Elliot Johnson

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1984-03-09

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	29	MLBATL	275	.209/.256/.283	2	22	47	-0.2
2014	30	AAACLE	365	.236/.330/.366	5	10	52	—	.195/.260/.301
2014	30	MLBCleveland Ind…	20	.105/.105/.211	0	0	-28	-0.8
2015	31	AAAOklahoma City…	178	.244/.337/.385	3	3	49	—	.188/.247/.303
2016	32	No MLB games played
2017	33	No MLB games played
2018	34	No MLB games played
2019	35	No MLB games played
2020	36	No MLB games played
2021	37	No MLB games played
2022	38	No MLB games played
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	283	264	69	9	6	3	13	68	4	15	5	261	306	375	681	114	340	24	5	303	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+	Visalia Oaks	—	257	227	62	10	3	8	24	49	3	28	5	273	349	449	798	176	318	19	9	352	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	542	494	139	21	10	15	39	122	2	20	18	281	336	455	792	174	344	23	7	345	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	524	463	96	17	6	11	43	139	8	16	6	207	286	341	627	134	271	27	8	279	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	19	19	3	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	158	158	158	316		250	37	0	143	-17	-3	-0	+0	+5	+0	0.2
2008	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	427	387	101	26	5	9	33	104	2	15	3	261	322	424	746	163	336	24	8	328	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	260	233	61	9	1	11	17	56	3	7	2	262	320	451	771	189	299	22	7	332	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	ROK	GCL Rays	—	18	16	5	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	312	389	438	826	125	333	6	11	371	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	481	427	136	24	5	11	37	92	3	30	6	319	377	475	852	157	383	19	8	367	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	146	129	30	6	3	2	10	34	2	6	1	233	298	372	670	140	301	23	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	181	160	31	7	2	4	14	53	0	6	7	194	259	338	596	144	260	29	8	257	60	-9	-2	+6	+3	+4	0.3
2011	27	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	98	84	20	3	1	2	10	17	2	6	0	238	333	369	702	131	277	17	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	331	297	72	10	2	6	24	84	3	18	6	242	306	350	656	108	316	25	7	291	82	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2013	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	275	254	53	7	3	2	16	67	0	22	2	209	256	283	539	75	274	24	6	241	47	-17	+4	+5	+1	+6	-0.2
2014	30	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	20	19	2	2	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	105	105	211	316	105	167	35	0	128	-28	-3	+0	-1	-4	+0	-0.8
2014	30	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	365	314	74	14	6	5	43	82	1	10	1	236	330	366	696	131	299	22	12	310	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	178	156	38	13	0	3	20	38	2	3	2	244	337	385	722	141	304	21	11	327	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	826	749	161	26	7	12	54	218	3	46	16	215	270	316	587	101	285	26	7	260	62	-37	+3	+9	+8	+18	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	283	268	63	8	5	2	9	83	4	15	5	235	270	325	595	90	329	29	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ MLE	Visalia Oaks	—	257	235	55	8	2	7	17	66	3	28	5	234	294	374	669	140	292	26	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	542	506	129	20	9	12	27	149	2	20	18	255	295	401	697	146	328	27	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	524	476	92	15	6	10	30	167	8	16	6	193	253	313	566	120	264	32	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	19	19	3	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	158	158	158	316		250	37	0	143	-17	-3	-0	+0	+5	+0	0.2
2008	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	427	397	94	22	5	8	23	125	2	15	3	237	282	378	660	141	321	29	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	260	238	58	8	1	10	12	67	3	7	2	244	289	412	700	168	284	26	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	246	6	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	481	439	123	20	4	8	25	114	3	30	6	280	323	399	722	118	347	24	5	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	181	160	31	7	2	4	14	53	0	6	7	194	259	338	596	144	260	29	8	257	60	-9	-2	+6	+3	+4	0.3
2012	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	331	297	71	10	2	6	24	84	3	18	6	239	302	347	649	108	316	25	7	290	82	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2013	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	275	255	53	7	3	2	15	67	0	22	2	208	252	282	534	75	274	24	5	238	47	-17	+4	+5	+1	+6	-0.2
2014	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	20	19	2	2	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	105	105	211	316	105	167	35	0	126	-28	-3	+0	-1	-4	+0	-0.8
2014	30	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	365	329	64	11	6	4	28	97	1	10	1	195	260	301	561	106	249	27	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	178	165	31	10	0	3	11	50	2	3	2	188	247	303	550	115	246	28	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	540	503	120	17	8	10	26	148	7	43	10	239	285	364	649	125	318	27	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	540	491	131	19	9	11	37	117	7	43	10	267	326	409	736	143	330	22	7	326	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	542	506	129	20	9	12	27	149	2	20	18	255	295	401	697	146	336	27	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	542	494	139	21	10	15	39	122	2	20	18	281	336	455	792	174	344	23	7	345	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	524	476	92	15	6	10	30	167	8	16	6	193	253	313	566	120	273	32	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	524	463	96	17	6	11	43	139	8	16	6	207	286	341	627	134	271	27	8	279	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	416	97	22	5	8	23	132	2	15	4	233	277	368	644	135	322	30	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	446	406	104	26	5	9	33	111	2	15	4	256	315	411	727	155	332	25	7	320	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	278	255	62	9	1	10	13	69	3	7	2	243	288	404	692	161	294	25	5	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	278	249	66	11	1	11	19	57	3	7	2	265	325	450	775	185	302	21	7	335	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	627	571	162	27	6	11	32	148	5	36	7	284	327	410	737	126	365	24	5	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	627	556	166	30	8	13	47	126	5	36	7	299	359	451	810	153	365	20	7	349	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	279	246	47	11	3	6	22	82	2	12	7	191	263	333	596	142	258	29	8	257	60	-13	-0	+6	+3	+6	0.1
2011	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	279	244	51	10	3	6	24	70	2	12	7	209	285	348	634	139	266	25	9	277	60	-13	-0	+6	+3	+6	0.1
2012	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	331	297	71	10	2	6	24	84	3	18	6	239	302	347	649	108	311	25	7	290	82	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2012	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	331	297	72	10	2	6	24	84	3	18	6	242	306	350	656	108	316	25	7	291	82	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2013	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	275	255	53	7	3	2	15	67	0	22	2	208	252	282	534	75	273	24	5	238	47	-17	+4	+5	+1	+6	-0.2
2013	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	275	254	53	7	3	2	16	67	0	22	2	209	256	283	539	75	274	24	6	241	47	-17	+4	+5	+1	+6	-0.2
2014	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	348	66	13	6	4	28	104	1	10	1	190	252	296	548	106	254	27	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	385	333	76	16	6	5	43	89	1	10	1	228	318	357	676	129	292	23	11	301	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	178	165	31	10	0	3	11	50	2	3	2	188	247	303	550	115	250	28	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	178	156	38	13	0	3	20	38	2	3	2	244	337	385	722	141	304	21	11	327	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	540	502	120	17	8	10	26	148	7	43	10	239	285	365	650	125	311	27	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	542	508	129	20	9	12	27	149	2	20	18	254	295	400	695	146	328	27	5	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	524	481	92	15	6	10	30	167	8	16	6	191	253	310	563	119	264	32	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	446	418	97	22	5	8	23	132	2	15	4	232	277	366	643	134	318	30	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	278	260	62	9	1	10	13	69	3	7	2	238	288	396	684	158	282	25	5	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	627	585	162	27	6	11	32	148	5	36	7	277	327	400	727	123	347	24	5	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	279	253	47	11	3	6	22	82	2	12	7	186	263	324	587	138	260	29	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	331	301	71	10	2	6	24	84	3	18	6	236	302	342	645	106	316	25	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	275	258	53	7	3	2	15	67	0	22	2	205	252	279	531	74	274	24	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	353	66	13	6	4	28	104	1	10	1	187	252	292	544	105	245	27	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	178	163	31	10	0	3	11	50	2	3	2	190	247	307	554	117	246	28	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	826	749	161	26	7	12	54	218	3	46	16	215	270	316	587	101	285	26	7	260	71	-37	+3	+9	+8	+18	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	126	20	6	9	42	172	2	36	13	214	268	314	582	100	285	26	6	260	71	-29	+2	+7	+6	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4405	4038	930	161	49	82	251	1200	35	202	65	230	281	355	637	125	306	27	6	274	71	-37	+3	+9	+8	+18	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	137	24	7	12	37	177	5	30	10	230	281	354	635	124	306	27	6	274	71	-29	+2	+7	+6	+14	0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 178 PAwOBA .313 → .240 (−73)K% 21.3% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.35%	÷0.984	×1.290	—	—	27.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.55%	÷1.095	×0.710	—	×0.962	5.96%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	1.06%
Singles /BIP	18.64%	÷1.028	×0.900	×0.977	×0.962	15.35%
Doubles /BIP	11.02%	÷0.965	×0.810	×0.977	×0.962	8.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.941	×0.810	×0.977	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.54%	÷0.866	×0.780	—	×0.962	2.20%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .313 → .240; ISO .141 → .114; BABIP .304 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 365 PAwOBA .306 → .245 (−60)K% 22.5% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.47%	÷1.016	×1.200	—	—	26.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.78%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.78%
HBP% /PA	0.27%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.25%
Singles /BIP	21.12%	÷1.034	×0.930	×0.974	×0.972	17.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.03%	÷1.047	×0.830	×0.974	×0.972	4.53%
Triples /BIP	2.59%	÷1.007	×0.970	×0.974	×0.972	2.36%
Home runs /BIP	2.16%	÷1.028	×0.840	—	×0.972	1.71%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .306 → .245; ISO .131 → .109; BABIP .299 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAADurham Bulls · 481 PAwOBA .358 → .310 (−47)K% 19.1% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.13%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	23.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.28%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.12%
HBP% /PA	0.62%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.60%
Singles /BIP	28.66%	÷1.037	×0.930	×1.021	×1.018	26.72%
Doubles /BIP	7.16%	÷1.026	×0.830	×1.021	×1.018	6.02%
Triples /BIP	1.49%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.021	×1.018	1.31%
Home runs /BIP	3.28%	÷1.151	×0.840	—	×1.018	2.44%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .358 → .310; ISO .157 → .127; BABIP .383 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAADurham Bulls · 260 PAwOBA .324 → .292 (−32)K% 21.5% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.54%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	25.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.54%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.66%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.12%
Singles /BIP	22.60%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.015	×1.033	22.04%
Doubles /BIP	5.08%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.015	×1.033	4.43%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.015	×1.033	0.57%
Home runs /BIP	6.21%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.033	5.39%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .324 → .292; ISO .189 → .166; BABIP .299 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ROKGCL Rays · 18 PAwOBA .362 → .258 (−104)K% 5.6% → 8.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.56%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	8.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.945	6.51%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.945	15.50%
Doubles /BIP	13.33%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	9.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.945	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .362 → .258; ISO .125 → .087; BABIP .333 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAADurham Bulls · 427 PAwOBA .318 → .283 (−35)K% 24.4% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.36%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	29.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.49%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.42%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.46%
Singles /BIP	21.55%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.012	×1.048	21.26%
Doubles /BIP	9.19%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.012	×1.048	8.09%
Triples /BIP	1.77%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.012	×1.048	1.82%
Home runs /BIP	3.18%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.80%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .318 → .283; ISO .163 → .144; BABIP .336 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAADurham Bulls · 524 PAwOBA .271 → .245 (−27)K% 26.5% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.53%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	31.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.82%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.67%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.51%
Singles /BIP	19.14%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.023	×1.050	19.12%
Doubles /BIP	5.25%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.023	×1.050	4.68%
Triples /BIP	1.85%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.023	×1.050	1.93%
Home runs /BIP	3.40%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .271 → .245; ISO .134 → .121; BABIP .271 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 542 PAwOBA .337 → .298 (−39)K% 22.5% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.51%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	27.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.01%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.042	4.97%
HBP% /PA	0.37%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	0.32%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.007	×1.042	24.14%
Doubles /BIP	5.65%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.007	×1.042	5.39%
Triples /BIP	2.69%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.007	×1.042	2.48%
Home runs /BIP	4.03%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.042	3.36%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .337 → .298; ISO .174 → .151; BABIP .344 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .