Tyler Neslony — OGILVIE

Tyler NeslonyRF Birmingham Barons

Age 32 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .303 / .379

PA170

HR4

K%26

BB%8

ISO140

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	2 teams	—	185	168	38	7	1	2	7	46	6	1	3	226	282	315	597	89	290	25	4	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	2 teams	—	185	164	46	9	1	2	11	32	6	1	3	280	348	384	732	104	328	17	6	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	3 teams	—	551	505	115	22	0	7	35	138	6	8	7	228	286	313	599	85	297	25	6	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	3 teams	—	551	484	134	24	1	14	55	92	6	8	7	277	357	417	774	140	314	17	10	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	491	465	96	19	1	4	21	143	1	9	5	206	242	277	520	71	286	29	4	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	491	451	110	24	2	4	35	108	1	9	5	244	300	333	632	89	309	22	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	217	198	46	9	4	5	15	58	3	4	2	232	296	394	690	162	301	27	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	217	192	56	9	4	5	21	43	3	4	2	292	370	458	829	167	352	20	10	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	205	188	45	18	1	6	14	67	2	1	1	239	299	441	741	202	336	33	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	205	176	52	18	1	8	26	52	2	1	1	295	392	545	938	250	376	25	13	408	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AA	2 teams	—	393	364	101	29	3	10	26	94	3	20	7	277	331	456	787	179	350	24	7	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AA	2 teams	—	393	352	109	30	3	13	38	72	3	20	7	310	382	523	904	213	360	18	10	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AA	2 teams	—	400	362	69	14	0	9	34	132	2	21	6	191	264	304	568	113	269	33	8	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AA	2 teams	—	400	343	82	16	0	13	53	96	2	21	6	239	344	399	744	160	292	24	13	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	144	136	28	7	0	0	4	38	1	5	3	206	234	257	491	51	277	26	3	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	144	133	30	8	0	0	7	28	1	5	3	226	270	286	555	60	278	19	5	249	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	CWS	—	170	154	37	7	1	4	13	45	1	4	1	240	304	377	680	136	309	26	8	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-2	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	CWS	23%	144	131	32	6	1	4	11	38	1	3	1	244	308	397	705	153	303	26	8	301	88	-2	+0	-4	-2	+4	-0.3
2028	34	MLB	CWS	18%	117	106	25	5	1	3	9	31	1	2	0	236	302	387	689	151	295	26	8	293	82	-2	+0	-5	-1	+3	-0.5
2027	33	MLB	CWS	23%	33	30	7	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	233	303	367	670	133	304	27	9	296	85	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	34	MLB	CWS	18%	21	19	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	263	333	474	807	211	296	29	10	288	79	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	54	49	12	2	0	2	5	15	0	1	0	245	315	408	723	163	312	28	9	293	83	-1	+0	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	144	24	0	24	60	181	0	12	0	244	314	407	721	163	312	28	9	293	83	-13	+2	-22	-7	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	3017	2777	632	143	13	54	189	830	27	78	36	228	283	347	630	119	302	28	6	276	70	-104	+1	-9	-32	+85	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	137	31	3	12	41	179	6	17	8	229	285	351	636	122	303	28	6	276	70	-22	+0	-2	-7	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Rome Braves	—	164	148	38	6	1	1	10	29	3	1	2	257	317	331	648	74	306	18	6	291	81	-4	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2016	22	ROK	Danville Braves	—	21	16	8	3	0	1	1	3	3	0	1	500	600	875	1.475	375	538	14	5	593	312	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2017	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	168	144	28	4	0	1	18	27	2	0	1	194	291	243	534	49	229	16	11	250	50	-10	-0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2017	23	A+	Florida Fire Frogs	—	241	217	67	17	0	4	22	43	2	0	4	309	378	442	820	134	371	18	9	368	139	+11	-2	—	—	+7	1.6
2017	23	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	142	123	39	3	1	9	15	22	2	8	2	317	400	577	977	260	319	15	11	420	180	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2018	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	491	451	110	24	2	4	35	108	1	9	5	244	300	333	632	89	309	22	7	285	76	-13	-0	—	—	+14	0.1
2019	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	217	192	56	9	4	5	21	43	3	4	2	292	370	458	829	167	352	20	10	367	139	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2021	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	205	176	52	18	1	8	26	52	2	1	1	295	392	545	938	250	376	25	13	408	170	+16	-0	—	—	+6	2.2
2022	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	101	94	25	4	0	2	7	24	0	4	2	266	317	372	689	106	338	24	7	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	28	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	292	258	84	26	3	11	31	48	3	16	5	326	404	578	982	252	367	16	11	427	185	+28	+1	—	—	+8	3.8
2023	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	183	160	39	8	0	6	21	44	1	7	3	244	335	406	741	163	297	24	11	332	112	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	29	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	217	183	43	8	0	7	32	52	1	14	3	235	352	393	745	158	288	24	15	338	116	+4	+2	—	—	+6	1.2
2024	30	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	144	133	30	8	0	0	7	28	1	5	3	226	270	286	555	60	278	19	5	249	48	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Neslony (OGILVIE)	32	—	—	—	—	239/303/379	139	309	4	4	26%	8%	93	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	43→44	52→55	53→50	44	222/284/389	167	280	19	12	28%	7%	87	+0.8	231/298/418	187	310	23	9	31%	8%	101	+1.8	210/276/405	195	273	27	2	33%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Rafael Ortega 2023 · MLB	32	50→54	48→55	48→55	55	249/329/390	141	294	15	18	20%	10%	105	+2.1	225/314/362	137	278	14	21	23%	11%	92	+1.2	210/310/339	129	260	13	26	23%	12%	83	+0.4
✕James Adduci 2017 · MLB	32	46→56	45→50	51→60	46	226/287/350	124	288	12	14	26%	8%	77	+0.1	245/288/372	127	327	11	13	27%	6%	83	+0.6	247/285/371	124	326	12	12	27%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Mike Freeman 2020 · MLB	32	48→58	44→45	44→55	46	237/301/353	115	309	13	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	224/296/341	117	303	12	8	28%	8%	79	+0.3	196/275/293	97	271	9	6	29%	9%	54	-0.7
✕Preston Tucker 2023 · AAA	33	47→46	48→55	48→40	47	237/296/376	140	273	15	6	20%	6%	89	+0.9	242/326/401	159	297	17	7	23%	10%	108	+2.3	242/359/428	186	300	19	2	24%	13%	124	+1.4
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2018 · MLB	31	53→63	45	51→60	50	257/325/374	117	317	13	15	23%	8%	99	+1.7	223/282/332	109	289	11	19	25%	7%	70	-0.3	174/208/234	60	231	3	36	25%	4%	10	-1.2
✕Michael A. Taylor 2023 · MLB	32	51→53	46→55	46→60	45	251/308/373	123	318	15	10	25%	7%	92	+1.2	222/281/376	154	301	19	16	31%	7%	82	+0.5	201/261/364	162	276	20	20	34%	7%	69	-0.2
●Michael Tucker 2004 · MLB	33	50→52	50→55	50→55	53	251/324/415	164	293	16	17	20%	9%	109	+2.4	245/333/391	146	288	13	10	19%	11%	108	+2.3	238/335/372	134	280	12	9	18%	12%	99	+1.2
✕Jon Weber 2009 · AAA	31	48→54	46→50	48→50	45	238/289/374	136	288	13	12	22%	6%	85	+0.7	237/295/367	130	294	11	8	22%	7%	85	+0.7	239/301/367	127	295	10	5	21%	7%	85	+0.4
●Jason Pridie 2015 · AAA	31	46→54	45→50	55	41	229/272/352	122	291	13	19	26%	5%	71	-0.3	254/301/421	167	307	21	19	24%	6%	102	+1.8	275/323/469	194	323	26	19	23%	6%	122	+2.9
✕Mario Lisson 2016 · AAA	32	47→49	49→55	48→55	43	239/296/379	140	296	18	9	25%	6%	89	+1.0	219/287/358	139	293	16	8	29%	8%	80	+0.4	201/279/343	142	269	17	6	31%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2017 · MLB	33	42→48	48→55	48→45	48	212/293/354	143	279	16	5	29%	9%	82	+0.5	207/271/347	140	282	15	5	31%	7%	70	-0.3	185/243/323	138	252	16	1	33%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Chris Dickerson 2015 · MLB	33	50→55	48→50	53→60	46	240/314/385	145	330	15	19	30%	9%	98	+1.6	240/309/373	133	335	13	18	30%	8%	93	+1.3	230/312/342	113	327	10	17	30%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Brad Snyder 2014 · AAA	32	50→53	47→60	43→50	38	238/284/376	137	343	14	12	34%	6%	82	+0.5	235/287/404	169	334	22	9	34%	7%	92	+1.2	228/288/437	209	301	30	3	34%	8%	99	+0.6
✕Nick Martini 2023 · MLB	33	48→58	46→55	46→45	48	234/315/366	132	295	14	7	24%	8%	94	+1.3	229/311/391	162	278	18	3	24%	9%	99	+1.7	216/305/367	151	261	16	0	23%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→50	50→55	44	198/265/333	135	266	15	12	31%	8%	64	-0.8	203/276/336	133	297	16	11	35%	8%	70	-0.3	193/272/319	126	285	16	11	36%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Juan Lagares 2021 · MLB	32	47→57	45	50	47	232/296/355	123	294	12	11	25%	8%	82	+0.5	231/272/361	130	288	11	6	23%	5%	74	-0.1	235/266/373	138	292	11	2	23%	4%	72	-0.1
●Cory Aldridge 2012 · AAA	33	46→50	51→55	46→45	39	234/279/395	161	313	19	6	31%	6%	86	+0.8	212/271/379	167	311	24	8	38%	7%	79	+0.3	214/280/387	173	293	27	5	36%	8%	84	+0.3
✕Darren Bragg 2002 · MLB	32	49	44→45	49→50	47	236/305/364	128	318	10	15	28%	9%	89	+0.9	243/314/360	117	312	9	11	23%	9%	92	+1.2	239/311/346	108	305	8	9	23%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Mark Little 2005 · MLB	33	48	43→55	49→55	47	230/317/345	115	295	10	10	24%	8%	90	+1.0	232/314/378	146	311	15	16	29%	7%	98	+1.6	224/312/363	139	309	14	18	30%	6%	90	+0.6