Adron Chambers

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1986-10-08

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	27	AAATOR	206	.283/.355/.411	5	1	88	—	.267/.315/.369
2015	28	AAA/INTL2 orgs	393	.294/.383/.391	1	13	93	—	.240/.299/.321
2018	31	AAAPHI	138	.278/.331/.437	1	3	69	—	.225/.265/.357

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	20	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	129	111	31	7	1	0	10	21	5	6	5	279	365	360	725	81	341	16	8	326	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	384	336	80	13	7	3	33	66	10	13	8	238	325	345	670	107	285	17	9	303	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	517	448	127	17	16	1	47	96	16	21	12	283	372	400	771	116	357	19	9	345	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	83	69	20	0	1	1	9	18	3	6	1	290	395	362	757	72	373	22	11	343	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	292	252	71	9	5	5	31	50	7	8	4	282	376	417	793	135	335	17	11	356	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	INTL	Surprise Rafters	—	78	66	22	5	0	1	5	14	2	10	0	333	397	455	852	121	382	18	6	358	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	501	426	118	19	5	10	53	90	10	22	13	277	370	415	786	138	328	18	11	347	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	53	47	13	3	3	1	4	8	2	2	1	277	358	532	890	255	316	15	8	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	62	54	12	0	2	0	5	18	1	2	1	222	300	296	596	74	333	29	8	266	52	-4	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.0
2012	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	419	357	114	17	2	3	51	80	4	13	4	319	410	403	814	84	398	19	12	365	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	29	26	4	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	1	154	241	192	434	38	267	38	10	210	-5	-4	-0	-1	-5	+1	-1.0
2013	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	393	333	84	13	4	8	39	75	7	16	2	252	343	387	730	135	297	19	10	319	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	49	41	13	2	1	0	7	10	0	2	0	317	417	415	831	98	419	20	14	370	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	206	180	51	8	0	5	19	32	1	1	6	283	355	411	766	128	317	16	9	335	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	298	261	73	18	2	1	30	53	3	9	5	280	361	375	736	96	344	18	10	331	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	95	79	27	6	1	0	16	16	0	4	0	342	453	443	896	101	429	17	17	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	138	126	35	13	2	1	10	35	0	3	1	278	331	437	767	159	374	25	7	335	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	91	80	16	1	2	0	8	29	1	2	2	200	281	263	543	62	314	32	9	248	54	-5	-0	-0	-3	+2	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	20	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	129	115	26	5	1	0	6	30	5	6	5	226	294	287	581	61	287	23	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	384	346	72	11	6	2	23	90	10	13	8	208	277	292	569	84	265	23	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	517	460	113	16	13	1	35	136	16	21	12	246	321	343	664	98	337	26	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	83	71	19	0	1	1	7	23	3	6	1	268	358	338	696	70	350	28	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	292	262	67	8	6	4	21	60	7	8	4	256	328	378	705	122	311	21	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	501	440	114	18	4	9	39	119	10	22	13	259	333	380	713	120	321	24	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	62	56	12	0	2	0	3	18	1	2	1	214	267	286	552	71	333	29	5	245	52	-4	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.0
2012	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	419	374	108	16	1	2	34	100	4	13	4	289	354	353	707	64	375	24	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	29	28	4	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	1	143	172	179	351	36	267	38	3	161	-5	-4	-0	-1	-5	+1	-1.0
2013	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	393	345	80	11	4	6	27	96	7	16	2	232	301	339	640	107	280	24	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	206	187	50	7	0	4	12	41	1	1	6	267	315	369	684	102	307	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	298	271	65	15	2	1	20	65	3	9	5	240	299	321	620	81	302	22	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	138	129	29	10	2	1	7	44	0	3	1	225	265	357	621	132	330	32	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	129	115	26	5	1	0	6	30	5	6	5	226	294	287	581	61	302	23	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	—	129	111	31	7	1	0	10	21	5	6	5	279	365	360	725	81	341	16	8	326	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	384	346	72	11	6	2	23	90	10	13	8	208	277	292	569	84	272	23	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	384	336	80	13	7	3	33	66	10	13	8	238	325	345	670	107	285	17	9	303	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	517	460	113	16	13	1	35	136	16	21	12	246	321	343	664	98	345	26	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	517	448	127	17	16	1	47	96	16	21	12	283	372	400	771	116	357	19	9	345	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	453	398	102	9	8	5	34	101	12	24	5	256	333	357	690	101	327	22	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	453	387	113	14	6	7	45	82	12	24	5	292	383	413	796	121	350	18	10	354	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	554	487	127	20	5	10	43	131	12	24	14	261	336	384	720	123	335	24	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	554	473	131	22	8	11	57	98	12	24	14	277	369	427	796	150	327	18	10	350	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	430	121	16	4	2	37	118	5	15	5	281	345	351	697	70	378	25	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	481	411	126	17	4	3	56	98	5	15	5	307	396	389	785	83	390	20	12	353	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	471	418	94	14	4	7	31	120	7	18	3	225	289	328	617	103	293	25	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	471	400	101	16	5	8	49	96	7	18	3	253	344	378	722	125	308	20	10	318	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	206	187	50	7	0	4	12	41	1	1	6	267	315	369	684	102	319	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	206	180	51	8	0	5	19	32	1	1	6	283	355	411	766	128	317	16	9	335	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	393	359	85	20	2	1	27	86	3	13	5	237	296	312	608	75	307	22	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	393	340	100	24	3	1	46	69	3	13	5	294	383	391	774	97	364	18	12	349	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	138	129	29	10	2	1	7	44	0	3	1	225	265	357	621	132	329	32	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	138	126	35	13	2	1	10	35	0	3	1	278	331	437	767	159	374	25	7	335	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	129	117	26	5	1	0	6	30	5	6	5	222	294	282	576	60	287	23	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	384	348	72	11	6	2	23	90	10	13	8	207	277	290	567	83	265	23	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	517	461	113	16	13	1	35	136	16	21	12	245	321	343	664	98	337	26	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	453	404	102	9	8	5	34	101	12	24	5	252	333	351	685	99	320	22	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	554	494	127	20	5	10	43	131	12	24	14	257	336	379	714	121	321	24	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	436	121	16	4	2	37	118	5	15	5	278	345	346	692	69	370	25	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	471	430	94	14	4	7	31	120	7	18	3	219	289	319	608	100	279	25	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	206	191	50	7	0	4	12	41	1	1	6	262	315	361	676	99	307	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	393	360	85	20	2	1	27	86	3	13	5	236	296	311	607	75	302	22	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	138	130	29	10	2	1	7	44	0	3	1	223	265	354	619	131	330	32	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	91	80	16	1	2	0	8	29	1	2	2	200	281	263	543	62	314	32	9	248	81	-5	-0	-0	-3	+2	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	114	7	14	0	57	207	7	14	14	200	280	261	541	61	313	32	9	248	81	-35	-3	-2	-24	+14	-5.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3726	3329	819	128	45	33	255	897	71	138	64	246	313	341	655	95	324	24	7	287	81	-5	-0	-0	-3	+2	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	143	22	8	6	44	156	12	24	11	246	312	343	654	96	323	24	7	287	81	-35	-3	-2	-24	+14	-5.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 138 PAwOBA .328 → .270 (−58)K% 25.4% → 31.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.36%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	31.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.25%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.11%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.88%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.022	×0.952	18.89%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.022	×0.952	11.88%
Triples /BIP	2.20%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.022	×0.952	2.30%
Home runs /BIP	1.10%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×0.952	0.92%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .328 → .270; ISO .159 → .133; BABIP .374 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIowa Cubs · 298 PAwOBA .324 → .273 (−51)K% 17.8% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.79%	÷1.051	×1.290	—	—	21.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.73%	÷0.996	×0.710	—	×0.982	6.81%
HBP% /PA	1.01%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.97%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.008	×0.900	×1.023	×0.982	22.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.65%	÷0.984	×0.810	×1.023	×0.982	7.16%
Triples /BIP	0.96%	÷0.948	×0.810	×1.023	×0.982	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	0.48%	÷0.916	×0.780	—	×0.982	0.40%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 110, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .324 → .273; ISO .096 → .080; BABIP .344 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 206 PAwOBA .328 → .299 (−29)K% 15.5% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.53%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	19.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.74%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.75%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.45%
Singles /BIP	25.68%	÷0.968	×0.930	×1.044	×0.992	25.55%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷0.985	×0.830	×1.044	×0.992	4.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.044	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.38%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×0.992	2.80%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .328 → .299; ISO .128 → .111; BABIP .317 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 393 PAwOBA .316 → .279 (−37)K% 19.1% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.08%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	24.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.92%	÷1.020	×0.710	—	×1.003	6.93%
HBP% /PA	1.78%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.75%
Singles /BIP	22.87%	÷0.970	×0.900	×1.050	×1.003	22.36%
Doubles /BIP	5.04%	÷1.002	×0.810	×1.050	×1.003	4.29%
Triples /BIP	1.55%	÷0.984	×0.810	×1.050	×1.003	1.34%
Home runs /BIP	3.10%	÷0.988	×0.780	—	×1.003	2.46%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .316 → .279; ISO .135 → .113; BABIP .297 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 419 PAwOBA .358 → .321 (−37)K% 19.1% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.09%	÷1.033	×1.290	—	—	23.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.22%	÷1.014	×0.710	—	×1.018	8.00%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.95%
Singles /BIP	33.21%	÷0.985	×0.900	×1.025	×1.018	31.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.14%	÷0.916	×0.810	×1.025	×1.018	5.67%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.025	×1.018	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	1.08%	÷0.993	×0.780	—	×1.018	0.87%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 107, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .358 → .321; ISO .084 → .074; BABIP .398 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 501 PAwOBA .340 → .309 (−31)K% 18.0% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.96%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	23.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.58%	÷1.008	×0.710	—	×1.033	7.70%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	2.02%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.982	×0.900	×1.049	×1.033	24.83%
Doubles /BIP	5.65%	÷0.923	×0.810	×1.049	×1.033	5.38%
Triples /BIP	1.49%	÷0.999	×0.810	×1.049	×1.033	1.31%
Home runs /BIP	2.98%	÷0.893	×0.780	—	×1.033	2.69%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 100, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .340 → .309; ISO .138 → .126; BABIP .328 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AASpringfield Cardinals · 292 PAwOBA .347 → .302 (−45)K% 17.1% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.12%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	20.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.62%	÷1.024	×0.700	—	×1.012	7.34%
HBP% /PA	2.40%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	2.11%
Singles /BIP	25.74%	÷1.026	×0.920	×1.033	×1.012	24.14%
Doubles /BIP	4.46%	÷1.051	×0.840	×1.033	×1.012	3.72%
Triples /BIP	2.48%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.033	×1.012	2.70%
Home runs /BIP	2.48%	÷1.101	×0.800	—	×1.012	1.82%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 102, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .347 → .302; ISO .135 → .118; BABIP .335 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 83 PAwOBA .339 → .298 (−41)K% 21.7% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.69%	÷0.995	×1.290	—	—	28.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.84%	÷0.958	×0.710	—	×1.048	8.42%
HBP% /PA	3.61%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	3.71%
Singles /BIP	35.29%	÷0.988	×0.900	×0.992	×1.048	33.44%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.928	×0.810	×0.992	×1.048	0.00%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.992	×1.048	1.84%
Home runs /BIP	1.96%	÷1.163	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.38%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .339 → .298; ISO .072 → .056; BABIP .373 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .