Gil Velazquez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 33 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 653 | .256/.356/.305 | 2 | 4 | 70 | — | .221/.291/.241 |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 645 | .307/.386/.374 | 3 | 4 | 93 | — | .261/.325/.319 |
| 2015 | 35 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 189 | .197/.304/.255 | 1 | 2 | 59 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 34 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 265 | 353 | 618 | 88 | 346 | 24 | 0 | 272 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 323 | 286 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 52 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 231 | 299 | 287 | 586 | 56 | 275 | 16 | 7 | 265 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 182 | 164 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 250 | 305 | 305 | 610 | 55 | 303 | 18 | 6 | 273 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 21 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 474 | 500 | 974 | 125 | 429 | 10 | 14 | 394 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 206 | 183 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 240 | 302 | 317 | 618 | 77 | 289 | 17 | 6 | 274 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 61 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 400 | 511 | 911 | 244 | 324 | 21 | 16 | 359 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 386 | 350 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 260 | 313 | 417 | 730 | 157 | 299 | 19 | 6 | 317 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 316 | 290 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 243 | 269 | 512 | 76 | 220 | 16 | 6 | 229 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 263 | 241 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 249 | 304 | 340 | 644 | 91 | 317 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 494 | 427 | 140 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 60 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 328 | 402 | 466 | 868 | 138 | 364 | 12 | 10 | 377 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 268 | 230 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 270 | 341 | 370 | 711 | 100 | 310 | 15 | 9 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 57 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 18 | 289 | 19 | 2 | 225 | 42 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 461 | 398 | 124 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 50 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 312 | 392 | 384 | 777 | 73 | 347 | 11 | 11 | 348 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 97 | 84 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 321 | 400 | 405 | 805 | 83 | 370 | 12 | 10 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 392 | 331 | 84 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 64 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 254 | 353 | 278 | 631 | 24 | 310 | 16 | 13 | 292 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | INTL | Mexico | — | 261 | 219 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 260 | 360 | 347 | 707 | 87 | 302 | 15 | 13 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 425 | 361 | 104 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 288 | 376 | 363 | 739 | 75 | 325 | 11 | 12 | 330 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 220 | 192 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 406 | 396 | 801 | 52 | 400 | 12 | 8 | 352 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 189 | 157 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 304 | 255 | 559 | 57 | 229 | 14 | 12 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 57 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 18 | 289 | 19 | 2 | 225 | 39 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 34 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 324 | 559 | 88 | 325 | 29 | 0 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 323 | 293 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 63 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 268 | 263 | 530 | 48 | 259 | 20 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 182 | 167 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 288 | 299 | 588 | 54 | 294 | 22 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 21 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 421 | 471 | 892 | 118 | 391 | 10 | 10 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 206 | 187 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 219 | 266 | 289 | 555 | 70 | 258 | 20 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 61 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 364 | 500 | 864 | 229 | 298 | 26 | 11 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 386 | 357 | 81 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 88 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 227 | 268 | 356 | 624 | 129 | 267 | 23 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 316 | 296 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 159 | 194 | 213 | 407 | 54 | 187 | 19 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 263 | 247 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 242 | 275 | 518 | 73 | 270 | 25 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 494 | 444 | 125 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 74 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 282 | 335 | 383 | 718 | 101 | 308 | 15 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 57 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 18 | 289 | 19 | 2 | 230 | 42 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 461 | 416 | 115 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 64 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 276 | 333 | 337 | 669 | 60 | 311 | 14 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 392 | 348 | 77 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 82 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 221 | 291 | 241 | 532 | 20 | 273 | 21 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 425 | 376 | 98 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 325 | 319 | 644 | 59 | 293 | 14 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 327 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 73 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 217 | 264 | 269 | 533 | 52 | 273 | 20 | 4 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 357 | 320 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 60 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 234 | 296 | 294 | 590 | 59 | 282 | 17 | 6 | 266 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 203 | 184 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 255 | 301 | 315 | 616 | 60 | 322 | 21 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 203 | 180 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 321 | 322 | 644 | 61 | 315 | 17 | 7 | 285 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 235 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 332 | 619 | 102 | 289 | 22 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 267 | 228 | 56 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 323 | 355 | 678 | 110 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 293 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 386 | 357 | 81 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 88 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 227 | 268 | 356 | 624 | 129 | 275 | 23 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 386 | 350 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 260 | 313 | 417 | 730 | 157 | 299 | 19 | 6 | 317 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 316 | 296 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 159 | 194 | 213 | 407 | 54 | 189 | 19 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 316 | 290 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 243 | 269 | 512 | 76 | 220 | 16 | 6 | 229 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 263 | 247 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 242 | 275 | 518 | 73 | 271 | 25 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 263 | 241 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 249 | 304 | 340 | 644 | 91 | 317 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 762 | 681 | 190 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 114 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 279 | 332 | 376 | 708 | 97 | 321 | 15 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 762 | 657 | 202 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 73 | 101 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 307 | 381 | 432 | 813 | 125 | 345 | 13 | 10 | 353 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 615 | 560 | 153 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 89 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 273 | 325 | 330 | 655 | 57 | 317 | 14 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 615 | 538 | 164 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 60 | 73 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 305 | 380 | 374 | 753 | 69 | 345 | 12 | 10 | 338 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 653 | 578 | 127 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 136 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 220 | 290 | 239 | 529 | 19 | 283 | 21 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 653 | 550 | 141 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 85 | 102 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 256 | 356 | 305 | 661 | 49 | 307 | 16 | 13 | 302 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 645 | 568 | 149 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 90 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 262 | 329 | 319 | 647 | 56 | 307 | 14 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 645 | 553 | 170 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 67 | 75 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 307 | 386 | 374 | 761 | 67 | 351 | 12 | 10 | 337 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 189 | 157 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 304 | 255 | 559 | 57 | 229 | 14 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 189 | 157 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 304 | 255 | 559 | 57 | 229 | 14 | 12 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 333 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 73 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 213 | 264 | 264 | 529 | 51 | 265 | 20 | 4 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 203 | 189 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 249 | 301 | 307 | 608 | 58 | 304 | 21 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 246 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 220 | 287 | 317 | 604 | 98 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 386 | 363 | 81 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 88 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 223 | 268 | 350 | 618 | 127 | 267 | 23 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 316 | 300 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 157 | 194 | 210 | 404 | 53 | 187 | 19 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 263 | 248 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 242 | 274 | 517 | 73 | 270 | 25 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 762 | 702 | 190 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 114 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 271 | 332 | 365 | 697 | 94 | 308 | 15 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 615 | 567 | 153 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 89 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 270 | 325 | 326 | 651 | 56 | 309 | 14 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 653 | 591 | 127 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 136 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 215 | 290 | 234 | 523 | 19 | 273 | 21 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 645 | 584 | 149 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 90 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 329 | 310 | 638 | 55 | 293 | 14 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 57 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 246 | 250 | 496 | 18 | 289 | 19 | 2 | 225 | 58 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 639 | 148 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 245 | 249 | 493 | 17 | 288 | 19 | 2 | 225 | 58 | -47 | +0 | +9 | +25 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4656 | 4190 | 1000 | 146 | 20 | 32 | 298 | 840 | 34 | 64 | 46 | 239 | 295 | 306 | 601 | 67 | 289 | 18 | 6 | 253 | 58 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 139 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 117 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 238 | 295 | 303 | 597 | 65 | 288 | 18 | 6 | 253 | 58 | -47 | +0 | +9 | +25 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 425 PAwOBA .322 → .282 (−40)K% 11.3% → 14.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.29% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.53% | ÷0.921 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.84% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 24.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.11% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 4.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.940 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .322 → .282; ISO .075 → .061; BABIP .325 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 392 PAwOBA .288 → .242 (−46)K% 16.3% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.33% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.76% | ÷0.963 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.940 | 8.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.46% | ÷0.987 | ×0.900 | ×1.034 | ×0.940 | 25.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×0.940 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.400 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 180, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .288 → .242; ISO .024 → .020; BABIP .310 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 461 PAwOBA .339 → .296 (−42)K% 10.8% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.85% | ÷1.013 | ×1.290 | — | — | 13.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.98% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.942 | 6.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.942 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.89% | ÷0.976 | ×0.900 | ×1.035 | ×0.942 | 26.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.31% | ÷0.868 | ×0.810 | ×1.035 | ×0.942 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.035 | ×0.942 | 0.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.942 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 74, 3B 130, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .339 → .296; ISO .073 → .064; BABIP .347 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASalt Lake Bees · 494 PAwOBA .369 → .306 (−63)K% 12.1% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.15% | ÷1.050 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.51% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.79% | ÷0.968 | ×0.900 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.81% | ÷1.072 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.18% | ÷1.089 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 110, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .369 → .306; ISO .138 → .101; BABIP .364 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 263 PAwOBA .281 → .228 (−53)K% 20.5% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.53% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.46% | ÷1.037 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.46% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×0.962 | 19.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.962 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×0.962 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.898 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .281 → .228; ISO .091 → .075; BABIP .317 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 316 PAwOBA .225 → .185 (−41)K% 15.5% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×0.972 | 14.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×0.972 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.967 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 1.02% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .225 → .185; ISO .076 → .061; BABIP .220 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 386 PAwOBA .312 → .268 (−43)K% 18.9% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×0.982 | 19.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.982 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×0.982 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .312 → .268; ISO .157 → .133; BABIP .299 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAARochester Red Wings · 206 PAwOBA .269 → .236 (−34)K% 17.0% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.99% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.989 | ×0.992 | 20.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×0.992 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×0.992 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.56% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .269 → .236; ISO .077 → .066; BABIP .289 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .