331/.368101059—.191/.260/.285
2027PROJ10% MLB31MLBSD16.211/.282/.3250074-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB32MLBSD54.207/.278/.3161171-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Chase%65
BB%61
Speed60
Z-Con%48
Whiff%47
Max EV34
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJason Pridie (age 31) · Jack Reinheimer (age 31) · Kristopher Negrón (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .282 / .325
PA16
HR0
K%31
BB%6
BABIP284
ISO67
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202125 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 499444 1281749 40739 2811 288359405764 117326 158 341 82 — — — — — —
202226 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 515452 942249 4710010 172 208297334631 126245 199 285 40 — — — — — —
202327 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 329271 741413 50683 162 273392365757 92346 2115 345 84 — — — — — —
202428 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 388326 822487 50906 164 252361439800 187321 2313 352 79 — — — — — —
202428 AASan Antonio Missions — 152124 27502 24351 92 218349306655 89278 2316 304 51 — — — — — —
202428 INTLAguilas de Mexicali — 133111 23310 18281 22 207323252575 45271 2114 270 69 — — — — — —
202529 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 625527 14434814 7314210 307 273372448820 175344 2312 358 82 — — — — — —
202630 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 348294 671309 41903 91 228328364692 136290 2612 307 52 — — — — — —
202630 INTLAguilas de Mexicali — 4640 10111 6120 10 250348400748 150333 2613 337 114 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202125 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 499456 1171337 28869 2811 257312344657 88297 176 290 82 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 515466 791736 3312510 172 170240258497 88214 246 227 40 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 329287 701212 34823 162 244330314644 70318 2510 292 84 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 388343 742085 331136 164 216296364660 149289 299 285 79 — — — — — —
202428 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 152132 24402 16431 92 182275258533 76236 2811 243 51 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 625554 13028710 4617510 307 235305365670 130305 287 290 82 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 348309 591106 261083 91 191260285545 94254 317 245 52 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 499456 1171337 28869 2811 257312344657 88301 176 290 82 — — — — — —
202125 AA RAWNorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 499444 1281749 40739 2811 288359405764 117326 158 341 82 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 515466 791736 3312510 172 170240258497 88215 246 227 40 — — — — — —
202226 AAA RAWOmaha Storm Chasers — 515452 942249 4710010 172 208297334631 126245 199 285 40 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 329287 701212 34823 162 244330314644 70327 2510 292 84 — — — — — —
202327 AAA RAWOmaha Storm Chasers — 329271 741413 50683 162 273392365757 92346 2115 345 84 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLE3 teams — 673591 12130108 621948 278 205289330619 125283 299 273 71 — — — — — —
202428 AAA RAW3 teams — 673561 1323299 921538 278 235351373724 137301 2314 325 71 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 625554 13028710 4617510 307 235305365670 130319 287 290 82 — — — — — —
202529 AAA RAWEl Paso Chihuahuas — 625527 14434814 7314210 307 273372448820 175344 2312 358 82 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 394351 671207 301223 101 191260285545 94264 318 245 52 — — — — — —
202630 AAA RAW2 teams — 394334 7714110 471023 101 231331368699 138295 2612 311 52 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 499459 1171337 28869 2811 255312342654 87297 176 290 82 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 515467 791736 3312510 172 169240257497 88214 246 227 40 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 329289 701212 34823 162 242330311642 69318 2510 292 84 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLE3 teams — 673598 12130108 621948 278 202289326615 124274 299 273 71 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 625564 13028710 4617510 307 230305358663 128305 287 290 82 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 394358 671207 301223 101 187260279540 92254 318 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202428 AAA MLE3 teams — 673598 12130108 621948 278 202289326615 124274 299 273 71 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 625564 13028710 4617510 307 230305358663 128305 287 290 82 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 394358 671207 301223 101 187260279540 92254 318 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202731 MLB MLESD 10% 380343 731536 301084 122 214286330616 116290 288 278 74 -12 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202731 MLB CTXSD 10% 1615 3100 150 00 211282325607 114284 316 275 74 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202832 MLB MLESD 27% 198179 37813 15562 41 211281322603 111286 288 273 71 -7 +0 -4 +1 +4 -0.5
202832 MLB CTXSD 27% 5449 10201 4151 10 207278316594 109280 287 269 71 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5449 10201 4151 10 204278306584 102273 287 269 69 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12024012 4818112 120 203277305582 102272 287 269 69 -23 +2 -11 +2 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 33883024 6511262646 26088447 13733 215288320607 104284 268 271 69 -12 +1 -4 +1 +8 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 1252459 501709 266 216288321609 105284 268 271 69 -21 +2 -6 +2 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 348 PAwOBA .302 → .245 (−57)K% 25.9% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.86%÷1.000×1.200——31.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.21%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9727.52%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.940—×0.9720.79%
Singles /BIP22.06%÷1.000×0.930×1.007×0.97220.07%
Doubles /BIP6.37%÷1.000×0.830×1.007×0.9725.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.007×0.9720.00%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9723.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .302 → .245; ISO .136 → .102; BABIP .290 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 625 PAwOBA .352 → .290 (−62)K% 22.7% → 28.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.72%÷0.973×1.200——28.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.52%÷1.054×0.690—×0.9827.41%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.940—×0.9821.48%
Singles /BIP22.86%÷0.999×0.930×1.027×0.98221.44%
Doubles /BIP8.83%÷1.042×0.830×1.027×0.9827.09%
Triples /BIP2.08%÷1.150×0.970×1.027×0.9821.77%
Home runs /BIP3.64%÷0.981×0.700—×0.9822.55%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .352 → .290; ISO .175 → .137; BABIP .344 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 388 PAwOBA .348 → .285 (−62)K% 23.2% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.20%÷0.961×1.200——28.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.89%÷1.026×0.690—×0.9928.59%
HBP% /PA1.55%—×0.940—×0.9921.44%
Singles /BIP18.22%÷1.025×0.930×1.049×0.99217.20%
Doubles /BIP10.17%÷1.053×0.830×1.049×0.9928.34%
Triples /BIP3.39%÷0.996×0.970×1.049×0.9923.43%
Home runs /BIP2.97%÷1.078×0.700—×0.9921.91%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .348 → .285; ISO .187 → .152; BABIP .321 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASan Antonio Missions · 152 PAwOBA .303 → .243 (−60)K% 23.0% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.03%÷0.987×1.220——28.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷0.987×0.700—×0.96810.84%
HBP% /PA0.66%—×0.870—×0.9680.55%
Singles /BIP22.47%÷1.015×0.920×0.978×0.96819.28%
Doubles /BIP5.62%÷0.957×0.840×0.978×0.9684.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940×0.978×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP2.25%÷0.953×0.800—×0.9681.83%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .303 → .243; ISO .089 → .075; BABIP .278 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 329 PAwOBA .342 → .292 (−51)K% 20.7% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.67%÷0.995×1.200——24.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.20%÷1.030×0.690—×1.00310.21%
HBP% /PA0.91%—×0.940—×1.0030.86%
Singles /BIP27.59%÷0.978×0.930×0.993×1.00326.11%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.830×0.993×1.0035.70%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷1.150×0.970×0.993×1.0030.41%
Home runs /BIP1.48%÷0.942×0.700—×1.0031.10%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .342 → .292; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .346 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 515 PAwOBA .280 → .227 (−54)K% 19.4% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.42%÷0.957×1.200——24.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.13%÷1.001×0.690—×1.0186.40%
HBP% /PA1.94%—×0.940—×1.0181.86%
Singles /BIP16.76%÷1.016×0.930×0.979×1.01815.30%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.041×0.830×0.979×1.0184.97%
Triples /BIP1.14%÷1.150×0.970×0.979×1.0180.96%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷0.984×0.700—×1.0181.85%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .280 → .227; ISO .126 → .095; BABIP .245 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 499 PAwOBA .334 → .290 (−44)K% 14.6% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.63%÷1.035×1.220——17.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.02%÷0.988×0.690—×0.9985.59%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.850—×0.9981.53%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷0.980×0.940×0.987×0.99824.94%
Doubles /BIP4.58%÷1.117×0.870×0.987×0.9983.51%
Triples /BIP1.08%÷1.150×0.920×0.987×0.9980.85%
Home runs /BIP2.43%÷0.957×0.780—×0.9981.97%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 107, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .334 → .290; ISO .117 → .095; BABIP .326 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .