Eddy Alvarez — OGILVIE

Eddy Alvarez2B Gwinnett Stripers

Age 36 L/R 5'8" / 178 lbs AAA Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 260 proj PA

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .301 / .368

PA260

HR7

SB9

K%27

BB%8

ISO148

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2024

CONTACT35

Whiff%

4411.7%

xwOBA

310.286

POWER45

Barrel%

204.3

Avg EV

5189.2

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE60

Chase%

2436.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

7628.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$1M
Totals		$1M		$0.1M	-$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	24	ROK	2 teams	—	210	192	54	8	1	5	17	48	1	9	10	281	343	411	754	130	353	23	8	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	ROK	2 teams	—	210	182	63	11	1	5	27	34	1	9	10	346	433	500	933	154	406	16	13	416	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	A	2 teams	—	553	484	129	26	8	5	54	126	2	53	15	267	343	384	727	118	346	23	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	A	2 teams	—	553	450	133	29	7	5	88	85	2	53	15	296	413	424	837	129	351	15	16	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA	2 teams	—	502	445	117	22	2	7	35	107	2	11	6	263	320	369	688	106	327	21	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AA	2 teams	—	502	430	114	19	3	6	50	83	2	11	6	265	344	365	710	100	312	17	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AA	2 teams	—	516	451	93	14	2	5	47	141	7	8	5	206	291	279	570	73	284	27	9	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AA	2 teams	—	516	429	101	16	2	4	69	105	7	8	5	235	350	310	661	75	298	20	13	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	364	324	65	20	2	4	28	98	3	5	3	201	270	312	582	111	272	27	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	364	308	78	26	3	8	43	79	3	5	3	253	349	435	784	182	314	22	12	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	271	247	62	15	2	7	18	76	4	12	3	251	312	413	725	162	333	28	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	271	235	76	18	2	12	30	53	4	12	3	323	409	570	979	247	374	20	11	424	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	16	1	2	0	189	268	216	485	27	333	39	7	236	39	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
2020	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	16	1	2	0	189	268	216	485	27	333	39	7	233	36	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.2
2021	31	AAA	3 teams	—	232	198	55	9	1	8	18	54	15	5	5	278	381	455	835	177	346	23	8	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	AAA	3 teams	—	232	190	53	9	1	7	25	47	15	5	5	279	403	447	850	168	338	20	11	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA	2 teams	—	242	213	52	8	4	6	17	79	9	4	3	244	326	404	730	160	357	33	7	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	AAA	2 teams	—	242	202	61	9	4	8	28	64	9	4	3	302	410	505	915	203	405	26	12	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	259	217	51	8	2	6	26	67	6	17	2	235	333	373	707	138	302	26	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	259	206	59	14	2	7	37	58	6	17	2	286	410	476	885	189	356	22	14	381	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	AAA	2 teams	—	491	431	93	27	1	17	33	140	14	21	7	216	293	401	694	186	272	29	7	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	AAA	2 teams	—	491	410	100	29	1	19	54	118	14	21	7	244	351	459	810	215	291	24	11	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	197	172	27	3	0	5	15	57	7	10	3	157	253	262	514	105	198	29	8	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	197	159	28	5	0	5	28	45	7	10	3	176	325	302	627	126	209	23	14	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	36	MLB	ATL	—	260	231	51	11	1	7	20	69	7	9	3	221	302	368	670	147	284	27	8	303	90	-3	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	37	MLB	ATL	1%	182	162	36	7	1	5	14	49	4	4	1	222	300	370	670	148	276	27	8	292	82	-4	+0	-7	+1	+5	-0.5
2028	38	MLB	ATL	0%	115	102	21	4	0	3	9	31	3	1	0	206	289	333	623	127	268	27	8	281	73	-3	+0	-8	+0	+3	-0.8
2027	37	MLB	ATL	1%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						276	50	0	274	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
2028	38	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	264	61	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	144	129	23	5	1	1	7	44	7	4	0	178	261	256	516	78	259	31	5	244	45	-9	+1	-4	-2	+4	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	105	23	5	5	32	199	32	18	0	180	264	263	527	82	261	31	5	244	45	-40	+4	-19	-7	+18	-4.6
Career	—			—	4435	3906	913	183	27	90	354	1158	85	171	66	234	311	364	675	130	306	26	8	294	83	-85	+8	-19	+12	+126	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	134	27	4	13	52	170	12	25	10	234	311	364	674	129	307	26	8	294	83	-12	+1	-3	+2	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	24	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	80	72	31	6	0	3	7	10	1	4	4	431	487	639	1.126	208	475	12	9	493	236	+12	-1	—	—	+2	1.4
2014	24	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	130	110	32	5	1	2	20	24	0	5	6	291	400	409	809	118	357	18	15	368	140	+6	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2015	25	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	143	120	39	6	1	3	19	17	0	11	7	325	417	467	884	142	353	12	13	385	153	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
2015	25	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	410	330	94	23	6	2	69	68	2	42	8	285	411	409	821	124	350	17	17	366	138	+18	+5	—	—	+12	3.5
2016	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	39	35	10	2	0	0	4	7	0	2	0	286	359	343	702	57	357	18	10	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2016	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	463	395	104	17	3	6	46	76	2	9	6	263	343	367	710	104	308	16	10	310	95	-3	-1	—	—	+13	1.0
2017	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	118	100	24	0	0	0	14	32	3	1	0	240	350	240	590		348	27	12	286	77	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2017	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	398	329	77	16	2	4	55	73	4	7	5	234	351	331	682	97	285	18	14	310	95	-2	-1	—	—	+11	0.9
2018	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	364	308	78	26	3	8	43	79	3	5	3	253	349	435	784	182	314	22	12	341	119	+8	-0	—	—	+10	1.8
2019	29	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	271	235	76	18	2	12	30	53	4	12	3	323	409	570	979	247	374	20	11	424	183	+25	+1	—	—	+8	3.5
2020	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	16	1	2	0	189	268	216	485	27	333	39	7	233	36	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.2
2021	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	74	64	12	4	1	1	4	18	6	1	0	188	297	328	625	141	244	24	5	290	80	-2	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.1
2021	31	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	138	111	32	5	0	4	18	27	8	2	5	288	423	441	865	153	350	20	13	391	158	+9	-2	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	31	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	20	15	9	0	0	2	3	2	1	2	0	600	650	1.000	1.650	400	636	10	15	666	368	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	32	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	27	25	4	0	0	0	0	9	0	1	0	160	160	160	320		235	33	0	134	-39	-4	+0	-2	-3	+1	-0.8
2022	32	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	215	177	57	9	4	8	28	55	9	3	3	322	439	554	993	232	430	26	13	434	191	+22	-1	—	—	+6	2.8
2023	33	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	259	206	59	14	2	7	37	58	6	17	2	286	410	476	885	189	356	22	14	381	149	+14	+3	—	—	+7	2.5
2024	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	454	381	94	26	1	18	49	109	13	18	7	247	352	462	814	215	295	24	11	354	129	+15	+1	—	—	+13	2.9
2024	34	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	37	29	6	3	0	1	5	9	1	3	0	207	343	414	757	207	250	24	14	323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	35	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	197	159	28	5	0	5	28	45	7	10	3	176	325	302	627	126	209	23	14	293	83	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	142	126	23	5	1	1	7	43	7	4	0	183	264	262	526	79	265	30	5	244	45	-9	+1	-4	-2	+4	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	217	4	3	205	291	339	-2	-2	0.0	0.1
	/162	664	14	10	205	291	339	-5.3	-5.8	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eddy Alvarez (OGILVIE)	36	35	45	55	60	221/301/368	147	284	7	9	27%	8%	90	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Curtis Pride 2005 · MLB	36	48	45	51→55	42	238/292/367	129	301	12	12	25%	6%	84	+0.6	242/317/377	135	328	12	18	28%	10%	97	+1.5	235/315/360	125	328	11	21	29%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Pedro Swann 2007 · AAA	36	51→47	49→50	55→45	42	252/304/408	156	309	15	12	23%	5%	100	+1.7	234/280/362	128	299	12	10	25%	5%	77	+0.1	221/261/331	110	283	11	6	25%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Flavio Romero 2015 · AAA	35	43→53	43→45	48→60	51	215/296/322	107	277	12	20	26%	10%	75	-0.0	221/302/304	83	283	8	17	23%	10%	72	-0.2	240/325/297	57	296	4	21	19%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Nyjer Morgan 2016 · MLB	36	47→57	45	53→65	47	232/291/356	124	282	13	15	22%	8%	81	+0.4	237/302/367	130	275	13	20	19%	7%	89	+0.9	235/303/358	123	270	12	26	18%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Cody Ransom 2010 · MLB	34	41→42	52→55	49→50	46	214/281/385	171	267	19	11	28%	8%	85	+0.7	222/285/402	180	293	22	8	31%	7%	91	+1.1	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Doug Mirabelli 2007 · MLB	36	44	53→50	48→30	46	228/304/398	170	292	21	5	29%	8%	98	+1.6	228/300/390	162	298	20	7	29%	8%	95	+1.4	200/276/357	157	261	24	0	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2019 · AAA	37	43	46→50	48→40	38	216/265/339	123	287	14	7	30%	5%	66	-0.6	212/257/356	144	305	18	9	35%	5%	66	-0.6	172/213/307	135	242	21	3	38%	4%	31	-0.9
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	226/297/394	168	295	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	232/315/356	124	320	11	15	29%	7%	92	+1.2	233/334/324	91	343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Jonathan Aceves 2014 · AAA	36	41	49→55	44→30	44	216/268/362	146	260	17	5	25%	6%	73	-0.1	228/290/358	130	276	16	3	23%	7%	82	+0.5	237/309/355	118	285	13	1	21%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	48→49	45	47→50	44	238/287/366	127	298	12	13	24%	6%	81	+0.4	226/275/342	116	315	12	12	30%	6%	70	-0.3	182/208/225	43	295	5	14	39%	3%	11	-0.8
✕Hector Paez 2014 · AAA	36	47	46→45	47→40	42	237/274/361	124	252	15	4	14%	3%	76	+0.0	224/261/328	104	250	11	5	16%	3%	60	-1.0	221/250/296	75	249	7	2	15%	2%	45	-0.7
✕Tom Prince 2002 · MLB	37	46	48→50	49→45	48	232/301/374	142	265	17	9	20%	7%	90	+1.0	232/312/390	158	258	18	9	18%	8%	99	+1.7	215/311/377	162	240	16	4	18%	9%	94	+0.3
✕Kelly Stinnett 2006 · MLB	36	48	50	46→40	46	244/312/396	152	300	19	4	25%	8%	101	+1.8	216/274/336	120	277	14	5	26%	7%	69	-0.4	183/234/262	79	239	10	0	27%	6%	24	-0.9
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	228/277/396	168	275	22	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	218/284/360	142	274	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	182/274/295	113	227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Ramon Valdez 2012 · AAA	35	48	39→40	53→55	45	231/291/319	88	280	6	18	19%	6%	71	-0.3	256/330/338	82	287	5	22	12%	7%	92	+1.2	274/354/337	63	303	3	26	10%	7%	99	+0.7
✕Dewayne Wise 2013 · MLB	35	49→40	51→60	59→55	40	247/285/411	164	297	18	27	24%	4%	92	+1.2	230/276/369	139	290	14	18	25%	5%	78	+0.2	193/227/281	88	261	5	9	27%	4%	30	-0.6
✕Roger Bernadina 2019 · AAA	35	47→57	44→45	53→60	44	227/291/346	119	307	11	18	28%	7%	78	+0.2	250/299/377	127	317	14	10	25%	6%	89	+1.0	286/333/393	107	361	13	4	23%	6%	102	+0.4
✕Humberto Cota 2015 · AAA	36	43	49→50	47→30	43	222/280/360	138	275	18	5	26%	7%	78	+0.2	219/288/364	145	281	18	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	207/286/348	141	265	18	0	28%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Adam Rosales 2019 · MLB	36	41→49	50→55	42→45	41	214/268/368	154	272	18	5	28%	6%	75	-0.0	205/253/329	124	279	14	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	175/215/264	89	251	12	2	35%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Sal Fasano 2008 · MLB	36	42	52→55	44→40	37	224/282/386	162	278	21	4	28%	4%	86	+0.8	208/264/324	116	288	12	6	31%	4%	62	-0.9	184/237/270	86	271	7	4	33%	3%	34	-0.9