Eli White

LF Boston Red Sox

Age 33 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 4.814 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBIL-6040-MANArb-2FA 2029

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	30	AAAATL	340	.294/.389/.447	8	24	86	—	.242/.319/.350
2024	30	MLBATL	42	.282/.333/.436	1	3	118	-0.2
2025	31	MLBATL	271	.234/.271/.406	10	10	85	0.2
2026	32	MLBBOS	204	.246/.291/.398	6	5	88	0.1
2027PROJ	33	MLBBOS	101	.255/.305/.418	3	7	98	0.3
2028PROJ82% MLB	34	MLBBOS	116	.244/.293/.395	4	5	89	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.0 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service4.814First FA2029

2027Arb-2$1M2028Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Speed90

Bat Spd73

Barrel%49

xwOBA35

Avg EV22

Form.254/.298/.422 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .248/.297/.411

CompsJustin Greene (age 33) · Alexis Gomez (age 32) · Rajai Davis (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 10198vR 88

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .305 / .418

PA101

HR3

SB7

K%24

BB%6

BABIP305

ISO161

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

340.239

POWER50

Barrel%

498.1

Avg EV

2287.0

Bat Spd

7373.8

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

9030.3

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▲19% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 23%

BB%5%▼3% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 6%

ISO.168·.194 over 31 AB (60d) · proj .163

BABIP.297·.333 over 24 BIP (60d) · proj .296

SLASH.254/.298/.422·proj .248/.297/.411

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 322 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

116

206

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

314

285

◀L

ISO

204

149

◀◀L

BABIP

268

295

▶R

24.1%

27.2%

◀L

BB%

5.2%

2.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2020

Service 4.814 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.2M
2028	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$0.1M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	23	A+	Stockton Ports	—	502	448	121	32	6	4	41	121	9	12	5	270	343	395	738	125	360	24	8	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	578	504	154	30	8	9	62	116	8	18	9	306	390	450	841	145	379	20	11	374	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	69	61	21	2	1	1	4	18	3	3	1	344	412	459	871	115	465	26	6	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	499	438	111	20	5	14	43	138	14	14	5	253	339	418	757	164	336	28	9	337	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	52	48	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	188	235	229	464	42	273	31	6	211	30	-4	-0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
2021	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	220	198	35	6	1	6	18	66	4	4	3	177	259	308	567	131	230	30	8	260	59	-11	-0	+3	-3	+5	-0.7
2021	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	80	67	23	2	1	3	12	20	1	3	1	343	450	537	987	194	455	25	15	436	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	117	105	21	2	0	3	11	41	0	12	1	200	276	305	581	105	290	35	9	265	62	-5	+2	+4	+0	+3	0.4
2023	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	17	14	1	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	71	235	71	307		143	41	12	179	7	-2	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2023	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	201	169	43	4	1	9	30	58	0	14	1	254	367	450	817	195	327	29	15	361	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	42	39	11	1	1	1	1	12	2	3	1	282	333	436	769	154	385	29	2	343	118	+1	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.2
2024	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	340	293	86	17	2	8	38	76	8	24	2	294	389	447	836	154	371	22	11	375	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	271	256	60	8	3	10	11	70	2	10	1	234	271	406	678	172	282	26	4	297	85	-5	+2	+2	-3	+6	0.2
2026	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	204	191	47	9	1	6	11	45	1	5	1	246	291	398	689	152	291	22	5	305	88	-3	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	923	851	184	28	6	26	57	257	10	35	8	216	273	355	628	139	276	28	6	281	76	-26	+4	+10	-12	+20	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	23	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	502	463	100	25	5	2	26	161	9	12	5	216	271	305	576	89	318	32	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	578	522	130	24	6	8	44	146	8	18	9	249	317	364	681	115	325	25	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	449	86	15	3	10	32	176	14	14	5	192	267	305	572	114	285	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	52	48	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	188	235	229	464	42	273	31	6	212	30	-4	-0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
2021	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	220	198	35	6	1	6	18	66	4	4	3	177	259	308	567	131	230	30	8	256	59	-11	-0	+3	-3	+5	-0.7
2021	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	80	71	21	2	1	2	8	22	1	3	1	296	375	437	812	141	413	28	10	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	117	105	21	2	0	3	11	41	0	12	1	200	276	305	581	105	290	35	9	260	62	-5	+2	+4	+0	+3	0.4
2023	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	17	14	1	0	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	71	235	71	307		143	41	12	179	7	-2	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2023	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	201	179	37	3	1	6	20	69	0	14	1	207	286	335	622	128	290	34	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	42	39	11	1	1	1	1	12	2	3	1	282	333	436	769	154	385	29	2	343	118	+1	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.2
2024	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	340	306	74	14	2	5	26	95	8	24	2	242	319	350	668	108	328	28	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	271	257	60	8	3	10	10	70	2	10	1	233	268	405	672	171	282	26	4	294	85	-5	+2	+2	-3	+6	0.2
2026	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	204	191	46	8	1	6	11	45	1	5	1	241	286	387	673	147	291	22	5	299	88	-3	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2017	23	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	502	463	100	25	5	2	26	161	9	12	5	216	271	305	576	89	325	32	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ RAW	Stockton Ports	—	502	448	121	32	6	4	41	121	9	12	5	270	343	395	738	125	360	24	8	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	647	582	146	27	7	9	49	164	11	21	10	251	321	368	689	117	331	25	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	647	565	175	32	9	10	66	134	11	21	10	310	393	451	844	142	387	21	10	375	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	449	86	15	3	10	32	176	14	14	5	192	267	305	572	114	286	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	499	438	111	20	5	14	43	138	14	14	5	253	339	418	757	164	336	28	9	337	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	52	48	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	188	235	229	464	42	273	31	6	212	30	-4	-0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
2020	26	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	52	48	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	188	235	229	464	42	273	31	6	211	30	-4	-0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
2021	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	300	269	56	8	2	8	26	88	5	7	4	208	290	342	632	134	277	29	9	284	78	-8	-0	+3	-3	+6	-0.2
2021	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	300	265	58	8	2	9	30	86	5	7	4	219	310	366	676	147	288	29	10	307	78	-8	-0	+3	-3	+6	-0.2
2022	28	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	117	105	21	2	0	3	11	41	0	12	1	200	276	305	581	105	290	35	9	260	62	-5	+2	+4	+0	+3	0.4
2022	28	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	117	105	21	2	0	3	11	41	0	12	1	200	276	305	581	105	290	35	9	265	62	-5	+2	+4	+0	+3	0.4
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	218	193	38	3	1	6	22	76	1	14	1	197	282	316	598	119	283	35	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	218	183	44	4	1	9	32	65	1	14	1	240	356	421	777	180	315	30	15	347	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	345	85	15	3	6	26	107	10	27	3	246	318	359	677	113	339	28	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	382	332	97	18	3	9	39	88	10	27	3	292	383	446	829	154	373	23	10	371	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	271	257	60	8	3	10	10	70	2	10	1	233	268	405	672	171	281	26	4	294	85	-5	+2	+2	-3	+6	0.2
2025	31	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	271	256	60	8	3	10	11	70	2	10	1	234	271	406	678	172	282	26	4	297	85	-5	+2	+2	-3	+6	0.2
2026	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	204	191	46	8	1	6	11	45	1	5	1	241	286	387	673	147	284	22	5	299	88	-3	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2026	32	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	204	191	47	9	1	6	11	45	1	5	1	246	291	398	689	152	291	22	5	305	88	-3	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2017	23	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	502	462	100	25	5	2	26	161	9	12	5	216	271	305	576	89	318	32	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	647	582	146	27	7	9	49	164	11	21	10	251	321	368	689	117	325	25	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	450	86	15	3	10	32	176	14	14	5	191	267	304	571	113	285	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	52	49	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	1	1	184	235	224	460	41	273	31	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	300	266	56	8	2	8	26	88	5	7	4	211	290	346	636	135	279	29	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	117	105	21	2	0	3	11	41	0	12	1	200	276	305	581	105	290	35	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	218	193	38	3	1	6	22	76	1	14	1	197	282	316	598	119	279	35	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	343	85	15	3	6	26	107	10	27	3	248	318	362	679	114	334	28	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	271	257	60	8	3	10	10	70	2	10	1	233	268	405	672	171	282	26	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	204	190	46	8	1	6	11	45	1	5	1	242	286	389	675	147	291	22	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	382	343	85	15	3	6	26	107	10	27	3	248	318	362	679	114	334	28	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	271	257	60	8	3	10	10	70	2	10	1	233	268	405	672	171	282	26	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	32	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	204	190	46	8	1	6	11	45	1	5	1	242	286	389	675	147	291	22	5	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	33	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	243	225	56	9	2	8	14	57	2	17	3	249	299	411	711	163	296	23	6	313	98	-1	+2	+2	-3	+5	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	33	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	101	93	24	4	1	3	6	24	1	7	1	255	305	418	722	163	305	24	6	318	98	-0	+1	+1	-1	+2	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	BOS	82%	141	131	31	5	1	4	8	34	1	7	1	238	288	389	677	151	287	24	6	299	89	-2	+1	-3	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	34	MLB CTX	BOS	82%	116	108	27	4	1	4	6	28	1	5	1	244	293	395	688	152	295	24	5	304	89	-2	+1	-3	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1039	959	211	32	7	30	63	285	11	40	9	220	276	362	638	142	279	27	6	283	77	-28	+4	+8	-13	+23	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	132	20	4	19	39	178	7	25	6	220	276	362	637	142	278	27	6	283	77	-17	+3	+5	-8	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3434	3126	702	122	27	67	230	1002	55	137	34	225	289	345	635	121	306	29	7	281	77	-28	+6	+8	-14	+25	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	133	23	5	13	44	190	10	26	6	225	290	346	636	122	305	29	7	281	77	-16	+3	+4	-8	+14	-0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 340 PAwOBA .367 → .295 (−72)K% 22.4% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.35%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	27.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.18%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.49%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	2.15%
Singles /BIP	27.19%	÷0.977	×0.930	×0.989	×0.972	24.89%
Doubles /BIP	7.83%	÷0.961	×0.830	×0.989	×0.972	6.51%
Triples /BIP	0.92%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.989	×0.972	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	3.69%	÷0.968	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.59%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .367 → .295; ISO .154 → .114; BABIP .371 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 201 PAwOBA .356 → .281 (−75)K% 28.9% → 34.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.86%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	34.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.93%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.982	10.14%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.13%	÷0.968	×0.930	×0.974	×0.982	24.00%
Doubles /BIP	3.60%	÷0.933	×0.830	×0.974	×0.982	3.07%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷0.999	×0.970	×0.974	×0.982	0.84%
Home runs /BIP	8.11%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×0.982	5.66%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .356 → .281; ISO .195 → .143; BABIP .327 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAARound Rock Express · 80 PAwOBA .425 → .362 (−63)K% 25.0% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.072	×1.200	—	—	27.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.00%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×1.003	10.65%
HBP% /PA	1.25%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.18%
Singles /BIP	36.17%	÷0.999	×0.930	—	×1.003	33.78%
Doubles /BIP	4.26%	÷0.915	×0.830	—	×1.003	3.87%
Triples /BIP	2.13%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×1.003	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	6.38%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.003	4.68%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .362; ISO .194 → .153; BABIP .455 → .413. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANashville Sounds · 499 PAwOBA .331 → .260 (−71)K% 27.7% → 35.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.66%	÷1.015	×1.290	—	—	35.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.62%	÷0.988	×0.710	—	×1.033	6.39%
HBP% /PA	2.81%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	2.84%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.007	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	21.05%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.967	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	5.48%
Triples /BIP	1.67%	÷1.069	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	4.67%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.77%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .331 → .260; ISO .164 → .122; BABIP .336 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAMidland RockHounds · 578 PAwOBA .366 → .300 (−66)K% 20.1% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.07%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	25.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.55%	÷0.985	×0.700	—	×1.012	7.59%
HBP% /PA	1.38%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	1.22%
Singles /BIP	27.58%	÷1.050	×0.920	×0.991	×1.012	24.23%
Doubles /BIP	7.73%	÷1.041	×0.840	×0.991	×1.012	6.26%
Triples /BIP	2.06%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.991	×1.012	1.69%
Home runs /BIP	2.32%	÷0.922	×0.800	—	×1.012	2.04%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .366 → .300; ISO .145 → .119; BABIP .379 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Stockton Ports · 502 PAwOBA .323 → .253 (−70)K% 24.1% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.10%	÷1.010	×1.340	—	—	31.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.17%	÷1.115	×0.710	—	×0.998	5.19%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	1.41%
Singles /BIP	24.16%	÷0.979	×0.910	×0.986	×0.998	22.09%
Doubles /BIP	9.79%	÷0.972	×0.820	×0.986	×0.998	8.12%
Triples /BIP	1.83%	÷0.900	×0.760	×0.986	×0.998	1.52%
Home runs /BIP	1.22%	÷1.397	×0.920	—	×0.998	0.80%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 96, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 102, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .323 → .253; ISO .125 → .093; BABIP .360 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	1.6	1,092	32	45	223	274	367	-12	+11	-0.6	-0.6
/162	664	20	28	-7.1	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli White (OGILVIE)	33	50	50	60	50	247/297/408	161	296	4	8	23%	6%	98	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Greene 2019 · AAA	33	57→62	44→50	59→60	46	275/327/394	119	340	12	42	22%	7%	104	+1.6	244/294/364	120	321	13	21	27%	6%	85	+0.2	250/289/346	96	332	11	21	27%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Alexis Gomez 2011 · AAA	32	55→59	49→50	60→55	48	273/321/418	145	312	17	34	18%	7%	108	+1.9	253/302/386	133	297	13	21	19%	6%	93	+0.8	248/288/374	126	286	7	13	16%	4%	84	+0.0
✕Rajai Davis 2014 · MLB	33	52→62	43→50	67→70	45	251/301/371	120	301	10	56	20%	6%	90	+0.6	264/312/405	141	311	12	41	19%	6%	101	+1.4	264/312/409	145	311	13	43	19%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Wynton Bernard 2024 · MLB	33	49→59	43→45	60	45	240/290/359	119	294	10	32	22%	6%	82	+0.0	232/277/340	108	287	10	30	22%	5%	74	-0.6	225/254/312	87	273	7	44	20%	3%	54	-0.9
●Coco Crisp 2013 · MLB	33	53→59	47→50	67→65	54	261/320/406	145	281	13	44	13%	8%	105	+1.7	248/323/399	151	262	16	24	13%	10%	105	+1.7	240/322/384	144	253	16	20	12%	11%	101	+1.0
✕Agustin Murillo 2015 · AAA	33	54→62	48→45	56→55	51	268/329/410	141	289	16	27	14%	7%	109	+2.0	247/298/358	111	270	11	20	13%	6%	86	+0.3	240/287/326	86	264	8	18	13%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Jon Berti 2023 · MLB	33	50→60	42→45	62→60	55	237/326/347	110	304	8	39	23%	11%	94	+0.9	263/324/370	107	324	10	29	21%	8%	98	+1.2	276/329/367	91	337	9	30	20%	6%	100	+0.5
✕Dairon Blanco 2024 · MLB	31	53→50	45	72→70	44	257/318/384	127	330	12	66	25%	6%	99	+1.3	234/296/356	122	301	12	65	25%	6%	85	+0.2	211/270/327	116	266	14	82	25%	6%	67	-0.4
●Donzell McDonald II 2006 · AAA	31	48→58	47→50	66→65	49	238/312/382	144	287	13	43	22%	8%	97	+1.1	245/313/379	134	306	10	35	22%	8%	96	+1.0	263/326/398	134	324	9	22	20%	8%	104	+1.2
✕Eric Byrnes 2009 · MLB	33	51→56	52→60	58→60	50	259/318/437	178	277	19	28	15%	7%	112	+2.2	227/287/384	157	242	16	17	14%	7%	88	+0.5	220/265/383	163	221	17	18	11%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Dustin Martin 2017 · AAA	33	54→58	47→50	57→55	46	266/321/409	143	327	15	27	23%	7%	106	+1.8	233/301/375	142	301	15	24	26%	8%	91	+0.7	206/284/344	138	266	16	26	28%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Justin Christian 2012 · MLB	32	51→54	43→45	62→65	48	245/296/359	115	273	9	33	14%	6%	85	+0.2	237/287/343	106	266	8	22	14%	6%	78	-0.3	231/281/333	102	259	7	17	14%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Demond Smith 2008 · AAA	35	52→51	48→45	59→60	48	256/305/412	155	280	14	32	15%	6%	101	+1.4	235/303/348	113	277	9	32	18%	8%	85	+0.2	226/305/311	85	273	4	42	17%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Greg Allen 2024 · MLB	31	48→57	43→45	64→65	46	227/323/344	117	300	10	43	26%	8%	94	+0.9	215/293/329	114	285	9	28	27%	6%	79	-0.2	202/278/307	105	272	7	27	27%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Eduardo Núñez 2018 · MLB	31	58→65	49→50	56→60	46	290/324/436	147	311	16	30	13%	4%	114	+2.3	254/285/378	124	279	13	15	14%	4%	85	+0.2	242/267/351	108	267	11	10	14%	3%	72	-0.4
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	46→56	48→50	57→60	46	224/301/365	141	321	16	26	33%	9%	89	+0.5	216/291/331	115	324	12	16	34%	9%	78	-0.3	199/276/290	91	309	9	13	35%	9%	60	-1.0
✕Dylan Moore 2024 · MLB	31	43→49	52→55	55→65	50	217/320/390	173	294	19	29	31%	10%	103	+1.5	206/299/361	155	279	16	32	30%	10%	88	+0.5	189/278/324	136	257	15	36	31%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Eugenio Velez 2015 · AAA	33	52→60	43→50	56→65	45	252/299/366	114	307	9	30	21%	6%	88	+0.4	245/288/333	88	296	7	26	19%	5%	76	-0.4	253/296/323	70	307	4	29	18%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Cameron Maybin 2018 · MLB	31	52→60	45→50	57→55	54	252/327/377	125	300	12	30	20%	10%	101	+1.4	251/328/385	134	316	13	20	23%	10%	103	+1.6	255/333/386	131	328	12	16	24%	10%	106	+0.8
✕Tom Goodwin 2002 · MLB	34	51→55	41→45	65	53	245/314/347	102	295	8	42	19%	9%	89	+0.5	247/305/344	97	297	7	39	18%	8%	84	+0.2	252/305/328	76	305	3	51	17%	7%	81	-0.0

Eli White

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps