Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS Boston Red Sox
Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)
2026 ROS PROJECTION132 act + 289 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 6577vR 107
AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .307 / .342
PA289
HR3
SB10
K%16
BB%5
BABIP303
ISO82
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +11.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +1.10+1.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.20.60.22628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
905.1%
xwOBA
260.280
POWER35
Barrel%
102.0
Avg EV
1085.0
Bat Spd
1066.5
EYE45
Chase%
5830.2%
SPEED50
Sprint
4727.4
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 955 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
259
696
wRC+
53
93
▶▶R
wOBA
254
306
▶▶R
ISO
062
101
▶▶R
BABIP
267
327
▶▶R
K%
16.2%
16.2%
BB%
2.3%
3.9%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2018
Service   8.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$2M+0.4$2M-$0.6M
Totals $2M $2M -$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201318 ROKAZL Rangers 169155 41400 9341 123 265309290599 26339 205 261 58
201318 ROKAZL Rangers 169149 48500 15241 123 322388356744 34384 149 335 114
201419 AHickory Crawdads 7364 13000 4161 10 203261203464 271 225 207 17
201419 AHickory Crawdads 7362 12000 6121 10 194275194469 240 168 216 24
201520 A+2 teams 401366 951020 157112 116 260310298608 38319 184 267 62
201520 A+2 teams 401358 1061220 235012 116 296359341700 45341 126 316 100
201621 AA2 teams 497450 114720 316712 67 253318278596 24296 136 269 64
201621 AA2 teams 497433 109820 485812 67 252343279622 28289 1210 293 82
201722 AAFrisco RoughRiders 570531 1332534 2410110 176 250296331627 81300 184 273 67
201722 AAFrisco RoughRiders 570513 1483135 417210 176 288352390742 101325 137 333 113
201823 MLB2 teams 414372 951824 30656 85 255321347668 91299 167 295 84 -8 -0 +0 +1 +12 0.6
201823 MLB2 teams 414371 961824 31656 85 259326350676 92304 167 304 91 -4 -0 +0 +1 +12 0.9
201924 MLB3 teams 330299 671812 20688 50 224291311602 87281 216 273 67 -12 +1 -6 +6 +9 -0.2
201924 MLB3 teams 330296 701913 23648 50 236309338647 101290 197 293 82 -7 +1 -6 +6 +9 0.4
202025 MLBTexas Rangers 228211 59433 14322 85 280330370700 90316 146 309 94 -1 -0 +4 +1 +6 1.0
202025 MLBTexas Rangers 228211 59433 14322 85 280330370700 90316 146 315 99 -0 -0 +4 +1 +6 1.1
202126 MLBTexas Rangers 677635 1712538 289011 205 269312356667 87302 134 293 83 -13 +2 -0 +7 +19 1.5
202126 MLBTexas Rangers 677635 1722538 289011 205 271313357671 87304 134 302 89 -8 +2 -0 +7 +19 2.0
202227 MLBNew York Yankees 531483 1251904 35725 224 259315323638 64294 147 282 74 -16 +3 +1 +6 +15 0.9
202227 MLBNew York Yankees 531483 1262004 35725 224 261317327645 66296 147 291 81 -12 +3 +1 +6 +15 1.3
202328 MLBNew York Yankees 361326 791216 28703 145 242308340649 98289 198 285 76 -10 +1 +1 +1 +10 0.4
202328 MLBNew York Yankees 361326 791216 28703 145 242308340649 98289 198 292 82 -7 +1 +1 +1 +10 0.6
202429 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 496465 1261848 167810 112 271310378688 108310 163 303 90 -6 +1 +4 +2 +14 1.6
202429 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 496465 1251848 167810 112 269308376684 108307 163 304 91 -5 +1 +4 +2 +14 1.7
202530 MLBToronto Blue Jays 459431 1122122 17775 154 260296332628 72312 174 277 70 -16 +1 +2 +5 +13 0.6
202530 MLBToronto Blue Jays 459431 1132122 17775 154 262298334632 72314 174 282 74 -13 +1 +2 +5 +13 0.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD31 MLBBOS 132119 33402 12180 72 277344361705 84313 149 315 100 -0 +1 +2 +0 +4 0.7
YTD31 MLBBOS 132119 33402 12180 72 277344361705 84313 149 319 102 +0 +1 +2 +0 +4 0.7
ROS31 MLBBOS 100% 289269 701113 15463 103 260307342649 82305 165 296 85 -5 +1 -2 +3 +8 0.5
ROS31 MLBBOS 100% 289269 721213 15463 103 268314353667 86311 165 294 83 -6 +1 -2 +3 +8 0.4
FULL31 MLBBOS 421388 1051615 27643 175 271323356679 85312 156 301 88 -6 +1 -1 +4 +12 1.1
TOT31 MLBBOS 421388 1031515 27643 175 265318348666 82306 156 302 89 -5 +1 -1 +4 +12 1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBBOS 100% 426397 1031624 22704 133 259305340645 81301 165 289 79 -10 +1 -7 +5 +12 0.1
202833 MLBBOS 100% 396368 931423 21674 92 253300326626 73297 175 281 74 -12 +1 -8 +4 +11 -0.3
202732 MLBBOS 100% 426397 1051724 22704 133 264310348657 83307 165 287 78 -11 +1 -7 +5 +12 0.0
202833 MLBBOS 100% 396368 941423 21674 92 255303329632 73303 175 279 72 -12 +1 -8 +4 +11 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 44814143 10861732146 23871357 13238 262311347659 85305 165 294 83 -85 +11 -9 +41 +127 8.7
/ 162G 650601 1582537 351038 196 263312349662 87306 165 294 83 -12 +1 -1 +6 +18 1.2
Career 63175822 14962222851 329102497 18260 257308331639 74302 165 283 75 -181 +12 -9 +59 +179 6.2
/ 162G 650599 1542335 3410510 196 257308331638 73303 165 283 75 -19 +1 -1 +6 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201318 ROKAZL Rangers 169149 48500 15241 123 322388356744 34384 149 335 114 +3 +1 +5 0.9
201419 AHickory Crawdads 7362 12000 6121 10 194275194469 240 168 216 24 -6 +0 +2 -0.4
201520 A+High Desert Mavericks 254233 72610 9289 43 309359343702 34350 114 319 102 +1 -0 +7 0.8
201520 AHickory Crawdads 147125 34610 14223 73 272359336695 64324 1510 311 96 -1 +0 +4 0.4
201621 AAFrisco RoughRiders 457402 103820 415111 66 256341286627 30293 119 294 83 -9 -1 +13 0.3
201621 INTLSurprise Saguaros 4031 6000 771 01 194359194553 240 1818 276 70 -1 -0 +1 -0.1
201722 AAFrisco RoughRiders 570513 1483135 417210 176 288352390742 101325 137 333 113 +8 +1 +16 2.6
201823 MLBTexas Rangers 396356 931824 28626 75 261326357682 96306 167 306 92 -4 -1 +0 +1 +11 0.9
201823 AAARound Rock Express 1815 3000 330 10 200333200533 250 1717 267 63 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
201924 MLBTexas Rangers 222202 481211 14494 30 238300322622 84307 226 282 74 -7 +1 -6 +6 +6 0.1
201924 AAANashville Sounds 3734 5300 162 10 147216235452 88179 163 212 20 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
201924 AAFrisco RoughRiders 7160 17402 892 10 283386450836 167300 1311 370 142 +3 +0 +2 0.6
202025 MLBTexas Rangers 228211 59433 14322 85 280330370700 90316 146 315 99 -0 -0 +4 +1 +6 1.1
202126 MLBTexas Rangers 677635 1722538 289011 205 271313357671 87304 134 302 89 -8 +2 -0 +7 +19 2.0
202227 MLBNew York Yankees 531483 1262004 35725 224 261317327645 66296 147 291 81 -12 +3 +1 +6 +15 1.3
202328 MLBNew York Yankees 361326 791216 28703 145 242308340649 98289 198 292 82 -7 +1 +1 +1 +10 0.6
202429 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 496465 1251848 167810 112 269308376684 108307 163 304 91 -5 +1 +4 +2 +14 1.7
202530 MLBToronto Blue Jays 459431 1132122 17775 154 262298334632 72314 174 282 74 -13 +1 +2 +5 +13 0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 33703109 8151301636 18053046 10030 262312349661 87304 165 297 85 -56 +8 +8 +29 +95 8.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons
124,74550142261306346+51+269.99.0
/162664720+7.1+3.61.4pk7: 8
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA
82,7944650259303375+27-66.87.1
/1626641112+6.5-1.41.6pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (OGILVIE) 31 55 35 50 45 265/318/348 82306 517 15% 6% 89 +1.1
Pokey Reese
2004 · MLB
31 50→55 41→45 55 51 239/303/336 97286 820 19% 8% 80 +0.4 228/286/332 104283 1014 22% 7% 72 -0.2 215/265/2958027171322%6%50-0.8
Pablo Ozuna
2006 · MLB
31 53 38→40 54→55 46 251/298/332 81284 527 13% 5% 76 +0.1 267/309/366 99291 718 11% 5% 90 +1.0 288/324/3859731841610%3%98+0.4
Gregorio Vazquez
2010 · AAA
31 54→58 37→40 49→55 47 255/295/334 78284 316 12% 5% 75 -0.0 224/270/291 67250 413 12% 5% 54 -1.4 197/249/2222522001110%5%24-2.2
Emmanuel Burriss
2016 · AAA
31 53→57 38→40 52→60 49 249/299/328 80277 518 12% 6% 76 +0.0 226/263/294 68259 414 14% 4% 51 -1.7 213/238/2433124601313%2%24-1.1
Chase d'Arnaud
2018 · MLB
31 47→50 40→45 57→60 46 227/282/319 93275 726 20% 6% 67 -0.5 214/277/346 132293 1419 30% 7% 72 -0.2 200/266/335135278161933%7%63-0.5
Irving Falu
2014 · MLB
31 55→65 38→40 52→55 47 259/296/343 84292 419 13% 5% 78 +0.2 256/295/336 80286 516 12% 5% 76 +0.0 269/307/3619129481311%5%84+0.5
Damian Jackson
2005 · MLB
31 49→54 42→45 52→55 49 235/293/344 108277 926 18% 7% 78 +0.2 242/323/375 133285 1418 19% 10% 99 +1.7 241/328/365124282132019%10%96+0.6
Willie Bloomquist
2008 · MLB
30 53→56 38→40 53→60 49 252/307/326 74295 624 16% 7% 79 +0.3 260/318/338 78306 628 16% 8% 86 +0.8 284/325/3607632831813%5%90+0.5
Alan Arredondo
2009 · AAA
31 51 39→30 56→60 43 245/285/332 87300 517 20% 5% 70 -0.3 240/301/322 82291 622 18% 7% 76 +0.0 241/315/2793828303613%9%66-0.2
Chris Barnwell
2009 · MLB
30 48→51 40 52→50 47 231/290/324 93271 717 18% 6% 72 -0.2 208/263/299 91261 712 23% 5% 54 -1.4 170/221/227572233524%4%14-2.1
Eddy Garabito
2008 · MLB
31 49→53 41→40 49→50 50 237/288/332 95263 816 14% 6% 72 -0.2 243/307/343 100277 915 15% 8% 84 +0.6 253/323/3388528681614%9%86+0.6
Dixon Machado
2023 · MLB
31 53→55 39→45 48→55 49 251/314/340 89297 710 17% 7% 85 +0.7 226/305/322 96274 97 20% 9% 79 +0.3 208/300/290822549421%11%66-0.3
Eric Bruntlett
2009 · MLB
31 49→52 38→40 53→55 54 230/306/310 80272 520 17% 9% 75 -0.0 206/266/301 95259 813 23% 6% 56 -1.3 184/238/271872387925%5%34-1.4
Christian Colón
2020 · MLB
31 50→56 42→45 48→55 48 242/294/351 109269 918 14% 6% 81 +0.4 223/280/345 122246 1313 15% 6% 74 -0.1 200/269/32612621216515%6%63-0.6
Eder Salcedo
2014 · AAA
31 54→58 42→40 50 43 260/294/363 103310 917 19% 5% 82 +0.5 251/283/345 94290 99 16% 4% 73 -0.1 259/290/339802948515%4%73-0.1
Alex Sanchez
2007 · MLB
30 54→61 39→40 50→65 42 260/286/343 83297 719 16% 3% 73 -0.1 259/288/364 105289 1116 14% 4% 81 +0.4 288/312/3758731282010%3%90+0.6
Brent Abernathy
2007 · MLB
29 52→53 39→40 47→50 49 252/299/332 81283 817 14% 6% 77 +0.1 236/283/315 79268 617 14% 6% 66 -0.6 234/281/2915726131911%6%56-0.9
Alberto Carreon
2019 · AAA
31 50→55 40→45 45→50 42 242/280/335 93291 712 20% 4% 69 -0.4 236/288/327 91285 78 19% 4% 72 -0.2 238/292/312742895518%3%68-0.4
Alejandro Ahumada
2010 · AAA
31 53→63 38→40 53→55 42 250/289/326 76302 519 19% 4% 71 -0.3 242/293/314 72304 513 21% 5% 70 -0.3 266/316/3316533241020%6%79+0.1
Miguel Cairo
2006 · MLB
32 53→58 41→45 53→55 49 252/304/355 103271 817 11% 5% 85 +0.7 240/295/328 88273 422 13% 6% 74 -0.1 258/308/370112285121014%5%88+0.4