Chad Pinder
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 29 | AAAOAK | 31 | .286/.333/.571 | 2 | 0 | 80 | — | .207/.233/.379 | |
| 2021 | 29 | MLBOakland Athle… | 233 | .243/.302/.411 | 6 | 1 | 102 | -0.2 | ||
| 2022 | 30 | MLBOakland Athle… | 379 | .235/.263/.385 | 12 | 2 | 82 | -1.2 | ||
| 2023 | 31 | AAAATL | 94 | .256/.319/.395 | 3 | 0 | 55 | — | .202/.245/.292 | |
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 436 | 403 | 116 | 32 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 99 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 288 | 337 | 489 | 826 | 201 | 352 | 23 | 5 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 522 | 477 | 151 | 32 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 103 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 317 | 365 | 486 | 851 | 170 | 374 | 20 | 5 | 370 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 57 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 549 | 865 | 314 | 235 | 23 | 7 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 55 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 373 | 650 | 137 | 297 | 25 | 5 | 284 | 80 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 465 | 426 | 110 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 108 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 313 | 425 | 738 | 167 | 312 | 23 | 5 | 325 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 309 | 282 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 294 | 457 | 752 | 220 | 292 | 30 | 6 | 327 | 113 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 71 | 64 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 338 | 375 | 713 | 109 | 400 | 32 | 8 | 323 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 333 | 298 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 258 | 332 | 436 | 769 | 178 | 325 | 26 | 8 | 341 | 120 | +8 | -1 | +4 | -4 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 370 | 341 | 82 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 292 | 416 | 709 | 176 | 284 | 24 | 5 | 311 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 61 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 393 | 688 | 161 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 307 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 233 | 214 | 52 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 302 | 411 | 713 | 168 | 313 | 27 | 7 | 316 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 31 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 571 | 905 | 286 | 316 | 26 | 6 | 379 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 379 | 361 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 263 | 385 | 648 | 150 | 313 | 31 | 4 | 284 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 94 | 86 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 319 | 395 | 714 | 140 | 306 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1740 | 1603 | 388 | 89 | 3 | 62 | 103 | 475 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 242 | 295 | 417 | 712 | 175 | 303 | 27 | 6 | 313 | 98 | -4 | -1 | -18 | -16 | +38 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 436 | 409 | 97 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 133 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 237 | 279 | 389 | 668 | 152 | 317 | 31 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 522 | 487 | 136 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 136 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 279 | 316 | 413 | 729 | 133 | 348 | 26 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 55 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 373 | 650 | 137 | 297 | 25 | 5 | 286 | 80 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 465 | 432 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 139 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 222 | 270 | 370 | 640 | 148 | 288 | 30 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 309 | 283 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 297 | 470 | 767 | 230 | 292 | 30 | 6 | 335 | 113 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 71 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 268 | 303 | 571 | 91 | 371 | 42 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 333 | 299 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 261 | 332 | 448 | 780 | 187 | 325 | 26 | 8 | 346 | 120 | +8 | -1 | +4 | -4 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 370 | 341 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 292 | 422 | 715 | 182 | 284 | 24 | 5 | 317 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 61 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 393 | 688 | 161 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 233 | 214 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 302 | 421 | 722 | 178 | 313 | 27 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 31 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 233 | 379 | 613 | 172 | 244 | 32 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 379 | 362 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 263 | 390 | 653 | 155 | 313 | 31 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 94 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 245 | 292 | 537 | 90 | 274 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 436 | 409 | 97 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 133 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 237 | 279 | 389 | 668 | 152 | 325 | 31 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 436 | 403 | 116 | 32 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 99 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 288 | 337 | 489 | 826 | 201 | 352 | 23 | 5 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 540 | 150 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 151 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 278 | 316 | 407 | 723 | 130 | 360 | 26 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 579 | 528 | 163 | 34 | 3 | 19 | 32 | 116 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 309 | 360 | 492 | 852 | 184 | 362 | 20 | 6 | 371 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 520 | 483 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 153 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 222 | 268 | 366 | 635 | 145 | 290 | 29 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 520 | 477 | 122 | 27 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 122 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 309 | 419 | 729 | 164 | 310 | 23 | 5 | 320 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 349 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 122 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 235 | 292 | 438 | 730 | 203 | 305 | 32 | 6 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 380 | 346 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 16 | 24 | 115 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 302 | 442 | 745 | 199 | 312 | 30 | 6 | 326 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 333 | 299 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 261 | 332 | 448 | 780 | 187 | 325 | 26 | 8 | 346 | 120 | +8 | -1 | +4 | -4 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 333 | 298 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 258 | 332 | 436 | 769 | 178 | 325 | 26 | 8 | 341 | 120 | +8 | -1 | +4 | -4 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 370 | 341 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 292 | 422 | 715 | 182 | 281 | 24 | 5 | 317 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 370 | 341 | 82 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 292 | 416 | 709 | 176 | 284 | 24 | 5 | 311 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 61 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 393 | 688 | 161 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 61 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 393 | 688 | 161 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 307 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 243 | 58 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 294 | 416 | 710 | 177 | 303 | 27 | 6 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 264 | 242 | 60 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 305 | 430 | 735 | 182 | 313 | 27 | 7 | 323 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 379 | 362 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 263 | 390 | 653 | 155 | 309 | 31 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 379 | 361 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 263 | 385 | 648 | 150 | 313 | 31 | 4 | 284 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 94 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 245 | 292 | 537 | 90 | 258 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 94 | 86 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 319 | 395 | 714 | 140 | 306 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 436 | 409 | 97 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 133 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 237 | 279 | 389 | 668 | 152 | 317 | 31 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 544 | 150 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 151 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 276 | 316 | 404 | 720 | 129 | 348 | 26 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 520 | 484 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 153 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 221 | 268 | 366 | 634 | 145 | 289 | 29 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 349 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 122 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 235 | 292 | 438 | 730 | 203 | 307 | 32 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 333 | 298 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 88 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 332 | 450 | 782 | 188 | 325 | 26 | 8 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 370 | 342 | 82 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 292 | 421 | 713 | 181 | 284 | 24 | 5 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 61 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 393 | 688 | 161 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 243 | 58 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 294 | 416 | 710 | 177 | 305 | 27 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 379 | 362 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 263 | 390 | 653 | 155 | 313 | 31 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 94 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 245 | 292 | 537 | 90 | 274 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1740 | 1603 | 388 | 89 | 3 | 62 | 103 | 475 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 242 | 295 | 417 | 712 | 175 | 303 | 27 | 6 | 313 | 92 | -4 | -1 | -18 | -16 | +38 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 144 | 33 | 1 | 23 | 38 | 177 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 293 | 414 | 707 | 174 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 313 | 92 | -1 | -0 | -7 | -6 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3416 | 3171 | 770 | 162 | 12 | 107 | 167 | 963 | 46 | 32 | 21 | 243 | 290 | 403 | 693 | 160 | 312 | 28 | 5 | 303 | 92 | -4 | -1 | -18 | -16 | +38 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 146 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 183 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 242 | 290 | 400 | 690 | 158 | 312 | 28 | 5 | 303 | 92 | -1 | -0 | -7 | -6 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 94 PAwOBA .312 → .250 (−63)K% 22.3% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.994 | ×0.962 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.962 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .312 → .250; ISO .140 → .099; BABIP .306 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 31 PAwOBA .380 → .287 (−93)K% 25.8% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.156 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 15.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 8.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 7.30% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 131, 2B 104, 3B 91, K 99, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .380 → .287; ISO .286 → .215; BABIP .316 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANashville Sounds · 71 PAwOBA .315 → .253 (−62)K% 32.4% → 41.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.39% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 41.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.45% | ÷1.029 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.71% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 29.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.021 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.868 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.26% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .315 → .253; ISO .109 → .087; BABIP .400 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANashville Sounds · 465 PAwOBA .318 → .276 (−42)K% 23.2% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.23% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.38% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.01% | ÷1.035 | ×0.900 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷0.898 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.015 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷0.856 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 4.20% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .318 → .276; ISO .167 → .148; BABIP .312 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMidland RockHounds · 522 PAwOBA .363 → .311 (−52)K% 19.7% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.73% | ÷0.928 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷1.106 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.027 | 26.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷1.125 | ×0.840 | ×1.032 | ×1.027 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.032 | ×1.027 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.01% | ÷0.982 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 86, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .363 → .311; ISO .170 → .135; BABIP .374 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Stockton Ports · 436 PAwOBA .352 → .283 (−69)K% 22.7% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.71% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.05% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.044 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 8.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.011 | ×0.760 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.28% | ÷1.112 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .352 → .283; ISO .201 → .153; BABIP .352 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .