Jake Cave — OGILVIE

Jake CaveCF Colorado Rockies

Age 33 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB H +10%K -4% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†vL -7586vR 108

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .283 / .386

PA369

HR10

SB5

K%27

BB%6

xwOBA.281

Barrel%5.2%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

40→40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

Barrel%

275.2

xwOBA

270.281

Avg EV

2987.5

Whiff%

280.134

Chase%

150.386

Speed

5527.7

Bat Spd

3369.5

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$0.0M	-$3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	520	479	116	31	5	2	25	141	8	18	9	.242	.291	.340	.631	.098	.335	27	5	.273	67	-19	+0	+0	-6	+15	-1.0
2014	21	A+	2 teams	613	573	144	25	6	6	34	175	3	12	6	.251	.297	.347	.644	.096	.352	29	6	.283	75	-17	+0	+0	-7	+17	-0.7
2015	22	AA	2 teams	592	544	144	23	3	2	31	140	6	17	3	.265	.312	.329	.641	.064	.348	24	5	.277	70	-20	+2	+0	-6	+17	-0.8
2016	23	AAA	2 teams	470	438	105	21	10	7	24	130	5	6	7	.240	.287	.381	.668	.142	.323	28	5	.287	78	-12	-2	+0	-5	+13	-0.5
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	437	416	108	23	4	15	18	141	1	2	3	.260	.292	.442	.734	.183	.356	32	4	.308	94	-3	-1	+0	-5	+12	0.4
2018	25	MLB	2 teams	559	508	126	25	2	17	35	169	7	6	3	.248	.305	.406	.711	.157	.331	30	6	.304	90	-6	+0	-1	+2	+16	1.1
2019	26	MLB	2 teams	442	400	110	23	5	14	30	131	8	5	0	.275	.338	.463	.800	.188	.371	30	7	.348	125	+12	+1	+0	-5	+13	2.2
2020	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	123	113	25	3	2	4	5	44	5	0	2	.221	.285	.389	.674	.168	.323	36	4	.296	85	-2	-1	+2	+0	+3	0.4
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	214	196	40	7	1	4	13	74	4	1	2	.204	.268	.311	.579	.107	.305	35	6	.261	58	-10	-1	-0	-2	+6	-0.7
2022	29	AAA	2 teams	550	502	113	23	8	17	38	162	7	12	0	.225	.289	.404	.693	.179	.294	29	7	.303	90	-6	+2	-0	-6	+16	0.6
2023	30	AAA	2 teams	478	430	110	32	2	18	37	122	6	5	3	.256	.323	.465	.789	.209	.313	26	8	.335	115	+8	-0	+0	-5	+14	1.7
2024	31	MLB	Colorado Rockies	346	323	77	16	4	7	18	98	1	5	2	.238	.281	.378	.658	.139	.317	28	5	.283	75	-10	+0	-4	-4	+10	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	33	MLB	COL	369	340	78	18	3	10	23	101	3	5	1	.229	.284	.388	.672	.159	.294	27	6	.298	86	-6	+1	-2	-4	+10	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	34	MLB	COL	324	299	67	16	2	8	20	91	2	4	1	.224	.277	.371	.648	.147	.292	28	6	.291	81	-7	+0	-6	-3	+9	-0.8
2028	35	MLB	COL	272	251	56	13	2	7	17	79	2	3	0	.223	.278	.375	.652	.151	.289	29	6	.282	74	-8	+1	-7	-3	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6309	5812	1419	299	59	138	368	1798	68	101	42	.244	.297	.387	.684	.143	.327	28	6	.296	85	-107	+3	-17	-58	+179	0.0
/ 162G	—			650	599	146	31	6	14	38	185	7	10	4	.244	.297	.386	.682	.142	.327	28	6	.296	85	-11	+0	-2	-6	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	520	464	131	37	6	2	40	110	8	18	9	.282	.350	.401	.750	.119	.362	21	8	.333	113	+7	+0	—	—	+15	2.3
2014	21	AA	Trenton Thunder	197	176	48	10	5	4	18	44	1	2	3	.273	.344	.455	.798	.182	.344	22	9	.349	125	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
2014	21	A+	Tampa Yankees	416	385	117	18	4	3	28	80	2	10	3	.304	.354	.395	.749	.091	.377	19	7	.337	116	+7	+1	—	—	+12	2.0
2015	22	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	29	24	11	3	1	0	3	8	1	0	0	.458	.536	.667	1.202	.208	.647	28	10	.504	244	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2015	22	AA	Trenton Thunder	563	505	136	22	5	2	43	98	5	17	3	.269	.333	.345	.677	.075	.327	17	8	.304	91	-6	+2	—	—	+16	1.2
2016	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	354	322	84	18	6	5	26	78	4	3	3	.261	.324	.401	.724	.140	.329	22	7	.322	105	+2	-1	—	—	+10	1.2
2016	23	AA	Trenton Thunder	116	104	30	8	3	3	10	28	1	3	4	.288	.357	.510	.866	.221	.365	24	9	.375	145	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2017	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	297	278	90	13	3	15	18	82	1	1	3	.324	.367	.554	.921	.230	.414	28	6	.402	166	+22	-1	—	—	+8	3.0
2017	24	AA	Trenton Thunder	140	128	34	13	2	5	10	33	0	1	0	.266	.319	.516	.834	.250	.319	24	7	.357	131	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2018	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	309	283	75	16	2	13	18	102	3	2	1	.265	.316	.473	.789	.208	.363	33	6	.341	119	+7	+0	-1	+2	+9	1.7
2018	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	250	216	58	9	1	6	26	55	4	4	2	.269	.358	.403	.761	.134	.327	22	10	.339	118	+5	+0	—	—	+7	1.2
2019	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	228	198	51	11	2	8	21	71	8	0	0	.258	.352	.455	.807	.197	.358	31	9	.358	132	+8	+0	+0	-5	+6	1.1
2019	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	214	196	69	18	4	7	15	50	0	5	0	.352	.398	.592	.990	.240	.437	23	7	.424	183	+20	+1	—	—	+6	2.8
2020	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	123	113	25	3	2	4	5	44	5	0	2	.221	.285	.389	.674	.168	.323	36	4	.301	89	-2	-1	+2	+0	+3	0.4
2021	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	178	164	31	6	1	3	10	62	3	1	1	.189	.249	.293	.541	.104	.283	35	6	.246	46	-11	-0	-0	-2	+5	-0.9
2021	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	36	30	11	1	0	1	5	10	1	0	1	.367	.472	.500	.972	.133	.526	28	14	.437	193	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	177	164	35	7	3	5	11	49	0	2	0	.213	.263	.384	.647	.171	.268	28	6	.283	74	-5	+0	-0	-6	+5	-0.6
2022	29	AAA	St. Paul Saints	373	322	88	20	7	14	43	93	7	10	0	.273	.371	.509	.880	.236	.343	25	12	.386	153	+22	+2	—	—	+11	3.6
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	203	184	39	8	1	5	15	55	1	3	0	.212	.275	.348	.623	.136	.270	27	7	.276	70	-7	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.6
2023	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	275	237	82	30	1	16	31	56	5	2	3	.346	.432	.684	1.116	.338	.395	20	11	.474	221	+38	-1	—	—	+8	4.6
2024	31	MLB	Colorado Rockies	346	323	81	16	5	7	18	98	1	5	2	.251	.292	.396	.689	.146	.335	28	5	.302	89	-4	+0	-4	-4	+10	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1564	1429	337	67	16	45	98	481	21	13	6	.236	.295	.400	.694	.164	.319	31	6	.306	92	-14	+0	-2	-19	+44	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Cave (OGILVIE)	33	45	40	55	40	.229/.283/.386	.157	.294	10	5	27%	6%	86	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Recker 2017 · MLB	33	42→48	50	48→45	47	.214/.292/.365	.151	.283	18	5	30%	9%	85	+0.7	.212/.279/.357	.145	.289	16	5	31%	7%	77	+0.1	.194/.255/.340	.146	.266	16	1	32%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Trinidad Robles 2006 · AAA	33	48	47→40	49→45	44	.240/.290/.372	.132	.290	15	11	23%	6%	84	+0.6	.241/.295/.351	.110	.297	10	10	21%	6%	81	+0.4	.237/.294/.328	.090	.293	8	7	21%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	49→52	45	48→50	44	.241/.290/.371	.130	.302	12	13	24%	6%	84	+0.6	.225/.273/.339	.114	.313	12	12	30%	6%	69	-0.4	.176/.203/.217	.041	.286	5	14	39%	3%	7	-0.8
✕Drew Maggi 2022 · AAA	33	43→53	47→45	49→60	42	.214/.293/.350	.135	.297	15	13	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.192/.262/.287	.095	.274	8	20	31%	7%	52	-1.6	.168/.238/.238	.070	.236	5	22	29%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Preston Tucker 2023 · AAA	33	47→45	47→55	48→40	46	.236/.295/.373	.137	.274	15	6	20%	6%	88	+0.9	.241/.323/.403	.162	.292	18	6	23%	9%	107	+2.2	.238/.350/.432	.194	.288	21	2	23%	13%	122	+1.3
✕Kristopher Negrón 2019 · MLB	33	45→50	45	54→55	39	.223/.279/.349	.126	.309	13	17	31%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.294/.361	.129	.336	14	14	33%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.304/.360	.122	.346	14	14	33%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Johnny Monell 2018 · MLB	32	47→44	46→50	48→45	45	.235/.285/.360	.125	.279	14	7	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.277/.348	.122	.310	11	7	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.222/.274/.335	.114	.321	6	0	31%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2015 · AAA	33	44	46→50	47→40	41	.224/.273/.345	.121	.286	14	7	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.217/.265/.316	.099	.306	9	5	31%	5%	59	-1.1	.204/.253/.285	.081	.295	7	1	32%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Israel Nunez 2019 · AAA	33	47	46→40	49→40	44	.238/.278/.363	.125	.275	14	9	20%	5%	76	+0.1	.241/.278/.342	.101	.284	10	8	19%	4%	71	-0.3	.265/.292/.326	.061	.308	7	0	16%	1%	69	-0.1
✕Michael Ryan 2010 · AAA	33	46→49	51→50	44→30	42	.238/.279/.400	.162	.280	19	4	23%	5%	87	+0.8	.229/.270/.350	.121	.271	10	6	19%	5%	69	-0.4	.219/.256/.322	.104	.259	5	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Brooks Conrad 2012 · MLB	32	45→44	51→55	53→50	47	.230/.301/.389	.159	.296	18	13	28%	8%	94	+1.3	.227/.292/.424	.197	.303	25	6	32%	8%	99	+1.7	.190/.251/.354	.164	.246	21	1	32%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Chad Huffman 2018 · MLB	33	45→50	49→50	48→45	48	.227/.308/.382	.155	.275	15	8	23%	8%	96	+1.5	.229/.301/.381	.152	.291	17	6	26%	7%	92	+1.2	.225/.298/.382	.157	.288	19	0	28%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Jantzen Witte 2023 · AAA	33	49→53	50→45	46→45	44	.252/.300/.402	.150	.302	19	7	23%	6%	96	+1.5	.214/.271/.360	.146	.285	17	8	30%	7%	74	-0.1	.192/.255/.337	.145	.255	18	6	31%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Mike Freeman 2021 · MLB	33	48→58	45	42→55	46	.235/.300/.354	.119	.307	13	8	27%	8%	84	+0.6	.220/.297/.340	.120	.295	12	8	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.196/.280/.296	.100	.264	10	6	28%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Brian Bogusevic 2017 · MLB	33	51→55	45	52→55	43	.252/.301/.375	.122	.314	13	18	24%	6%	89	+1.0	.247/.289/.390	.143	.300	16	11	23%	5%	89	+0.9	.251/.291/.401	.150	.298	17	6	22%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Juan Centeno 2023 · AAA	33	48	47→45	43→40	42	.244/.286/.383	.139	.285	15	4	21%	5%	85	+0.7	.226/.269/.324	.098	.311	9	7	29%	5%	63	-0.9	.207/.249/.246	.038	.323	1	7	34%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Joe Thurston 2013 · AAA	33	47→57	46→45	47→50	46	.232/.289/.360	.127	.266	13	10	18%	6%	81	+0.4	.238/.304/.343	.105	.280	9	11	18%	7%	82	+0.5	.244/.311/.336	.092	.284	8	10	16%	8%	80	+0.3
●Cory Aldridge 2012 · AAA	33	47→51	52→55	46→45	39	.240/.284/.406	.166	.316	20	5	31%	6%	91	+1.1	.215/.271/.385	.170	.313	24	8	37%	7%	81	+0.4	.218/.283/.396	.178	.295	28	5	35%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Val Majewski 2012 · AAA	31	46→54	47→45	50	46	.233/.292/.369	.136	.288	15	11	24%	7%	85	+0.7	.222/.274/.323	.101	.274	8	9	21%	6%	64	-0.8	.206/.253/.278	.072	.253	2	5	18%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Ryan Goins 2021 · MLB	33	50→60	44→45	45	45	.241/.300/.366	.125	.326	10	7	28%	8%	87	+0.8	.211/.256/.296	.085	.303	8	5	31%	6%	50	-1.8	.194/.231/.248	.054	.280	4	2	31%	5%	23	-2.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)