Stuart Fairchild

Stuart FairchildCF Tacoma Rainiers

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION335 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 105100vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO155

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2114.3%

xAVG

100.201

POWER50

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

1986.7

Bat Spd

3669.9

EYE55

Chase%

7926.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 288 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

159

129

—

wRC+

115

◀◀L

wOBA

338

225

◀◀L

ISO

156

135

◀L

BABIP

327

199

◀◀L

23.9%

28.7%

◀◀L

BB%

10.7%

3.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	234	204	62	5	4	3	19	35	11	12	4	304	393	412	805	108	355	15	8	366	134	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2018	22	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	242	220	55	14	1	2	17	63	2	6	2	250	310	350	660	100	335	26	7	295	86	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2018	22	A	Dayton Dragons	—	276	235	65	12	5	7	31	65	8	17	4	277	380	460	839	183	352	24	11	372	138	+12	+2	—	—	+6	2.1
2019	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	179	153	42	12	1	4	19	23	7	3	2	275	380	444	824	170	302	13	11	371	137	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.2
2019	23	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	281	248	64	17	2	8	25	60	5	3	5	258	338	440	778	181	306	21	9	343	118	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
2019	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	37	34	12	4	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	353	405	471	876	118	480	24	8	391	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	17	15	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	133	235	200	435	67	167	18	6	213	30	-1	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.0
2021	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	182	156	46	7	4	9	22	39	2	7	1	295	389	564	953	269	336	21	12	409	163	+14	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2022	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	110	97	24	4	1	5	8	34	5	0	2	247	336	464	800	216	328	31	7	355	127	+3	-1	+1	-4	+2	0.2
2022	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	221	190	49	9	1	11	20	60	9	7	2	258	356	489	846	232	314	27	9	371	137	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	255	219	50	16	2	5	25	69	6	10	3	228	324	388	712	160	306	27	10	316	100	-0	+1	+2	-4	+6	0.4
2023	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	114	94	26	2	1	4	11	27	6	3	1	277	387	447	834	170	344	24	10	367	134	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	45	8	0	8	17	60	4	13	1	215	287	368	655	153	261	26	7	292	84	-5	+2	+1	+1	+5	0.5
2025	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	272	70	-2	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	670	591	132	33	4	18	55	181	16	25	7	223	307	384	691	161	289	27	8	308	94	-5	+2	+5	-7	+15	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	234	211	49	4	3	2	12	50	11	12	4	232	308	308	616	76	290	21	5	268	68	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2018	22	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	242	224	43	11	1	1	13	86	2	6	2	192	243	263	506	71	287	36	5	223	37	-18	+0	—	—	+5	-1.3
2018	22	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	276	246	54	10	5	5	20	89	8	17	4	220	299	362	661	142	306	32	7	280	76	-8	+2	—	—	+6	-0.0
2019	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	179	159	36	9	1	3	13	29	7	3	2	226	313	352	665	126	256	16	7	294	85	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2019	23	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	281	254	52	14	1	6	19	87	5	3	5	205	273	339	612	134	269	31	7	264	65	-12	-1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2021	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	17	15	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	133	235	200	435	67	167	18	6	206	25	-2	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.0
2021	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	182	162	38	5	3	7	16	47	2	7	1	235	311	432	743	198	279	26	9	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	110	97	24	4	1	5	8	34	5	0	2	247	336	464	800	216	328	31	7	342	117	+2	-1	+1	-4	+2	0.1
2022	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	221	197	39	7	1	6	13	75	9	7	2	198	279	335	614	137	275	34	6	271	70	-8	+1	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	255	219	50	16	2	5	25	69	6	10	3	228	324	388	712	160	306	27	10	305	93	-2	+1	+2	-4	+6	0.2
2023	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	114	97	24	2	1	3	8	32	6	3	1	247	342	381	724	134	308	28	7	302	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	44	8	0	7	17	60	4	13	1	211	283	349	632	139	261	26	7	280	76	-7	+2	+1	+1	+5	0.3
2025	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	269	68	-2	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.1
2017	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	234	211	49	4	3	2	12	50	11	12	4	232	308	308	616	76	296	21	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	—	234	204	62	5	4	3	19	35	11	12	4	304	393	412	805	108	355	15	8	366	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	518	471	95	20	5	6	32	176	10	23	6	202	267	304	571	102	303	34	6	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	518	455	120	26	6	9	48	128	10	23	6	264	347	407	754	143	344	25	9	336	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	497	448	94	24	2	10	34	125	12	7	7	210	283	339	623	129	266	25	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	497	435	118	33	3	12	47	92	12	7	7	271	358	444	802	172	317	19	9	356	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	177	40	6	3	7	17	50	3	7	1	226	305	412	717	186	270	25	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	199	171	48	8	4	9	23	42	3	7	1	281	376	532	908	251	320	21	12	393	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	331	294	62	11	2	10	21	109	14	7	4	211	295	364	659	153	294	33	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	331	287	73	13	2	16	28	94	14	7	4	254	350	481	830	226	318	28	8	366	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	369	316	72	17	3	7	33	101	12	13	4	228	324	367	691	139	308	27	9	304	92	-4	+1	+2	-4	+8	0.3
2023	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	369	313	76	18	3	9	36	96	12	13	4	243	343	406	749	163	318	26	10	331	92	-4	+1	+2	-4	+8	0.3
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	44	8	0	7	17	60	4	13	1	211	283	349	632	139	259	26	7	280	76	-7	+2	+1	+1	+5	0.3
2024	28	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	45	8	0	8	17	60	4	13	1	215	287	368	655	153	261	26	7	292	76	-7	+2	+1	+1	+5	0.3
2025	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	269	68	-2	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.1
2025	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	272	68	-2	+0	+1	-1	+1	-0.1
2017	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	—	234	209	49	4	3	2	12	50	11	12	4	234	308	311	619	77	290	21	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	518	471	95	20	5	6	32	176	10	23	6	202	267	304	571	102	297	34	6	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	497	448	94	24	2	10	34	125	12	7	7	210	283	339	623	129	264	25	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	177	40	6	3	7	17	50	3	7	1	226	305	412	717	186	269	25	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	331	293	62	11	2	10	21	109	14	7	4	212	295	365	660	154	292	33	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	369	321	72	17	3	7	33	101	12	13	4	224	324	361	685	137	307	27	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	210	44	8	0	7	17	60	4	13	1	210	283	348	630	138	261	26	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	369	321	72	17	3	7	33	101	12	13	4	224	324	361	685	137	307	27	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	210	44	8	0	7	17	60	4	13	1	210	283	348	630	138	261	26	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	SEA	—	335	281	62	12	3	9	35	82	15	19	2	221	338	381	719	160	277	24	10	319	102	+1	+3	+0	+1	+7	1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	SEA	—	27	19	3	0	0	0	7	14	1	2	0	158	407	158	565		600	52	26	309	102	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
YTD	30	AAA RAW	SEA	—	308	250	72	16	4	11	40	53	14	17	2	288	414	516	930	228	326	17	13	406	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB RAW	SEA	—	27	19	3	0	0	0	7	14	1	2	0	158	407	158	565		600	52	26	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	SEA	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		274	22	11	316	100	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	SEA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						271	0	0	288	100	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	SEA	—	28	20	3	0	0	0	7	14	1	2	0	150	393	150	543		500	50	25	308	102	+0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
TOT	30	AAA MLE	SEA	—	344	289	63	12	3	9	36	84	15	19	2	218	335	374	709	156	274	24	10	319	102	+1	+3	-0	+1	+7	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SEA	33%	183	158	35	7	1	5	17	46	6	8	1	222	320	373	694	152	272	25	9	311	97	-1	+1	-3	+1	+4	0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	SEA	33%	60	52	11	2	0	2	6	15	2	3	0	212	317	365	682	154	269	25	10	284	97	-0	+1	-1	+0	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	731	644	143	35	4	20	61	196	18	28	7	222	307	382	689	160	285	27	8	306	77	-5	+3	+4	-6	+16	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	128	31	4	18	54	174	16	25	6	223	308	386	694	162	286	27	8	306	77	-4	+2	+3	-6	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2628	2343	503	101	20	54	188	734	72	92	29	215	293	344	637	129	286	28	7	282	77	-5	+3	+2	-6	+19	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	124	25	5	13	46	182	18	23	7	214	292	341	633	128	285	28	7	282	77	-4	+3	+1	-4	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
/162	664	24	7	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.1	733	20	29	225	306	387	+2	+3	2.1	2.1
/162	664	18	26	+1.6	+2.4	1.9	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stuart Fairchild (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	60	55	220/319/375	156	274	5	11	25%	9%	100	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	51→50	57→65	52	219/330/388	169	289	18	35	29%	11%	106	+1.8	214/317/385	171	289	18	32	30%	11%	101	+1.4	199/301/370	171	267	19	37	31%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	49→43	48→50	61→65	46	240/311/390	149	307	15	32	26%	8%	99	+1.2	248/323/377	129	314	11	35	23%	9%	100	+1.3	240/317/351	111	309	8	38	23%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	51→55	59→55	43	244/292/415	171	288	17	25	22%	5%	97	+1.1	239/280/394	155	290	14	20	22%	4%	88	+0.4	243/279/400	158	299	15	27	24%	4%	86	+0.1
✕Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	46→51	45	58→70	41	226/281/349	122	295	12	32	27%	6%	77	-0.3	255/314/384	129	332	13	63	26%	6%	98	+1.2	267/328/397	130	350	13	90	26%	6%	104	+0.8
✕Tim Locastro 2022 · MLB	30	46→54	44→45	55→60	46	225/315/346	120	269	11	23	20%	6%	91	+0.7	212/295/336	124	263	12	24	24%	5%	82	-0.0	212/302/326	115	267	11	36	23%	5%	80	-0.1
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	49→50	58→55	44	224/297/374	150	307	16	25	31%	8%	90	+0.6	226/293/360	134	323	14	23	32%	8%	85	+0.2	217/284/314	98	312	10	32	32%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	43→53	47→50	55→60	46	217/292/345	128	296	15	24	31%	9%	81	-0.1	231/301/365	134	317	16	28	30%	8%	89	+0.5	242/297/385	142	309	16	27	26%	6%	89	+0.2
●Will Venable 2013 · MLB	30	51→55	48→55	63→60	50	250/320/409	158	308	13	30	23%	8%	105	+1.7	250/309/406	156	307	16	22	23%	7%	101	+1.4	245/305/389	144	303	16	22	24%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	47→48	51→50	55→60	42	238/302/403	165	297	18	20	26%	6%	99	+1.2	215/283/343	128	307	13	24	32%	7%	78	-0.3	196/268/306	110	296	10	29	35%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Drew Stubbs 2014 · MLB	29	46→56	45→50	56→60	46	227/297/351	124	309	13	26	30%	9%	84	+0.2	236/305/380	144	337	16	24	32%	9%	94	+0.9	233/306/379	146	338	16	29	33%	9%	91	+0.3
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→53	48→55	55→60	41	227/281/378	151	319	14	25	32%	7%	84	+0.2	234/290/371	137	311	15	15	28%	7%	86	+0.3	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Leonys Martin 2018 · MLB	30	47→56	46→50	56→60	42	237/285/369	132	301	14	27	26%	6%	84	+0.1	235/298/388	153	296	18	16	26%	7%	93	+0.8	230/302/389	160	282	19	11	25%	8%	93	+0.4
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	47→51	50	56→55	44	237/302/395	158	312	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.1	227/275/348	121	329	11	14	33%	5%	75	-0.5	224/267/325	102	336	8	10	34%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	50→60	55→60	45	214/296/366	152	320	18	27	36%	10%	88	+0.4	224/295/404	180	318	22	15	34%	8%	96	+1.0	216/286/387	172	309	20	12	35%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jason Repko 2010 · MLB	29	45→48	46→50	55	42	225/282/358	133	283	14	22	25%	6%	80	-0.1	223/283/339	116	285	12	19	25%	7%	76	-0.4	213/279/318	104	275	11	18	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	42→50	50→55	60	41	205/279/361	156	329	18	34	41%	9%	80	-0.1	188/261/313	125	340	15	24	45%	8%	63	-1.4	149/230/245	96	290	14	23	50%	9%	35	-1.5
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	50→55	55	46	254/309/409	155	298	17	21	21%	6%	102	+1.5	241/294/374	133	288	15	23	21%	6%	88	+0.5	245/306/402	157	304	19	16	25%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Brian Bogusevic 2014 · MLB	30	50→55	46→45	56→55	50	246/320/381	136	307	13	21	24%	9%	99	+1.3	249/307/371	122	314	12	17	23%	7%	92	+0.7	251/299/366	116	313	12	15	23%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→48	48→50	60→65	40	224/272/373	149	288	14	32	27%	5%	80	-0.2	221/269/360	139	279	14	40	25%	6%	76	-0.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	54→60	54→50	41	232/279/411	180	275	22	18	25%	5%	92	+0.7	233/279/386	153	297	17	13	27%	5%	86	+0.3	229/276/363	134	296	14	11	27%	5%	76	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps