Will Venable

PosRF

B/TL/L

Born1982-10-29

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	31	MLBSD	448	.224/.289/.325	8	11	73	0.0
2015	32	MLBTEX	390	.244/.320/.350	6	16	81	0.3
2016	33	AAAOklahoma City…	321	.244/.327/.360	6	5	44	—	.192/.245/.283
2016	33	MLBLAD	19	.056/.105/.111	0	0	-39	-0.7
2017	34	No MLB games played
2018	35	No MLB games played
2019	36	No MLB games played
2020	37	No MLB games played
2021	38	No MLB games played
2022	39	No MLB games played
2023	40	No MLB games played
2024	41	No MLB games played
2025	42	No MLB games played
2026	43	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

xwOBA22

Avg EV20

Barrel%10

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	ROK	AZL Padres	—	65	59	19	4	2	1	2	9	4	4	0	322	385	508	893	186	367	14	3	394	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	541	472	148	34	5	11	55	81	7	18	5	314	393	477	870	163	355	15	10	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	572	515	143	19	3	8	38	84	10	21	2	278	339	373	712	95	316	15	7	318	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	124	110	29	4	2	2	13	21	0	1	1	264	341	391	732	127	307	17	10	327	104	+1	-0	+4	+2	+3	1.0
2008	25	AAA	Portland Beavers	—	496	442	129	26	4	14	44	103	5	7	3	292	363	464	826	172	352	21	9	363	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	324	293	75	14	2	12	25	89	4	6	1	256	323	440	763	184	328	27	8	337	111	+4	+1	+3	-6	+7	1.0
2009	26	AAA	Portland Beavers	—	226	200	52	10	3	12	20	46	2	1	0	260	333	520	853	260	276	20	9	365	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	445	392	96	11	7	13	45	128	3	29	7	245	327	408	735	163	324	29	10	326	100	-0	+3	+2	-5	+10	1.0
2010	27	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	18	14	1	1	0	0	4	8	0	1	0	71	278	143	421	71	167	44	22	226	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	411	370	91	14	7	9	31	92	5	26	3	246	313	395	707	149	300	22	8	313	96	-2	+4	-3	-5	+9	0.2
2011	28	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	64	58	16	3	2	3	5	13	0	3	0	276	333	552	885	276	302	20	8	376	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	470	417	110	26	8	9	41	94	5	24	6	264	337	429	766	165	320	20	9	336	115	+9	+2	-5	-5	+10	1.1
2013	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	515	481	129	22	8	22	29	118	2	22	6	268	312	484	797	216	313	23	6	346	119	+12	+2	-8	-6	+11	1.1
2014	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	448	406	91	13	2	8	33	107	4	11	6	224	289	325	614	101	283	24	7	277	73	-14	-0	+4	+2	+10	0.0
2015	32	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	390	349	85	13	3	6	37	94	2	16	1	244	320	350	669	106	317	24	9	303	81	-9	+3	-0	+1	+8	0.3
2016	33	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	19	18	1	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	56	105	111	216	56	77	26	0	106	-39	-3	+0	-0	-4	+0	-0.7
2016	33	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	321	283	69	13	1	6	32	60	3	5	4	244	327	360	687	117	288	19	10	310	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3146	2836	707	118	39	81	254	748	26	135	31	249	317	404	721	155	310	24	8	319	102	+8	+15	-4	-25	+68	6.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	65	60	14	3	1	1	1	13	4	4	0	233	292	367	659	133	281	20	2	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	541	492	130	28	4	9	35	110	7	18	5	264	322	392	714	128	313	20	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	572	528	128	16	3	6	25	102	10	21	2	242	290	318	608	76	281	18	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	124	111	29	4	2	2	12	21	0	1	1	261	333	387	721	126	307	17	10	322	104	+1	-0	+4	+2	+3	1.0
2008	25	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	496	454	112	21	3	11	32	133	5	7	3	247	303	379	682	132	320	27	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	324	295	75	14	2	12	23	89	4	6	1	254	317	437	754	183	328	27	7	332	111	+4	+1	+3	-6	+7	1.0
2009	26	AAA MLE	Portland Beavers	—	226	206	43	8	2	9	14	59	2	1	0	209	266	398	664	189	237	26	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	445	400	97	12	7	13	37	128	3	29	7	242	311	405	716	163	324	29	8	315	100	-0	+3	+2	-5	+10	1.0
2010	27	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	18	16	1	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	62	167	125	292	62	136	61	11	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	411	374	92	15	7	9	27	92	5	26	3	246	305	396	701	150	300	22	7	309	96	-2	+4	-3	-5	+9	0.2
2011	28	AAA MLE	Tucson Padres	—	64	59	11	2	1	2	4	18	0	3	0	186	238	356	594	169	238	28	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	470	419	113	28	8	9	39	94	5	24	6	270	339	439	778	169	320	20	8	339	115	+9	+2	-5	-5	+10	1.1
2013	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	515	485	131	24	8	21	25	118	2	22	6	270	309	482	791	212	313	23	5	344	119	+12	+2	-8	-6	+11	1.1
2014	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	448	408	93	14	2	8	31	107	4	11	6	228	289	331	620	103	283	24	7	277	73	-14	-0	+4	+2	+10	0.0
2015	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	390	352	84	12	3	6	34	94	2	16	1	239	309	341	650	102	317	24	9	288	81	-9	+3	-0	+1	+8	0.3
2016	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	19	18	1	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	56	105	111	216	56	77	26	0	110	-39	-3	+0	-0	-4	+0	-0.7
2016	33	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	321	297	57	10	1	5	18	80	3	5	4	192	245	283	528	91	238	25	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	65	60	14	3	1	1	1	13	4	4	0	233	292	367	659	133	283	20	2	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	65	59	19	4	2	1	2	9	4	4	0	322	385	508	893	186	367	14	3	394	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	541	492	130	28	4	9	35	110	7	18	5	264	322	392	714	128	319	20	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A RAW	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	541	472	148	34	5	11	55	81	7	18	5	314	393	477	870	163	355	15	10	382	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	572	528	128	16	3	6	25	102	10	21	2	242	290	318	608	76	288	18	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	572	515	143	19	3	8	38	84	10	21	2	278	339	373	712	95	316	15	7	318	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	565	141	25	5	13	44	154	5	8	4	250	309	381	690	131	319	25	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	620	552	158	30	6	16	57	124	5	8	4	286	358	449	808	163	342	20	9	356	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	550	501	118	22	4	21	37	148	6	7	1	236	296	421	717	186	290	27	7	314	99	-1	+1	+3	-6	+12	1.0
2009	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	550	493	127	24	5	24	45	135	6	7	1	258	327	473	800	215	306	25	8	348	99	-1	+1	+3	-6	+12	1.0
2010	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	463	416	97	12	7	13	39	139	3	30	7	233	303	389	693	156	312	30	8	308	95	-3	+3	+2	-5	+10	0.8
2010	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	463	406	97	12	7	13	49	136	3	30	7	239	325	399	724	160	321	29	11	322	95	-3	+3	+2	-5	+10	0.8
2011	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	475	433	105	17	9	11	31	110	5	29	3	242	301	400	700	157	297	23	7	305	92	-4	+5	-3	-5	+10	0.2
2011	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	475	428	107	17	9	12	36	105	5	29	3	250	316	416	731	166	301	22	8	321	92	-4	+5	-3	-5	+10	0.2
2012	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	470	419	113	28	8	9	39	94	5	24	6	270	339	439	778	169	327	20	8	339	115	+9	+2	-5	-5	+10	1.1
2012	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	470	417	110	26	8	9	41	94	5	24	6	264	337	429	766	165	320	20	9	336	115	+9	+2	-5	-5	+10	1.1
2013	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	515	485	131	24	8	21	25	118	2	22	6	270	309	482	791	212	317	23	5	344	119	+12	+2	-8	-6	+11	1.1
2013	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	515	481	129	22	8	22	29	118	2	22	6	268	312	484	797	216	313	23	6	346	119	+12	+2	-8	-6	+11	1.1
2014	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	448	408	93	14	2	8	31	107	4	11	6	228	289	331	620	103	288	24	7	277	73	-14	-0	+4	+2	+10	0.0
2014	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	448	406	91	13	2	8	33	107	4	11	6	224	289	325	614	101	283	24	7	277	73	-14	-0	+4	+2	+10	0.0
2015	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	390	352	84	12	3	6	34	94	2	16	1	239	309	341	650	102	310	24	9	288	81	-9	+3	-0	+1	+8	0.3
2015	32	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	390	349	85	13	3	6	37	94	2	16	1	244	320	350	669	106	317	24	9	303	81	-9	+3	-0	+1	+8	0.3
2016	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	340	315	58	11	1	5	18	85	4	5	4	184	237	273	510	89	233	25	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	340	301	70	14	1	6	32	65	4	5	4	233	315	346	660	113	276	19	9	299	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	65	60	14	3	1	1	1	13	4	4	0	233	292	367	659	133	281	20	2	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	A MLE	Fort Wayne Wizards	—	541	494	130	28	4	9	35	110	7	18	5	263	322	391	713	128	313	20	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	572	532	128	16	3	6	25	102	10	21	2	241	290	316	605	75	281	18	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	566	141	25	5	13	44	154	5	8	4	249	309	380	689	131	317	25	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	550	502	118	22	4	21	37	148	6	7	1	235	296	420	716	185	291	27	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	463	418	97	12	7	13	39	139	3	30	7	232	303	388	691	156	317	30	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	475	436	105	17	9	11	31	110	5	29	3	241	301	397	697	156	292	23	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	470	423	113	28	8	9	39	94	5	24	6	267	339	435	774	168	320	20	8	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	515	483	131	24	8	21	25	118	2	22	6	271	309	484	793	213	313	23	5	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	448	410	93	14	2	8	31	107	4	11	6	227	289	329	618	102	283	24	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	390	351	84	12	3	6	34	94	2	16	1	239	309	342	651	103	317	24	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	340	315	58	11	1	5	18	85	4	5	4	184	237	273	510	89	229	25	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3146	2836	707	118	39	81	254	748	26	135	31	249	317	404	721	155	310	24	8	319	89	+8	+15	-4	-25	+68	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	146	24	8	17	52	155	5	28	6	249	315	404	720	155	309	24	8	319	89	+2	+3	-1	-5	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5449	4974	1212	212	55	123	359	1274	57	195	45	244	302	383	685	139	302	23	7	300	89	+8	+15	-4	-25	+68	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	145	25	7	15	43	152	7	23	5	245	303	386	689	142	302	23	7	300	89	+2	+3	-1	-5	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 321 PAwOBA .301 → .233 (−68)K% 18.7% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.69%	÷0.972	×1.290	—	—	24.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.03%	÷1.059	×0.710	—	×0.940	5.70%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.980	—	×0.940	0.86%
Singles /BIP	21.97%	÷1.017	×0.900	×1.015	×0.940	18.55%
Doubles /BIP	5.83%	÷0.975	×0.810	×1.015	×0.940	4.62%
Triples /BIP	0.45%	÷1.104	×0.810	×1.015	×0.940	0.31%
Home runs /BIP	2.69%	÷0.947	×0.780	—	×0.940	2.08%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .301 → .233; ISO .117 → .090; BABIP .288 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAATucson Padres · 64 PAwOBA .371 → .275 (−96)K% 20.3% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.31%	÷0.935	×1.290	—	—	28.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.81%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×0.982	5.47%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.78%	÷1.022	×0.900	×0.955	×0.982	14.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.001	×0.810	×0.955	×0.982	5.06%
Triples /BIP	4.44%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.955	×0.982	3.38%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷0.968	×0.780	—	×0.982	5.27%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 87, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .371 → .275; ISO .276 → .203; BABIP .302 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 18 PAwOBA .195 → .132 (−63)K% 44.4% → 60.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	44.44%	÷0.986	×1.340	—	—	60.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.017	×0.710	—	×0.948	11.03%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.008	×0.910	—	×0.948	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.953	×0.820	—	×0.948	13.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.760	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.845	×0.920	—	×0.948	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .195 → .132; ISO .071 → .050; BABIP .167 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAPortland Beavers · 226 PAwOBA .360 → .288 (−71)K% 20.4% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.35%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	26.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.85%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.003	6.30%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.87%
Singles /BIP	17.53%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.003	×1.003	15.88%
Doubles /BIP	6.49%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.003	×1.003	5.29%
Triples /BIP	1.95%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.003	×1.003	1.59%
Home runs /BIP	7.79%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.003	6.10%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .360 → .288; ISO .260 → .201; BABIP .276 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAPortland Beavers · 496 PAwOBA .355 → .296 (−59)K% 20.8% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.77%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	26.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.87%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	6.41%
HBP% /PA	1.01%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.01%
Singles /BIP	25.07%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.029	×1.018	23.63%
Doubles /BIP	7.67%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.029	×1.018	6.51%
Triples /BIP	1.18%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.029	×1.018	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.13%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	3.28%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .355 → .296; ISO .172 → .135; BABIP .352 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AASan Antonio Missions · 572 PAwOBA .310 → .267 (−43)K% 14.7% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.69%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.12%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.998	4.27%
HBP% /PA	1.75%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	1.52%
Singles /BIP	26.22%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.982	×0.998	23.63%
Doubles /BIP	4.41%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.982	×0.998	3.63%
Triples /BIP	0.70%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.982	×0.998	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	1.86%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.48%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .310 → .267; ISO .095 → .079; BABIP .316 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AFort Wayne Wizards · 541 PAwOBA .374 → .311 (−63)K% 15.0% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.97%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	20.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.43%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	6.37%
HBP% /PA	1.29%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	0.99%
Singles /BIP	25.06%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.008	×0.980	22.79%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.008	×0.980	7.13%
Triples /BIP	1.28%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.008	×0.980	1.15%
Home runs /BIP	2.81%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	2.21%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .374 → .311; ISO .163 → .133; BABIP .355 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 ROKAZL Padres · 65 PAwOBA .384 → .275 (−109)K% 13.8% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.85%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	19.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.08%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.965	1.84%
HBP% /PA	6.15%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	4.28%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.012	×0.965	19.21%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.012	×0.965	5.62%
Triples /BIP	4.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.012	×0.965	2.81%
Home runs /BIP	2.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.965	1.51%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .384 → .275; ISO .186 → .128; BABIP .367 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).