Johnny Monell

PosC

B/TL/R

Born1986-03-27

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	30	AAA/INTL2 orgs	570	.271/.333/.441	20	2	70	—	.217/.267/.348
2017	31	INTLPuerto Rico	85	.221/.286/.377	2	1	84	—
2018	32	AAALas Vegas 51s	218	.263/.335/.407	3	0	62	—	.214/.265/.323

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	21	ROK	AZL Giants	—	93	75	18	3	1	3	15	16	2	3	4	240	380	427	807	187	263	17	16	361	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	ROK	AZL Giants	—	48	42	17	7	0	1	4	5	2	3	0	405	479	643	1.122	238	444	10	8	489	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	333	293	80	21	0	8	33	45	5	4	1	273	356	427	783	154	299	14	10	350	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	15	3	1	1	0	2	4	0	0	0	200	294	400	694	200	273	24	12	306	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	San Jose Giants	—	472	421	115	25	4	19	48	105	2	12	3	273	350	487	837	214	322	22	10	368	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	64	59	12	3	0	2	4	19	0	0	0	203	254	356	610	153	256	30	6	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	441	386	96	24	1	10	48	93	3	0	3	249	336	394	730	145	301	21	11	327	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	75	66	18	7	0	2	9	16	0	1	0	273	360	470	830	197	333	21	12	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	374	323	83	27	1	11	41	84	5	2	2	257	350	449	799	192	309	22	11	351	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	145	125	36	7	1	8	18	34	2	0	1	288	386	552	938	264	337	23	12	410	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	481	415	114	27	2	20	59	105	2	6	3	275	368	494	862	219	319	22	12	376	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	129	110	27	5	0	4	14	42	2	2	0	245	341	400	741	155	354	33	11	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	226	206	49	12	1	4	18	40	1	4	0	238	302	364	666	126	276	18	8	299	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	128	108	28	6	1	1	17	27	0	1	0	259	360	361	721	102	325	21	13	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	52	48	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	167	231	208	439	42	229	25	8	207	30	-4	+0	-0	+9	+1	0.5
2015	29	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	288	256	83	16	0	7	27	39	2	6	2	324	393	469	862	145	357	14	9	381	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	147	123	33	8	1	3	22	21	2	4	1	268	388	423	811	154	303	14	15	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	461	417	115	22	1	19	37	76	3	2	0	276	339	470	809	194	294	16	8	355	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	109	100	25	4	0	1	6	13	2	0	0	250	306	320	626	70	276	12	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	85	77	17	6	0	2	7	16	0	1	1	221	286	377	662	156	250	19	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA	Las Vegas 51s	—	218	194	51	17	1	3	20	52	1	0	0	263	335	407	742	144	338	24	9	328	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	52	48	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	167	231	208	439	42	229	25	8	207	27	-5	+0	-0	+9	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	93	81	14	2	1	2	9	23	2	3	4	173	272	296	568	123	212	25	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	48	44	13	5	0	1	2	7	2	3	0	295	354	477	831	182	334	15	4	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	333	304	73	18	0	6	22	60	5	4	1	240	302	359	661	118	275	18	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	17	15	3	1	1	0	2	5	0	0	0	200	294	400	694	200	250	29	12	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	472	435	99	21	3	16	34	145	2	12	3	228	287	400	687	172	294	31	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	441	404	85	20	1	7	30	116	3	0	3	210	270	317	587	106	269	26	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	374	335	75	24	1	8	29	103	5	2	2	224	295	373	669	149	285	28	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	481	429	96	22	2	15	45	137	2	6	3	224	300	389	690	166	278	28	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	226	213	42	10	1	3	11	54	1	4	0	197	240	296	536	99	244	24	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	52	48	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	167	231	208	439	42	229	25	8	213	30	-4	+0	-0	+9	+1	0.5
2015	29	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	288	266	72	12	0	5	17	52	2	6	2	271	319	372	691	102	313	18	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	461	428	93	15	1	13	26	101	3	2	0	217	267	348	615	131	249	22	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	218	201	43	14	1	2	13	68	1	0	0	214	265	323	588	109	301	31	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	93	81	14	2	1	2	9	23	2	3	4	173	272	296	568	123	211	25	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	—	93	75	18	3	1	3	15	16	2	3	4	240	380	427	807	187	263	17	16	361	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	48	44	13	5	0	1	2	7	2	3	0	295	354	477	831	182	333	15	4	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	—	48	42	17	7	0	1	4	5	2	3	0	405	479	643	1.122	238	444	10	8	489	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	333	304	73	18	0	6	22	60	5	4	1	240	302	359	661	118	280	18	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	333	293	80	21	0	8	33	45	5	4	1	273	356	427	783	154	299	14	10	350	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	553	509	113	24	4	18	40	170	2	12	3	222	281	391	672	169	294	31	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	553	495	130	29	5	21	54	128	2	12	3	263	338	469	806	206	313	23	10	354	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	516	474	99	24	1	8	35	136	3	1	3	209	268	314	582	105	273	26	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	516	452	114	31	1	12	57	109	3	1	3	252	340	405	745	153	305	21	11	333	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	519	467	103	33	1	11	40	143	7	2	3	221	292	366	658	146	289	28	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	519	448	119	34	2	19	59	118	7	2	3	266	360	478	838	212	316	23	11	367	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	610	541	121	28	2	19	57	174	4	8	3	224	302	388	690	165	288	29	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	610	525	141	32	2	24	73	147	4	8	3	269	362	474	836	206	325	24	12	366	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	354	331	64	15	1	4	18	85	1	5	0	193	237	281	518	88	244	24	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	354	314	77	18	2	5	35	67	1	5	0	245	323	363	686	118	293	19	10	308	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	487	450	116	21	0	7	30	92	4	10	3	258	310	351	661	93	308	19	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	487	427	124	26	1	10	53	73	4	10	3	290	374	426	800	136	329	15	11	358	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	528	115	19	1	16	32	125	5	2	0	218	269	348	618	131	253	22	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	570	517	140	26	1	20	43	89	5	2	0	271	333	441	774	170	291	16	8	341	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	85	77	17	6	0	2	7	16	0	1	1	221	286	377	662	156	250	19	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	85	77	17	6	0	2	7	16	0	1	1	221	286	377	662	156	250	19	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	218	201	43	14	1	2	13	68	1	0	0	214	265	323	588	109	306	31	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA RAW	Las Vegas 51s	—	218	194	51	17	1	3	20	52	1	0	0	263	335	407	742	144	338	24	9	328	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	93	82	14	2	1	2	9	23	2	3	4	171	272	293	564	122	212	25	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	—	48	44	13	5	0	1	2	7	2	3	0	295	354	477	831	182	334	15	4	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	333	303	73	18	0	6	22	60	5	4	1	241	302	360	662	119	275	18	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	553	506	113	24	4	18	40	170	2	12	3	223	281	393	675	170	292	31	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	516	473	99	24	1	8	35	136	3	1	3	209	268	315	583	106	269	26	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	519	467	103	33	1	11	40	143	7	2	3	221	292	366	658	146	285	28	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	610	544	121	28	2	19	57	174	4	8	3	222	302	386	688	164	278	29	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	354	332	64	15	1	4	18	85	1	5	0	193	237	280	517	87	244	24	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	487	450	116	21	0	7	30	92	4	10	3	258	310	351	661	93	300	19	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	528	115	19	1	16	32	125	5	2	0	218	269	348	618	131	249	22	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Las Vegas 51s	—	218	202	43	14	1	2	13	68	1	0	0	213	265	322	587	109	301	31	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	52	48	8	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	167	231	208	439	42	229	25	8	207	71	-5	+0	-0	+9	+1	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	100	25	0	0	50	162	0	0	0	167	231	208	439	42	228	25	8	207	71	-57	+0	-4	+109	+14	6.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4386	4007	891	209	12	96	305	1099	36	51	21	222	283	352	636	130	279	25	7	274	71	-5	+0	-0	+9	+1	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	132	31	2	14	45	163	5	8	3	222	283	352	634	130	280	25	7	274	71	-57	+0	-4	+109	+14	6.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAALas Vegas 51s · 218 PAwOBA .324 → .260 (−64)K% 23.9% → 31.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.85%	÷0.986	×1.290	—	—	31.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.17%	÷1.039	×0.710	—	×0.952	5.97%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.980	—	×0.952	0.43%
Singles /BIP	21.13%	÷0.992	×0.900	×1.050	×0.952	19.17%
Doubles /BIP	11.97%	÷0.918	×0.810	×1.050	×0.952	10.56%
Triples /BIP	0.70%	÷0.959	×0.810	×1.050	×0.952	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	2.11%	÷1.009	×0.780	—	×0.952	1.56%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 92, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .324 → .260; ISO .144 → .115; BABIP .338 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAALas Vegas 51s · 461 PAwOBA .347 → .269 (−78)K% 16.5% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.49%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	21.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.81%	÷0.962	×0.710	—	×0.972	5.60%
HBP% /PA	0.65%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.62%
Singles /BIP	21.41%	÷0.994	×0.900	×1.030	×0.972	19.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.128	×0.810	×1.030	×0.972	4.64%
Triples /BIP	0.29%	÷0.980	×0.810	×1.030	×0.972	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	5.57%	÷1.088	×0.780	—	×0.972	3.88%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 126, 3B 96, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .347 → .269; ISO .194 → .133; BABIP .294 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAALas Vegas 51s · 288 PAwOBA .373 → .307 (−65)K% 13.5% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.54%	÷0.977	×1.290	—	—	17.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.68%	÷1.010	×0.710	—	×0.982	5.99%
HBP% /PA	0.69%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.67%
Singles /BIP	27.65%	÷0.983	×0.900	×1.017	×0.982	25.28%
Doubles /BIP	7.37%	÷1.042	×0.810	×1.017	×0.982	5.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.061	×0.810	×1.017	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷1.099	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.25%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 112, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .373 → .307; ISO .145 → .106; BABIP .357 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 226 PAwOBA .291 → .232 (−59)K% 17.7% → 23.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.70%	÷0.955	×1.290	—	—	23.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.52%	÷1.049	×0.710	—	×0.992	5.05%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.43%
Singles /BIP	19.28%	÷1.008	×0.900	×1.029	×0.992	17.57%
Doubles /BIP	7.23%	÷0.982	×0.810	×1.029	×0.992	6.09%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.029	×0.992	0.43%
Home runs /BIP	2.41%	÷1.078	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.73%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .291 → .232; ISO .126 → .094; BABIP .276 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 481 PAwOBA .369 → .300 (−69)K% 21.8% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.83%	÷0.989	×1.290	—	—	28.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.85%	÷0.908	×0.710	—	×1.003	9.30%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.41%
Singles /BIP	20.97%	÷0.999	×0.900	×1.005	×1.003	19.04%
Doubles /BIP	8.71%	÷0.974	×0.810	×1.005	×1.003	7.30%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷0.954	×0.810	×1.005	×1.003	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	6.45%	÷0.994	×0.780	—	×1.003	5.08%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 98, BB 82 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .369 → .300; ISO .219 → .169; BABIP .319 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 374 PAwOBA .346 → .292 (−53)K% 22.5% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.46%	÷0.992	×1.220	—	—	27.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.70%	÷0.950	×0.700	—	×0.988	7.79%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	1.12%
Singles /BIP	18.41%	÷1.023	×0.970	×1.025	×0.988	17.68%
Doubles /BIP	11.30%	÷0.979	×0.860	×1.025	×0.988	10.05%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷1.011	×0.950	×1.025	×0.988	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	4.60%	÷1.031	×0.780	—	×0.988	3.44%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .346 → .292; ISO .192 → .156; BABIP .309 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 441 PAwOBA .319 → .259 (−60)K% 21.1% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.09%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	26.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.43%	÷1.081	×0.700	—	×0.998	6.74%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.58%
Singles /BIP	20.82%	÷1.075	×0.970	×1.031	×0.998	19.34%
Doubles /BIP	8.19%	÷1.048	×0.860	×1.031	×0.998	6.92%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.140	×0.950	×1.031	×0.998	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.081	×0.780	—	×0.998	2.46%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 115, 2B 110, 3B 128, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .319 → .259; ISO .145 → .113; BABIP .301 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+San Jose Giants · 472 PAwOBA .358 → .291 (−67)K% 22.2% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.25%	÷0.972	×1.340	—	—	30.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.96%	÷0.990	×0.710	—	×0.988	7.06%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	0.33%
Singles /BIP	21.20%	÷0.980	×0.910	×1.029	×0.988	20.02%
Doubles /BIP	7.91%	÷0.939	×0.820	×1.029	×0.988	7.03%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷1.085	×0.760	×1.029	×0.988	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	6.01%	÷1.016	×0.920	—	×0.988	5.38%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 88, 3B 117, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .358 → .291; ISO .214 → .173; BABIP .322 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .