Carlos M. Rodriguez

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1981-12-26

Age (2027)45

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	37	AAA/INTL2 orgs	420	.263/.342/.421	12	47	—	.182/.238/.288
2020	38	INTLSultanes de M…	73	.169/.310/.254	1	66	—
2021	39	INTLSultanes de M…	39	.167/.211/.250	0	23	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	23	AAA	Tuneros de San Luis	—	227	189	46	8	0	8	31	58	4	2	1	243	362	413	774	169	302	26	14	346	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	180	163	36	3	0	4	12	54	1	0	2	221	278	313	591	92	299	30	7	264	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	195	172	48	7	0	7	19	50	3	0	0	279	361	442	803	163	353	26	10	358	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	178	159	39	5	0	2	13	47	3	0	0	245	314	314	629	69	333	26	7	285	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	197	161	46	10	1	2	32	46	1	3	0	286	407	398	805	112	386	23	16	363	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	243	208	56	9	0	5	28	61	3	1	0	269	364	385	749	115	352	25	12	336	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	193	170	46	9	0	10	22	56	0	0	0	271	354	500	854	229	346	29	11	374	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	15	15	2	0	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	133	133	333	467	200	167	53	0	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	436	379	112	20	2	32	46	137	4	2	2	296	378	612	990	317	374	31	11	420	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	63	54	8	1	0	2	7	24	2	0	0	148	270	278	548	130	214	38	11	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	339	296	77	16	0	19	34	82	6	1	1	260	348	507	855	247	294	24	10	372	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	41	35	9	1	0	0	4	17	2	0	0	257	366	286	652	29	500	41	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	363	309	88	14	2	18	41	96	7	2	0	285	381	518	899	233	355	26	11	389	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	437	378	105	20	0	13	46	92	5	2	2	278	364	434	797	156	331	21	11	352	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	44	41	8	2	0	2	1	12	0	0	0	195	214	390	605	195	214	27	2	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	309	280	70	19	0	10	20	91	5	0	1	250	311	425	736	175	328	29	6	323	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	391	356	110	24	2	15	30	96	2	1	0	309	366	514	880	205	385	25	8	384	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	44	38	11	1	0	0	3	11	2	0	0	289	372	316	688	26	393	25	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	67	59	14	0	0	4	5	20	3	0	0	237	328	441	769	203	286	30	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	367	328	87	18	1	12	33	113	4	0	1	265	340	436	776	171	368	31	9	344	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	53	45	11	3	0	0	6	19	2	0	0	244	358	311	670	67	423	36	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	38	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	73	59	10	2	0	1	11	22	1	0	0	169	310	254	564	85	243	30	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	39	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	39	36	6	1	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	167	211	250	461	83	240	28	5	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	23	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	227	198	42	7	0	6	22	70	4	2	1	212	304	338	642	126	282	31	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	180	166	34	3	0	3	9	65	1	0	2	205	250	277	527	72	295	36	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	195	178	44	6	0	5	13	60	3	0	0	247	309	365	674	118	335	31	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	178	164	36	4	0	1	8	56	3	0	0	220	269	262	531	43	320	31	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	197	172	44	9	1	1	21	55	1	3	0	256	340	337	677	81	363	28	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	243	218	48	8	0	3	18	70	3	1	0	220	289	298	587	78	300	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	193	178	38	7	0	8	14	69	0	0	0	213	271	388	658	174	293	36	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	436	396	84	14	2	20	29	170	4	2	2	212	273	409	682	197	294	39	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	339	310	62	12	0	10	20	106	6	1	1	200	262	335	597	135	257	31	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	363	325	64	9	1	10	25	124	7	2	0	197	269	323	592	126	274	34	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	437	397	83	15	0	6	27	122	5	2	2	209	268	292	560	83	274	28	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	309	288	50	13	0	5	12	116	5	0	1	174	220	271	491	97	255	38	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	391	369	90	19	2	9	17	119	2	1	0	244	281	379	660	136	328	30	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	367	340	62	13	1	7	21	145	4	0	1	182	238	288	527	106	282	40	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	227	198	42	7	0	6	22	70	4	2	1	212	304	338	642	126	288	31	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	AAA RAW	Tuneros de San Luis	—	227	189	46	8	0	8	31	58	4	2	1	243	362	413	774	169	302	26	14	346	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	180	166	34	3	0	3	9	65	1	0	2	205	250	277	527	72	310	36	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	180	163	36	3	0	4	12	54	1	0	2	221	278	313	591	92	299	30	7	264	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	195	178	44	6	0	5	13	60	3	0	0	247	309	365	674	118	342	31	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	195	172	48	7	0	7	19	50	3	0	0	279	361	442	803	163	353	26	10	358	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	178	164	36	4	0	1	8	56	3	0	0	220	269	262	531	43	324	31	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	178	159	39	5	0	2	13	47	3	0	0	245	314	314	629	69	333	26	7	285	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	197	172	44	9	1	1	21	55	1	3	0	256	340	337	677	81	368	28	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	197	161	46	10	1	2	32	46	1	3	0	286	407	398	805	112	386	23	16	363	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	243	218	48	8	0	3	18	70	3	1	0	220	289	298	587	78	304	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA RAW	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	243	208	56	9	0	5	28	61	3	1	0	269	364	385	749	115	352	25	12	336	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	208	192	42	8	0	9	15	74	0	0	0	219	275	401	676	182	303	36	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	208	185	48	9	0	11	22	64	0	0	0	259	338	486	825	227	336	31	11	361	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	499	453	96	16	2	23	33	195	6	2	2	212	274	408	683	196	305	39	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	499	433	120	21	2	34	53	161	6	2	2	277	364	570	934	293	355	32	11	399	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	347	68	13	0	11	22	119	8	1	1	196	260	329	588	133	260	31	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	380	331	86	17	0	19	38	99	8	1	1	260	350	483	834	224	312	26	10	366	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	363	325	64	9	1	10	25	124	7	2	0	197	269	323	592	126	280	34	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	363	309	88	14	2	18	41	96	7	2	0	285	381	518	899	233	355	26	11	389	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	436	91	16	0	6	30	135	5	2	2	209	268	287	554	78	282	28	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	481	419	113	22	0	15	47	104	5	2	2	270	350	430	780	160	320	22	10	342	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	309	288	50	13	0	5	12	116	5	0	1	174	220	271	491	97	263	38	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	309	280	70	19	0	10	20	91	5	0	1	250	311	425	736	175	328	29	6	323	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	435	408	100	21	2	10	19	133	4	1	0	245	285	380	665	135	336	31	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	435	394	121	25	2	15	33	107	4	1	0	307	367	495	862	188	385	25	8	377	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL MLE	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	67	59	14	0	0	4	5	20	3	0	0	237	328	441	769	203	286	30	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL RAW	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	67	59	14	0	0	4	5	20	3	0	0	237	328	441	769	203	286	30	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	420	388	70	15	1	7	24	166	6	0	1	180	239	278	518	98	292	40	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	420	373	98	21	1	12	39	132	6	0	1	263	342	421	763	158	374	31	9	341	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	38	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	73	59	10	2	0	1	11	22	1	0	0	169	310	254	564	85	243	30	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	38	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	73	59	10	2	0	1	11	22	1	0	0	169	310	254	564	85	243	30	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	39	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	39	36	6	1	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	167	211	250	461	83	240	28	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	39	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	39	36	6	1	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	167	211	250	461	83	240	28	5	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	AAA MLE	Tuneros de San Luis	—	227	199	42	7	0	6	22	70	4	2	1	211	304	337	640	126	282	31	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	180	168	34	3	0	3	9	65	1	0	2	202	250	274	524	71	295	36	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	195	177	44	6	0	5	13	60	3	0	0	249	309	367	677	119	335	31	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	178	165	36	4	0	1	8	56	3	0	0	218	269	261	529	42	320	31	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	197	173	44	9	1	1	21	55	1	3	0	254	340	335	675	81	363	28	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	243	220	48	8	0	3	18	70	3	1	0	218	289	295	584	77	300	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	208	191	42	8	0	9	15	74	0	0	0	220	275	403	679	183	293	36	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	499	457	96	16	2	23	33	195	6	2	2	210	274	405	679	195	294	39	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	347	68	13	0	11	22	119	8	1	1	196	260	329	588	133	257	31	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	363	328	64	9	1	10	25	124	7	2	0	195	269	320	589	125	274	34	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	443	91	16	0	6	30	135	5	2	2	205	268	282	550	77	274	28	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	309	289	50	13	0	5	12	116	5	0	1	173	220	270	490	97	255	38	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	435	409	100	21	2	10	19	133	4	1	0	244	285	379	664	134	328	31	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	420	387	70	15	1	7	24	166	6	0	1	181	239	279	518	98	282	40	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4494	4087	859	151	8	105	289	1491	60	14	10	210	272	328	600	118	299	33	6	253	57	-229	-1	+0	+80	+97	-5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	124	22	1	15	42	216	9	2	1	210	273	327	599	117	299	33	6	253	57	-33	+0	+0	+12	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 367 PAwOBA .336 → .226 (−110)K% 30.8% → 39.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.79%	÷0.936	×1.200	—	—	39.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.99%	÷1.051	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.55%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.96%
Singles /BIP	26.05%	÷1.050	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	20.60%
Doubles /BIP	8.37%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	6.50%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷1.065	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	5.58%	÷1.115	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.29%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .336 → .226; ISO .171 → .103; BABIP .368 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 391 PAwOBA .374 → .285 (−89)K% 24.6% → 30.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.55%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	30.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.16%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.39%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.45%
Singles /BIP	26.54%	÷1.026	×0.930	×1.049	×0.940	23.73%
Doubles /BIP	9.23%	÷1.008	×0.830	×1.049	×0.940	7.50%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.049	×0.940	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	5.77%	÷1.050	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.62%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .374 → .285; ISO .205 → .139; BABIP .385 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 309 PAwOBA .317 → .216 (−102)K% 29.4% → 37.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.45%	÷0.941	×1.200	—	—	37.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.15%	÷1.053	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.79%
HBP% /PA	1.62%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.43%
Singles /BIP	21.69%	÷1.053	×0.930	×0.990	×0.940	17.83%
Doubles /BIP	10.05%	÷1.035	×0.830	×0.990	×0.940	7.50%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.990	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.29%	÷1.236	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.82%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .317 → .216; ISO .175 → .101; BABIP .328 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 437 PAwOBA .343 → .250 (−93)K% 21.1% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷0.903	×1.200	—	—	27.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.61%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.25%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.01%
Singles /BIP	25.17%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.010	×0.940	22.06%
Doubles /BIP	6.99%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.010	×0.940	5.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.010	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.55%	÷1.488	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.01%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .343 → .250; ISO .156 → .085; BABIP .331 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 363 PAwOBA .379 → .261 (−118)K% 26.4% → 34.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.45%	÷0.929	×1.200	—	—	34.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.74%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×0.942	6.92%
HBP% /PA	1.93%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.71%
Singles /BIP	25.35%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.981	×0.942	21.10%
Doubles /BIP	6.57%	÷1.105	×0.830	×0.981	×0.942	4.56%
Triples /BIP	0.94%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.981	×0.942	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	8.45%	÷1.197	×0.700	—	×0.942	4.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .379 → .261; ISO .233 → .134; BABIP .355 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 339 PAwOBA .363 → .259 (−105)K% 24.2% → 31.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.19%	÷0.924	×1.200	—	—	31.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.73%	÷1.096	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.83%
HBP% /PA	1.77%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.58%
Singles /BIP	19.63%	÷0.957	×0.930	×1.050	×0.952	19.06%
Doubles /BIP	7.48%	÷1.089	×0.830	×1.050	×0.952	5.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.88%	÷1.235	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.79%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 91, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 85, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .363 → .259; ISO .247 → .141; BABIP .294 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 436 PAwOBA .410 → .291 (−119)K% 31.4% → 39.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.42%	÷0.965	×1.200	—	—	39.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.09%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.60%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.83%
Singles /BIP	23.97%	÷1.057	×0.930	×1.021	×0.962	20.72%
Doubles /BIP	8.26%	÷1.130	×0.830	×1.021	×0.962	5.97%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.020	×0.920	×1.021	×0.962	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	13.22%	÷1.038	×0.700	—	×0.962	8.58%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .410 → .291; ISO .317 → .204; BABIP .374 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 193 PAwOBA .364 → .282 (−81)K% 29.0% → 35.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.02%	÷0.974	×1.200	—	—	35.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.40%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.41%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.68%	÷1.019	×0.930	×0.990	×0.972	20.79%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷0.991	×0.830	×0.990	×0.972	6.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.040	×0.920	×0.990	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.77%	÷0.828	×0.700	—	×0.972	7.21%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .364 → .282; ISO .229 → .181; BABIP .346 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .