Garrett Stubbs — OGILVIE

Garrett StubbsC Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 33 L/R 5'9" / 170 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 4.860 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 184 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6760vR 58

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .297 / .341

PA184

HR4

K%24

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO122

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

669.3%

xwOBA

100.247

POWER30

Avg EV

1080.3

Bat Spd

4971.3

EYE45

Chase%

6429.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2024 · 187 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

128

—

wRC+

◀L

wOBA

268

256

◀L

ISO

—

080

—

BABIP

324

273

◀◀L

23.7%

28.1%

◀◀L

BB%

10.2%

8.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2019

Service 4.860 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.4M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.5M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	103	89	22	4	0	0	9	3	0	1	0	247	316	292	608	45	250	3	9	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	103	84	23	5	0	0	14	2	0	1	0	274	378	333	711	60	274	2	14	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	3 teams	—	464	413	105	20	1	8	37	81	8	17	3	254	328	366	693	111	294	17	8	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A+	3 teams	—	464	396	111	26	1	11	53	58	8	17	3	280	376	434	810	154	300	12	11	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	2 teams	—	391	356	71	17	0	3	27	79	6	11	0	199	267	272	540	73	247	20	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AA	2 teams	—	391	340	79	18	0	4	43	59	6	11	0	232	329	321	650	88	270	15	11	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	340	310	81	15	4	3	22	71	2	6	0	261	314	365	679	103	325	21	6	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	340	297	92	19	6	4	35	53	2	6	0	310	386	455	841	145	361	16	10	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA	2 teams	—	274	247	51	12	0	6	20	54	5	13	2	206	279	328	607	121	238	20	7	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AAA	2 teams	—	274	239	56	14	0	7	28	45	5	13	2	234	327	381	708	146	259	16	10	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	2 teams	—	184	155	33	7	0	2	24	42	1	4	0	213	322	297	619	84	274	23	13	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	2 teams	—	184	147	36	7	0	2	32	36	1	4	0	245	383	333	717	88	306	20	17	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	121	106	28	4	1	5	14	30	0	2	0	264	350	462	812	198	324	25	12	348	125	+3	+0	-2	+2	+3	0.8
2022	29	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	121	106	28	4	1	5	14	30	0	2	0	264	350	462	812	198	324	25	12	357	131	+4	+0	-2	+2	+3	0.9
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	125	113	23	4	1	1	9	29	2	2	0	204	274	283	557	80	265	23	7	250	50	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	125	113	23	4	1	1	9	29	2	2	0	204	274	283	557	80	265	23	7	256	54	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	187	165	34	4	1	1	17	50	4	5	0	206	296	261	556	55	287	27	9	257	55	-10	+1	+4	+3	+5	0.4
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	187	164	34	4	1	1	17	50	4	5	0	207	296	262	558	55	289	27	9	262	59	-9	+1	+4	+3	+5	0.5
2025	32	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	309	279	67	10	0	8	18	75	6	5	2	240	300	362	662	122	296	24	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	309	264	70	12	0	8	31	62	6	5	2	265	353	402	755	136	315	20	10	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	AAA	PHI	—	78	68	15	3	0	3	6	18	3	3	0	221	312	397	709	176	250	23	8	297	86	-1	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.3
YTD	33	AAA	PHI	—	78	66	16	4	0	3	8	16	3	3	0	242	351	439	790	197	271	21	10	350	126	+2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	33	AAA	PHI	100%	184	164	36	6	1	4	14	44	4	4	1	220	297	341	638	122	264	24	8	283	74	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.3
ROS	33	MLB	PHI	100%	184	164	36	6	1	4	14	44	4	4	1	220	297	341	638	122	266	24	8	270	65	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
FULL	33	AAA	PHI	—	262	232	51	9	1	7	20	62	7	7	1	220	301	358	659	138	267	24	8	278	71	-9	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.4
TOT	33	AAA	PHI	—	262	232	51	9	1	7	20	62	7	7	1	220	301	358	659	138	267	24	8	287	78	-7	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	PHI	65%	194	173	36	6	1	4	15	48	4	3	1	208	286	324	610	116	257	25	8	271	66	-8	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.4
2028	35	MLB	PHI	65%	144	129	25	4	0	3	11	36	3	2	0	194	273	295	567	101	249	25	8	260	57	-7	+0	-6	+3	+4	-0.6
2027	34	MLB	PHI	65%	126	113	24	4	0	3	10	31	2	2	0	212	288	327	615	115	258	25	8	259	56	-6	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.4
2028	35	MLB	PHI	65%	94	85	17	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	200	277	306	582	106	251	26	7	248	48	-6	+0	-4	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	914	814	175	30	4	16	77	222	14	17	1	215	294	321	614	106	275	24	8	271	65	-36	+3	-8	+23	+26	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	124	21	3	11	55	158	10	12	1	214	293	318	611	104	274	24	8	271	65	-25	+2	-5	+16	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3020	2699	612	113	10	48	237	642	45	75	9	227	300	329	629	103	277	21	8	280	72	-95	+11	-12	+54	+86	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	131	24	2	10	51	138	10	16	2	225	299	325	624	100	276	21	8	280	72	-20	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	103	84	23	5	0	0	14	2	0	1	0	274	378	333	711	60	274	2	14	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2016	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	137	120	39	9	1	4	14	11	2	5	0	325	404	517	921	192	330	8	10	404	167	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2016	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	244	206	60	13	0	6	29	37	5	10	3	291	392	442	833	150	323	15	12	370	141	+11	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2016	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	70	12	4	0	1	10	10	1	2	0	171	280	271	552	100	183	12	12	256	54	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2017	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	91	77	17	5	0	0	11	15	3	3	0	221	341	286	626	65	274	16	12	298	87	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2017	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	300	263	62	13	0	4	32	44	3	8	0	236	326	331	656	95	269	15	11	301	88	-4	+2	—	—	+8	0.6
2018	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	340	297	92	19	6	4	35	53	2	6	0	310	386	455	841	145	361	16	10	369	140	+15	+1	—	—	+10	2.7
2019	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	39	35	7	3	0	0	4	7	0	1	0	200	282	286	568	86	250	18	10	263	60	-2	+0	-0	+5	+1	0.4
2019	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	235	204	49	11	0	7	24	38	5	12	2	240	335	397	732	157	261	16	10	328	109	+3	+2	—	—	+7	1.1
2021	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	38	34	6	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	222	18	5	200	11	-4	+0	+0	+3	+1	0.1
2021	28	AAA	Sugar Land Skeeters	—	146	113	30	5	0	2	30	29	1	4	0	265	424	363	786	97	333	20	21	363	136	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	29	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	121	106	28	4	1	5	14	30	0	2	0	264	350	462	812	198	324	25	12	357	131	+4	+0	-2	+2	+3	0.9
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	125	113	23	4	1	1	9	29	2	2	0	204	274	283	557	80	265	23	7	256	54	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	187	164	34	4	1	1	17	50	4	5	0	207	296	262	558	55	289	27	9	262	59	-9	+1	+4	+3	+5	0.5
2025	32	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	309	264	70	12	0	8	31	62	6	5	2	265	353	402	755	136	315	20	10	334	114	+5	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	510	452	98	17	3	7	46	123	6	10	0	217	297	314	611	97	282	24	9	278	71	-17	+2	+1	+16	+14	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	915	16	17	216	291	320	+13	+1	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	12	12	216	291	320	+9.4	+0.7	0.9	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Garrett Stubbs (OGILVIE)	33	35	30	55	45	220/301/358	138	267	7	7	24%	8%	78	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Bemboom 2023 · MLB	33	41	46→45	48→45	46	209/278/336	127	264	14	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	214/282/331	117	278	11	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	202/279/310	107	265	9	1	25%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Alberto Castillo 2003 · MLB	33	43	40→30	46→30	47	206/266/296	90	253	7	6	21%	7%	55	-1.4	230/301/357	127	271	12	7	19%	9%	85	+0.7	235/311/307	73	284	2	2	17%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Pete Orr 2012 · MLB	33	45	42→45	55	41	220/267/331	111	266	9	21	21%	4%	64	-0.8	233/267/330	97	293	7	18	22%	4%	63	-0.9	242/269/332	90	309	6	16	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Koyie Hill 2012 · MLB	33	45→43	40→45	50→40	46	215/277/311	96	285	7	5	26%	8%	63	-0.9	201/250/288	87	263	8	4	25%	6%	45	-2.1	189/238/264	75	248	6	1	25%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Elliot Soto 2023 · AAA	33	43→53	40	52→50	44	208/271/301	93	280	7	12	27%	7%	58	-1.2	190/256/268	78	286	6	19	33%	8%	43	-2.2	165/239/221	56	259	4	23	35%	8%	22	-2.0
✕Juan Centeno 2022 · MLB	32	49	40→45	49→40	47	236/286/332	96	279	7	6	18%	6%	72	-0.2	230/272/343	113	295	11	6	25%	5%	69	-0.4	226/267/333	107	295	11	3	26%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2017 · MLB	33	44→45	45	46→40	45	223/273/345	122	255	13	5	19%	6%	70	-0.3	198/263/301	103	257	9	4	25%	7%	55	-1.4	174/245/259	85	236	6	1	27%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Carlos Maldonado 2012 · AAA	33	42→50	40	46→40	45	206/270/298	93	273	8	6	27%	8%	57	-1.2	201/268/320	119	283	13	6	32%	8%	63	-0.9	177/261/314	138	221	19	0	29%	10%	55	-0.4
✕Tyler LaTorre 2014 · AAA	31	42	43→40	48→40	42	207/266/314	107	282	11	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	220/277/308	88	311	7	8	29%	7%	62	-0.9	236/285/293	57	335	3	4	29%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Pete Kozma 2021 · MLB	33	44→47	45	50	46	217/270/340	124	250	12	8	19%	6%	68	-0.5	199/244/294	95	253	7	8	24%	5%	44	-2.1	178/221/256	78	228	5	6	24%	4%	21	-3.1
✕Kevin Cash 2011 · MLB	33	41	42→40	46→30	46	204/270/297	93	267	10	4	27%	8%	56	-1.3	210/285/314	104	273	10	5	25%	9%	68	-0.5	193/276/280	86	255	7	0	25%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Tony Campana 2019 · AAA	33	45→55	40→30	49→70	45	218/266/305	87	255	8	16	18%	5%	56	-1.3	240/273/325	85	294	5	22	19%	4%	63	-0.8	251/281/325	75	306	2	27	18%	4%	62	-0.8
✕Juan Graterol 2022 · MLB	33	47	39→40	46→30	44	226/273/304	79	254	7	5	15%	4%	59	-1.1	227/274/330	103	256	10	10	15%	4%	66	-0.6	217/256/301	84	234	7	10	10%	2%	48	-0.5
✕Mike Mahoney 2006 · MLB	33	44	43→45	50→40	42	216/265/331	115	253	10	6	19%	4%	63	-0.8	205/249/289	84	261	7	6	23%	4%	45	-2.1	175/213/214	39	237	2	0	26%	3%	7	-1.9
✕Daniel Nunez 2015 · AAA	33	50	39→30	48→50	46	238/309/325	86	297	6	14	21%	6%	81	+0.4	232/289/297	65	286	4	10	19%	6%	64	-0.8	220/279/265	45	273	2	10	19%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2021 · AAA	33	43→50	41→45	46→50	44	211/268/308	97	274	9	9	26%	7%	58	-1.2	215/262/351	136	282	15	8	29%	5%	68	-0.5	190/233/325	136	239	17	2	28%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Munenori Kawasaki 2014 · MLB	33	48→55	37→30	54→50	57	223/309/291	68	262	4	14	16%	10%	72	-0.2	239/305/304	65	293	2	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	244/305/296	53	303	1	16	18%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Beau Taylor 2022 · MLB	32	43→45	43→45	47→30	44	208/284/314	107	301	11	4	33%	8%	68	-0.5	210/293/322	112	303	12	6	32%	9%	74	-0.1	170/285/261	91	250	11	0	33%	12%	53	-0.5
✕Israel Nunez 2019 · AAA	33	47	46→40	49→40	44	233/276/359	126	274	14	9	21%	5%	75	-0.0	238/277/338	100	281	10	8	19%	4%	69	-0.4	259/286/315	57	300	6	0	16%	1%	63	-0.2
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	41→40	45	51→50	39	203/265/328	124	281	12	14	31%	6%	63	-0.8	211/268/328	117	268	12	13	25%	6%	64	-0.8	199/258/303	104	244	11	12	23%	6%	50	-1.2