Wynton BernardCF Aguilas de Mexicali
Age 35 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs INTL Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 370 proj PA
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .294 / .353
PA370
HR5
SB18
K%23
BB%5
ISO107
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +3.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +10.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 38
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022
CONTACT54
Whiff%
3612.6%
xwOBA
100.223
POWER38
Avg EV
1084.6
EYE33
Chase%
1042.9%
SPEED72
Sprint
9030.0
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$0.5M
2027Arb-3$1M
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201221 ROKAZL Padres 6559 10201 4201 40 169234254489 85231 316 215 23
201221 ROKAZL Padres 6556 13301 7141 40 232328339667 107286 2211 303 90
201322 A2 teams 3129 4010 2100 12 138194207400 69211 326 200 11
201322 A2 teams 3129 6020 270 12 207258345603 138273 236 266 62
201423 AWest Michigan Whitecaps 583523 1442667 401415 4519 275333388721 113362 247 309 95
201423 AWest Michigan Whitecaps 583507 1643066 56865 4519 323396442838 118378 1510 367 139
201524 AA2 teams 673629 1712583 261187 5017 272308351660 79331 184 282 74
201524 AA2 teams 673614 18434104 41857 5017 300350407758 107343 136 334 114
201625 AA2 teams 426391 941146 24862 235 240288335623 95291 206 270 65
201625 AA2 teams 426376 1051357 37692 235 279345396742 117323 169 326 108
201726 AAA2 teams 231213 47822 10593 131 221265305571 85294 264 244 45
201726 AAA2 teams 231210 54923 13463 131 257310362672 105315 206 297 85
201827 AAA3 teams 336318 661134 13853 284 208246299544 91271 254 232 36
201827 AAA3 teams 336308 741435 21643 284 240293354647 114289 196 289 79
201928 AAA3 teams 188173 391032 14410 126 225283353636 127285 227 274 68
201928 AAA3 teams 188169 481034 17320 126 284348450797 166331 179 351 127
202029 INTLTigres del Licey 1515 3001 050 00 200200400600 200222 330
202029 INTLTigres del Licey 1515 3001 050 00 200200400600 200222 330 259 57
202130 AAA2 teams 415389 711255 201185 282 183232278510 95247 285 223 29
202130 AAA2 teams 415377 1001679 32855 282 265331416747 151320 208 333 113
202231 AAA2 teams 517479 12425514 31952 336 259307420726 161293 186 314 98
202231 AAA2 teams 517471 15532821 39752 336 329383565948 236353 158 409 171
202332 AAA2 teams 588537 1232817 421535 417 229291324615 95304 267 273 67
202332 AAA2 teams 588521 15436111 581075 417 296372432803 136351 1810 359 133
202433 AAA2 teams 465444 1081837 15934 365 243274345619 101292 203 265 61
202433 AAA2 teams 465425 1101748 34764 365 259320374694 115297 167 312 97
202534 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 112102 24810 9261 50 235304333637 98316 238
202534 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 112102 24810 9261 50 235304333637 98316 238 290 80
▸ 2026 Season
202635 MLBMIN 370344 851725 20853 183 247294352646 105313 235 292 81 -8 +2 +0 +1 +10 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736 MLBMIN 0% 296274 661314 17703 81 241293339632 99304 246 283 75 -8 +1 -6 +1 +8 -0.4
202736 MLBMIN 0% 01 0000 000 00 304 277 70 -0 +0
▸ Career Totals
Career 4243 12100 080 31 279286302588 23343 190 268 63 -2 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.2
/ 162G 650665 1851500 01240 4615 278285301585 23342 190 268 63 -27 +3 +6 +29 +18 3.0
Career 53114919 11792144568 287120544 34578 240288343631 103303 235 268 63 -222 +38 -6 +19 +150 -2.1
/ 162G 650602 1442668 351475 4210 239287342629 103302 235 268 63 -27 +4 -1 +2 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201221 ROKAZL Padres 6556 13301 7141 40 232328339667 107286 2211 303 90 -1 +1 +2 0.2
201322 A+Lake Elsinore Storm 1514 3010 120 01 214267357624 143250 137 275 69 -1 -0 +0 -0.1
201322 AFort Wayne TinCaps 1615 3010 150 11 200250333583 133300 316 258 55 -1 -0 +0 -0.1
201423 AWest Michigan Whitecaps 583507 1643066 56865 4519 323396442838 118378 1510 367 139 +26 +1 +17 4.4
201524 AAErie SeaWolves 587534 1612984 38734 4316 301352408761 107344 126 335 114 +10 +2 +17 2.9
201524 INTLLeones del Caracas 8680 23520 3123 71 287337400737 113338 143 331 111 +1 +1 +2 0.5
201625 AAAToledo Mud Hens 163149 35511 10301 103 235286302588 67286 186 265 61 -7 +1 +5 -0.2
201625 AAErie SeaWolves 263227 70846 27391 132 308383458841 150348 1510 364 137 +11 +2 +7 2.1
201726 AAASacramento River Cats 211193 49822 12412 131 254304347651 93311 196 289 79 -5 +2 +6 0.3
201726 INTLAguilas del Zulia 2017 5101 151 00 294368529898 235364 255 376 146 +1 +0 +1 0.2
201827 AAAIowa Cubs 156147 301031 6321 112 204239333572 129254 214 251 50 -9 +1 +4 -0.3
201827 AATennessee Smokies 118105 31202 10201 142 295359371730 76349 178 329 110 +1 +2 +3 0.7
201827 INTLBrisbane Bandits 6256 13202 5121 30 232306375681 143262 198 308 94 -0 +1 +2 0.2
201928 AAAIowa Cubs 10695 25631 10210 63 263330421751 158329 209 332 112 +1 +0 +3 0.5
201928 AATennessee Smokies 3731 10301 640 21 323432516949 194346 1116 420 180 +3 +0 +1 0.4
201928 INTLSultanes de Monterrey 4543 13102 170 42 302318465783 163324 162 338 117 +1 +0 +1 0.2
202029 INTLTigres del Licey 1515 3001 050 00 200200400600 200222 330 259 57 -1 +0 +0 -0.0
202130 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 351319 811267 26765 232 254320395715 141312 227 320 103 +1 +4 +10 1.5
202130 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 6458 19412 690 50 328391534925 207362 149 406 169 +5 +1 +2 0.8
202231 MLBColorado Rockies 4242 12100 080 31 286286310595 24353 190 268 63 -2 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.2
202231 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 475429 14331821 39672 305 333391590981 256353 148 422 181 +43 +4 +13 6.2
202332 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 571506 15336111 561035 417 302377443820 140359 1810 365 138 +24 +5 +16 4.7
202332 INTLToros del Este 1715 1000 240 00 6717667243 91 2412 135 -38 -3 +0 +0 -0.2
202433 AAASt. Paul Saints 265250 691225 12442 232 276314400714 124317 175 317 101 +0 +4 +8 1.2
202433 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 200175 41523 22322 133 234327337664 103270 1611 304 91 -2 +1 +6 0.5
202534 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 112102 24810 9261 50 235304333637 98316 238 290 80 -3 +1 +3 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 4242 12100 080 31 286286310595 24353 190 268 63 -2 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Luis Rivaslast yr '08
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA
72,2793381257303376-0-53.83.8
/1626641024-0.0-1.41.1pk7: 4
#2Hernán Pérezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA
61,8114569252281387-0+123.73.7
/1626641625-0.0+4.51.3pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA
71,8831280248302332+8+32.72.7
/162664428+2.8+0.91.0pk7: 3
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
26661026246291352-2+10.40.4
/1626641026-1.8+1.30.4pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Wynton Bernard (OGILVIE) 35 54 38 72 33 247/294/353 106313 518 23% 5% 81 +0.3
Willy Taveras
2017 · AAA
35 51→61 42→45 58→65 43 244/294/351 107294 824 20% 5% 80 +0.4 249/302/373 124304 1219 22% 4% 90 +1.0 258/312/384126315132222%4%94+1.1
Rich Thompson
2013 · MLB
34 55→61 40→45 68→65 43 260/309/366 106314 540 18% 5% 90 +1.0 236/288/328 92296 534 21% 5% 72 -0.2 215/269/2695428005222%4%44-0.8
Rajai Davis
2016 · MLB
35 55→64 47→50 62→70 46 270/316/421 152313 1337 18% 6% 108 +2.3 244/299/374 130299 1241 21% 7% 89 +0.9 233/291/344111289105222%7%75+0.0
Jerry Owens
2016 · AAA
35 54→64 42→30 57→65 48 258/314/372 114317 821 21% 7% 93 +1.3 267/310/367 100313 814 17% 5% 91 +1.1 374/402/4194542001410%4%137+0.8
Gilberto Mejia
2017 · AAA
34 54→64 39→45 61→65 44 254/298/350 95299 536 17% 4% 81 +0.4 243/295/341 98291 723 18% 6% 78 +0.2 261/328/3448331432416%8%92+0.4
Jarrod Dyson
2020 · MLB
35 47→57 41→45 61→70 55 226/306/320 94262 935 17% 10% 78 +0.2 218/286/311 93267 830 20% 8% 66 -0.6 199/253/2767726104022%7%41-0.6
Tom Goodwin
2003 · MLB
35 52→56 41→45 65 53 246/313/346 99292 742 18% 9% 86 +0.8 244/299/343 99295 734 18% 7% 79 +0.3 251/299/3267530924818%6%73-0.0
Willie Bloomquist
2012 · MLB
34 54→56 40 54→60 48 257/305/349 92290 826 14% 6% 84 +0.6 277/315/365 88324 413 15% 5% 92 +1.2 298/327/374773541715%4%96+0.5
Eugenio Velez
2016 · AAA
34 57→58 41→50 57→65 44 273/315/375 102333 831 20% 5% 95 +1.4 247/290/349 102289 1021 17% 5% 78 +0.2 254/300/3378229972117%5%78+0.1
Miguel Cairo
2008 · MLB
34 51→58 37→45 58→55 49 238/291/321 83269 325 13% 6% 71 -0.3 246/298/342 96281 614 14% 6% 79 +0.3 258/308/370112285121014%5%88+0.4
Shane Robinson
2019 · MLB
34 50→59 37→45 58→55 46 235/277/310 75268 419 14% 5% 61 -1.0 235/294/344 109258 1214 14% 7% 79 +0.3 239/309/340101251141112%8%83+0.3
Eric Young Jr.
2019 · MLB
34 49→58 43→45 56→65 44 239/290/351 113297 924 22% 6% 79 +0.3 227/284/341 114286 1016 23% 7% 73 -0.1 213/278/3099626771522%7%61-0.4
Ramon Valdez
2013 · AAA
36 55 39→40 56→55 49 262/323/346 84291 625 12% 6% 92 +1.2 247/327/336 89282 618 14% 8% 92 +1.2 245/359/2874228301512%10%90+0.3
Henry Mateo
2013 · AAA
36 58→64 41→45 60 48 277/331/379 101330 832 18% 7% 102 +1.9 255/302/336 81307 423 17% 6% 79 +0.3 254/302/3267130722217%5%74-0.1
Tony Womack
2006 · MLB
36 56→63 37→40 58→60 47 264/301/331 67295 430 12% 5% 77 +0.1 253/309/352 99287 922 15% 7% 87 +0.8 281/354/3587731162111%10%98+0.3
Christian Zazueta
2019 · AAA
34 45→55 42→50 55→60 36 223/247/324 101267 1031 21% 2% 53 -1.5 236/270/355 119266 1216 16% 4% 71 -0.3 246/275/362116268121713%3%71-0.1
Manny Alexander
2006 · MLB
35 49→50 45 54→55 45 240/290/365 125284 1123 20% 6% 82 +0.5 220/262/311 91262 714 18% 5% 56 -1.3 210/249/2837324951017%4%39-1.7
Justin Christian
2014 · MLB
34 52→57 41→45 55→65 47 247/295/349 102276 822 14% 5% 80 +0.4 233/286/343 110265 916 15% 6% 75 -0.0 229/286/34511625991715%6%72-0.1
Quincy Foster
2009 · AAA
34 61→65 37→40 61→65 49 286/333/366 80332 332 15% 6% 99 +1.7 257/315/353 96309 728 18% 8% 89 +1.0 265/337/3417631833916%10%89+0.3
Andrew Romine
2021 · MLB
35 47→56 44→45 54→55 43 231/279/343 112277 1219 21% 5% 72 -0.2 235/283/328 93302 89 24% 6% 69 -0.4 243/290/307643183323%6%62-0.5