Alfredo Amezaga

PosCF

B/TS/R

Born1978-01-16

Age (2027)49

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	37	AAA/INTL2 orgs	440	.235/.292/.301	4	5	47	—	.225/.262/.283
2016	38	AAA/INTL2 orgs	328	.249/.326/.318	4	7	58	—	.239/.289/.290
2017	39	AAA/INTL2 orgs	532	.269/.348/.343	4	9	69	—	.240/.295/.299

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2003	25	MLB	Anaheim Angels	—	120	105	22	3	2	2	9	23	1	2	2	210	278	333	612	124	250	19	8	265	66	-5	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2004	26	MLB	Anaheim Angels	—	105	93	15	2	0	2	3	24	3	3	2	161	212	247	459	86	194	23	3	200	21	-10	-0	+4	+1	+2	-0.3
2005	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	211	185	63	12	2	1	17	27	2	14	7	341	402	443	845	103	390	13	8	367	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	28	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	378	334	87	9	3	3	33	46	3	20	12	260	332	332	665	72	294	12	9	299	84	-7	-1	+9	+1	+8	1.0
2007	29	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	448	400	105	14	9	2	35	52	4	13	7	263	328	357	686	95	293	12	8	305	92	-4	-0	+17	+2	+10	2.5
2008	30	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	337	311	82	13	5	3	19	47	3	8	2	264	312	367	679	103	303	14	6	302	89	-4	+1	+8	+1	+7	1.3
2009	31	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	75	69	15	3	0	0	5	16	0	1	1	217	270	261	531	43	278	21	7	243	38	-6	-0	+3	+0	+2	-0.0
2011	33	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	87	77	14	1	0	0	7	14	0	0	0	182	250	195	445	13	219	16	8	206	28	-7	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.4
2011	33	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	277	239	73	19	1	4	29	36	4	4	2	305	390	444	833	138	342	13	10	368	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	33	INTL	Mexico	—	153	138	36	11	0	3	10	34	1	5	2	261	315	406	721	145	327	22	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	439	398	109	17	2	6	37	60	1	12	3	274	337	372	709	98	308	14	8	319	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	INTL	Mexico	—	281	260	85	13	3	6	16	46	1	5	5	327	368	469	837	142	376	16	6	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	35	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	306	260	77	17	1	3	38	47	1	4	2	296	388	404	792	108	347	15	12	352	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	35	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	183	165	38	9	0	1	13	31	2	1	2	230	294	303	597	73	278	17	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	368	313	98	17	1	4	36	37	6	2	6	313	394	412	807	99	339	10	10	353	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	277	249	61	8	1	4	21	45	1	5	0	245	306	333	640	88	285	16	8	285	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	163	147	32	4	0	0	9	27	1	0	1	218	268	245	512	27	262	17	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	38	AAA	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	281	247	64	8	0	3	28	41	2	7	2	259	339	328	667	69	299	15	10	304	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	38	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	47	42	8	0	0	1	3	5	0	0	2	190	244	262	506	71	194	11	6	224	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	39	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	352	309	87	13	0	4	31	51	6	5	5	282	358	362	721	81	325	14	9	325	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	39	INTL	Mexico	—	180	155	38	7	1	0	18	25	1	4	1	245	328	303	631	58	286	14	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1550	1389	340	45	19	12	111	222	14	47	26	245	307	330	638	86	282	14	7	284	78	-40	-1	+40	+9	+34	4.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2003	25	MLB MLE	Anaheim Angels	—	120	105	22	3	2	2	9	23	1	2	2	210	278	333	612	124	250	19	8	265	66	-5	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2004	26	MLB MLE	Anaheim Angels	—	105	93	15	2	0	2	3	24	3	3	2	161	212	247	459	86	194	23	3	200	21	-10	-0	+4	+1	+2	-0.3
2005	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	211	191	63	11	2	1	11	32	2	14	7	330	373	424	797	94	372	15	5	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	28	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	378	338	87	9	3	3	29	46	3	20	12	257	322	328	650	71	294	12	8	292	84	-7	-1	+9	+1	+8	1.0
2007	29	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	448	400	105	14	9	2	35	52	4	13	7	263	328	357	686	95	293	12	8	305	92	-4	-0	+17	+2	+10	2.5
2008	30	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	337	312	82	13	5	3	18	47	3	8	2	263	309	365	675	103	303	14	5	300	89	-4	+1	+8	+1	+7	1.3
2009	31	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	75	71	15	3	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	211	243	254	497	42	278	21	4	224	38	-6	-0	+3	+0	+2	-0.0
2011	33	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	87	77	14	1	0	0	7	14	0	0	0	182	250	195	445	13	219	16	8	210	28	-7	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.4
2011	33	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	277	249	61	15	1	3	19	50	4	4	2	245	309	349	658	104	284	18	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	439	410	88	12	2	5	25	77	1	12	3	215	261	290	552	76	249	18	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	35	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	306	277	73	15	1	2	21	56	1	4	2	264	318	347	664	83	310	18	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	368	327	94	15	1	3	22	46	6	2	6	287	344	367	711	80	304	12	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	277	258	58	7	1	2	12	50	1	5	0	225	262	283	545	58	266	18	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	38	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	281	259	62	7	0	2	16	47	2	7	2	239	289	290	578	50	279	17	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	39	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	352	321	77	10	0	3	19	61	6	5	5	240	295	299	594	59	284	17	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2003	25	MLB MLE	Anaheim Angels	—	120	105	22	3	2	2	9	23	1	2	2	210	278	333	612	124	250	19	8	265	66	-5	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2003	25	MLB RAW	Anaheim Angels	—	120	105	22	3	2	2	9	23	1	2	2	210	278	333	612	124	250	19	8	265	66	-5	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2004	26	MLB MLE	Anaheim Angels	—	105	93	15	2	0	2	3	24	3	3	2	161	212	247	459	86	194	23	3	200	21	-10	-0	+4	+1	+2	-0.3
2004	26	MLB RAW	Anaheim Angels	—	105	93	15	2	0	2	3	24	3	3	2	161	212	247	459	86	194	23	3	200	21	-10	-0	+4	+1	+2	-0.3
2005	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	211	191	63	11	2	1	11	32	2	14	7	330	373	424	797	94	388	15	5	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	27	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	211	185	63	12	2	1	17	27	2	14	7	341	402	443	845	103	390	13	8	367	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	28	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	378	338	87	9	3	3	29	46	3	20	12	257	322	328	650	71	290	12	8	292	84	-7	-1	+9	+1	+8	1.0
2006	28	MLB RAW	Florida Marlins	—	378	334	87	9	3	3	33	46	3	20	12	260	332	332	665	72	294	12	9	299	84	-7	-1	+9	+1	+8	1.0
2007	29	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	448	400	105	14	9	2	35	52	4	13	7	263	328	357	686	95	293	12	8	305	92	-4	-0	+17	+2	+10	2.5
2007	29	MLB RAW	Florida Marlins	—	448	400	105	14	9	2	35	52	4	13	7	263	328	357	686	95	293	12	8	305	92	-4	-0	+17	+2	+10	2.5
2008	30	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	337	312	82	13	5	3	18	47	3	8	2	263	309	365	675	103	302	14	5	300	89	-4	+1	+8	+1	+7	1.3
2008	30	MLB RAW	Florida Marlins	—	337	311	82	13	5	3	19	47	3	8	2	264	312	367	679	103	303	14	6	302	89	-4	+1	+8	+1	+7	1.3
2009	31	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	75	71	15	3	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	211	243	254	497	42	268	21	4	224	38	-6	-0	+3	+0	+2	-0.0
2009	31	MLB RAW	Florida Marlins	—	75	69	15	3	0	0	5	16	0	1	1	217	270	261	531	43	278	21	7	243	38	-6	-0	+3	+0	+2	-0.0
2011	33	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	517	463	107	23	1	4	37	91	5	9	4	231	295	311	606	80	277	18	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	33	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	517	454	123	31	1	7	46	84	5	9	4	271	345	390	734	119	316	16	9	325	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	720	669	144	20	3	8	42	127	2	17	8	215	264	290	554	75	253	18	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	720	658	194	30	5	12	53	106	2	17	8	295	349	410	760	116	335	15	7	338	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	489	442	118	24	2	4	34	89	3	5	4	267	324	357	681	90	324	18	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	489	425	115	26	1	4	51	78	3	5	4	271	353	365	718	94	321	16	10	321	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	368	327	94	15	1	3	22	46	6	2	6	287	344	367	711	80	322	12	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	AAA RAW	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	368	313	98	17	1	4	36	37	6	2	6	313	394	412	807	99	339	10	10	353	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	407	93	11	2	4	19	80	2	5	1	229	266	295	561	66	274	18	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	440	396	93	12	1	4	30	72	2	5	1	235	292	301	593	66	276	16	7	265	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	302	72	8	0	2	18	55	2	7	4	238	286	285	570	46	285	17	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	38	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	328	289	72	8	0	4	31	46	2	7	4	249	326	318	644	69	283	14	9	293	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	532	484	118	16	0	5	29	93	7	9	6	244	296	308	604	64	290	17	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	39	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	532	464	125	20	1	4	49	76	7	9	6	269	348	343	691	73	312	14	9	311	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2003	25	MLB MLE	Anaheim Angels	—	120	109	22	3	2	2	9	23	1	2	2	202	278	321	599	119	250	19	8	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2004	26	MLB MLE	Anaheim Angels	—	105	98	15	2	0	2	3	24	3	3	2	153	212	235	447	82	194	23	3	200	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	211	196	63	11	2	1	11	32	2	14	7	321	373	413	786	92	372	15	5	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	28	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	378	343	87	9	3	3	29	46	3	20	12	254	322	324	645	70	294	12	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	29	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	448	406	105	14	9	2	35	52	4	13	7	259	328	352	680	94	293	12	8	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	30	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	337	313	82	13	5	3	18	47	3	8	2	262	309	364	674	102	303	14	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	31	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	75	72	15	3	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	208	243	250	493	42	278	21	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	33	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	517	470	107	23	1	4	37	91	5	9	4	228	295	306	601	79	268	18	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	720	670	144	20	3	8	42	127	2	17	8	215	264	290	553	75	249	18	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	489	449	118	24	2	4	34	89	3	5	4	263	324	352	675	89	310	18	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	36	AAA MLE	Tigres de Quintana Roo	—	368	337	94	15	1	3	22	46	6	2	6	279	344	356	700	77	304	12	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	440	416	93	11	2	4	19	80	2	5	1	224	266	288	555	65	266	18	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	305	72	8	0	2	18	55	2	7	4	236	286	282	568	46	279	17	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	39	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	532	491	118	16	0	5	29	93	7	9	6	240	296	303	600	63	284	17	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1550	1389	340	45	19	12	111	222	14	47	26	245	307	330	638	86	282	14	7	284	72	-40	-1	+40	+9	+34	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	143	19	8	5	47	93	6	20	11	246	309	332	640	86	283	14	7	284	72	-17	-0	+17	+4	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5068	4604	1135	172	30	43	309	821	43	115	66	247	300	325	625	78	290	16	6	275	72	-40	-1	+40	+9	+34	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	146	22	4	6	40	105	6	15	8	247	302	329	631	81	290	16	6	275	72	-17	-0	+17	+4	+14	1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAToros de Tijuana · 352 PAwOBA .318 → .265 (−52)K% 14.5% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.49%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	17.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.81%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.53%
HBP% /PA	1.70%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.51%
Singles /BIP	27.13%	÷0.988	×0.930	×1.010	×0.940	24.25%
Doubles /BIP	5.04%	÷1.007	×0.830	×1.010	×0.940	3.94%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.010	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.55%	÷0.892	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.14%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .318 → .265; ISO .081 → .063; BABIP .325 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 281 PAwOBA .294 → .258 (−36)K% 14.6% → 16.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.59%	÷1.042	×1.200	—	—	16.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.90%	÷1.031	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.60%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.63%
Singles /BIP	25.73%	÷0.945	×0.930	×1.029	×0.940	24.49%
Doubles /BIP	3.88%	÷0.941	×0.830	×1.029	×0.940	3.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.920	×1.029	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.46%	÷1.105	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.87%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .294 → .258; ISO .069 → .052; BABIP .299 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 277 PAwOBA .275 → .242 (−33)K% 16.2% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.25%	÷1.070	×1.200	—	—	18.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.86%	÷1.023	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.35%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.32%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷0.961	×0.930	×1.050	×0.940	22.48%
Doubles /BIP	3.92%	÷0.953	×0.830	×1.050	×0.940	3.37%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷0.997	×0.920	×1.050	×0.940	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	1.96%	÷1.118	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.15%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 92, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 114, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .275 → .242; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .285 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 368 PAwOBA .348 → .304 (−44)K% 10.1% → 12.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.05%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	12.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.51%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.97%
HBP% /PA	1.63%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.44%
Singles /BIP	27.54%	÷0.954	×0.930	×1.000	×0.940	25.24%
Doubles /BIP	6.16%	÷0.955	×0.830	×1.000	×0.940	5.03%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷0.908	×0.920	×1.000	×0.940	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	1.45%	÷1.032	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.92%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .348 → .304; ISO .099 → .080; BABIP .339 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 306 PAwOBA .343 → .294 (−49)K% 15.4% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.36%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	18.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.44%	÷1.073	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.91%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.29%
Singles /BIP	26.29%	÷0.970	×0.930	×1.016	×0.940	24.06%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷0.953	×0.830	×1.016	×0.940	6.64%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷0.963	×0.920	×1.016	×0.940	0.43%
Home runs /BIP	1.41%	÷0.953	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.97%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .343 → .294; ISO .108 → .091; BABIP .347 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAIowa Cubs · 439 PAwOBA .311 → .245 (−66)K% 13.7% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.67%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	17.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.20%	÷0.938	×0.710	—	×0.940	5.83%
HBP% /PA	0.23%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	0.21%
Singles /BIP	24.85%	÷1.028	×0.900	×1.005	×0.940	20.55%
Doubles /BIP	5.03%	÷1.049	×0.810	×1.005	×0.940	3.67%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷0.953	×0.810	×1.005	×0.940	0.47%
Home runs /BIP	1.78%	÷0.863	×0.780	—	×0.940	1.51%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 91, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .311 → .245; ISO .098 → .077; BABIP .308 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 277 PAwOBA .361 → .288 (−73)K% 13.0% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.00%	÷0.925	×1.290	—	—	18.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.11%	÷0.972	×0.710	—	×0.942	6.96%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	1.33%
Singles /BIP	24.14%	÷1.016	×0.900	×1.027	×0.942	20.67%
Doubles /BIP	9.36%	÷0.992	×0.810	×1.027	×0.942	7.39%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.027	×0.942	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	1.97%	÷1.029	×0.780	—	×0.942	1.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 85, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .361 → .288; ISO .138 → .105; BABIP .342 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 211 PAwOBA .360 → .340 (−20)K% 12.8% → 15.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.80%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	15.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.58%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.25%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.89%
Singles /BIP	30.38%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.042	×1.003	29.54%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.042	×1.003	6.59%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.042	×1.003	1.28%
Home runs /BIP	0.63%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.53%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .360 → .340; ISO .103 → .096; BABIP .390 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .