Mario Lisson

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1984-05-31

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	31	AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs	527	.267/.370/.359	8	10	94	—	.239/.281/.304
2016	32	AAA/INTL2 orgs	722	.269/.390/.467	24	8	96	—	.213/.300/.342
2017	33	AA/INTL2 orgs	465	.242/.349/.399	14	6	94	—	.161/.220/.275

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	A	Burlington Bees	—	324	261	67	15	5	6	52	66	6	23	4	257	392	421	813	165	319	20	16	363	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A	Burlington Bees	—	551	463	122	30	2	13	65	109	14	41	11	263	371	421	792	158	316	20	12	352	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	524	463	132	27	3	8	41	93	8	23	9	285	354	408	762	123	335	18	8	335	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	531	476	107	23	3	14	33	105	9	31	6	225	288	374	662	149	256	20	6	290	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA	Omaha Royals	—	366	339	80	23	0	12	19	89	3	7	4	236	283	410	693	174	285	24	5	302	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	158	136	28	4	0	2	14	29	3	4	3	206	294	279	574	74	239	18	9	261	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	328	283	83	21	0	15	31	81	5	15	2	293	373	527	900	233	362	25	9	384	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	189	165	46	6	0	11	20	33	2	2	3	279	364	515	879	236	287	17	11	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	435	376	93	24	2	11	45	83	8	20	4	247	340	410	750	162	288	19	10	333	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL	Venezuela	—	189	164	43	4	1	7	20	45	3	2	0	262	353	427	780	165	319	24	11	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	289	254	66	16	0	12	24	64	9	3	4	260	345	465	810	205	303	22	8	357	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Venezuela	—	288	248	66	7	1	16	32	73	5	6	3	266	361	496	857	230	309	25	11	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	451	379	101	22	0	18	54	93	12	11	3	266	375	467	842	201	303	21	12	371	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	137	112	26	5	1	4	19	32	6	2	0	232	372	402	774	170	289	23	14	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	174	155	40	3	0	2	13	34	2	2	0	258	324	316	640	58	309	20	7	289	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	125	113	32	5	0	4	8	29	1	2	0	283	336	434	770	150	337	23	6	335	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	228	178	47	7	1	2	42	39	7	6	3	264	423	348	771	84	326	17	18	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	493	407	113	30	1	16	74	119	9	6	7	278	400	474	874	197	353	24	15	388	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	229	191	48	14	0	8	34	47	2	2	1	251	368	450	819	199	292	21	15	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	228	203	39	11	0	7	24	50	0	3	0	192	278	350	627	158	218	22	11	283	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	237	193	57	9	0	7	38	40	3	3	1	295	419	451	870	155	336	17	16	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	324	279	62	13	5	5	34	90	6	23	4	222	320	358	678	136	291	28	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	551	485	107	25	2	10	43	148	14	41	11	221	303	342	645	122	282	27	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	524	479	114	21	2	7	25	132	8	23	9	238	287	334	621	96	298	25	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	531	486	97	20	3	11	23	128	9	31	6	200	249	321	570	121	234	24	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	366	344	66	18	0	9	14	115	3	7	4	192	230	323	553	131	252	31	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	158	140	28	4	0	2	10	35	3	4	3	200	268	271	539	71	225	22	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	328	295	72	17	0	13	19	101	5	15	2	244	301	434	735	190	308	31	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	435	388	83	23	2	8	33	102	8	20	4	214	289	345	634	131	260	23	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	289	263	55	12	0	8	15	74	9	3	4	209	275	346	621	137	256	26	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	451	400	91	19	0	15	33	112	12	11	3	228	306	388	693	160	264	25	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	174	159	36	2	0	1	9	39	2	2	0	226	276	258	534	31	282	22	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	125	117	30	4	0	3	4	35	1	2	0	256	287	368	654	111	311	28	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	493	436	93	21	1	11	45	150	9	6	7	213	300	342	642	128	292	30	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	228	211	34	9	0	5	16	60	0	3	0	161	220	275	495	114	196	26	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	324	279	62	13	5	5	34	90	6	23	4	222	320	358	678	136	306	28	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A RAW	Burlington Bees	—	324	261	67	15	5	6	52	66	6	23	4	257	392	421	813	165	319	20	16	363	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	551	485	107	25	2	10	43	148	14	41	11	221	303	342	645	122	293	27	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A RAW	Burlington Bees	—	551	463	122	30	2	13	65	109	14	41	11	263	371	421	792	158	316	20	12	352	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	524	479	114	21	2	7	25	132	8	23	9	238	287	334	621	96	307	25	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	524	463	132	27	3	8	41	93	8	23	9	285	354	408	762	123	335	18	8	335	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	531	486	97	20	3	11	23	128	9	31	6	200	249	321	570	121	244	24	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	531	476	107	23	3	14	33	105	9	31	6	225	288	374	662	149	256	20	6	290	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	524	484	94	22	0	11	24	150	6	11	7	194	241	308	549	114	253	29	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	524	475	108	27	0	14	33	118	6	11	7	227	286	373	659	145	270	23	6	290	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	469	113	27	0	20	30	159	7	17	5	241	296	426	723	186	318	31	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	517	448	129	27	0	26	51	114	7	17	5	288	370	522	892	234	332	22	10	384	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	624	558	120	33	3	12	47	147	11	22	4	215	289	349	638	134	268	24	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	624	540	136	28	3	18	65	128	11	22	4	252	344	415	759	163	296	21	10	337	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	577	528	109	24	0	15	30	148	14	9	7	206	267	337	605	131	255	26	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	577	502	132	23	1	28	56	137	14	9	7	263	353	480	833	217	306	24	10	366	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA MLE	2 teams	—	588	521	120	25	0	20	43	146	18	13	3	230	311	393	704	163	277	25	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA RAW	2 teams	—	588	491	127	27	1	22	73	125	18	13	3	259	375	452	827	193	300	21	12	367	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	527	485	117	11	0	8	24	130	10	10	3	241	291	313	604	72	307	25	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	527	446	119	15	1	8	63	102	10	10	3	267	370	359	729	92	323	19	12	332	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	722	641	136	31	1	16	66	220	11	8	8	212	297	339	635	126	293	30	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	722	598	161	44	1	24	108	166	11	8	8	269	390	467	857	197	333	23	15	381	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	465	426	70	19	0	11	32	122	3	6	1	164	228	286	514	122	199	26	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	465	396	96	20	0	14	62	90	3	6	1	242	349	399	748	157	277	19	13	336	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	324	281	62	13	5	5	34	90	6	23	4	221	320	356	676	135	291	28	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	551	489	107	25	2	10	43	148	14	41	11	219	303	339	642	121	282	27	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	524	486	114	21	2	7	25	132	8	23	9	235	287	329	616	95	298	25	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	531	494	97	20	3	11	23	128	9	31	6	196	249	316	565	119	234	24	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	524	489	94	22	0	11	24	150	6	11	7	192	241	305	546	112	244	29	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	475	113	27	0	20	30	159	7	17	5	238	296	421	717	183	308	31	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	624	561	120	33	3	12	47	147	11	22	4	214	289	348	637	134	260	24	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	577	528	109	24	0	15	30	148	14	9	7	206	267	337	605	131	256	26	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AA MLE	2 teams	—	588	522	120	25	0	20	43	146	18	13	3	230	311	393	704	163	264	25	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	527	488	117	11	0	8	24	130	10	10	3	240	291	311	602	72	294	25	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	722	639	136	31	1	16	66	220	11	8	8	213	297	340	636	127	292	30	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	465	427	70	19	0	11	32	122	3	6	1	164	228	286	513	122	196	26	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	6474	5841	1259	271	16	146	421	1720	117	214	68	216	282	342	624	127	276	27	7	272	70	-229	+16	+0	+23	+140	-5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	127	27	2	15	42	173	12	21	7	217	283	346	629	130	277	27	6	272	70	-23	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAHarrisburg Senators · 228 PAwOBA .275 → .223 (−52)K% 21.9% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.93%	÷1.022	×1.220	—	—	26.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.09%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×0.940	6.81%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.73%	÷1.016	×0.970	×1.050	×0.940	12.93%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷0.998	×0.860	×1.050	×0.940	6.11%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.906	×0.950	×1.050	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.58%	÷0.970	×0.780	—	×0.940	3.46%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 81, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .275 → .223; ISO .158 → .124; BABIP .218 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 493 PAwOBA .380 → .286 (−93)K% 24.1% → 30.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.14%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	30.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.60%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×0.952	9.17%
HBP% /PA	1.83%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.63%
Singles /BIP	22.92%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.029	×0.952	20.73%
Doubles /BIP	10.42%	÷1.154	×0.830	×1.029	×0.952	7.34%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.059	×0.920	×1.029	×0.952	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷0.966	×0.700	—	×0.952	3.83%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 131, 3B 112, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .380 → .286; ISO .197 → .138; BABIP .353 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 174 PAwOBA .288 → .251 (−37)K% 19.5% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.54%	÷1.043	×1.200	—	—	22.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.47%	÷0.938	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.29%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.04%
Singles /BIP	28.93%	÷1.010	×0.930	×1.050	×0.962	26.90%
Doubles /BIP	2.48%	÷1.088	×0.830	×1.050	×0.962	1.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.947	×0.970	×1.050	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.65%	÷1.183	×0.840	—	×0.962	1.13%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .288 → .251; ISO .058 → .042; BABIP .309 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAHarrisburg Senators · 125 PAwOBA .331 → .284 (−47)K% 23.2% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.20%	÷1.018	×1.220	—	—	27.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.60%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.50%
HBP% /PA	0.80%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.64%
Singles /BIP	27.38%	÷0.962	×0.970	×1.022	×0.940	26.52%
Doubles /BIP	5.95%	÷1.070	×0.860	×1.022	×0.940	4.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.916	×0.950	×1.022	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷0.986	×0.780	—	×0.940	3.54%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 114, 3B 83, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .331 → .284; ISO .150 → .115; BABIP .337 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 451 PAwOBA .366 → .301 (−65)K% 20.6% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.62%	÷1.012	×1.220	—	—	24.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.75%	÷1.075	×0.700	—	×0.948	7.25%
HBP% /PA	2.66%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	2.14%
Singles /BIP	21.33%	÷1.014	×0.970	×0.996	×0.948	19.27%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.983	×0.860	×0.996	×0.948	6.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.061	×0.950	×0.996	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.29%	÷0.918	×0.780	—	×0.948	5.07%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .366 → .301; ISO .201 → .169; BABIP .303 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 289 PAwOBA .346 → .270 (−77)K% 22.1% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.15%	÷1.036	×1.200	—	—	25.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.96%	÷1.029	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.24%
HBP% /PA	3.11%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	2.87%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.011	×0.930	×1.013	×0.982	18.30%
Doubles /BIP	8.42%	÷1.101	×0.830	×1.013	×0.982	6.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.901	×0.920	×1.013	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.32%	÷1.083	×0.700	—	×0.982	4.01%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .346 → .270; ISO .205 → .138; BABIP .303 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 435 PAwOBA .327 → .276 (−51)K% 19.1% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.08%	÷0.989	×1.220	—	—	23.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.34%	÷0.936	×0.700	—	×0.968	7.49%
HBP% /PA	1.84%	—	×0.870	—	×0.968	1.55%
Singles /BIP	19.11%	÷1.047	×0.920	×1.050	×0.968	17.07%
Doubles /BIP	8.19%	÷0.883	×0.840	×1.050	×0.968	7.92%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷1.079	×0.940	×1.050	×0.968	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	3.75%	÷1.059	×0.800	—	×0.968	2.74%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 109, 2B 77, 3B 116, K 98, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .327 → .276; ISO .162 → .135; BABIP .288 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 328 PAwOBA .373 → .307 (−65)K% 24.7% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.70%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	30.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.84%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.978	5.75%
HBP% /PA	1.52%	—	×0.870	—	×0.978	1.30%
Singles /BIP	23.27%	÷1.067	×0.920	×1.050	×0.978	20.60%
Doubles /BIP	10.40%	÷1.061	×0.840	×1.050	×0.978	8.45%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.050	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.43%	÷0.937	×0.800	—	×0.978	6.20%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 113, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .373 → .307; ISO .233 → .195; BABIP .362 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .