Brian Bogusevic
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 30 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 311 | .260/.353/.411 | 6 | 5 | 78 | — | .233/.304/.353 | |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 601 | .289/.352/.415 | 14 | 28 | 86 | — | .262/.304/.373 | |
| 2015 | 31 | MLBPHI | 61 | .259/.295/.414 | 2 | 2 | 96 | -0.6 | ||
| 2017 | 33 | AAAPawtucket Red… | 318 | .278/.332/.467 | 12 | 4 | 79 | — | .240/.278/.387 | |
| 2018 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 145 | 124 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 371 | 447 | 556 | 1.003 | 185 | 443 | 17 | 11 | 429 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ | Salem Avalanche | — | 28 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 357 | 435 | 792 | 217 | 190 | 4 | 14 | 357 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 581 | 520 | 141 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 118 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 271 | 342 | 365 | 707 | 94 | 341 | 20 | 9 | 319 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 32 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 250 | 286 | 536 | 107 | 312 | 38 | 9 | 242 | 46 | -2 | -0 | -0 | -7 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 575 | 502 | 139 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 67 | 108 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 277 | 365 | 414 | 780 | 137 | 329 | 19 | 12 | 350 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 182 | 164 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 287 | 350 | 457 | 807 | 171 | 355 | 22 | 8 | 354 | 120 | +4 | +0 | +10 | -6 | +4 | 1.3 |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 255 | 218 | 58 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 49 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 266 | 366 | 404 | 770 | 138 | 329 | 19 | 12 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 148 | 120 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 317 | 446 | 500 | 946 | 183 | 386 | 19 | 18 | 422 | 171 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 404 | 355 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 96 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 203 | 298 | 299 | 596 | 96 | 257 | 24 | 10 | 277 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2013 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 155 | 143 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 325 | 462 | 786 | 189 | 320 | 23 | 6 | 345 | 116 | +3 | +0 | +1 | -5 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 310 | 265 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 58 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 317 | 416 | 506 | 922 | 189 | 376 | 19 | 13 | 409 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 32 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 400 | 531 | 640 | 1.171 | 240 | 500 | 16 | 22 | 505 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 311 | 265 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 56 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 260 | 353 | 411 | 764 | 151 | 304 | 18 | 10 | 336 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 61 | 58 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 295 | 414 | 709 | 155 | 371 | 34 | 5 | 314 | 96 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 515 | 467 | 138 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 97 | 3 | 24 | 5 | 296 | 360 | 424 | 784 | 128 | 351 | 19 | 9 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 86 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 302 | 362 | 665 | 112 | 305 | 22 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 318 | 291 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 278 | 332 | 467 | 800 | 189 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 350 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 834 | 748 | 178 | 36 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 204 | 9 | 24 | 7 | 238 | 312 | 373 | 685 | 135 | 301 | 24 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -5 | +2 | +9 | -30 | +18 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 145 | 129 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 357 | 411 | 527 | 938 | 171 | 423 | 20 | 8 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Avalanche | — | 28 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 286 | 400 | 686 | 200 | 166 | 4 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 581 | 536 | 130 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 152 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 243 | 295 | 321 | 616 | 78 | 325 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 32 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 250 | 276 | 526 | 103 | 312 | 38 | 9 | 235 | 46 | -2 | -0 | -0 | -7 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 575 | 525 | 122 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 146 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 232 | 295 | 326 | 621 | 93 | 305 | 25 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 182 | 165 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 279 | 339 | 442 | 781 | 164 | 355 | 22 | 8 | 345 | 120 | +4 | +0 | +10 | -6 | +4 | 1.3 |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 255 | 229 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 65 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 227 | 303 | 332 | 635 | 105 | 310 | 25 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 404 | 356 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 96 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 202 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 96 | 257 | 24 | 10 | 274 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2013 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 155 | 144 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 318 | 458 | 777 | 188 | 320 | 23 | 6 | 340 | 116 | +3 | +0 | +1 | -5 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 310 | 279 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 74 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 258 | 332 | 387 | 719 | 129 | 330 | 24 | 9 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 32 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 464 | 839 | 179 | 362 | 22 | 12 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 311 | 275 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 72 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 233 | 304 | 353 | 656 | 120 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 61 | 58 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 295 | 414 | 709 | 155 | 371 | 34 | 5 | 310 | 96 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 515 | 485 | 127 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 114 | 3 | 24 | 5 | 262 | 304 | 373 | 677 | 111 | 318 | 22 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 318 | 300 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 69 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 240 | 278 | 387 | 665 | 147 | 278 | 22 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 173 | 155 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 323 | 379 | 477 | 856 | 155 | 388 | 18 | 7 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 173 | 147 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 347 | 432 | 537 | 969 | 190 | 398 | 14 | 12 | 418 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 581 | 536 | 130 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 152 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 243 | 295 | 321 | 616 | 78 | 330 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 581 | 520 | 141 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 118 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 271 | 342 | 365 | 707 | 94 | 341 | 20 | 9 | 319 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 554 | 127 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 158 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 229 | 293 | 323 | 616 | 94 | 303 | 26 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 607 | 530 | 144 | 29 | 2 | 13 | 70 | 120 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 272 | 359 | 408 | 767 | 136 | 328 | 20 | 12 | 344 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 585 | 529 | 134 | 32 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 140 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 253 | 321 | 391 | 713 | 138 | 327 | 24 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 585 | 502 | 143 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 72 | 117 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 285 | 381 | 444 | 826 | 159 | 351 | 20 | 12 | 368 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 404 | 356 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 96 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 202 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 96 | 256 | 24 | 10 | 274 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 404 | 355 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 96 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 203 | 298 | 299 | 596 | 96 | 257 | 24 | 10 | 277 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 497 | 451 | 119 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 117 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 264 | 331 | 415 | 745 | 151 | 329 | 24 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 497 | 433 | 133 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 58 | 98 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 307 | 395 | 499 | 894 | 192 | 366 | 20 | 12 | 395 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 311 | 275 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 72 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 233 | 304 | 353 | 656 | 120 | 296 | 23 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 311 | 265 | 69 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 56 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 260 | 353 | 411 | 764 | 151 | 304 | 18 | 10 | 336 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 662 | 622 | 162 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 156 | 5 | 30 | 5 | 260 | 304 | 373 | 677 | 113 | 325 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 662 | 605 | 173 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 51 | 137 | 5 | 30 | 5 | 286 | 346 | 415 | 761 | 129 | 347 | 21 | 8 | 341 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 318 | 300 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 69 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 240 | 278 | 387 | 665 | 147 | 281 | 22 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 318 | 291 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 278 | 332 | 467 | 800 | 189 | 308 | 18 | 7 | 350 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 173 | 157 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 318 | 379 | 471 | 850 | 153 | 381 | 18 | 7 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 581 | 536 | 130 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 152 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 243 | 295 | 321 | 616 | 78 | 325 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 552 | 127 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 158 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 230 | 293 | 324 | 617 | 94 | 305 | 26 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 585 | 527 | 134 | 32 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 140 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 254 | 321 | 393 | 714 | 139 | 329 | 24 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 404 | 354 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 96 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 203 | 295 | 299 | 595 | 96 | 257 | 24 | 10 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 497 | 449 | 119 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 117 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 265 | 331 | 416 | 747 | 151 | 329 | 24 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 311 | 280 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 72 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 229 | 304 | 346 | 650 | 118 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 662 | 618 | 162 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 156 | 5 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 304 | 375 | 679 | 113 | 324 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 318 | 299 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 69 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 241 | 278 | 388 | 666 | 147 | 278 | 22 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 834 | 748 | 178 | 36 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 204 | 9 | 24 | 7 | 238 | 312 | 373 | 685 | 135 | 301 | 24 | 9 | 308 | 86 | -5 | +2 | +9 | -30 | +18 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 139 | 28 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 159 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 238 | 312 | 374 | 686 | 136 | 302 | 24 | 9 | 308 | 86 | -4 | +2 | +7 | -23 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4138 | 3778 | 930 | 160 | 29 | 74 | 291 | 991 | 41 | 158 | 33 | 246 | 307 | 363 | 670 | 116 | 314 | 24 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -5 | +2 | +9 | -30 | +18 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 147 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 46 | 156 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 248 | 308 | 368 | 676 | 120 | 316 | 24 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +2 | +7 | -23 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 318 PAwOBA .340 → .285 (−55)K% 17.9% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.92% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.97% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.106 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.942 | 3.67% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .340 → .285; ISO .189 → .145; BABIP .308 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 515 PAwOBA .340 → .295 (−45)K% 18.8% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.83% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.77% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 26.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.24% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .340 → .295; ISO .128 → .113; BABIP .351 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 311 PAwOBA .331 → .283 (−48)K% 18.0% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.01% | ÷1.008 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.93% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.53% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 6.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.91% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷1.098 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .331 → .283; ISO .151 → .123; BABIP .304 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAIowa Cubs · 310 PAwOBA .397 → .318 (−78)K% 18.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.71% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.54% | ÷1.009 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 25.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.83% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .397 → .318; ISO .189 → .136; BABIP .376 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Cubs · 32 PAwOBA .493 → .341 (−152)K% 15.6% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 12.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 13.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .493 → .341; ISO .240 → .168; BABIP .500 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 255 PAwOBA .338 → .292 (−46)K% 19.2% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.22% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.37% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.51% | ÷0.885 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.96% | ÷0.974 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 2.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.78% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 77, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .338 → .292; ISO .138 → .121; BABIP .329 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAARound Rock Express · 575 PAwOBA .341 → .281 (−60)K% 18.8% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷0.954 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.30% | ÷1.077 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.87% | ÷0.990 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 24.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.058 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .341 → .281; ISO .137 → .103; BABIP .329 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAARound Rock Express · 581 PAwOBA .309 → .270 (−39)K% 20.3% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 25.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .309 → .270; ISO .094 → .078; BABIP .341 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .