Corey Brown
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 534 | .242/.320/.433 | 21 | 16 | 65 | — | .193/.241/.346 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 613 | .263/.351/.505 | 29 | 14 | 78 | — | .167/.212/.326 |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 695 | .272/.379/.514 | 32 | 21 | 106 | — | .234/.311/.433 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 214 | 196 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 17 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 322 | 551 | 873 | 291 | 324 | 34 | 8 | 378 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 351 | 300 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 96 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 270 | 363 | 483 | 847 | 213 | 345 | 27 | 12 | 367 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 281 | 250 | 67 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 69 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 268 | 349 | 488 | 837 | 220 | 337 | 25 | 10 | 368 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 148 | 135 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 253 | 378 | 631 | 185 | 223 | 24 | 7 | 275 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 386 | 331 | 106 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 93 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 320 | 416 | 502 | 917 | 181 | 419 | 24 | 13 | 405 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 462 | 396 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 134 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 235 | 327 | 402 | 728 | 167 | 317 | 29 | 10 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 231 | 400 | 631 | 200 | 267 | 33 | 4 | 265 | 64 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 554 | 484 | 138 | 22 | 9 | 25 | 59 | 139 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 285 | 367 | 523 | 890 | 238 | 349 | 25 | 11 | 385 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 333 | 143 | 27 | 20 | 364 | 131 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +0 | -0.4 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 438 | 389 | 99 | 26 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 132 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 254 | 329 | 473 | 802 | 219 | 332 | 30 | 9 | 348 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 36 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 472 | 407 | 880 | 111 | 471 | 28 | 22 | 408 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 357 | 325 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 28 | 106 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 296 | 446 | 742 | 215 | 284 | 30 | 8 | 325 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 37 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 278 | 226 | 504 | 65 | 278 | 38 | 14 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 455 | 407 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 130 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 243 | 319 | 445 | 763 | 201 | 307 | 29 | 9 | 336 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 79 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 329 | 362 | 691 | 130 | 286 | 23 | 13 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 469 | 426 | 106 | 21 | 7 | 23 | 41 | 155 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 249 | 315 | 493 | 808 | 244 | 333 | 33 | 9 | 351 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 144 | 111 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 315 | 469 | 550 | 1.018 | 234 | 387 | 22 | 21 | 445 | 187 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 462 | 381 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 24 | 73 | 124 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 291 | 409 | 562 | 971 | 270 | 367 | 27 | 16 | 419 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 233 | 207 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 81 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 237 | 319 | 425 | 744 | 188 | 345 | 35 | 11 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 42 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 432 | 701 | 243 | 227 | 31 | 10 | 300 | 89 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +1 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 214 | 201 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 97 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 189 | 238 | 398 | 636 | 209 | 287 | 45 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 351 | 314 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 131 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 366 | 648 | 153 | 305 | 37 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 281 | 258 | 57 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 221 | 285 | 395 | 680 | 174 | 301 | 30 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 148 | 139 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 173 | 212 | 331 | 543 | 158 | 204 | 30 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 386 | 349 | 91 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 120 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 261 | 330 | 410 | 740 | 149 | 370 | 31 | 9 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 462 | 411 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 163 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 204 | 273 | 350 | 624 | 146 | 286 | 35 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 231 | 400 | 631 | 200 | 267 | 33 | 4 | 264 | 64 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 554 | 505 | 128 | 19 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 173 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 253 | 311 | 457 | 768 | 204 | 329 | 31 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 333 | 143 | 27 | 20 | 362 | 131 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +0 | -0.4 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 438 | 403 | 83 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 162 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 206 | 259 | 387 | 646 | 181 | 285 | 37 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 357 | 337 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 130 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 178 | 220 | 323 | 543 | 145 | 241 | 36 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 455 | 425 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 152 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 193 | 241 | 346 | 587 | 153 | 255 | 33 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 469 | 442 | 74 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 25 | 205 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 167 | 212 | 326 | 538 | 158 | 264 | 44 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 462 | 411 | 96 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 149 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 234 | 311 | 433 | 744 | 200 | 304 | 32 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 515 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 23 | 39 | 227 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 386 | 653 | 181 | 309 | 40 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 565 | 496 | 132 | 27 | 2 | 30 | 58 | 168 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 266 | 348 | 510 | 858 | 244 | 338 | 30 | 10 | 371 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 281 | 258 | 57 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 221 | 285 | 395 | 680 | 174 | 299 | 30 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 281 | 250 | 67 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 69 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 268 | 349 | 488 | 837 | 220 | 337 | 25 | 10 | 368 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 488 | 115 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 165 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 236 | 298 | 387 | 685 | 152 | 326 | 31 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 466 | 132 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 63 | 129 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 283 | 371 | 466 | 837 | 182 | 362 | 24 | 12 | 369 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 462 | 411 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 163 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 204 | 273 | 350 | 624 | 146 | 301 | 35 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 462 | 396 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 134 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 235 | 327 | 402 | 728 | 167 | 317 | 29 | 10 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 581 | 530 | 132 | 20 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 182 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 249 | 305 | 451 | 756 | 202 | 331 | 31 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 581 | 509 | 143 | 24 | 9 | 26 | 60 | 148 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 281 | 361 | 517 | 878 | 236 | 345 | 25 | 10 | 379 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 447 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 179 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 206 | 265 | 389 | 654 | 183 | 290 | 37 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 489 | 428 | 109 | 30 | 1 | 20 | 51 | 146 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 255 | 340 | 470 | 809 | 215 | 336 | 30 | 10 | 353 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 371 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 143 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 175 | 217 | 318 | 535 | 143 | 242 | 36 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 394 | 356 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 120 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 225 | 294 | 427 | 721 | 202 | 284 | 30 | 8 | 317 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 500 | 97 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 29 | 178 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 194 | 241 | 346 | 587 | 152 | 260 | 33 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 476 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 53 | 148 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 320 | 433 | 753 | 191 | 303 | 28 | 10 | 333 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 613 | 575 | 99 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 268 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 172 | 220 | 336 | 555 | 163 | 271 | 44 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 613 | 537 | 141 | 27 | 8 | 29 | 71 | 186 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 263 | 351 | 505 | 855 | 242 | 346 | 30 | 12 | 373 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 695 | 622 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 28 | 64 | 224 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 232 | 306 | 428 | 734 | 196 | 309 | 32 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 695 | 588 | 160 | 36 | 5 | 32 | 98 | 205 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 272 | 379 | 514 | 892 | 241 | 360 | 29 | 14 | 389 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 517 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 23 | 39 | 227 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 205 | 267 | 385 | 652 | 180 | 298 | 40 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 281 | 256 | 57 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 285 | 398 | 683 | 176 | 301 | 30 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 486 | 115 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 165 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 237 | 298 | 389 | 686 | 152 | 324 | 31 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 462 | 420 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 163 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 200 | 273 | 343 | 616 | 143 | 286 | 35 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 581 | 533 | 132 | 20 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 182 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 248 | 305 | 448 | 754 | 201 | 326 | 31 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 450 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 179 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 204 | 265 | 387 | 652 | 182 | 280 | 37 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 371 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 143 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 175 | 217 | 318 | 535 | 143 | 241 | 36 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 498 | 97 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 29 | 178 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 195 | 241 | 347 | 588 | 153 | 255 | 33 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 613 | 573 | 99 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 268 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 173 | 220 | 337 | 556 | 164 | 264 | 44 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 695 | 623 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 28 | 64 | 224 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 231 | 306 | 427 | 733 | 196 | 304 | 32 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 432 | 701 | 243 | 227 | 31 | 10 | 300 | 76 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +1 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 108 | 46 | 0 | 31 | 62 | 201 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 188 | 268 | 431 | 699 | 243 | 226 | 31 | 10 | 300 | 76 | -8 | +3 | +13 | -177 | +14 | -15.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5148 | 4717 | 991 | 185 | 45 | 177 | 346 | 1813 | 34 | 136 | 38 | 210 | 269 | 381 | 650 | 171 | 296 | 35 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +1 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 125 | 23 | 6 | 22 | 44 | 229 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 210 | 269 | 379 | 648 | 169 | 296 | 35 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -8 | +3 | +13 | -177 | +14 | -15.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAToros de Tijuana · 462 PAwOBA .408 → .322 (−86)K% 26.8% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.84% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.50% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.35% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.952 | 20.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.95% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.952 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.952 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.34% | ÷0.892 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 6.98% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .408 → .322; ISO .270 → .212; BABIP .367 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 469 PAwOBA .340 → .235 (−105)K% 33.0% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.05% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 43.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.32% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.30% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.977 | ×0.962 | 16.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×0.962 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.58% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×0.962 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.49% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 6.73% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .340 → .235; ISO .244 → .167; BABIP .333 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADurham Bulls · 455 PAwOBA .328 → .255 (−73)K% 28.6% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷1.148 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.94% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.972 | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.972 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.972 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.039 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 5.39% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .328 → .255; ISO .201 → .160; BABIP .307 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 357 PAwOBA .315 → .232 (−83)K% 29.7% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.69% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.28% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.72% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 16.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷0.937 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.104 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.76% | ÷1.240 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 5.16% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .315 → .232; ISO .215 → .146; BABIP .284 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 438 PAwOBA .339 → .278 (−61)K% 30.1% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.14% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.45% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.62% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.959 | ×0.992 | 18.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.12% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.992 | 8.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.055 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×0.992 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.39% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 6.74% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 111, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .339 → .278; ISO .219 → .185; BABIP .332 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 554 PAwOBA .374 → .329 (−45)K% 25.1% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.09% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.75% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.77% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×1.030 | ×1.003 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.003 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×1.030 | ×1.003 | 2.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.25% | ÷0.925 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 6.60% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .374 → .329; ISO .238 → .213; BABIP .349 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 462 PAwOBA .311 → .267 (−44)K% 29.0% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.00% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.018 | 20.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.018 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.018 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.921 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 4.96% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .311 → .267; ISO .167 → .151; BABIP .317 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAMidland RockHounds · 386 PAwOBA .395 → .324 (−71)K% 24.1% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.09% | ÷0.945 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.21% | ÷1.035 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.09% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 28.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.107 | ×0.840 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 2.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.798 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.21% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 104, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 89, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .395 → .324; ISO .181 → .157; BABIP .419 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .