Nick Senzel — OGILVIE

Nick Senzel3B Oklahoma City Comets

Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 217 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION96 act + 288 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7773vR 65

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .301 / .373

PA288

HR8

K%23

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO142

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT45

Whiff%

619.8%

xwOBA

430.301

POWER45

Barrel%

214.4

Avg EV

1586.4

Bat Spd

2668.8

EYE55

Chase%

5630.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

4627.3

Platoon Splits2024 · 267 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

193

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

287

272

◀L

ISO

185

117

◀◀L

BABIP

173

259

▶▶R

13.5%

26.4%

◀◀L

BB%

10.8%

9.8%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$1.0M		$-0.1M	-$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	2 teams	—	292	260	60	20	2	4	23	76	3	18	7	231	301	369	670	138	303	26	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	2 teams	—	292	243	74	24	3	7	38	54	3	18	7	305	402	514	917	210	358	18	13	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	507	472	125	34	3	9	32	135	3	14	6	265	316	407	722	142	354	27	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	507	455	146	40	3	14	49	97	3	14	6	321	391	514	905	193	384	19	10	399	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	193	177	45	9	2	5	13	51	1	8	2	254	309	412	721	158	325	26	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	193	171	53	12	2	6	19	39	1	8	2	310	382	509	891	199	367	20	10	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	452	416	101	20	4	12	32	118	3	14	5	243	302	397	698	154	310	26	7	307	93	-4	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.3
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	452	410	105	21	4	13	33	114	3	14	5	256	313	422	735	166	324	25	7	324	106	+3	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.9
2020	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	78	71	13	6	0	2	6	15	0	2	1	183	247	352	599	169	200	19	8	253	52	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2020	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	78	70	13	6	0	2	6	15	0	2	1	186	247	357	604	171	204	19	8	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	163	148	38	7	1	1	13	19	0	2	5	257	317	338	655	81	285	12	8	292	81	-3	-2	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	163	146	38	7	1	1	14	18	0	2	5	260	323	342	665	82	287	11	9	299	87	-2	-2	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2022	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	420	382	84	12	0	5	30	76	5	8	5	220	285	291	576	71	262	18	7	262	59	-20	-0	-2	+1	+12	-0.8
2022	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	420	373	86	13	0	5	30	76	5	8	5	231	290	306	596	75	276	18	7	270	65	-17	-0	-2	+1	+12	-0.6
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	400	363	81	12	1	13	32	92	3	10	2	223	291	369	661	146	262	23	8	293	83	-8	+1	-8	+1	+11	-0.2
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	400	359	84	13	1	14	35	89	3	10	2	234	307	393	699	159	271	22	9	312	97	-1	+1	-8	+1	+11	0.5
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	267	237	46	11	0	7	28	61	1	1	3	194	282	329	611	135	231	23	10	270	64	-11	-1	-3	+1	+8	-0.7
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	267	236	46	11	0	7	28	61	1	1	3	195	282	331	612	136	232	23	10	278	71	-9	-1	-3	+1	+8	-0.5
2025	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	411	371	84	13	1	10	27	95	6	7	1	226	290	348	637	121	271	23	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	411	353	89	15	2	12	45	76	6	7	1	252	347	408	754	156	283	18	11	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	LAD	—	96	87	13	2	0	2	8	26	0	0	0	149	221	241	462	92	183	27	8	196	8	-10	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.7
YTD	31	AAA	LAD	—	96	84	15	2	0	2	11	20	0	0	0	179	274	274	547	95	206	21	11	254	52	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
ROS	31	AAA	LAD	10%	288	260	60	11	1	8	24	66	2	4	1	231	301	373	674	142	272	23	8	297	85	-5	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.3
ROS	31	MLB	LAD	10%	29	27	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	222	276	370	646	148	268	24	7	287	78	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	31	AAA	LAD	—	125	114	19	3	0	3	10	33	0	0	0	167	234	272	506	105	203	26	8	217	24	-11	+0	-0	+0	+4	-0.7
TOT	31	AAA	LAD	—	384	347	73	13	1	10	32	92	2	4	1	210	281	340	621	130	255	24	8	272	66	-15	+0	-2	+1	+11	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	LAD	100%	365	329	73	13	1	9	30	85	3	4	1	222	293	350	642	128	271	23	8	291	81	-8	+0	-6	+1	+10	-0.2
2027	32	MLB	LAD	100%	365	329	73	13	1	9	30	85	3	4	1	222	293	350	642	128	267	23	8	281	74	-11	+0	-6	+1	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2027	1822	419	78	5	50	164	435	13	37	22	230	296	361	656	131	274	21	8	292	82	-42	-1	-18	+8	+57	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	135	25	2	16	53	139	4	12	7	231	297	363	660	132	275	21	8	292	82	-13	-0	-6	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	3836	3486	810	168	16	85	290	889	30	92	39	232	297	363	660	131	286	23	8	292	81	-80	+3	-20	+14	+109	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	137	28	3	14	49	151	5	16	7	232	296	360	657	129	286	23	8	292	81	-14	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Dayton Dragons	—	251	210	69	23	3	7	32	49	2	15	7	329	419	567	985	238	392	20	13	420	179	+22	+0	—	—	+7	3.0
2016	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	—	41	33	5	1	0	0	6	5	1	3	0	152	300	182	482	30	172	12	15	240	42	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2017	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	235	209	71	14	1	10	26	43	0	5	4	340	413	560	973	220	391	18	11	426	184	+22	-1	—	—	+7	2.9
2017	22	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	272	246	75	26	2	4	23	54	3	9	2	305	371	476	847	171	378	20	8	375	145	+14	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	193	171	53	12	2	6	19	39	1	8	2	310	382	509	891	199	367	20	10	388	155	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2019	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	414	375	96	20	4	12	30	101	3	14	5	256	312	427	739	171	319	24	7	325	107	+3	+1	+1	+2	+12	1.8
2019	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	38	35	9	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	257	316	371	687	114	381	34	8	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2020	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	78	70	13	6	0	2	6	15	0	2	1	186	247	357	604	171	204	19	8	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	124	111	28	4	0	1	12	16	0	2	5	252	325	315	641	63	284	13	10	294	83	-2	-2	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2021	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	39	35	10	3	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	286	316	429	744	143	294	5	5	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	420	373	86	13	0	5	30	76	5	8	5	231	290	306	596	75	276	18	7	270	65	-17	-0	-2	+1	+12	-0.6
2023	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	330	301	71	10	0	13	26	74	1	6	2	236	299	399	697	163	269	22	8	310	95	-2	+0	-8	+1	+9	0.1
2023	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	70	58	13	3	1	1	9	15	2	4	0	224	343	362	705	138	286	21	13	322	105	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	267	236	46	11	0	7	28	61	1	1	3	195	282	331	612	136	232	23	10	278	71	-9	-1	-3	+1	+8	-0.5
2025	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	411	353	89	15	2	12	45	76	6	7	1	252	347	408	754	156	283	18	11	335	114	+7	+1	—	—	+12	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1633	1466	340	64	4	40	132	343	10	33	21	232	297	363	660	131	275	21	8	295	84	-30	-2	-12	+6	+46	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,036	50	37	230	295	360	+7	-17	2.6	2.7
	/162	664	16	12	230	295	360	+2.4	-5.4	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Senzel (OGILVIE)	31	45	45	50	55	210/281/340	130	255	10	4	24%	8%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2015 · MLB	31	44→48	51→55	44→50	49	226/296/394	168	267	19	5	23%	8%	93	+1.3	214/280/366	152	263	16	7	25%	8%	79	+0.3	160/214/281	121	200	11	4	26%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→51	46→45	48→30	46	222/280/346	124	262	15	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	240/303/354	114	301	12	5	23%	7%	85	+0.7	240/304/338	98	308	10	2	24%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tim Federowicz 2019 · MLB	31	47→50	48→50	49→40	43	235/287/379	143	302	15	5	27%	6%	85	+0.7	209/262/341	132	278	15	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	167/220/276	109	222	15	2	32%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Dixon Machado 2022 · AAA	30	44→54	49→45	46→55	48	225/297/375	150	279	17	7	25%	8%	89	+0.9	237/310/334	97	284	9	8	19%	9%	83	+0.6	231/311/319	88	276	8	6	18%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Robinson Cancel 2007 · AAA	31	47	47→45	47→50	46	236/288/370	134	273	15	8	20%	6%	83	+0.6	229/269/341	112	270	10	10	19%	5%	67	-0.5	252/300/348	96	298	8	15	18%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Issmael Salas 2013 · AAA	31	49→50	50	47→50	44	249/295/403	155	282	18	8	19%	5%	95	+1.4	243/288/367	124	281	13	7	18%	5%	82	+0.5	248/293/374	126	273	14	5	15%	5%	86	+0.5
✕Andy Burns 2022 · MLB	31	45→55	49→50	51→55	51	224/305/374	149	283	16	15	26%	10%	92	+1.2	205/274/322	117	291	12	12	31%	8%	65	-0.7	172/244/265	93	248	10	8	33%	8%	36	-1.5
✕Donnie Sadler 2006 · MLB	31	45	45	48→55	48	223/293/350	127	278	12	12	24%	8%	80	+0.4	225/294/339	114	291	8	14	24%	9%	77	+0.1	214/286/319	105	283	4	16	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕David Bote 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	47→55	49→45	43	220/287/358	138	285	15	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	229/296/387	158	286	17	8	25%	7%	92	+1.2	221/293/387	166	269	18	6	24%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Tommy Field 2017 · MLB	30	40→50	47→45	48→45	46	207/275/338	131	249	15	6	24%	7%	70	-0.3	201/253/310	109	252	11	7	24%	5%	53	-1.5	180/226/266	87	227	7	5	24%	4%	27	-2.5
✕Royce Clayton 2001 · MLB	31	47→57	48→45	47→50	51	238/297/380	142	262	15	11	16%	8%	89	+1.0	244/301/368	124	277	13	10	16%	7%	88	+0.9	261/315/354	93	319	4	13	18%	7%	86	+0.8
✕Andy Green 2008 · MLB	31	49→56	46→50	48→45	51	239/305/375	136	280	12	8	19%	8%	92	+1.2	221/289/339	118	264	12	8	20%	8%	76	+0.0	214/283/325	112	255	11	7	20%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Adam Heether 2012 · AAA	30	39→49	46→50	48→45	48	202/288/330	128	243	15	8	24%	8%	75	-0.0	202/274/322	120	252	14	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	174/240/271	98	212	13	10	25%	6%	34	-1.2
●Joshua Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	31	47→56	45→50	49→50	45	230/292/359	129	297	13	9	26%	7%	82	+0.5	209/270/328	119	296	13	7	32%	7%	65	-0.7	223/283/360	137	300	18	4	31%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	213/292/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	196/273/336	140	263	16	15	30%	9%	69	-0.4	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Wilson Delgado 2003 · MLB	31	46	49→45	48→40	47	233/293/379	146	282	17	9	24%	8%	88	+0.9	241/302/343	102	285	9	6	18%	8%	82	+0.5	245/299/333	88	293	6	3	17%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Diory Hernandez 2015 · AAA	31	45→55	46→45	44→50	48	226/281/350	124	253	14	8	17%	6%	75	-0.0	246/296/371	125	272	14	8	15%	6%	86	+0.8	250/298/379	129	273	15	6	15%	5%	87	+0.4
✕Brandon Harper 2007 · MLB	31	47	45	50→45	49	232/303/356	124	261	12	9	17%	7%	87	+0.8	202/260/296	94	244	8	8	20%	6%	52	-1.6	159/214/214	55	195	3	3	20%	6%	7	-2.4
✕Jacob Wilson 2021 · AAA	31	47→48	51→55	46→40	47	241/303/404	163	288	19	6	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/297/428	196	275	24	6	25%	7%	103	+1.9	215/288/439	225	240	27	0	24%	8%	100	+0.9
✕Elias Díaz 2022 · MLB	31	44→54	49→50	46→45	51	225/288/370	145	245	17	3	17%	8%	83	+0.6	225/281/352	127	267	14	2	21%	7%	76	+0.0	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3