Dustin Martin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 500 | .325/.424/.536 | 19 | 33 | 117 | — | .284/.343/.427 |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 514 | .262/.391/.445 | 17 | 24 | 84 | — | .209/.287/.352 |
| 2018 | 34 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 95 | .303/.442/.342 | 0 | 2 | 137 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 548 | 482 | 139 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 118 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 288 | 364 | 425 | 789 | 137 | 362 | 22 | 10 | 348 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 573 | 510 | 148 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 125 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 290 | 358 | 447 | 805 | 157 | 363 | 22 | 9 | 353 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 470 | 422 | 107 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 92 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 323 | 351 | 673 | 97 | 309 | 20 | 8 | 303 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 537 | 483 | 124 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 138 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 257 | 329 | 404 | 733 | 147 | 338 | 26 | 10 | 327 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 48 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 429 | 804 | 143 | 314 | 12 | 10 | 361 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 554 | 490 | 130 | 26 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 108 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 265 | 344 | 431 | 775 | 165 | 309 | 19 | 10 | 343 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 79 | 74 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 257 | 295 | 392 | 687 | 135 | 333 | 25 | 5 | 301 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 280 | 241 | 69 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 58 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 286 | 381 | 452 | 834 | 166 | 356 | 21 | 13 | 369 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 111 | 44 | 6 | 89 | -54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 29 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 249 | 217 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 50 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 295 | 381 | 502 | 883 | 207 | 348 | 20 | 11 | 386 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 47 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 277 | 395 | 672 | 186 | 212 | 17 | 9 | 299 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 268 | 229 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 293 | 393 | 463 | 856 | 170 | 345 | 19 | 14 | 382 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 189 | 167 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 347 | 414 | 617 | 1.031 | 269 | 414 | 23 | 9 | 441 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 184 | 166 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 301 | 359 | 446 | 805 | 145 | 352 | 19 | 7 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 479 | 403 | 131 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 66 | 89 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 325 | 427 | 541 | 968 | 216 | 375 | 19 | 14 | 423 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 21 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 333 | 10 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 472 | 383 | 99 | 25 | 0 | 16 | 81 | 109 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 258 | 392 | 449 | 841 | 191 | 317 | 23 | 17 | 374 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 42 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 297 | 381 | 405 | 786 | 108 | 357 | 19 | 12 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 34 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 95 | 76 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 303 | 442 | 342 | 784 | 39 | 404 | 20 | 19 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 548 | 498 | 125 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 168 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 251 | 308 | 369 | 677 | 118 | 349 | 31 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 573 | 527 | 142 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 152 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 269 | 317 | 402 | 720 | 133 | 350 | 27 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 470 | 437 | 102 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 110 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 233 | 280 | 316 | 595 | 82 | 297 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 537 | 501 | 116 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 162 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 232 | 280 | 363 | 644 | 132 | 321 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 554 | 507 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 136 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 233 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 124 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 79 | 75 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 227 | 256 | 347 | 603 | 120 | 314 | 30 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 280 | 252 | 64 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 71 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 254 | 324 | 389 | 713 | 135 | 331 | 25 | 9 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 249 | 228 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 62 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 241 | 300 | 395 | 694 | 154 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 47 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 191 | 227 | 419 | 91 | 169 | 23 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 268 | 243 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 63 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 251 | 318 | 395 | 713 | 144 | 312 | 24 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 189 | 174 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 282 | 328 | 454 | 782 | 172 | 353 | 29 | 5 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 479 | 436 | 124 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 101 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 284 | 343 | 427 | 770 | 142 | 337 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 472 | 421 | 88 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 43 | 131 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 209 | 287 | 352 | 638 | 143 | 262 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 548 | 498 | 125 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 168 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 251 | 308 | 369 | 677 | 118 | 359 | 31 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 548 | 482 | 139 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 118 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 288 | 364 | 425 | 789 | 137 | 362 | 22 | 10 | 348 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 573 | 527 | 142 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 152 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 269 | 317 | 402 | 720 | 133 | 360 | 27 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA RAW | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 573 | 510 | 148 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 125 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 290 | 358 | 447 | 805 | 157 | 363 | 22 | 9 | 353 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 470 | 437 | 102 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 110 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 233 | 280 | 316 | 595 | 82 | 299 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 470 | 422 | 107 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 92 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 323 | 351 | 673 | 97 | 309 | 20 | 8 | 303 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 545 | 126 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 176 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 231 | 281 | 361 | 643 | 130 | 321 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 525 | 136 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 144 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 259 | 333 | 406 | 738 | 147 | 336 | 25 | 10 | 330 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 554 | 507 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 136 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 233 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 124 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 554 | 490 | 130 | 26 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 108 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 265 | 344 | 431 | 775 | 165 | 309 | 19 | 10 | 343 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 377 | 344 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 100 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 250 | 310 | 384 | 694 | 134 | 335 | 27 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 377 | 332 | 89 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 86 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 268 | 350 | 419 | 769 | 151 | 342 | 23 | 11 | 342 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 249 | 228 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 62 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 241 | 300 | 395 | 694 | 154 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 249 | 217 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 50 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 295 | 381 | 502 | 883 | 207 | 348 | 20 | 11 | 386 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 288 | 69 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 73 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 240 | 303 | 378 | 681 | 139 | 293 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 315 | 272 | 76 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 59 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 279 | 376 | 452 | 828 | 173 | 324 | 19 | 13 | 369 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 342 | 94 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 107 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 324 | 439 | 763 | 164 | 362 | 29 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 333 | 108 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 79 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 324 | 387 | 532 | 918 | 207 | 381 | 21 | 8 | 398 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 455 | 128 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 105 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 281 | 339 | 420 | 759 | 138 | 340 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 500 | 422 | 137 | 26 | 3 | 19 | 67 | 91 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 325 | 424 | 536 | 960 | 211 | 372 | 18 | 13 | 419 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 459 | 95 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 142 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 207 | 285 | 346 | 631 | 139 | 264 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 514 | 420 | 110 | 26 | 0 | 17 | 86 | 117 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 262 | 391 | 445 | 836 | 183 | 321 | 23 | 17 | 373 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 34 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 95 | 76 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 303 | 442 | 342 | 784 | 39 | 404 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 34 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 95 | 76 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 303 | 442 | 342 | 784 | 39 | 404 | 20 | 19 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 548 | 502 | 125 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 168 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 249 | 308 | 367 | 675 | 118 | 349 | 31 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 573 | 531 | 142 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 152 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 267 | 317 | 399 | 717 | 132 | 350 | 27 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 470 | 439 | 102 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 110 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 232 | 280 | 314 | 594 | 82 | 297 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 542 | 126 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 176 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 232 | 281 | 363 | 645 | 131 | 321 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 554 | 507 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 136 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 233 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 124 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 377 | 344 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 100 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 250 | 310 | 384 | 694 | 134 | 327 | 27 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 249 | 228 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 62 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 241 | 300 | 395 | 694 | 154 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 286 | 69 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 73 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 241 | 303 | 381 | 684 | 140 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 345 | 94 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 107 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 272 | 324 | 435 | 759 | 162 | 353 | 29 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 456 | 128 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 105 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 281 | 339 | 419 | 758 | 138 | 337 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 459 | 95 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 142 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 207 | 285 | 346 | 631 | 139 | 262 | 28 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5153 | 4706 | 1163 | 233 | 41 | 97 | 358 | 1350 | 37 | 189 | 78 | 247 | 305 | 376 | 681 | 129 | 323 | 26 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -96 | +7 | +0 | +18 | +112 | 4.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 146 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 45 | 170 | 5 | 24 | 10 | 246 | 305 | 372 | 677 | 126 | 321 | 26 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAToros de Tijuana · 472 PAwOBA .360 → .287 (−73)K% 23.1% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.09% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.62% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.17% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×0.942 | 18.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.12% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.942 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.84% | ÷0.892 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 4.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .360 → .287; ISO .191 → .153; BABIP .317 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 479 PAwOBA .407 → .341 (−66)K% 18.6% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.58% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.86% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.07% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×0.952 | 25.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷0.926 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×0.952 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.941 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.952 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.05% | ÷1.278 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 3.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .407 → .341; ISO .216 → .152; BABIP .375 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 189 PAwOBA .434 → .332 (−102)K% 23.3% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.28% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.83% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×0.962 | 24.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.20% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×0.962 | 9.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.13% | ÷1.208 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 4.53% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .434 → .332; ISO .269 → .171; BABIP .414 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMobile BayBears · 268 PAwOBA .372 → .314 (−58)K% 19.0% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.03% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.030 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.948 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.72% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 22.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 7.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.902 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 108, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .372 → .314; ISO .170 → .153; BABIP .345 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAReno Aces · 47 PAwOBA .291 → .208 (−83)K% 17.0% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.047 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.972 | 11.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.116 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .291 → .208; ISO .186 → .125; BABIP .212 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMobile BayBears · 249 PAwOBA .376 → .305 (−71)K% 20.1% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.08% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.44% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.35% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.958 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.089 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×0.958 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.023 | ×0.880 | ×1.042 | ×0.958 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.071 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 3.43% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 104, 2B 118, 3B 105, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .376 → .305; ISO .207 → .163; BABIP .348 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AABinghamton Mets · 280 PAwOBA .360 → .308 (−52)K% 20.7% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.71% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.86% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.14% | ÷1.036 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.967 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.73% | ÷1.093 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 2.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.932 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 107, 2B 93, 3B 119, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .360 → .308; ISO .166 → .142; BABIP .356 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAABuffalo Bisons · 79 PAwOBA .297 → .260 (−37)K% 25.3% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.32% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.06% | ÷1.002 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.37% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×0.992 | 19.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.96% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×0.992 | 11.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.901 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .297 → .260; ISO .135 → .118; BABIP .333 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .