Stuart Fairchild

Stuart FairchildRF Tacoma Rainiers

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION389 act + 259 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 126101vR 36

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .323 / .377

PA259

HR7

SB14

K%25

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO151

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2114.3%

xwOBA

350.291

POWER50

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

1986.7

Bat Spd

3669.9

EYE55

Chase%

7926.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 288 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

159

129

—

wRC+

117

◀◀L

wOBA

338

225

◀◀L

ISO

156

135

◀L

BABIP

327

199

◀◀L

23.9%

28.7%

◀◀L

BB%

10.7%

3.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	234	211	49	4	3	2	12	50	11	12	4	232	308	308	616	76	296	21	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	234	204	62	5	4	3	19	35	11	12	4	304	393	412	805	108	355	15	8	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	518	472	95	20	6	6	31	175	10	23	6	201	265	307	572	106	301	34	6	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	518	455	120	26	6	9	48	128	10	23	6	264	347	407	754	143	344	25	9	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	3 teams	—	497	447	93	22	2	10	35	129	12	7	7	208	283	333	617	125	267	26	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	3 teams	—	497	435	118	33	3	12	47	92	12	7	7	271	358	444	802	172	317	19	9	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	199	177	40	6	3	8	17	51	3	7	1	226	305	429	734	203	267	26	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	199	171	48	8	4	9	23	42	3	7	1	281	376	532	908	251	320	21	12	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	331	294	61	11	2	10	21	113	14	7	4	207	292	361	652	153	295	34	6	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	331	287	73	13	2	16	28	94	14	7	4	254	350	481	830	226	318	28	8	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	2 teams	—	369	316	73	17	3	8	33	101	12	13	4	231	327	380	707	149	310	27	9	307	93	-3	+1	+2	-4	+10	0.7
2023	27	MLB	2 teams	—	369	313	76	18	3	9	36	96	12	13	4	243	343	406	749	163	318	26	10	331	112	+5	+1	+2	-4	+10	1.5
2024	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	45	8	0	8	17	60	4	13	1	215	287	368	655	153	261	26	7	282	74	-7	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2024	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	45	8	0	8	17	60	4	13	1	215	287	368	655	153	261	26	7	292	81	-5	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.6
2025	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	269	64	-2	+0	+1	-1	+2	-0.1
2025	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	272	67	-2	+0	+1	-1	+2	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	SEA	—	389	328	75	13	3	10	43	98	14	21	4	229	343	378	721	149	293	25	11	319	102	+1	+3	+0	+1	+11	1.6
YTD	30	AAA	SEA	—	389	312	87	16	4	12	59	81	14	21	4	279	416	471	887	192	339	21	15	394	160	+26	+3	+0	+1	+11	4.2
ROS	30	AAA	SEA	10%	259	225	51	9	2	7	25	65	7	14	3	226	323	377	700	151	282	25	10	316	100	+0	+2	-0	+1	+7	1.0
ROS	30	MLB	SEA	10%	26	22	5	1	0	1	3	7	1	1	0	227	346	409	755	182	280	27	12	293	82	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	SEA	—	415	350	80	14	3	11	46	105	15	22	4	229	343	380	723	151	292	25	11	317	101	+0	+3	-0	+1	+12	1.7
TOT	30	AAA	SEA	—	648	553	126	22	5	17	68	163	21	35	7	228	335	378	712	150	290	25	10	318	101	+1	+4	-0	+2	+18	2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SEA	33%	660	572	126	23	4	17	65	167	18	28	5	220	319	364	683	143	279	25	10	311	96	-3	+4	-4	+2	+19	1.8
2028	32	MLB	SEA	46%	660	572	124	22	4	17	65	170	18	24	4	217	316	358	674	142	274	26	10	305	91	-6	+3	-5	+2	+19	1.3
2027	31	MLB	SEA	33%	216	187	41	7	1	6	21	55	6	9	2	219	318	364	681	144	276	25	10	288	79	-5	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2028	32	MLB	SEA	46%	303	262	56	10	2	7	30	78	8	11	2	214	313	347	661	134	271	26	10	282	74	-9	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1215	1062	234	51	7	32	109	321	31	46	11	220	311	372	683	152	283	26	9	298	86	-19	+5	+1	-5	+34	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	125	27	4	17	58	172	17	25	6	220	311	371	683	151	283	26	9	298	86	-10	+3	+1	-2	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	4015	3546	768	146	30	93	325	1096	109	150	40	217	302	353	655	137	284	27	8	292	81	-84	+14	-5	+4	+114	4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	125	24	5	15	53	177	18	24	6	218	304	355	660	138	285	27	8	292	81	-14	+2	-1	+1	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	234	204	62	5	4	3	19	35	11	12	4	304	393	412	805	108	355	15	8	366	138	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.8
2018	22	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	242	220	55	14	1	2	17	63	2	6	2	250	310	350	660	100	335	26	7	295	84	-4	+0	—	—	+7	0.3
2018	22	A	Dayton Dragons	—	276	235	65	12	5	7	31	65	8	17	4	277	380	460	839	183	352	24	11	372	143	+13	+2	—	—	+8	2.3
2019	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	179	153	42	12	1	4	19	23	7	3	2	275	380	444	824	170	302	13	11	371	142	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.4
2019	23	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	281	248	64	17	2	8	25	60	5	3	5	258	338	440	778	181	306	21	9	343	120	+6	-1	—	—	+8	1.3
2019	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	37	34	12	4	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	353	405	471	876	118	480	24	8	391	157	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	17	15	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	133	235	200	435	67	167	18	6	213	21	-2	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.0
2021	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	182	156	46	7	4	9	22	39	2	7	1	295	389	564	953	269	336	21	12	409	171	+15	+1	—	—	+5	2.1
2022	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	110	97	24	4	1	5	8	34	5	0	2	247	336	464	800	216	328	31	7	355	130	+4	-1	+1	-4	+3	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	221	190	49	9	1	11	20	60	9	7	2	258	356	489	846	232	314	27	9	371	142	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	255	219	50	16	2	5	25	69	6	10	3	228	324	388	712	160	306	27	10	316	100	-0	+1	+2	-4	+7	0.6
2023	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	114	94	26	2	1	4	11	27	6	3	1	277	387	447	834	170	344	24	10	367	139	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	233	209	45	8	0	8	17	60	4	13	1	215	287	368	655	153	261	26	7	292	81	-5	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.6
2025	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	55	51	11	4	1	0	4	15	0	2	1	216	273	333	606	118	306	27	7	272	67	-2	+0	+1	-1	+2	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	670	591	132	33	4	18	55	181	16	25	7	223	307	384	691	161	289	27	8	308	94	-5	+2	+5	-7	+19	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,191	32	46	223	309	378	-3	+3	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	18	26	223	309	378	-1.8	+1.8	1.4	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stuart Fairchild (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	60	55	228/335/378	150	290	17	35	25%	10%	101	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
●Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	45→49	46→50	58→70	40	224/279/355	131	294	14	32	28%	6%	76	+0.0	255/314/393	138	332	15	63	26%	6%	100	+1.7	267/329/405	137	352	15	90	26%	6%	106	+1.1
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	48→51	47→50	57→60	44	235/297/374	138	322	15	24	30%	8%	88	+0.9	222/299/354	132	324	14	22	33%	9%	84	+0.6	204/290/316	112	307	12	23	34%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Tim Locastro 2022 · MLB	30	46→53	44→45	55→60	46	224/313/342	118	268	11	23	20%	6%	89	+0.9	211/293/336	125	262	12	24	24%	5%	79	+0.3	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→53	48→55	55→60	41	226/279/375	149	319	14	25	33%	7%	80	+0.4	235/290/372	137	314	15	15	29%	7%	85	+0.7	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	53→60	59→55	42	247/294/428	181	289	19	25	22%	5%	101	+1.8	242/282/405	163	292	15	20	22%	4%	89	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	44→54	48→50	55→60	41	225/287/363	138	301	17	29	31%	6%	82	+0.5	215/265/340	125	292	15	22	30%	5%	66	-0.6	205/251/321	116	277	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Jason Repko 2010 · MLB	29	45→48	46→50	55	42	225/281/358	133	282	14	22	25%	6%	77	+0.1	224/283/344	120	285	13	19	25%	6%	74	-0.1	216/280/326	110	277	12	18	25%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	44→45	52→55	48	198/302/313	116	269	11	19	29%	9%	77	+0.1	225/308/344	119	307	11	22	28%	9%	85	+0.7	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕John Andreoli 2018 · AAA	28	44→54	47→45	58→60	48	218/296/357	139	298	14	29	30%	9%	83	+0.6	218/297/340	122	317	11	19	32%	10%	79	+0.3	201/291/312	111	310	9	17	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Isaac Galloway 2019 · MLB	29	44→43	49→45	53→55	41	225/276/372	147	282	16	25	27%	6%	79	+0.3	207/250/339	132	302	15	18	35%	5%	59	-1.1	146/169/240	95	242	14	18	46%	2%	-4	-1.6
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	49→55	55	46	253/308/405	152	298	17	21	21%	6%	101	+1.8	239/292/372	133	285	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Jeff Salazar 2012 · MLB	31	41→51	45→50	57→55	48	208/273/322	114	252	14	27	23%	8%	65	-0.7	209/267/322	113	265	13	16	25%	7%	62	-0.9	181/229/260	79	227	9	9	24%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Kevin Thompson 2008 · MLB	28	49→52	45→50	56→60	49	238/306/370	132	291	11	27	22%	8%	90	+1.0	230/290/346	116	284	10	27	22%	7%	77	+0.1	247/301/351	105	298	9	44	20%	6%	79	+0.1