Chris Heisey

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1984-12-14

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2016	31	MLBWSH	155	.216/.292/.446	9	0	106	0.2
2017	32	MLBWSH	79	.162/.215/.270	1	0	37	-0.5
2019	34	INTLIndios de May…	38	.200/.368/.300	1	1	103	—
2020	35	No MLB games played
2021	36	No MLB games played
2022	37	No MLB games played
2023	38	No MLB games played
2024	39	No MLB games played
2025	40	No MLB games played
2026	41	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

Speed52

Barrel%40

xwOBA24

Avg EV16

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	285	245	70	10	0	6	28	33	2	11	5	286	364	400	764	114	309	12	10	334	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+	Sarasota Reds	—	49	43	15	1	0	1	4	6	0	3	1	349	404	442	846	93	378	12	8	366	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A	Dayton Dragons	—	414	374	108	24	2	9	25	57	10	19	5	289	350	436	785	147	321	14	6	347	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	82	79	25	6	1	2	3	15	0	5	0	316	341	494	835	177	371	18	4	367	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+	Sarasota Reds	—	515	436	125	31	7	7	57	69	11	27	2	287	383	438	821	151	325	13	11	361	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	271	245	68	17	1	9	14	43	5	8	2	278	330	465	795	188	298	16	5	342	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA	Carolina Mudcats	—	314	271	94	18	2	13	34	34	5	13	1	347	429	572	1.001	225	358	11	11	433	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	226	201	51	10	1	8	16	57	6	1	2	254	327	433	760	179	312	25	7	335	106	+2	-1	+3	-3	+5	0.6
2010	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	89	79	19	3	0	4	7	23	1	2	0	241	310	430	741	190	283	26	8	322	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	308	279	71	9	1	18	19	78	5	6	1	254	314	487	801	233	283	25	6	346	109	+3	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.5
2012	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	375	347	92	16	5	7	18	81	7	6	3	265	315	401	715	135	328	22	5	317	98	-1	+0	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2013	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	244	224	53	11	1	9	9	51	5	3	0	237	282	415	697	179	265	21	4	301	86	-4	+1	+2	-3	+5	0.1
2013	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	22	20	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	267	27	5	213	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	299	275	61	15	2	8	15	64	2	9	2	222	267	378	645	156	259	21	5	280	72	-10	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.2
2015	30	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	72	55	10	2	0	2	15	17	0	0	1	182	357	327	684	145	211	24	21	314	90	-1	-0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
2015	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	329	274	61	8	1	17	48	73	6	3	0	223	351	445	796	223	238	22	15	355	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	155	139	30	3	1	9	13	44	2	0	1	216	292	446	738	230	241	28	8	323	106	+1	-0	-0	-2	+3	0.2
2017	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	79	74	12	3	1	1	5	22	0	0	0	162	215	270	485	108	216	28	6	220	37	-6	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.5
2017	32	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	17	17	5	2	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	294	294	588	882	294	400	35	0	380	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	38	30	6	0	0	1	8	8	0	1	2	200	368	300	668	100	238	21	21	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1758	1594	380	69	12	62	110	414	27	25	10	238	299	413	712	175	281	24	6	312	97	-6	+1	+3	-18	+38	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	285	256	57	7	0	5	17	48	2	11	5	223	276	309	585	86	242	17	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	49	44	14	1	0	1	3	9	0	3	1	318	362	409	771	91	347	18	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	414	382	89	18	2	7	17	77	10	19	5	233	284	346	629	113	270	19	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	82	80	22	5	1	2	2	18	0	5	0	275	293	438	730	162	325	22	2	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	Sarasota Reds	—	515	452	109	28	5	6	41	98	11	27	2	241	319	365	684	124	285	19	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	271	249	61	14	1	8	10	51	5	8	2	245	288	406	694	161	262	19	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	314	283	84	16	2	11	22	41	5	13	1	297	358	484	842	187	308	13	7	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	226	202	50	10	1	7	15	57	6	1	2	248	318	411	729	163	312	25	7	325	106	+2	-1	+3	-3	+5	0.6
2010	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	89	81	16	3	0	3	5	29	1	2	0	198	253	346	599	148	249	33	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	308	282	70	9	1	17	16	78	5	6	1	248	300	468	768	220	283	25	5	329	109	+3	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.5
2012	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	375	347	91	16	5	6	18	81	7	6	3	262	312	389	701	127	328	22	5	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2013	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	244	224	52	11	1	8	9	51	5	3	0	232	277	397	675	165	265	21	4	295	86	-4	+1	+2	-3	+5	0.1
2013	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	22	20	4	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	239	32	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	299	275	60	15	2	7	15	64	2	9	2	218	264	364	627	145	259	21	5	275	72	-10	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.2
2015	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	72	57	10	2	0	2	13	17	0	0	1	175	329	316	644	140	211	24	18	301	90	-1	-0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
2015	30	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	329	293	50	6	1	15	29	96	6	3	0	171	259	352	611	181	187	29	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	155	139	30	3	1	9	13	44	2	0	1	216	292	446	738	230	241	28	8	325	106	+1	-0	-0	-2	+3	0.2
2017	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	79	74	12	3	1	1	5	22	0	0	0	162	215	270	485	108	216	28	6	223	37	-6	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.5
2017	32	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	17	17	4	1	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	235	235	471	706	235	314	41	0	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	285	256	57	7	0	5	17	48	2	11	5	223	276	309	585	86	255	17	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	—	285	245	70	10	0	6	28	33	2	11	5	286	364	400	764	114	309	12	10	334	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	463	426	103	19	2	8	20	86	10	22	6	242	292	352	644	110	285	19	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	463	417	123	25	2	10	29	63	10	22	6	295	355	436	792	141	328	14	6	349	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	597	532	130	33	6	8	43	116	11	32	2	244	314	374	688	130	297	19	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	597	515	150	37	8	9	60	84	11	32	2	291	377	447	824	155	332	14	10	362	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	585	532	145	30	3	19	32	93	10	21	3	273	326	447	773	175	295	16	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	585	516	162	35	3	22	48	77	10	21	3	314	383	521	905	207	330	13	8	391	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	315	283	66	13	1	10	20	86	7	3	2	233	300	392	692	159	295	27	6	306	93	-3	-0	+3	-3	+7	0.4
2010	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	315	280	70	13	1	12	23	80	7	3	2	250	323	432	755	182	304	25	7	331	93	-3	-0	+3	-3	+7	0.4
2011	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	308	282	70	9	1	17	16	78	5	6	1	248	300	468	768	220	277	25	5	329	109	+3	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.5
2011	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	308	279	71	9	1	18	19	78	5	6	1	254	314	487	801	233	283	25	6	346	109	+3	+1	-2	-3	+7	0.5
2012	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	375	347	91	16	5	6	18	81	7	6	3	262	312	389	701	127	327	22	5	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2012	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	375	347	92	16	5	7	18	81	7	6	3	265	315	401	715	135	328	22	5	317	98	-1	+0	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2013	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	266	244	56	12	1	8	10	58	5	3	0	230	274	385	659	156	265	22	4	285	79	-7	+1	+2	-3	+6	-0.1
2013	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	266	244	57	12	1	9	10	57	5	3	0	234	278	402	680	168	265	21	4	294	79	-7	+1	+2	-3	+6	-0.1
2014	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	299	275	60	15	2	7	15	64	2	9	2	218	264	364	627	145	257	21	5	275	72	-10	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.2
2014	29	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	299	275	61	15	2	8	15	64	2	9	2	222	267	378	645	156	259	21	5	280	72	-10	+1	+4	-3	+6	-0.2
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	350	59	8	1	16	42	113	6	3	1	169	269	334	603	166	192	28	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	401	329	71	10	1	19	63	90	6	3	1	216	352	426	777	210	233	22	16	348	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	155	139	30	3	1	9	13	44	2	0	1	216	292	446	738	230	241	28	8	325	106	+1	-0	-0	-2	+3	0.2
2016	31	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	155	139	30	3	1	9	13	44	2	0	1	216	292	446	738	230	241	28	8	323	106	+1	-0	-0	-2	+3	0.2
2017	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	96	91	16	4	1	2	5	29	0	0	0	176	219	308	526	132	233	30	5	230	42	-7	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.6
2017	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	96	91	17	5	1	2	5	28	0	0	0	187	229	330	559	143	246	29	5	248	42	-7	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.6
2019	34	INTL MLE	Indios de Mayaguez	—	38	30	6	0	0	1	8	8	0	1	2	200	368	300	668	100	238	21	21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL RAW	Indios de Mayaguez	—	38	30	6	0	0	1	8	8	0	1	2	200	368	300	668	100	238	21	21	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	285	264	57	7	0	5	17	48	2	11	5	216	276	299	576	83	242	17	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	463	430	103	19	2	8	20	86	10	22	6	240	292	349	641	109	278	19	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	597	538	130	33	6	8	43	116	11	32	2	242	314	370	684	128	290	19	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	585	538	145	30	3	19	32	93	10	21	3	270	326	442	768	173	287	16	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	315	285	66	13	1	10	20	86	7	3	2	232	300	389	689	158	294	27	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	308	284	70	9	1	17	16	78	5	6	1	246	300	465	765	218	283	25	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	375	347	91	16	5	6	18	81	7	6	3	262	312	389	701	127	328	22	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	266	249	56	12	1	8	10	58	5	3	0	225	274	378	652	153	263	22	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	299	280	60	15	2	7	15	64	2	9	2	214	264	357	621	143	259	21	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	350	59	8	1	16	42	113	6	3	1	169	269	334	603	166	191	28	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	155	139	30	3	1	9	13	44	2	0	1	216	292	446	738	230	241	28	8	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	96	91	16	4	1	2	5	29	0	0	0	176	219	308	526	132	233	30	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1758	1594	380	69	12	62	110	414	27	25	10	238	299	413	712	175	281	24	6	312	84	-6	+1	+3	-18	+38	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	141	26	4	23	41	153	10	9	4	239	300	414	714	175	282	24	6	312	84	-2	+0	+1	-7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4183	3787	889	169	24	116	259	904	67	117	28	235	295	384	679	149	277	22	6	292	84	-6	+1	+3	-18	+38	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	138	26	4	18	40	140	10	18	4	235	294	384	679	150	276	22	6	292	84	-2	+0	+1	-7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 17 PAwOBA .368 → .261 (−107)K% 35.3% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.29%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	42.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.942	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷0.997	×0.930	—	×0.942	15.97%
Doubles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.081	×0.830	—	×0.942	13.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷0.980	×0.840	—	×0.942	7.34%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .368 → .261; ISO .294 → .203; BABIP .400 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 329 PAwOBA .346 → .265 (−81)K% 22.2% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.19%	÷0.984	×1.290	—	—	29.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.29%	÷1.095	×0.710	—	×0.962	8.91%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	1.72%
Singles /BIP	17.41%	÷1.028	×0.900	×0.950	×0.962	13.93%
Doubles /BIP	3.98%	÷0.965	×0.810	×0.950	×0.962	3.05%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷0.941	×0.810	×0.950	×0.962	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	8.46%	÷0.866	×0.780	—	×0.962	7.33%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .346 → .265; ISO .223 → .187; BABIP .238 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALouisville Bats · 22 PAwOBA .218 → .184 (−33)K% 27.3% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.27%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	34.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.55%	÷1.075	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.87%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×0.982	19.56%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.960	×0.830	—	×0.982	6.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .218 → .184; ISO .050 → .042; BABIP .267 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAALouisville Bats · 89 PAwOBA .317 → .257 (−59)K% 25.8% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.84%	÷0.952	×1.200	—	—	32.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.87%	÷0.942	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.86%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.08%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.018	×0.930	×0.950	×1.018	18.93%
Doubles /BIP	5.36%	÷0.858	×0.830	×0.950	×1.018	5.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.093	×0.840	—	×1.018	5.59%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 104, 2B 72, 3B 130, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .317 → .257; ISO .190 → .148; BABIP .283 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AACarolina Mudcats · 314 PAwOBA .423 → .358 (−65)K% 10.8% → 13.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.83%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.51%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.998	7.13%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	1.33%
Singles /BIP	25.74%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×0.998	22.45%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×0.998	6.55%
Triples /BIP	0.84%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.950	×0.998	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	5.49%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	4.38%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .423 → .358; ISO .225 → .191; BABIP .358 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAALouisville Bats · 271 PAwOBA .339 → .295 (−43)K% 15.9% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.87%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	19.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.17%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	3.68%
HBP% /PA	1.85%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.79%
Singles /BIP	20.30%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.950	×1.033	18.52%
Doubles /BIP	8.42%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×1.033	6.85%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.950	×1.033	0.47%
Home runs /BIP	4.46%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.033	3.87%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .339 → .295; ISO .188 → .162; BABIP .298 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 A+Sarasota Reds · 515 PAwOBA .353 → .299 (−53)K% 13.4% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.40%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	19.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.68%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.988	7.91%
HBP% /PA	2.14%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	1.96%
Singles /BIP	21.80%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.963	×0.988	19.08%
Doubles /BIP	8.45%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.963	×0.988	7.72%
Triples /BIP	1.91%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.963	×0.988	1.47%
Home runs /BIP	1.91%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.988	1.66%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .353 → .299; ISO .151 → .131; BABIP .325 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 82 PAwOBA .356 → .294 (−62)K% 18.3% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.29%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.66%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.012	2.52%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×1.012	22.11%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×1.012	8.20%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.950	×1.012	1.32%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.012	2.53%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .356 → .294; ISO .177 → .144; BABIP .371 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .