Flavio Romero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 34 | AAAAcereros del … | 479 | .256/.380/.382 | 11 | 21 | 63 | — | .205/.288/.294 |
| 2015 | 35 | AAAAcereros del … | 356 | .253/.368/.327 | 3 | 15 | 65 | — | .226/.308/.280 |
| 2016 | 36 | AAADelfines de C… | 89 | .118/.310/.118 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — | .107/.230/.107 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 457 | 378 | 126 | 20 | 0 | 19 | 62 | 60 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 333 | 435 | 537 | 972 | 204 | 352 | 13 | 14 | 419 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 349 | 289 | 70 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 66 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 242 | 367 | 311 | 678 | 69 | 308 | 19 | 15 | 317 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 448 | 360 | 96 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 77 | 76 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 267 | 403 | 389 | 792 | 122 | 325 | 17 | 17 | 359 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 409 | 328 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 70 | 58 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 256 | 395 | 366 | 760 | 110 | 291 | 14 | 17 | 348 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 324 | 251 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 51 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 299 | 439 | 335 | 774 | 36 | 366 | 16 | 19 | 356 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 360 | 287 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 46 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 251 | 391 | 307 | 698 | 56 | 290 | 13 | 18 | 326 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 124 | 103 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 314 | 262 | 576 | 49 | 273 | 20 | 12 | 261 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 228 | 179 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 33 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 335 | 469 | 430 | 899 | 95 | 401 | 14 | 18 | 405 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 236 | 187 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 38 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 278 | 410 | 348 | 758 | 70 | 333 | 16 | 17 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 345 | 280 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 59 | 62 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 225 | 365 | 321 | 687 | 96 | 271 | 18 | 17 | 321 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 479 | 390 | 100 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 75 | 93 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 256 | 380 | 382 | 762 | 126 | 307 | 19 | 16 | 342 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 356 | 297 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 62 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 253 | 368 | 327 | 694 | 74 | 309 | 17 | 14 | 321 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 89 | 68 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 118 | 310 | 118 | 428 | 170 | 24 | 21 | 230 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 457 | 397 | 116 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 72 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 292 | 370 | 441 | 811 | 149 | 311 | 16 | 9 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 349 | 306 | 66 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 79 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 216 | 306 | 278 | 584 | 62 | 279 | 23 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 448 | 385 | 90 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 234 | 333 | 335 | 668 | 101 | 288 | 20 | 12 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 409 | 354 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 220 | 315 | 299 | 615 | 79 | 254 | 17 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 324 | 273 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 271 | 366 | 300 | 667 | 29 | 328 | 19 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 360 | 313 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 55 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 227 | 314 | 272 | 586 | 45 | 257 | 15 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 228 | 194 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 43 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 278 | 375 | 356 | 731 | 77 | 342 | 19 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 345 | 301 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 76 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 183 | 281 | 246 | 527 | 63 | 230 | 22 | 11 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 479 | 419 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 119 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 205 | 288 | 294 | 582 | 88 | 256 | 25 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 356 | 314 | 71 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 70 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 226 | 308 | 280 | 588 | 54 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 89 | 75 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 107 | 230 | 107 | 337 | 156 | 27 | 13 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 457 | 397 | 116 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 72 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 292 | 370 | 441 | 811 | 149 | 323 | 16 | 9 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 457 | 378 | 126 | 20 | 0 | 19 | 62 | 60 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 333 | 435 | 537 | 972 | 204 | 352 | 13 | 14 | 419 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 349 | 306 | 66 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 79 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 216 | 306 | 278 | 584 | 62 | 285 | 23 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 349 | 289 | 70 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 66 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 242 | 367 | 311 | 678 | 69 | 308 | 19 | 15 | 317 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 448 | 385 | 90 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 234 | 333 | 335 | 668 | 101 | 296 | 20 | 12 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 448 | 360 | 96 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 77 | 76 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 267 | 403 | 389 | 792 | 122 | 325 | 17 | 17 | 359 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 409 | 354 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 220 | 315 | 299 | 615 | 79 | 261 | 17 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 409 | 328 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 70 | 58 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 256 | 395 | 366 | 760 | 110 | 291 | 14 | 17 | 348 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 324 | 273 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 271 | 366 | 300 | 667 | 29 | 341 | 19 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 324 | 251 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 51 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 299 | 439 | 335 | 774 | 36 | 366 | 16 | 19 | 356 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 418 | 94 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 75 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 225 | 312 | 266 | 578 | 41 | 268 | 15 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 484 | 390 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 81 | 71 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 241 | 372 | 295 | 666 | 54 | 286 | 15 | 17 | 309 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 464 | 393 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 87 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 280 | 375 | 351 | 726 | 71 | 354 | 19 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 464 | 366 | 112 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 80 | 71 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 306 | 439 | 388 | 827 | 82 | 367 | 15 | 17 | 375 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 345 | 301 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 76 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 183 | 281 | 246 | 527 | 63 | 233 | 22 | 11 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 345 | 280 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 59 | 62 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 225 | 365 | 321 | 687 | 96 | 271 | 18 | 17 | 321 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 479 | 419 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 119 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 205 | 288 | 294 | 582 | 88 | 264 | 25 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 479 | 390 | 100 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 75 | 93 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 256 | 380 | 382 | 762 | 126 | 307 | 19 | 16 | 342 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 356 | 314 | 71 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 70 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 226 | 308 | 280 | 588 | 54 | 284 | 20 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 356 | 297 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 62 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 253 | 368 | 327 | 694 | 74 | 309 | 17 | 14 | 321 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 89 | 75 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 107 | 230 | 107 | 337 | 157 | 27 | 13 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 89 | 68 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 118 | 310 | 118 | 428 | 170 | 24 | 21 | 230 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 457 | 405 | 116 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 72 | 6 | 27 | 12 | 286 | 370 | 432 | 802 | 146 | 311 | 16 | 9 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 349 | 306 | 66 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 79 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 216 | 306 | 278 | 584 | 62 | 279 | 23 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 448 | 388 | 90 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 232 | 333 | 332 | 665 | 101 | 288 | 20 | 12 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 409 | 357 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 218 | 315 | 297 | 612 | 78 | 254 | 17 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 324 | 280 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 264 | 366 | 293 | 659 | 29 | 328 | 19 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 428 | 94 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 75 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 220 | 312 | 259 | 571 | 40 | 257 | 15 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 464 | 401 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 87 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 274 | 375 | 344 | 719 | 70 | 342 | 19 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 345 | 301 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 76 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 183 | 281 | 246 | 527 | 63 | 230 | 22 | 11 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 479 | 427 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 119 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 201 | 288 | 288 | 577 | 87 | 256 | 25 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 356 | 316 | 71 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 70 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 225 | 308 | 278 | 586 | 54 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 89 | 77 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 104 | 230 | 104 | 334 | 156 | 27 | 13 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4204 | 3635 | 848 | 114 | 20 | 39 | 446 | 824 | 42 | 195 | 118 | 233 | 324 | 308 | 632 | 75 | 289 | 20 | 11 | 285 | 79 | -104 | -8 | +0 | +45 | +91 | 2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 562 | 131 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 69 | 127 | 6 | 30 | 18 | 233 | 323 | 308 | 631 | 75 | 289 | 20 | 11 | 285 | 79 | -16 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 89 PAwOBA .226 → .175 (−52)K% 23.6% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.60% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.35% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 13.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×0.940 | 15.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 106, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .226 → .175; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .170 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 356 PAwOBA .314 → .264 (−50)K% 17.4% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.42% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.76% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 9.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.53% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 23.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.68% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 3.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.940 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .314 → .264; ISO .074 → .056; BABIP .309 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 479 PAwOBA .336 → .261 (−75)K% 19.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.42% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.45% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.92% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×0.940 | 21.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.940 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.940 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.952 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.56% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .336 → .261; ISO .126 → .095; BABIP .307 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 345 PAwOBA .312 → .245 (−68)K% 18.0% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.97% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.52% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 10.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.02% | ÷1.015 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×0.942 | 19.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.67% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.942 | 2.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.128 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.942 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 1.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 126, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .312 → .245; ISO .096 → .068; BABIP .271 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 228 PAwOBA .396 → .328 (−68)K% 14.5% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.47% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.11% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 11.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.51% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 27.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 95, 3B 119, K 86, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .396 → .328; ISO .095 → .079; BABIP .401 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 360 PAwOBA .320 → .266 (−54)K% 12.8% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.78% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.50% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 11.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷0.965 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×0.962 | 22.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.962 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 110, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .320 → .266; ISO .056 → .044; BABIP .290 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 324 PAwOBA .348 → .304 (−45)K% 15.7% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.74% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 11.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×0.972 | 30.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.972 | 2.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.34% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .348 → .304; ISO .036 → .030; BABIP .366 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 409 PAwOBA .339 → .283 (−56)K% 14.2% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 10.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 20.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .339 → .283; ISO .110 → .089; BABIP .291 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .