Jake HagerSS Iowa Cubs
Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 236 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .260 / .317
PA236
HR5
K%28
BB%6
ISO116
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +6.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.32627
Tools · Contract
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022
CONTACT
Whiff%
2414.0%
xwOBA
100.246
POWER
Barrel%
173.9
Avg EV
1082.6
EYE
Chase%
4832.0%
SPEED
Sprint
4227.1
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-3$0.2M
Totals $0.0M $-0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201118 ROKPrinceton Rays 204196 42813 6371 57 214241311553 97250 183 236 39
201118 ROKPrinceton Rays 204193 521114 9261 57 269305399704 130294 134 312 97
201219 ABowling Green Hot Rods 501452 1141736 30867 1711 252309343652 91295 176 284 76
201219 ABowling Green Hot Rods 501442 12422310 40607 1711 281350412761 131302 128 334 114
201320 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 498459 1011430 281283 128 220269264533 44301 266 237 40
201320 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 498449 1161530 38813 128 258320305626 47312 168 284 76
201421 AAMontgomery Biscuits 490454 1152133 231102 44 253292333625 79324 225 271 66
201421 AAMontgomery Biscuits 490447 1212644 30912 44 271319374693 103328 196 305 91
201623 AAA2 teams 483461 902023 131201 73 195219267486 72256 253 210 19
201623 AAA2 teams 483451 1052824 23951 73 233272330602 98285 205 266 62
201724 AAADurham Bulls 291275 52733 9495 34 189228269497 80218 173 220 27
201724 AAADurham Bulls 291271 62934 13435 34 229277328605 100257 154 272 66
201825 AA2 teams 380344 832328 24914 83 241298390688 148298 246 299 87
201825 AA2 teams 380335 9526211 33614 83 284355472826 188311 169 358 132
201926 AAASan Antonio Missions 366338 601029 191441 51 178223299522 121270 395 226 31
201926 AAASan Antonio Missions 366327 7916212 301071 51 242307413720 171316 298 314 98
202128 AAA2 teams 374342 6216013 281111 70 181245342587 161222 307 257 55
202128 AAA2 teams 374334 7723015 36931 70 231307434741 204271 2510 326 108
202229 AAA2 teams 362321 671704 30943 82 209282299582 90276 268 262 58
202229 AAA2 teams 362311 802105 40773 82 257347373720 116321 2111 321 104
202330 AAAReno Aces 209194 34932 8672 13 175216284499 108252 324 219 26
202330 AAAReno Aces 209188 461353 14472 13 245304415719 170307 227 310 96
202431 AAAIowa Cubs 131124 22601 5521 00 177215250465 73296 404 207 17
202431 AAAIowa Cubs 131122 27702 7431 00 221269328597 107325 335 268 63
▸ 2026 Season
202633 MLBCHC 236217 45915 15672 41 207265327592 120270 286 262 58 -11 +0 -0 +1 +7 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBCHC 6% 194178 36714 12552 21 202260320581 118266 286 259 57 -10 +0 -5 +1 +5 -0.9
202734 MLBCHC 6% 1110 1000 130 00 100182100282 267 279 254 52 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 10086 16200 13340 00 186293209502 23308 3413 255 53 -5 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.1
/ 162G 650559 1041300 842210 00 186292209501 23308 3413 255 53 -34 +0 -9 +17 +18 -0.7
Career 47194355 9231842464 250121135 8348 212260309570 97275 265 250 49 -270 -3 -6 +17 +134 -13.1
/ 162G 650600 1272539 341675 117 212260308568 97274 265 250 49 -37 -1 -1 +2 +18 -1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201118 ROKPrinceton Rays 204193 521114 9261 57 269305399704 130294 134 312 97 -1 -2 +6 0.3
201219 ABowling Green Hot Rods 501442 12422310 40607 1711 281350412761 131302 128 334 114 +8 -1 +14 2.2
201320 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 498449 1161530 38813 128 258320305626 47312 168 284 76 -14 -1 +14 -0.0
201421 AAMontgomery Biscuits 490447 1212644 30912 44 271319374693 103328 196 305 91 -5 -1 +14 0.8
201623 AAADurham Bulls 293272 621812 16600 32 228271324594 96283 205 263 60 -13 -0 +8 -0.5
201623 AAMontgomery Biscuits 190179 431012 7351 41 240273341614 101289 184 270 65 -7 +0 +5 -0.2
201724 AAADurham Bulls 291271 62934 13435 34 229277328605 100257 154 272 66 -11 -1 +8 -0.4
201825 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox 123116 31811 5171 23 267303379683 112303 144 302 90 -1 -1 +3 0.1
201825 AABiloxi Shuckers 257219 6418110 28443 60 292380521901 228316 1711 385 153 +15 +1 +7 2.4
201926 AAASan Antonio Missions 366327 7916212 301071 51 242307413720 171316 298 314 98 -1 +1 +10 1.0
202128 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 3026 3000 4140 00 115233115349 250 4713 184 -1 -3 +0 -1 +1 +1 -0.2
202128 AAAReno Aces 344308 7423015 32791 70 240314461775 221272 239 338 117 +7 +1 +10 1.8
202229 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 5950 12200 8170 00 240345280625 40364 2914 292 81 -1 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.1
202229 AAAReno Aces 303261 681905 32603 82 261348391739 130313 2011 327 109 +3 +1 +9 1.3
202330 AAAReno Aces 209188 461353 14472 13 245304415719 170307 227 310 96 -1 -1 +6 0.4
202431 AAAIowa Cubs 131122 27702 7431 00 221269328597 107325 335 268 63 -5 +0 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 8976 15200 12310 00 197307224531 26333 3513 255 53 -5 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jake Hager (OGILVIE) 33 203/260/317 115270 54 28% 6% 58 -0.5
Jed Hansen
2006 · AAA
33 41→40 45 51→50 39 203/265/328 124281 1214 31% 6% 63 -0.8 211/268/328 117268 1213 25% 6% 64 -0.8 199/258/303104244111223%6%50-1.2
J.C. Boscan
2013 · AAA
33 37 40 43→30 39 186/235/273 87249 84 28% 5% 35 -2.8 189/236/254 65251 55 25% 5% 30 -3.1 174/220/209352292224%5%8-1.4
Eli Whiteside
2014 · MLB
34 34 41→50 44→40 39 176/227/267 91238 94 30% 5% 30 -3.1 186/233/298 112246 137 29% 5% 41 -2.3 149/192/25210318812229%3%10-1.9
Matt Pagnozzi
2015 · MLB
32 36 46→45 47→40 39 193/249/313 121249 164 30% 5% 53 -1.5 214/268/326 112275 136 26% 6% 63 -0.8 207/263/279722628023%7%48-0.7
David Matranga
2009 · AAA
32 42 46→45 49→50 42 213/278/339 126281 1410 29% 6% 72 -0.2 223/303/350 127303 139 28% 9% 85 +0.7 209/311/32411528711528%10%82+0.2
Tyler Ladendorf
2021 · AAA
33 43→50 41→45 46→50 44 211/268/308 97274 99 26% 7% 58 -1.2 215/262/351 136282 158 29% 5% 68 -0.5 190/233/32513623917228%4%46-0.7
Yamid Haad
2010 · AAA
32 42 42→45 43→40 39 210/247/310 100271 105 27% 4% 50 -1.8 239/281/352 113301 116 23% 5% 75 -0.0 266/309/3731073289221%5%92+0.6
Anthony Bemboom
2023 · MLB
33 41 46→45 48→45 46 209/278/336 127264 145 26% 8% 70 -0.3 214/282/331 117278 115 26% 8% 71 -0.3 202/279/3101072659125%9%62-0.3
Chad Moeller
2008 · MLB
33 40 45→50 41→30 42 207/262/327 120257 144 25% 6% 62 -0.9 214/267/319 105267 94 22% 6% 61 -1.0 206/259/298922575021%5%48-0.5
Tuffy Gosewisch
2018 · MLB
34 41→45 43→45 47→40 44 204/264/311 108255 104 24% 6% 58 -1.2 196/264/298 102261 94 27% 7% 55 -1.4 171/246/256852316027%7%35-0.9
Dustin Garneau
2021 · MLB
33 41→37 48→50 45 46 208/290/355 147272 165 29% 8% 81 +0.4 196/274/370 174253 226 31% 7% 79 +0.3 152/237/32917618024132%7%52-0.5
Joe Hudson
2022 · MLB
31 36 43→45 47→40 38 185/235/289 104266 115 34% 6% 40 -2.4 203/284/350 147292 198 35% 9% 78 +0.2 184/288/33314926521837%11%73-0.0
Dane Sardinha
2011 · MLB
32 35→32 45 47→30 35 188/228/305 118255 144 33% 4% 41 -2.3 197/266/299 102285 107 32% 7% 56 -1.3 129/246/156262140034%11%8-1.1
Jeff Mathis
2016 · MLB
33 41→46 43→50 47→45 44 205/267/317 112276 114 29% 8% 60 -1.0 220/276/328 108302 94 28% 7% 66 -0.6 212/271/301893025129%7%54-0.4
Luis Flores
2019 · AAA
32 41 47→40 48→45 42 212/253/348 136251 158 23% 5% 63 -0.9 238/278/406 168275 219 22% 5% 89 +0.9 241/272/43919825528019%4%92+0.2
Gookie Dawkins
2011 · AAA
32 41→48 44→45 44→50 39 206/259/325 119291 128 32% 6% 59 -1.1 207/263/337 130285 1411 31% 6% 64 -0.8 181/238/294114241141231%6%40-1.5
Pete Kozma
2021 · MLB
33 44→47 45 50 46 217/270/340 124250 128 19% 6% 68 -0.5 199/244/294 95253 78 24% 5% 44 -2.1 178/221/256782285624%4%21-3.1
Humberto Sosa
2019 · AAA
33 42→49 44→50 49→45 42 213/259/324 110266 127 25% 6% 59 -1.1 263/314/504 241308 338 26% 6% 131 +3.9 294/349/64635331752026%6%179+2.1
Carlos Maldonado
2012 · AAA
33 42→50 40 46→40 45 206/270/298 93273 86 27% 8% 57 -1.2 201/268/320 119283 136 32% 8% 63 -0.9 177/261/31413822119029%10%55-0.4
Mike Mahoney
2006 · MLB
33 44 43→45 50→40 42 216/265/331 115253 106 19% 4% 63 -0.8 205/249/289 84261 76 23% 4% 45 -2.1 175/213/214392372026%3%7-1.9