Josh Lowe — OGILVIE

Josh LoweRF Los Angeles Angels

Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 3.541 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION311 act + 207 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 3690vR 111

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .312 / .449

PA207

HR8

SB8

K%28

BB%7

BABIP324

ISO195

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4911.1%

xwOBA

390.296

POWER50

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

5589.5

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE40

Chase%

5131.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 880 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

175

705

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

221

311

▶▶R

ISO

062

174

▶▶R

BABIP

268

303

▶R

32.0%

27.5%

▶R

BB%

6.9%

7.5%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.541 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+1.5	$11M	+$8M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
Totals		$9M		$20M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	214	187	33	4	2	4	23	84	0	2	2	176	267	283	550	107	282	39	11	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	214	173	43	6	3	5	37	59	0	2	2	249	381	405	786	156	336	28	17	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	507	470	95	16	1	6	28	207	0	22	8	202	247	279	526	77	340	41	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	507	456	122	26	2	8	42	144	0	22	8	268	329	386	715	118	369	28	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	455	414	72	20	2	6	32	172	4	18	6	174	240	275	515	101	275	38	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	455	399	95	25	3	6	47	117	4	18	6	238	324	361	685	123	318	26	10	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	2 teams	—	577	515	109	19	3	21	49	195	3	34	9	212	284	383	666	171	290	34	8	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	2 teams	—	577	500	130	27	5	20	64	148	3	34	9	260	347	454	801	194	327	26	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	470	423	105	20	1	17	40	140	1	26	0	248	315	421	735	173	324	30	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	470	402	117	28	2	22	61	123	1	26	0	291	386	535	921	244	361	26	13	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	549	500	118	31	3	13	42	204	3	28	2	236	299	388	687	152	367	37	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	549	483	135	39	4	16	59	181	3	28	2	280	361	476	838	197	412	33	11	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	501	466	135	34	2	21	31	124	1	32	3	290	335	506	842	217	352	25	6	360	134	+19	+5	-3	-5	+14	3.1
2023	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	501	466	136	33	2	20	31	124	1	32	3	292	337	500	837	208	357	25	6	365	138	+21	+5	-3	-5	+14	3.3
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	442	405	96	20	3	13	35	151	0	25	1	237	298	398	695	160	342	34	8	294	83	-8	+5	-4	-5	+13	0.0
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	442	404	98	19	3	13	36	147	0	25	1	243	305	401	706	158	346	33	8	313	98	-1	+5	-4	-5	+13	0.8
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	457	414	91	22	2	12	36	115	3	19	4	220	287	370	657	150	272	25	8	286	77	-12	+2	-6	-5	+13	-0.8
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	457	413	91	21	2	12	37	115	3	19	4	220	289	368	657	148	273	25	8	293	82	-9	+2	-6	-5	+13	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	LAA	—	311	287	62	9	0	15	20	93	1	9	0	216	269	404	674	188	260	30	6	293	82	-6	+2	-0	-3	+9	0.1
YTD	28	MLB	LAA	—	311	280	68	11	0	17	27	83	1	9	0	243	312	464	776	221	280	27	9	338	117	+6	+2	-0	-3	+9	1.3
ROS	28	MLB	LAA	100%	207	189	48	11	1	8	15	59	1	8	1	254	312	449	761	195	317	28	7	327	109	+2	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.7
ROS	28	MLB	LAA	100%	207	189	48	11	1	8	15	59	1	8	1	254	312	450	762	196	315	29	7	322	105	+1	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.6
FULL	28	MLB	LAA	—	518	476	110	20	1	23	35	152	2	17	1	231	287	422	709	191	286	29	7	304	91	-5	+3	-1	-6	+15	0.6
TOT	28	MLB	LAA	—	518	476	110	20	1	23	35	152	2	17	1	231	286	422	708	191	286	29	7	307	93	-4	+3	-1	-6	+15	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	LAA	100%	449	412	105	24	2	17	32	129	2	16	3	255	312	447	758	192	324	29	7	330	111	+6	+2	-2	-5	+13	1.4
2028	30	MLB	LAA	100%	438	402	101	23	2	16	31	127	2	14	2	251	308	438	746	187	322	29	7	327	108	+4	+2	-3	-5	+12	1.2
2029	31	MLB	LAA	100%	423	389	96	22	2	15	30	124	1	12	2	247	302	429	732	183	319	29	7	322	105	+2	+2	-3	-5	+12	0.8
2030	32	MLB	LAA	100%	404	371	89	20	1	14	29	120	1	10	1	240	297	412	709	173	313	30	7	315	99	-0	+2	-4	-4	+11	0.5
2031	33	MLB	LAA	100%	374	344	80	17	1	13	26	113	1	7	1	233	288	401	690	169	307	30	7	306	93	-3	+1	-5	-4	+11	-0.0
2032	34	MLB	LAA	100%	329	302	68	14	1	11	23	101	1	4	1	225	282	387	670	162	297	31	7	295	84	-6	+0	-5	-4	+9	-0.5
2027	29	MLB	LAA	100%	449	412	104	23	2	17	32	129	2	16	3	252	309	442	751	189	322	29	7	325	107	+4	+2	-2	-5	+13	1.2
2028	30	MLB	LAA	100%	438	402	100	22	2	16	31	127	2	14	2	249	306	433	739	184	320	29	7	322	105	+2	+2	-3	-5	+12	1.0
2029	31	MLB	LAA	100%	423	389	95	21	2	15	30	124	1	12	2	244	300	424	724	180	317	29	7	317	101	+0	+2	-3	-5	+12	0.6
2030	32	MLB	LAA	100%	404	371	89	20	1	14	29	120	1	10	1	240	297	412	709	173	312	30	7	311	96	-2	+2	-4	-4	+11	0.3
2031	33	MLB	LAA	100%	374	344	80	17	1	13	26	113	1	7	1	233	288	401	690	169	305	30	7	302	89	-4	+1	-5	-4	+11	-0.2
2032	34	MLB	LAA	100%	329	302	68	14	1	11	23	101	1	4	1	225	282	387	670	162	296	31	7	291	81	-7	+0	-5	-4	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4145	3805	932	213	18	137	297	1195	14	149	19	245	302	418	720	173	319	29	7	315	99	-3	+22	-36	-49	+117	5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	145	33	3	21	47	187	2	23	3	243	300	414	714	171	316	29	7	315	99	-0	+3	-6	-8	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	6796	6203	1441	317	29	207	502	2165	24	277	46	232	292	393	685	161	318	32	7	299	87	-100	+37	-35	-73	+193	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	138	30	3	20	48	207	2	26	4	233	292	395	687	162	319	32	7	299	87	-10	+4	-3	-7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	214	173	43	6	3	5	37	59	0	2	2	249	381	405	786	156	336	28	17	351	126	+6	-0	—	—	+6	1.2
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	507	456	122	26	2	8	42	144	0	22	8	268	329	386	715	118	369	28	8	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+14	1.6
2018	20	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	455	399	95	25	3	6	47	117	4	18	6	238	324	361	685	123	318	26	10	308	94	-3	+1	—	—	+13	1.1
2019	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	519	448	113	23	4	18	59	132	3	30	9	252	343	442	785	190	316	25	11	344	121	+12	+2	—	—	+15	3.0
2019	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	58	52	17	4	1	2	5	16	0	4	0	327	386	558	944	231	429	28	9	404	168	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	470	402	117	28	2	22	61	123	1	26	0	291	386	535	921	244	361	26	13	398	163	+33	+5	—	—	+13	5.3
2022	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	198	181	40	12	2	2	15	66	1	3	0	221	284	343	627	122	336	33	8	281	74	-6	+1	-1	-6	+6	-0.7
2022	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	351	302	95	27	2	14	44	115	2	25	2	315	405	556	961	242	460	33	13	417	177	+31	+4	—	—	+10	4.6
2023	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	501	466	136	33	2	20	31	124	1	32	3	292	337	500	837	208	357	25	6	365	138	+21	+5	-3	-5	+14	3.3
2024	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	387	353	85	19	2	10	32	123	0	25	1	241	304	391	695	150	338	32	8	309	95	-2	+5	-4	-5	+11	0.5
2024	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	55	51	13	0	1	3	4	24	0	0	0	255	309	471	780	216	417	44	7	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	435	396	87	21	2	11	33	109	3	18	4	220	285	366	651	146	273	25	8	290	80	-10	+2	-6	-5	+12	-0.6
2025	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	22	17	4	0	0	1	4	6	0	1	0	235	381	412	793	176	273	27	18	345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1521	1396	348	85	8	43	111	422	5	78	8	249	307	414	721	165	325	28	7	319	102	+3	+12	-14	-21	+43	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,584	153	168	244	298	418	-49	-38	8.9	9.2
	/162	664	22	24	244	298	418	-7.1	-5.5	1.3	pk7: 9
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Eddie Rosariolast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,347 PA	10	4,347	169	65	262	298	450	-47	-39	7.0	8.7
	/162	664	26	10	262	298	450	-7.1	-6.0	1.1	pk7: 10
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Lowe (OGILVIE)	28	45	50	55	40	231/286/422	191	286	23	17	29%	7%	93	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Will Venable 2011 · MLB	28	48→55	51→60	56→60	47	241/310/406	165	311	19	20	28%	8%	102	+1.8	254/317/430	176	314	18	28	24%	8%	111	+2.5	262/320/449	188	314	19	31	22%	7%	112	+2.1
●Brian Goodwin 2019 · MLB	28	46→53	52→60	50	44	234/294/402	168	301	20	12	29%	7%	95	+1.4	240/311/424	184	314	21	11	29%	9%	107	+2.2	234/310/413	179	302	20	9	28%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Gregory Polanco 2021 · MLB	29	42→52	55→60	51→55	47	221/293/409	188	279	22	12	29%	9%	96	+1.5	225/294/394	169	284	21	18	27%	8%	93	+1.3	220/293/389	169	270	22	23	27%	9%	85	+0.6
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→43	50	59→50	40	235/283/388	154	300	17	22	28%	6%	85	+0.7	225/272/372	147	297	17	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	184/222/324	140	233	19	3	31%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Jake Marisnick 2018 · MLB	27	43→52	52→60	50→55	41	224/284/392	168	293	20	21	31%	6%	88	+0.9	233/292/417	184	312	22	16	31%	6%	98	+1.6	222/284/399	177	302	20	16	32%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Carlos González 2015 · MLB	29	46→56	54→60	56→55	48	240/306/425	185	286	22	17	24%	8%	105	+2.1	237/298/415	178	274	22	5	22%	8%	100	+1.7	235/301/402	167	272	20	2	21%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Kevin Kiermaier 2019 · MLB	29	47→55	50→55	54→55	47	236/303/398	162	285	17	19	23%	8%	97	+1.5	231/295/387	156	286	15	19	24%	7%	91	+1.1	248/311/389	141	317	12	17	24%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Dylan Moore 2021 · MLB	28	46→47	53→50	52→65	45	235/316/418	183	297	20	26	27%	8%	108	+2.3	217/319/392	175	287	20	31	30%	10%	103	+1.9	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Roger Bernadina 2012 · MLB	28	48→58	47→45	56→60	47	241/301/375	133	288	15	27	22%	7%	90	+1.0	231/304/351	120	294	12	22	24%	8%	85	+0.7	217/303/321	104	288	9	21	26%	9%	73	-0.1
●Reggie Taylor 2005 · MLB	28	47→57	49→50	53→55	41	235/285/387	152	312	17	17	30%	6%	86	+0.8	234/286/364	130	288	14	19	23%	6%	80	+0.4	260/307/416	155	297	18	22	19%	6%	102	+1.0
●Michael Saunders 2014 · MLB	27	48→52	51→55	53→55	51	239/315/407	167	300	17	18	25%	10%	104	+2.0	250/329/423	173	319	18	9	25%	10%	115	+2.7	243/316/422	179	305	19	3	26%	9%	104	+1.4
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	47→54	50→55	58→60	42	235/291/399	164	318	16	19	31%	7%	92	+1.2	211/274/368	157	327	17	18	38%	8%	77	+0.1	185/251/333	149	300	16	21	42%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Dalton Kelly 2022 · AAA	27	43→53	53→50	51→50	45	226/301/393	168	299	22	16	31%	9%	95	+1.4	203/276/350	147	308	18	13	38%	8%	74	-0.1	160/246/281	121	259	15	10	42%	9%	41	-1.4
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	50→54	53→55	57→60	49	255/318/432	178	288	20	25	20%	8%	112	+2.6	244/310/405	161	282	18	27	20%	8%	102	+1.8	231/299/380	150	267	17	31	20%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Skye Bolt 2022 · MLB	28	46→39	51→50	53→50	44	233/295/399	166	302	19	13	29%	7%	94	+1.3	234/298/369	135	314	15	12	29%	7%	87	+0.8	227/296/337	110	316	12	9	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Michael A. Taylor 2018 · MLB	27	47→53	52→55	54→60	40	238/288/402	164	323	20	24	32%	6%	92	+1.2	226/281/380	154	318	16	24	32%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	55	53→55	42	229/287/409	180	290	23	18	30%	6%	94	+1.3	232/293/371	139	295	15	20	25%	8%	86	+0.8	233/296/352	119	297	11	21	24%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Derek Fisher 2022 · MLB	28	45→52	50→55	48→55	47	226/301/381	156	304	18	11	31%	9%	92	+1.2	207/270/343	136	309	15	8	36%	7%	69	-0.4	124/197/248	125	185	17	0	43%	8%	11	-0.8
✕Corey Patterson 2006 · MLB	26	48→54	51→55	55→60	43	245/290/407	163	294	19	23	24%	6%	94	+1.3	249/288/392	143	284	16	35	18%	5%	89	+0.9	248/285/385	136	275	14	41	16%	4%	81	+0.4