Jason Pridie
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAABAL | 531 | .269/.335/.434 | 15 | 8 | 70 | — | .225/.274/.357 |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 556 | .273/.346/.417 | 13 | 28 | 67 | — | .219/.264/.330 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAAMIL | 541 | .310/.382/.515 | 20 | 20 | 93 | — | .246/.295/.407 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 104 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 275 | 394 | 668 | 181 | 274 | 28 | 8 | 290 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 503 | 460 | 106 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 93 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 230 | 283 | 304 | 588 | 74 | 275 | 18 | 6 | 264 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 274 | 245 | 78 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 47 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 318 | 379 | 539 | 918 | 220 | 356 | 17 | 8 | 394 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 300 | 279 | 81 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 290 | 333 | 441 | 774 | 151 | 332 | 15 | 5 | 339 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 603 | 559 | 151 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 152 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 270 | 308 | 435 | 743 | 165 | 345 | 25 | 5 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 546 | 513 | 136 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 85 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 298 | 382 | 680 | 117 | 299 | 16 | 3 | 298 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 177 | 164 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 280 | 330 | 384 | 714 | 104 | 344 | 20 | 7 | 319 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 236 | 208 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 64 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 231 | 310 | 370 | 681 | 139 | 312 | 27 | 10 | 302 | 91 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 62 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 186 | 226 | 356 | 582 | 169 | 182 | 19 | 5 | 257 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 194 | 178 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 298 | 356 | 455 | 811 | 157 | 356 | 20 | 8 | 360 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 531 | 479 | 129 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 43 | 120 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 269 | 335 | 434 | 769 | 165 | 329 | 23 | 8 | 339 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 463 | 418 | 116 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 74 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 278 | 342 | 433 | 775 | 156 | 311 | 16 | 9 | 342 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 93 | 76 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 367 | 329 | 696 | 79 | 316 | 20 | 15 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 541 | 478 | 148 | 24 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 102 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 310 | 382 | 515 | 897 | 205 | 355 | 19 | 10 | 391 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 236 | 208 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 64 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 231 | 310 | 370 | 681 | 139 | 312 | 27 | 10 | 302 | 90 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 104 | 96 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 235 | 333 | 569 | 146 | 263 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 503 | 473 | 105 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 114 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 222 | 255 | 288 | 543 | 66 | 272 | 23 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 274 | 252 | 74 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 338 | 488 | 826 | 194 | 330 | 20 | 5 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 300 | 284 | 74 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 261 | 293 | 387 | 680 | 127 | 306 | 18 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 603 | 569 | 140 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 20 | 182 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 246 | 273 | 392 | 665 | 146 | 325 | 30 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 546 | 519 | 125 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 102 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 241 | 266 | 343 | 609 | 102 | 277 | 19 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 177 | 167 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 240 | 278 | 311 | 590 | 72 | 315 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 236 | 210 | 50 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 64 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 238 | 310 | 381 | 691 | 143 | 312 | 27 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 62 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 177 | 267 | 444 | 117 | 162 | 23 | 3 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 194 | 186 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 258 | 289 | 371 | 660 | 113 | 318 | 22 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 531 | 493 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 149 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 225 | 274 | 357 | 631 | 132 | 289 | 28 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 463 | 433 | 95 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 102 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 219 | 264 | 330 | 594 | 111 | 262 | 22 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 541 | 501 | 123 | 17 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 127 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 246 | 295 | 407 | 702 | 162 | 288 | 23 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 104 | 96 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 235 | 333 | 569 | 146 | 271 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 104 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 275 | 394 | 668 | 181 | 274 | 28 | 8 | 290 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 503 | 473 | 105 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 114 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 222 | 255 | 288 | 543 | 66 | 281 | 23 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 503 | 460 | 106 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 93 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 230 | 283 | 304 | 588 | 74 | 275 | 18 | 6 | 264 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 536 | 147 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 111 | 6 | 26 | 10 | 274 | 313 | 431 | 744 | 157 | 323 | 19 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 574 | 524 | 159 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 92 | 6 | 26 | 10 | 303 | 355 | 487 | 842 | 183 | 343 | 16 | 6 | 366 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 603 | 569 | 140 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 20 | 182 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 246 | 273 | 392 | 665 | 146 | 338 | 30 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 603 | 559 | 151 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 152 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 270 | 308 | 435 | 743 | 165 | 345 | 25 | 5 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 546 | 519 | 125 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 102 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 241 | 266 | 343 | 609 | 102 | 282 | 19 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 546 | 513 | 136 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 85 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 298 | 382 | 680 | 117 | 299 | 16 | 3 | 298 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 177 | 167 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 240 | 278 | 311 | 590 | 72 | 314 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 177 | 164 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 280 | 330 | 384 | 714 | 104 | 344 | 20 | 7 | 319 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 270 | 59 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 78 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 219 | 282 | 356 | 638 | 137 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 298 | 267 | 59 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 76 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 221 | 293 | 367 | 660 | 146 | 281 | 26 | 9 | 292 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 194 | 186 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 258 | 289 | 371 | 660 | 113 | 321 | 22 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 194 | 178 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 298 | 356 | 455 | 811 | 157 | 356 | 20 | 8 | 360 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 531 | 493 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 149 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 225 | 274 | 357 | 631 | 132 | 296 | 28 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 531 | 479 | 129 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 43 | 120 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 269 | 335 | 434 | 769 | 165 | 329 | 23 | 8 | 339 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 519 | 114 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 123 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 220 | 262 | 331 | 594 | 112 | 265 | 22 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 556 | 494 | 135 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 54 | 93 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 273 | 346 | 417 | 763 | 144 | 312 | 17 | 10 | 338 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 541 | 501 | 123 | 17 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 127 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 246 | 295 | 407 | 702 | 162 | 291 | 23 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 541 | 478 | 148 | 24 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 102 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 310 | 382 | 515 | 897 | 205 | 355 | 19 | 10 | 391 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 104 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 186 | 235 | 330 | 565 | 144 | 263 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 503 | 477 | 105 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 114 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 220 | 255 | 285 | 540 | 65 | 272 | 23 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 539 | 147 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 111 | 6 | 26 | 10 | 273 | 313 | 429 | 741 | 156 | 317 | 19 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 603 | 577 | 140 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 20 | 182 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 243 | 273 | 386 | 659 | 144 | 325 | 30 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 546 | 523 | 125 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 102 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 239 | 266 | 340 | 607 | 101 | 277 | 19 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 177 | 166 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 241 | 278 | 313 | 592 | 72 | 315 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 272 | 59 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 78 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 217 | 282 | 353 | 635 | 136 | 281 | 26 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 194 | 184 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 261 | 289 | 375 | 664 | 114 | 318 | 22 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 531 | 493 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 149 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 225 | 274 | 357 | 631 | 132 | 289 | 28 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 521 | 114 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 123 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 219 | 262 | 330 | 592 | 111 | 262 | 22 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 541 | 501 | 123 | 17 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 127 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 246 | 295 | 407 | 702 | 162 | 288 | 23 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 236 | 208 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 64 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 231 | 310 | 370 | 681 | 139 | 312 | 27 | 10 | 302 | 74 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 132 | 30 | 8 | 11 | 66 | 176 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 230 | 310 | 368 | 678 | 138 | 311 | 27 | 10 | 302 | 74 | -8 | +3 | -2 | +3 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4627 | 4329 | 1030 | 154 | 59 | 89 | 213 | 1108 | 22 | 174 | 47 | 238 | 277 | 362 | 640 | 125 | 297 | 24 | 5 | 277 | 74 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 145 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 156 | 3 | 24 | 7 | 238 | 278 | 365 | 643 | 127 | 297 | 24 | 5 | 277 | 74 | -8 | +3 | -2 | +3 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAANashville Sounds · 541 PAwOBA .381 → .306 (−75)K% 18.9% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.80% | ÷0.953 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.32% | ÷0.843 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 91, 2B 113, 3B 90, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .381 → .306; ISO .205 → .169; BABIP .355 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 463 PAwOBA .333 → .259 (−74)K% 16.0% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.98% | ÷0.934 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.21% | ÷1.055 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.55% | ÷1.005 | ×0.900 | ×1.018 | ×0.962 | 20.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×0.962 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×0.962 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.964 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 87, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .333 → .259; ISO .156 → .115; BABIP .311 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAANorfolk Tides · 531 PAwOBA .332 → .271 (−60)K% 22.6% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.60% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.10% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×0.972 | 21.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.972 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×0.972 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .332 → .271; ISO .165 → .135; BABIP .329 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 194 PAwOBA .347 → .288 (−59)K% 19.6% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.59% | ÷1.057 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷1.157 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×0.982 | 25.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.982 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×0.982 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.249 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 2.36% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 111, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .347 → .288; ISO .157 → .118; BABIP .356 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAABuffalo Bisons · 62 PAwOBA .250 → .196 (−54)K% 19.4% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.026 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.84% | ÷1.088 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.89% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 13.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 1.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.139 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 4.67% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 96, K 105, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .250 → .196; ISO .169 → .123; BABIP .182 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAABuffalo Bisons · 177 PAwOBA .311 → .264 (−47)K% 20.3% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.34% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷0.958 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.003 | 26.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.133 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.003 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.003 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 97, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .311 → .264; ISO .104 → .080; BABIP .344 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAARochester Red Wings · 546 PAwOBA .293 → .263 (−31)K% 15.6% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×1.018 | 21.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.018 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.000 | ×1.018 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .293 → .263; ISO .117 → .102; BABIP .299 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAARochester Red Wings · 603 PAwOBA .313 → .280 (−33)K% 25.2% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.17% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 23.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 3.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .313 → .280; ISO .165 → .147; BABIP .345 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .