Dairon BlancoCF Round Rock Express
Age 33 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 141108vR 25
AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .313 / .383
PA200
HR5
SB25
K%24
BB%7
BABIP307
ISO139
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +5.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +7.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT50
Whiff%
2114.2%
xwOBA
300.285
POWER50
Barrel%
406.9
Avg EV
1085.3
Bat Spd
5371.7
EYE40
Chase%
5131.6%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.6
Platoon Splits2024 · 132 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
69
63
wRC+
151
31
◀◀L
wOBA
383
226
◀◀L
ISO
206
053
◀◀L
BABIP
362
263
◀◀L
K%
20.3%
28.6%
◀◀L
BB%
7.2%
4.8%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-1$0.8M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-2$2M
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201825 A+2 teams 446417 1061691 211212 283 254293343636 89350 275 280 72
201825 A+2 teams 446399 11819111 38842 283 296359406765 110367 199 338 117
201926 AA2 teams 630586 10420119 342574 4119 177228295523 118295 415 227 32
201926 AA2 teams 630572 15323167 481854 4119 267329400729 133382 298 323 105
202128 AA3 teams 650592 14117518 3515813 6221 238295375670 137295 245 289 80
202128 AA3 teams 650576 16526516 5112313 6221 286358432790 146340 198 349 125
202229 AAA2 teams 613558 13722317 361919 7012 246302387689 142337 316 298 86
202229 AAA2 teams 613549 16528315 451259 7012 301363444808 144361 207 355 130
202330 AAA3 teams 463409 1251868 3310113 8913 306376438813 132386 227 360 134
202330 AAA3 teams 463402 1221966 409213 8913 303385425810 122378 209 359 133
202431 MLBKansas City Royals 132121 31404 8321 317 256308388696 132314 246 313 98 -0 +3 -2 -1 +4 0.3
202431 MLBKansas City Royals 132120 31404 8321 317 258308392699 133318 246 308 94 -1 +3 -2 -1 +4 0.3
202532 AAA2 teams 333297 581218 22867 343 195267323590 128245 267 258 56
202532 AAA2 teams 333291 721418 27727 343 247325385710 137302 228 314 98
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD33 AAATEX 7365 12300 4223 72 185264231495 46273 305 242 43 -5 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
YTD33 AAATEX 7361 14400 6173 72 230319295615 66311 238 282 74 -2 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.0
ROS33 AAATEX 10% 200180 44815 14494 254 244313383696 139301 247 305 92 -2 +3 +0 -2 +6 0.6
ROS33 MLBTEX 10% 2019 4100 150 20 211250263513 53302 255 291 81 -0 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.0
FULL33 AAATEX 9384 16400 5273 92 190261238499 48276 295 252 51 -5 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
TOT33 AAATEX 273245 561115 18717 326 229300343643 114298 267 288 79 -7 +4 +0 -3 +8 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBTEX 6% 230207 48815 16585 203 232303353655 121297 257 298 86 -4 +3 -4 -2 +7 -0.1
202734 MLBTEX 6% 1312 2000 130 10 167231167397 299 238 284 75 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 303275 691247 20733 5812 251308400708 149316 247 319 102 +1 +7 +0 -7 +9 1.0
/ 162G 650590 14926915 431576 12426 253308403712 151319 247 319 102 +1 +14 +0 -14 +18 2.1
Career 36973367 7941253775 219105358 40085 236294362656 126318 286 287 78 -92 +46 -3 -26 +105 3.1
/ 162G 650592 14022713 3918510 7015 236295363658 127319 286 287 78 -16 +8 -0 -5 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201825 A+Stockton Ports 346313 9113101 25662 222 291346406752 115359 197 331 111 +4 +4 +10 1.8
201825 INTLCriollos de Caguas 10086 27610 13180 61 314404407811 93397 1813 365 137 +4 +1 +3 0.8
201926 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 469427 11220137 371373 3313 262325419745 157370 298 329 110 +5 +1 +13 2.0
201926 INTLToros del Este 161145 41330 11481 86 283338345682 62418 307 303 90 -2 -1 +5 0.2
202128 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 148131 33605 11314 95 252329412741 160295 217 329 110 +2 -0 +4 0.6
202128 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 329291 841159 25648 329 289361454815 165342 198 358 132 +12 +3 +9 2.4
202128 INTLTomateros de Culiacan 173154 48902 15281 217 312376409786 97371 169 349 125 +5 +1 +5 1.1
202229 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 414366 11020314 35986 457 301371486857 186371 248 373 144 +21 +6 +12 3.9
202229 INTLLeones de Ponce 199183 55801 10273 255 301347361708 60346 145 317 101 +0 +3 +6 0.9
202330 MLBKansas City Royals 138124 32743 10332 245 258324452775 194330 247 336 116 +2 +3 +2 -5 +4 0.7
202330 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 208173 60713 223510 476 347449451900 104416 1711 403 167 +16 +7 +6 2.9
202330 INTLEstrellas Orientales 117105 30510 8241 182 286342352694 67366 217 308 94 -1 +3 +3 0.5
202431 MLBKansas City Royals 132120 31404 8321 317 258308392699 133318 246 308 94 -1 +3 -2 -1 +4 0.3
202532 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 295257 651318 24647 323 253332405737 152306 228 325 107 +2 +5 +8 1.6
202532 INTLEstrellas Orientales 3834 7100 380 20 206270235506 29269 218 232 36 -3 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 270244 631147 18653 5512 258316422738 164324 247 322 105 +1 +6 +0 -6 +8 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#2Luis Matoslast yr '06
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA
61,7403071258315379+1+14.64.6
/1626641127+0.4+0.21.7pk7: 5
#3Damian Jacksonlast yr '06
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA
61,9302195248324354-6-53.63.6
/162664733-1.9-1.61.2pk7: 4
#4Chris Singletonlast yr '05
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA
51,9092861265308392-9-33.33.3
/1626641021-3.0-1.21.2pk7: 3
#5Tony Womacklast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,230 PA
73,23023169269310351-8-73.33.3
/162664535-1.7-1.50.7pk7: 3
#6Roger Cedenolast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,250 PA
62,25029124270330371-17-252.32.3
/162664937-5.1-7.30.7pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2310860255311415-3+11.41.4
/16266417128-7.1+1.93.1pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dairon Blanco (OGILVIE) 33 50 50 60 40 229/300/343 114298 532 26% 7% 79 +0.3
Rajai Davis
2014 · MLB
33 52→62 43→50 67→70 46 251/302/370 119300 1056 20% 6% 89 +0.9 267/314/409 142314 1341 19% 6% 104 +2.0 266/315/413147314134319%6%103+1.5
Justin Greene
2019 · AAA
33 58→65 47→50 59→60 45 283/335/417 134350 1442 23% 7% 115 +2.7 256/303/391 135333 1521 26% 6% 95 +1.4 283/324/407125371152127%6%102+0.5
Coco Crisp
2013 · MLB
33 54→59 47→50 67→65 54 265/324/410 145286 1244 13% 8% 108 +2.3 251/328/401 150267 1624 13% 10% 108 +2.3 244/328/386142258152012%11%100+1.2
Jon Berti
2023 · MLB
33 50→60 42→45 62→60 55 237/326/345 108304 839 23% 11% 93 +1.3 265/328/371 106327 1029 21% 8% 99 +1.7 279/335/3709134193020%7%98+0.6
Donzell McDonald II
2007 · AAA
32 52→62 48→50 68→65 51 257/328/414 157307 1344 20% 9% 111 +2.5 265/331/411 146332 1128 22% 9% 111 +2.5 281/345/432151346102220%8%121+2.5
Tom Goodwin
2001 · MLB
33 54→56 41→45 67→65 56 256/337/353 97313 745 20% 11% 98 +1.6 249/312/348 99300 742 18% 9% 87 +0.8 250/304/3398930055117%7%79+0.1
Gilberto Mejia
2016 · AAA
33 57→64 41→45 64→65 45 272/324/384 113322 640 17% 5% 101 +1.8 248/296/341 93294 630 17% 5% 78 +0.2 248/294/3217229443116%5%68-0.2
Freddy Guzman
2014 · AAA
33 59→68 44→45 75→70 49 285/335/409 124329 1169 17% 7% 112 +2.6 256/306/354 98307 851 18% 7% 85 +0.7 235/294/2976229225019%8%62-0.5
Jarrod Dyson
2018 · MLB
33 54→58 41→45 65→70 52 257/325/367 109291 743 14% 7% 98 +1.6 226/304/319 93264 835 17% 10% 77 +0.1 208/290/2877925164018%10%60-0.5
Esteban German
2011 · MLB
33 52→61 38→45 61→60 52 242/315/328 86293 537 18% 8% 83 +0.6 247/312/340 93289 633 16% 8% 85 +0.7 264/329/3478330253813%9%89+0.9
Dave Roberts
2006 · MLB
34 54→61 43→45 64→65 59 257/337/385 128282 937 12% 10% 107 +2.2 266/340/379 113304 538 13% 10% 106 +2.2 268/343/36910130934313%10%101+1.2
Alexis Gomez
2011 · AAA
32 56→61 53→55 60→55 46 283/328/456 173320 2234 19% 6% 122 +3.3 257/303/402 145299 1521 19% 6% 97 +1.5 251/294/37712629081316%4%85+0.2
Eric Young Sr.
2001 · MLB
34 60→62 41→45 62→60 59 283/354/390 107292 740 6% 9% 115 +2.8 271/334/383 112284 731 7% 8% 105 +2.1 267/344/3741072808297%9%104+1.7
Eugenio Velez
2015 · AAA
33 54→58 44→50 56→65 45 263/309/385 122322 1130 22% 6% 95 +1.4 261/303/359 98313 826 18% 5% 85 +0.7 277/319/3578033352918%5%89+0.6
Ryan Freel
2008 · MLB
32 54→59 42→45 57→65 54 259/337/372 113303 834 16% 9% 105 +2.1 250/318/344 94301 622 18% 8% 89 +0.9 258/324/3105131902417%8%80+0.1
Wynton Bernard
2023 · MLB
32 47→57 47→45 61→60 44 233/280/372 139279 1430 22% 6% 80 +0.4 234/283/346 112296 1033 23% 6% 75 -0.0 231/283/3279529983924%6%65-0.5
Eduardo Núñez
2018 · MLB
31 58→61 48→50 55→60 46 290/326/437 147312 1630 13% 5% 117 +2.9 253/283/375 122278 1315 14% 4% 82 +0.5 240/264/347107264111014%3%64-0.4
Cameron Maybin
2018 · MLB
31 52→60 44→50 57→55 54 252/328/376 123302 1130 20% 10% 102 +1.8 252/330/385 133318 1220 23% 10% 105 +2.1 256/335/387131329121624%10%104+0.9
Jacoby Ellsbury
2015 · MLB
31 55→65 45→55 64→65 52 271/327/403 132301 1237 15% 8% 108 +2.3 257/322/370 113294 1026 15% 8% 97 +1.5 252/323/35610329082515%8%90+0.9
Brian L. Hunter
2002 · MLB
31 54 39→50 59→65 56 256/327/339 84295 736 16% 10% 91 +1.1 250/311/371 121299 916 18% 8% 92 +1.2 254/311/3831293085918%7%93+0.3