Agustin Murillo

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1982-05-05

Age (2027)45

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	42	INTLNaranjeros de…	187	.265/.374/.368	3	8	111	—
2025	43	INTLNaranjeros de…	214	.211/.333/.251	1	7	71	—
2026	44	INTLNaranjeros de…	34	.286/.412/.536	2	1	168	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	23	A	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	565	494	146	34	3	17	53	80	8	5	1	296	372	480	852	184	319	14	9	372	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	420	362	85	9	0	8	36	58	12	3	1	235	324	326	650	91	258	14	9	294	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	342	301	103	28	1	9	32	45	4	12	7	342	412	532	944	189	375	13	9	410	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	65	62	19	1	0	0	2	9	1	3	0	306	338	323	661	16	358	14	3	303	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	438	395	127	22	1	10	31	60	6	19	3	322	380	458	838	137	356	14	7	369	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	270	233	64	16	1	2	31	33	0	4	1	275	360	378	738	103	307	12	11	328	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	450	375	110	29	1	7	60	53	4	13	2	293	396	432	828	139	322	12	13	365	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	INTL	Mexico	—	325	286	73	9	0	14	29	39	3	16	2	255	329	434	763	178	249	12	9	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	407	349	105	15	0	11	48	52	4	8	3	301	392	438	830	138	325	13	12	369	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	INTL	Mexico	—	236	220	63	8	0	3	15	27	0	2	2	286	332	364	696	77	316	11	6	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	422	373	105	16	2	10	43	62	3	20	3	282	360	416	776	134	314	15	10	347	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	INTL	Mexico	—	310	270	77	11	0	4	32	52	1	22	7	285	363	370	733	85	338	17	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	469	395	133	24	1	10	58	56	9	27	8	337	433	478	911	142	367	12	12	403	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	262	233	62	12	1	6	21	36	0	6	3	266	327	403	730	137	289	14	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	493	423	145	30	1	24	53	46	9	31	4	343	427	589	1.015	246	337	9	11	436	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	186	156	45	4	0	4	18	19	7	4	6	288	387	391	778	103	299	10	10	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	429	383	107	19	1	11	40	49	2	17	5	279	351	420	771	141	294	11	9	343	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	85	75	21	1	0	0	8	12	0	0	0	280	349	293	643	13	333	14	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	435	389	118	24	0	7	41	43	5	16	4	303	377	419	796	116	327	10	9	360	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	INTL	Mexico	—	274	234	70	9	0	5	33	27	4	9	2	299	395	402	797	103	319	10	12	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	239	209	60	8	0	5	28	23	0	5	4	287	371	397	768	110	302	10	12	346	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	248	206	62	13	0	10	33	36	5	4	1	301	410	510	920	209	319	15	13	401	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL	Mexico	—	243	224	47	6	0	1	15	38	4	7	1	210	272	250	522	40	249	16	6	244	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	455	394	116	18	1	13	40	55	9	14	6	294	372	444	817	150	307	12	9	357	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	215	188	59	2	0	5	21	28	1	6	1	314	386	404	790	90	344	13	10	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	38	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	225	191	51	10	0	1	30	28	3	3	1	267	375	335	710	68	309	12	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	39	INTL	Mexico	—	271	238	64	12	1	6	26	30	2	4	2	269	346	403	749	134	282	11	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	40	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	259	231	55	9	0	2	22	33	2	3	4	238	310	303	613	65	266	13	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	41	INTL	Mexico	—	254	230	62	14	0	5	19	34	2	11	2	270	331	396	726	126	295	13	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	42	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	187	155	41	7	0	3	24	24	3	8	1	265	374	368	741	103	297	13	13	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	43	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	214	175	37	4	0	1	30	36	2	7	1	211	333	251	585	40	259	17	14	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	44	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	34	28	8	1	0	2	6	10	0	1	1	286	412	536	947	250	375	29	18	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	23	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	565	514	126	27	3	14	34	109	8	5	1	245	302	391	693	146	273	19	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	420	373	82	9	0	7	25	71	12	3	1	220	290	300	591	80	241	17	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	Dorados de Chihuahua	—	342	312	95	24	1	7	21	54	4	12	7	304	356	455	811	151	340	16	6	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	65	63	18	1	0	0	1	11	1	3	0	286	308	302	609	16	338	17	2	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	438	404	118	19	1	7	22	72	6	19	3	292	338	396	734	104	330	16	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	270	243	60	14	1	2	21	43	0	4	1	247	307	337	644	91	278	16	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	450	395	104	26	1	5	40	63	4	13	2	263	337	372	709	109	287	14	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	407	371	97	13	0	8	26	64	4	8	3	261	317	361	678	100	289	16	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	422	387	91	12	2	6	29	76	3	20	3	235	294	323	617	88	275	18	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	469	415	120	18	1	7	38	65	9	27	8	289	361	388	749	99	314	14	8	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	493	443	125	25	1	18	33	57	9	31	4	282	344	465	809	183	280	12	7	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	429	397	95	15	1	8	26	56	2	17	5	239	289	343	632	103	255	13	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	435	409	101	20	0	5	21	54	5	16	4	247	292	333	624	86	273	12	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	239	221	52	6	0	3	16	29	0	5	4	235	287	303	590	68	259	12	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	455	410	94	12	1	9	24	71	9	14	6	229	287	329	616	100	242	16	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	565	514	126	27	3	14	34	109	8	5	1	245	302	391	693	146	281	19	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	A RAW	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	565	494	146	34	3	17	53	80	8	5	1	296	372	480	852	184	319	14	9	372	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	420	373	82	9	0	7	25	71	12	3	1	220	290	300	591	80	252	17	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	420	362	85	9	0	8	36	58	12	3	1	235	324	326	650	91	258	14	9	294	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	407	375	113	25	1	7	22	65	5	15	7	301	348	429	778	128	345	16	5	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	407	363	122	29	1	9	34	54	5	15	7	336	400	496	896	160	372	13	8	393	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	438	404	118	19	1	7	22	72	6	19	3	292	338	396	734	104	337	16	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	438	395	127	22	1	10	31	60	6	19	3	322	380	458	838	137	356	14	7	369	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	270	243	60	14	1	2	21	43	0	4	1	247	307	337	644	91	287	16	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	270	233	64	16	1	2	31	33	0	4	1	275	360	378	738	103	307	12	11	328	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	775	682	178	45	1	9	69	109	7	29	4	261	335	370	705	109	295	14	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	775	661	183	38	1	21	89	92	7	29	4	277	368	433	801	156	291	12	11	352	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	643	590	153	21	0	12	42	102	4	10	5	259	313	356	669	97	294	16	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	643	569	168	23	0	14	63	79	4	10	5	295	369	409	779	114	322	12	10	349	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	732	668	159	21	3	11	50	131	4	42	10	238	295	328	623	90	279	18	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	732	643	182	27	2	14	75	114	4	42	10	283	361	397	758	114	324	16	10	339	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	731	649	186	28	1	11	58	101	9	33	11	287	353	384	737	97	321	14	8	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	731	628	195	36	2	16	79	92	9	33	11	311	395	451	846	140	338	13	11	372	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	679	605	173	35	1	25	45	79	16	35	10	286	351	471	822	185	290	12	7	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	679	579	190	34	1	28	71	65	16	35	10	328	416	535	951	207	327	10	10	412	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	514	475	113	18	1	9	31	67	2	17	5	238	287	337	624	99	258	13	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	514	458	128	20	1	11	48	61	2	17	5	279	350	400	750	120	300	12	9	335	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	709	662	163	32	0	7	35	87	9	25	6	246	293	326	619	80	274	12	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	709	623	188	33	0	12	74	70	9	25	6	302	384	413	796	111	324	10	10	360	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	487	443	108	13	0	7	33	59	5	9	5	244	304	321	624	77	265	12	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	487	415	122	21	0	15	61	59	5	9	5	294	391	453	844	159	310	12	13	374	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	243	224	47	6	0	1	15	38	4	7	1	210	272	250	522	40	249	16	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	243	224	47	6	0	1	15	38	4	7	1	210	272	250	522	40	249	16	6	244	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	670	607	138	18	1	13	36	105	10	20	7	227	282	325	606	97	250	16	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	670	582	175	20	1	18	61	83	10	20	7	301	377	431	808	131	319	12	9	355	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	38	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	225	191	51	10	0	1	30	28	3	3	1	267	375	335	710	68	309	12	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	38	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	225	191	51	10	0	1	30	28	3	3	1	267	375	335	710	68	309	12	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	39	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	271	238	64	12	1	6	26	30	2	4	2	269	346	403	749	134	282	11	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	39	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	271	238	64	12	1	6	26	30	2	4	2	269	346	403	749	134	282	11	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	40	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	259	231	55	9	0	2	22	33	2	3	4	238	310	303	613	65	266	13	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	40	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	259	231	55	9	0	2	22	33	2	3	4	238	310	303	613	65	266	13	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	41	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	254	230	62	14	0	5	19	34	2	11	2	270	331	396	726	126	295	13	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	41	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	254	230	62	14	0	5	19	34	2	11	2	270	331	396	726	126	295	13	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	42	INTL MLE	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	187	155	41	7	0	3	24	24	3	8	1	265	374	368	741	103	297	13	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	42	INTL RAW	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	187	155	41	7	0	3	24	24	3	8	1	265	374	368	741	103	297	13	13	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	43	INTL MLE	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	214	175	37	4	0	1	30	36	2	7	1	211	333	251	585	40	259	17	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	43	INTL RAW	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	214	175	37	4	0	1	30	36	2	7	1	211	333	251	585	40	259	17	14	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	44	INTL MLE	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	34	28	8	1	0	2	6	10	0	1	1	286	412	536	947	250	375	29	18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	44	INTL RAW	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	34	28	8	1	0	2	6	10	0	1	1	286	412	536	947	250	375	29	18	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	565	518	126	27	3	14	34	109	8	5	1	243	302	388	690	145	273	19	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	420	380	82	9	0	7	25	71	12	3	1	216	290	295	585	79	241	17	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	407	377	113	25	1	7	22	65	5	15	7	300	348	427	775	127	340	16	5	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	438	407	118	19	1	7	22	72	6	19	3	290	338	393	731	103	330	16	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	270	247	60	14	1	2	21	43	0	4	1	243	307	332	639	89	278	16	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	775	693	178	45	1	9	69	109	7	29	4	257	335	364	699	107	287	14	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	643	592	153	21	0	12	42	102	4	10	5	258	313	355	668	96	289	16	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	732	672	159	21	3	11	50	131	4	42	10	237	295	326	621	89	275	18	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	731	658	186	28	1	11	58	101	9	33	11	283	353	378	732	96	314	14	8	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	679	613	173	35	1	25	45	79	16	35	10	282	351	465	816	183	280	12	7	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	514	476	113	18	1	9	31	67	2	17	5	237	287	336	624	99	255	13	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	709	659	163	32	0	7	35	87	9	25	6	247	293	328	621	80	273	12	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	487	446	108	13	0	7	33	59	5	9	5	242	304	318	622	76	259	12	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	670	619	138	18	1	13	36	105	10	20	7	223	282	318	600	95	242	16	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	9727	8762	2235	388	15	162	695	1433	115	310	89	255	318	358	676	103	286	15	7	246	53	-548	+26	+0	+35	+211	-28.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	150	26	1	11	46	96	8	21	6	256	319	360	679	104	287	15	7	246	53	-37	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 455 PAwOBA .354 → .269 (−84)K% 12.1% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.09%	÷0.922	×1.200	—	—	15.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.57%	÷1.058	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.26%
HBP% /PA	1.98%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.75%
Singles /BIP	24.78%	÷1.002	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	20.54%
Doubles /BIP	5.31%	÷1.149	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	3.43%
Triples /BIP	0.29%	÷1.091	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	3.83%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.53%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 130, 3B 118, K 84, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .354 → .269; ISO .150 → .102; BABIP .307 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 239 PAwOBA .336 → .270 (−66)K% 9.6% → 12.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.62%	÷0.946	×1.200	—	—	12.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.88%	÷1.060	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.66%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.27%	÷0.978	×0.930	×0.985	×0.940	22.27%
Doubles /BIP	4.30%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.985	×0.940	3.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.985	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.69%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.70%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .336 → .270; ISO .110 → .078; BABIP .302 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 435 PAwOBA .347 → .275 (−72)K% 9.9% → 12.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.89%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	12.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.51%	÷1.118	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.93%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.02%
Singles /BIP	25.14%	÷1.036	×0.930	×1.009	×0.940	21.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.94%	÷0.979	×0.830	×1.009	×0.940	5.57%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.009	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.02%	÷1.051	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.27%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .347 → .275; ISO .116 → .086; BABIP .327 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 429 PAwOBA .335 → .276 (−59)K% 11.4% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.42%	÷1.042	×1.200	—	—	13.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.86%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×0.942	5.97%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.41%
Singles /BIP	22.75%	÷0.977	×0.930	×1.010	×0.942	20.59%
Doubles /BIP	5.69%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.010	×0.942	4.41%
Triples /BIP	0.30%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.010	×0.942	0.23%
Home runs /BIP	3.29%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×0.942	2.20%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 95, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 108, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .335 → .276; ISO .141 → .103; BABIP .294 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 493 PAwOBA .429 → .349 (−80)K% 9.3% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.33%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	11.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.34%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×0.952	6.60%
HBP% /PA	1.83%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.63%
Singles /BIP	23.87%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.972	×0.952	20.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.96%	÷0.963	×0.830	×0.972	×0.952	6.35%
Triples /BIP	0.27%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.972	×0.952	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	6.37%	÷0.917	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.63%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .429 → .349; ISO .246 → .194; BABIP .337 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 469 PAwOBA .395 → .331 (−65)K% 11.9% → 13.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.94%	÷1.039	×1.200	—	—	13.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.51%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	×0.962	8.02%
HBP% /PA	1.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.74%
Singles /BIP	28.91%	÷0.991	×0.930	×1.000	×0.962	26.11%
Doubles /BIP	7.08%	÷1.140	×0.830	×1.000	×0.962	4.96%
Triples /BIP	0.29%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.000	×0.962	0.23%
Home runs /BIP	2.95%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.96%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .395 → .331; ISO .142 → .103; BABIP .367 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 422 PAwOBA .339 → .275 (−64)K% 14.7% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.69%	÷0.984	×1.200	—	—	17.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.95%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.972	6.78%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.65%
Singles /BIP	24.76%	÷1.015	×0.930	×1.028	×0.972	22.66%
Doubles /BIP	5.14%	÷1.092	×0.830	×1.028	×0.972	3.91%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.128	×0.920	×1.028	×0.972	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	3.22%	÷1.081	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.02%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 126, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .339 → .275; ISO .134 → .093; BABIP .314 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 407 PAwOBA .355 → .301 (−54)K% 12.8% → 15.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.78%	÷0.972	×1.200	—	—	15.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.83%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.49%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.91%
Singles /BIP	26.60%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.006	×0.982	24.37%
Doubles /BIP	5.05%	÷0.997	×0.830	×1.006	×0.982	4.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.920	×1.006	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.053	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.42%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 104, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .355 → .301; ISO .138 → .102; BABIP .325 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .