Nick Senzel — OGILVIE

Nick Senzel3B Oklahoma City Comets

Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 217 lbs AAA HR +15%K -3% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†vL 5866vR 47

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .299 / .360

PA381

HR10

K%22

BB%9

xwOBA.301

Barrel%5.7%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

45→45

SPD

50→50

EYE

51↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2026

Barrel%

315.7

xwOBA

440.301

Avg EV

1084.0

Whiff%

540.105

Chase%

700.278

Speed

4627.3

Bat Spd

2668.8

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-1M	-$4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	2 teams	292	259	62	20	2	5	24	70	3	18	7	.239	.311	.390	.701	.151	.302	24	8	.305	91	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2017	22	A+	2 teams	507	471	126	35	2	11	33	134	3	14	6	.268	.320	.420	.740	.153	.353	26	7	.322	104	+3	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.9
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	193	177	47	10	2	5	13	48	1	8	2	.266	.319	.429	.749	.164	.333	25	7	.321	104	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.8
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	452	416	104	21	4	13	32	117	3	14	5	.250	.308	.413	.722	.163	.317	26	7	.313	98	-1	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.5
2020	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	78	71	13	6	0	2	6	15	0	2	1	.183	.247	.352	.599	.169	.200	19	8	.245	46	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	163	148	37	7	1	1	13	19	0	2	5	.250	.311	.331	.642	.081	.277	12	8	.279	72	-5	-2	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2022	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	420	382	86	11	0	5	30	76	5	8	5	.225	.290	.293	.583	.068	.268	18	7	.258	56	-21	-0	-2	+1	+12	-1.0
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	400	363	80	12	1	12	32	92	3	10	2	.220	.289	.358	.647	.138	.261	23	8	.287	78	-10	+1	-8	+1	+11	-0.4
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	267	237	45	11	0	7	28	61	1	1	3	.190	.278	.325	.603	.135	.225	23	10	.269	64	-11	-1	-3	+1	+8	-0.7
2025	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	411	369	79	12	1	10	29	97	6	7	1	.214	.282	.333	.616	.119	.257	24	7	.275	69	-15	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	81	73	12	2	0	2	7	22	0	0	0	.164	.237	.274	.511	.110	.200	27	9	.209	18	-7	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
ROS	31	MLB	LAD	300	269	58	10	1	8	26	68	2	4	1	.216	.290	.349	.639	.134	.256	23	9	.288	79	-7	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	31	MLB	LAD	381	342	70	12	1	10	33	90	2	4	1	.205	.279	.333	.612	.129	.245	24	9	.271	66	-15	+0	-1	+1	+11	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB 20%	LAD	362	322	70	12	1	9	34	68	3	3	1	.217	.298	.345	.643	.127	.242	19	9	.289	80	-8	+0	-4	+1	+10	-0.1
2028	33	MLB 33%	LAD	332	296	62	10	1	8	31	64	2	2	0	.209	.289	.331	.620	.122	.240	19	9	.284	75	-9	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.3
2029	34	MLB 43%	LAD	288	257	54	9	1	7	27	58	2	1	0	.210	.290	.335	.625	.125	.238	20	9	.277	70	-10	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4465	4037	923	186	17	103	358	987	34	94	39	.229	.297	.360	.657	.131	.276	22	8	.290	80	-101	+3	-27	+16	+127	1.7
/ 162G	—			650	588	134	27	2	15	52	144	5	14	6	.228	.296	.357	.653	.129	.275	22	8	.290	80	-15	+0	-4	+2	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Dayton Dragons	251	210	69	23	3	7	32	49	2	15	7	.329	.419	.567	.985	.238	.392	20	13	.420	179	+22	+0	—	—	+7	3.0
2016	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	41	33	5	1	0	0	6	5	1	3	0	.152	.300	.182	.482	.030	.172	12	15	.240	42	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2017	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	235	209	71	14	1	10	26	43	0	5	4	.340	.413	.560	.973	.220	.391	18	11	.426	184	+22	-1	—	—	+7	2.9
2017	22	A+	Daytona Tortugas	272	246	75	26	2	4	23	54	3	9	2	.305	.371	.476	.847	.171	.378	20	8	.375	145	+14	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	193	171	53	12	2	6	19	39	1	8	2	.310	.382	.509	.891	.199	.367	20	10	.388	155	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2019	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	414	375	96	20	4	12	30	101	3	14	5	.256	.312	.427	.739	.171	.319	24	7	.325	107	+3	+1	+1	+2	+12	1.8
2019	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	38	35	9	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	.257	.316	.371	.687	.114	.381	34	8	.310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2020	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	78	70	13	6	0	2	6	15	0	2	1	.186	.247	.357	.604	.171	.204	19	8	.264	60	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	124	111	28	4	0	1	12	16	0	2	5	.252	.325	.315	.641	.063	.284	13	10	.294	83	-2	-2	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2021	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	39	35	10	3	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	.286	.316	.429	.744	.143	.294	5	5	.315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	420	373	86	13	0	5	30	76	5	8	5	.231	.290	.306	.596	.075	.276	18	7	.270	65	-17	-0	-2	+1	+12	-0.6
2023	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	330	301	71	10	0	13	26	74	1	6	2	.236	.299	.399	.697	.163	.269	22	8	.310	95	-2	+0	-8	+1	+9	0.1
2023	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	70	58	13	3	1	1	9	15	2	4	0	.224	.343	.362	.705	.138	.286	21	13	.322	105	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	267	236	46	11	0	7	28	61	1	1	3	.195	.282	.331	.612	.136	.232	23	10	.278	71	-9	-1	-3	+1	+8	-0.5
2025	30	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	411	353	89	15	2	12	45	76	6	7	1	.252	.347	.408	.754	.156	.283	18	11	.335	114	+7	+1	—	—	+12	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1633	1466	340	64	4	40	132	343	10	33	21	.232	.297	.363	.660	.131	.275	21	8	.295	84	-30	-2	-12	+6	+46	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Senzel (OGILVIE)	31	45	45	50	55	.224/.299/.360	.137	.266	10	6	22%	9%	87	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Burns 2022 · MLB	31	43→53	49→50	49→55	51	.220/.299/.366	.147	.274	16	13	26%	10%	87	+0.8	.200/.275/.314	.114	.287	11	12	32%	9%	63	-0.8	.172/.248/.262	.091	.249	10	8	33%	9%	37	-1.4
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	40→50	47→50	50→55	44	.205/.272/.343	.138	.276	15	13	31%	8%	70	-0.3	.203/.276/.336	.133	.294	16	11	34%	8%	70	-0.3	.193/.274/.320	.127	.282	16	11	35%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	45→52	45	48→30	46	.224/.281/.336	.112	.265	13	5	21%	7%	72	-0.2	.243/.308/.357	.114	.303	12	5	23%	8%	89	+0.9	.244/.309/.343	.100	.312	10	2	24%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	48→50	52→55	48	.212/.290/.355	.142	.274	16	14	28%	9%	81	+0.4	.199/.276/.341	.142	.265	16	16	30%	9%	71	-0.3	.169/.251/.300	.130	.226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Robinson Cancel 2007 · AAA	31	46	47→45	47→50	47	.234/.286/.366	.132	.271	15	8	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.229/.270/.343	.114	.270	11	10	19%	5%	68	-0.5	.251/.300/.345	.094	.296	8	15	17%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Tommy Field 2017 · MLB	30	41→50	46→45	48→45	45	.210/.276/.342	.132	.256	14	7	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.201/.254/.311	.110	.252	11	7	24%	5%	53	-1.5	.184/.232/.273	.088	.234	7	5	24%	4%	31	-2.3
✕Tim Federowicz 2019 · MLB	31	47→49	47→50	49→40	42	.236/.285/.371	.136	.302	15	5	27%	6%	82	+0.5	.209/.262/.340	.131	.279	15	6	30%	7%	64	-0.8	.166/.219/.275	.108	.223	15	2	32%	6%	28	-1.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2015 · MLB	31	44→48	51→55	44→50	48	.228/.295/.393	.165	.271	18	5	23%	8%	92	+1.2	.212/.280/.363	.151	.261	16	7	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.162/.216/.280	.119	.202	11	4	26%	7%	29	-0.8
✕Chad Huffman 2016 · AAA	31	47→50	49→50	49→45	47	.237/.305/.382	.145	.296	16	8	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.310/.392	.160	.283	17	9	23%	8%	99	+1.7	.224/.306/.383	.159	.275	17	5	24%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jacob Wilson 2021 · AAA	31	47→49	49→55	45→40	47	.238/.299/.390	.152	.284	17	5	23%	7%	93	+1.3	.221/.289/.400	.179	.269	21	6	26%	7%	92	+1.2	.194/.271/.385	.190	.225	23	0	26%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Donnie Sadler 2006 · MLB	31	45	44→45	48→55	49	.220/.291/.341	.122	.275	11	12	24%	8%	77	+0.1	.225/.293/.339	.114	.292	8	13	24%	9%	77	+0.1	.214/.286/.319	.105	.283	4	16	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2013 · AAA	31	43	46→50	46→40	43	.217/.271/.341	.124	.261	15	7	23%	6%	69	-0.4	.225/.275/.351	.126	.292	15	7	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.221/.272/.330	.110	.295	13	3	29%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Wilson Delgado 2003 · MLB	31	47	47→45	48→40	48	.234/.295/.364	.130	.284	15	9	23%	8%	84	+0.6	.240/.301/.344	.104	.284	10	6	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.245/.299/.333	.088	.293	6	3	17%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	43→42	49→50	45	45	.221/.292/.366	.145	.284	17	7	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.227/.277/.383	.156	.291	20	6	29%	6%	82	+0.5	.217/.262/.366	.149	.273	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.2
✕David Bote 2023 · MLB	30	42→48	48→55	49→45	44	.217/.287/.362	.145	.277	16	7	27%	7%	82	+0.5	.229/.296/.386	.157	.289	17	8	26%	7%	92	+1.2	.225/.296/.391	.167	.277	18	6	25%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Adam Heether 2012 · AAA	30	41→51	46→50	48→45	49	.207/.295/.336	.129	.251	14	8	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.201/.276/.315	.114	.251	13	10	25%	7%	65	-0.7	.171/.240/.260	.089	.212	12	10	25%	7%	32	-1.2
✕Royce Clayton 2001 · MLB	31	47→57	48→45	47→50	51	.238/.298/.380	.143	.263	15	11	16%	8%	90	+1.0	.244/.301/.370	.126	.277	13	10	16%	7%	89	+0.9	.261/.315/.354	.093	.319	4	13	18%	7%	86	+0.8
✕Dixon Machado 2022 · AAA	30	43→53	50→45	44→55	48	.222/.295/.375	.153	.274	18	6	26%	9%	89	+0.9	.232/.305/.324	.092	.277	8	8	18%	8%	79	+0.3	.223/.304/.305	.081	.267	8	6	18%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Mario Lisson 2015 · AAA	31	45→49	51→55	48→55	45	.230/.299/.392	.162	.283	19	12	26%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.296/.368	.137	.301	17	8	28%	7%	86	+0.8	.218/.285/.340	.123	.289	15	6	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Issmael Salas 2013 · AAA	31	50→51	49→50	47→50	46	.253/.301/.400	.148	.285	17	9	18%	6%	97	+1.5	.245/.292/.370	.125	.282	13	7	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.253/.300/.375	.122	.278	13	5	14%	5%	89	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)