Óscar Mercado — OGILVIE

Óscar MercadoRF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 R/R 6'1" / 197 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 266 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .303 / .382

PA266

HR8

SB14

K%21

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO155

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT55

Whiff%

3412.8%

xwOBA

220.276

POWER45

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

1286.2

EYE60

Chase%

5430.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$-0.1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	186	169	25	3	3	1	11	56	3	12	4	148	213	219	432	71	209	30	6	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	186	163	34	5	4	1	17	39	3	12	4	209	295	307	602	98	262	21	9	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	274	252	42	6	1	2	13	53	8	26	7	167	231	222	453	56	202	19	5	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	274	245	55	9	1	3	20	37	8	26	7	224	304	306	610	82	252	14	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	513	482	105	17	3	3	13	84	8	50	19	218	250	284	535	66	255	16	3	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	513	472	120	23	3	4	23	61	8	50	19	254	300	341	641	87	282	12	4	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	506	452	79	23	1	0	34	109	9	33	20	175	246	230	477	55	227	22	7	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	506	442	95	23	1	0	44	71	9	33	20	215	299	271	570	57	253	14	9	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	2 teams	—	625	588	136	19	3	8	22	176	9	44	19	231	270	315	584	83	313	28	4	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	2 teams	—	625	564	160	25	4	13	46	130	9	44	19	284	347	411	759	128	345	21	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	546	498	128	24	2	5	36	101	5	37	12	257	314	343	657	86	311	18	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	546	485	135	26	2	8	49	87	5	37	12	278	351	390	740	111	323	16	9	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	622	564	150	33	4	19	37	123	9	29	7	266	321	440	761	174	308	20	6	325	107	+5	+3	+3	+2	+18	3.1
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	622	557	153	35	4	19	44	116	9	29	7	275	338	454	792	180	315	19	7	344	122	+15	+3	+3	+2	+18	4.2
2020	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	93	86	11	1	0	1	5	27	0	3	0	128	176	174	350	47	169	29	5	159	-20	-13	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.9
2020	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	93	86	11	1	0	1	5	27	0	3	0	128	176	174	350	47	169	29	5	161	-18	-12	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.8
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	441	392	83	23	2	10	37	80	8	16	2	212	293	357	650	145	240	18	8	288	79	-11	+2	+0	-5	+12	-0.0
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	441	385	85	24	2	11	44	74	8	16	2	221	314	379	693	158	245	17	10	311	96	-2	+2	+0	-5	+12	0.9
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	318	292	70	11	4	8	19	60	5	11	6	240	297	387	684	147	274	19	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	318	288	72	13	4	9	23	57	5	11	6	250	316	417	733	167	281	18	7	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	3 teams	—	405	371	87	21	2	11	24	104	6	31	7	235	292	391	683	156	293	26	6	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	3 teams	—	405	358	104	24	3	14	37	82	6	31	7	291	367	492	858	201	340	20	9	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	2 teams	—	442	395	76	10	5	22	30	84	8	20	6	192	263	410	673	218	182	19	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	2 teams	—	442	382	81	13	5	14	43	68	8	20	6	212	305	382	687	170	218	15	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	477	417	94	11	1	11	41	83	8	40	10	225	307	336	643	110	252	17	9	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	477	389	97	13	1	11	69	68	8	40	10	249	373	373	746	123	272	14	14	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	PHI	—	84	74	9	0	0	1	6	23	3	3	3	122	217	162	379	41	157	27	7	184	-1	-10	-1	+0	-1	+2	-0.9
YTD	31	AAA	PHI	—	84	71	10	0	0	1	9	19	3	3	3	141	265	183	448	42	173	23	11	223	29	-7	-1	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
ROS	31	AAA	PHI	10%	266	238	54	11	1	8	21	57	5	14	5	227	303	382	685	155	266	21	8	306	92	-2	+1	-0	-3	+8	0.3
ROS	31	MLB	PHI	10%	27	24	5	1	0	1	2	6	1	1	0	208	296	375	671	167	268	22	7	294	84	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	31	AAA	PHI	—	111	98	14	1	0	2	8	29	4	4	3	143	236	214	451	71	176	26	7	211	20	-10	-0	-0	-1	+3	-0.9
TOT	31	AAA	PHI	—	350	312	63	11	1	9	27	80	8	17	8	202	282	330	613	128	240	23	8	277	70	-12	+0	-0	-4	+10	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	PHI	33%	361	323	74	15	2	10	28	78	7	15	5	229	304	381	685	152	266	22	8	302	89	-4	+1	-4	-4	+10	-0.1
2028	33	MLB	PHI	46%	331	296	65	13	1	9	26	74	6	11	3	220	296	361	657	142	260	22	8	293	83	-6	+1	-5	-4	+9	-0.4
2027	32	MLB	PHI	33%	118	106	24	5	1	3	9	26	2	5	2	226	299	377	677	151	268	22	8	291	81	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	33	MLB	PHI	46%	152	136	30	6	1	4	12	34	3	5	2	221	298	368	666	147	262	22	8	282	74	-4	+0	-2	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1270	1156	270	58	7	34	83	252	14	40	12	234	293	384	677	151	269	20	7	296	84	-22	+3	-3	-13	+36	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	139	30	4	17	42	129	7	20	6	235	293	385	678	150	271	20	6	296	84	-11	+2	-1	-7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	6406	5815	1279	241	35	128	397	1349	104	392	132	220	282	339	621	120	262	21	6	273	67	-235	+26	-8	-58	+182	-9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	130	24	4	13	40	137	11	40	13	220	282	341	623	120	263	21	6	273	67	-24	+3	-1	-6	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	186	163	34	5	4	1	17	39	3	12	4	209	295	307	602	98	262	21	9	273	67	-7	+1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2014	19	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	274	245	55	9	1	3	20	37	8	26	7	224	304	306	610	82	252	14	7	282	74	-8	+2	—	—	+8	0.2
2015	20	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	513	472	120	23	3	4	23	61	8	50	19	254	300	341	641	87	282	12	4	285	76	-14	+2	—	—	+15	0.3
2016	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	506	442	95	23	1	0	44	71	9	33	20	215	299	271	570	57	253	14	9	262	59	-23	-1	—	—	+14	-1.1
2017	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	523	477	137	20	4	13	32	112	9	38	19	287	344	428	771	140	348	21	6	342	120	+12	+0	—	—	+15	2.7
2017	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	102	87	23	5	0	0	14	18	0	6	0	264	366	322	688	57	329	18	14	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2018	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	546	485	135	26	2	8	49	87	5	37	12	278	351	390	740	111	323	16	9	331	111	+7	+3	—	—	+15	2.6
2019	24	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	482	438	118	25	3	15	28	84	5	15	4	269	321	443	764	174	300	17	6	330	111	+6	+1	+3	+2	+14	2.7
2019	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	140	119	35	10	1	4	16	32	4	14	3	294	396	496	891	202	373	23	11	393	159	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.5
2020	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	93	86	11	1	0	1	5	27	0	3	0	128	176	174	350	47	169	29	5	161	-18	-12	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.8
2021	26	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	238	214	48	11	1	6	21	42	2	7	1	224	300	369	669	145	253	18	9	300	88	-3	+1	+0	-5	+7	0.0
2021	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	203	171	37	13	1	5	23	32	6	9	1	216	330	392	722	175	235	16	11	322	105	+1	+1	—	—	+6	0.8
2022	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	128	121	25	6	1	4	5	29	1	2	2	207	244	372	616	165	236	23	4	270	65	-5	-0	-3	-3	+4	-0.9
2022	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	190	167	47	7	3	5	18	28	4	9	4	281	365	449	814	168	311	15	9	362	135	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	32	31	9	3	0	0	1	4	0	2	1	290	312	387	700	97	333	12	3	312	97	-0	+0	-0	-4	+1	-0.4
2023	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	347	308	92	21	3	14	29	73	6	28	5	299	370	523	893	224	348	21	8	387	155	+21	+4	—	—	+10	3.6
2023	28	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	26	19	3	0	0	0	7	5	0	1	1	158	385	158	543		214	19	27	292	82	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	361	311	69	11	5	12	36	60	6	16	4	222	314	405	720	183	232	17	10	315	99	-0	+2	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	29	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	81	71	12	2	0	2	7	8	2	4	2	169	263	282	544	113	161	10	9	251	50	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	477	389	97	13	1	11	69	68	8	40	10	249	373	373	746	123	272	14	14	336	115	+8	+4	—	—	+14	2.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	973	890	211	46	5	26	60	186	8	29	8	237	291	388	679	151	270	19	6	298	86	-15	+3	+1	-10	+28	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,246	34	39	232	288	382	-13	-0	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	18	21	232	288	382	-7.1	-0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Óscar Mercado (OGILVIE)	31	55	45	60	60	202/282/330	128	240	9	17	23%	8%	70	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	47→45	61→60	44	233/280/372	139	279	14	30	22%	6%	80	+0.4	234/283/346	112	296	10	33	23%	6%	75	-0.0	231/283/327	95	299	8	39	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Cameron Maybin 2018 · MLB	31	52→60	44→50	57→55	54	252/328/376	123	302	11	30	20%	10%	102	+1.8	252/330/385	133	318	12	20	23%	10%	105	+2.1	256/335/387	131	329	12	16	24%	10%	104	+0.9
✕Justin Christian 2012 · MLB	32	52→57	44→45	61→65	48	251/302/372	121	281	10	33	15%	6%	89	+1.0	248/299/363	115	278	9	22	14%	6%	85	+0.7	247/299/360	112	277	8	17	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Reggie Taylor 2008 · MLB	31	52→58	50	53→55	48	264/318/421	157	299	18	25	18%	7%	109	+2.4	244/288/391	147	286	16	17	21%	6%	89	+0.9	233/270/371	137	276	14	12	21%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jon Berti 2020 · MLB	30	54→63	46→45	60	48	261/330/398	137	325	13	32	23%	8%	108	+2.3	247/336/366	119	318	11	30	23%	11%	102	+1.9	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	46→51	48→50	58→60	47	223/301/364	141	318	16	26	33%	10%	88	+0.9	220/296/336	116	326	12	16	33%	9%	78	+0.2	207/285/298	91	317	9	13	34%	9%	60	-0.7
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Ivan Araujo 2015 · AAA	31	52→59	47→50	56→55	41	259/298/398	139	313	15	21	22%	4%	95	+1.4	256/294/350	94	328	9	16	24%	4%	79	+0.3	270/308/324	54	356	3	12	24%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Tim Locastro 2023 · MLB	31	42→52	44→45	55→60	42	207/280/329	122	250	11	25	22%	5%	71	-0.3	213/297/336	123	268	12	27	25%	5%	80	+0.4	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2019 · MLB	32	48→50	47→45	56→60	45	237/298/376	139	300	14	23	25%	7%	89	+1.0	202/266/327	125	291	14	16	34%	7%	63	-0.8	150/219/244	93	230	11	15	38%	6%	20	-2.3
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	51→60	47→50	58→65	48	252/319/387	135	321	15	34	25%	9%	100	+1.7	242/303/389	147	311	16	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4	238/299/388	150	305	17	20	26%	8%	89	+0.7
●Eduardo Núñez 2017 · MLB	30	56→61	49→50	58→60	46	282/322/431	150	309	16	32	15%	5%	113	+2.6	271/303/404	133	296	14	22	13%	4%	98	+1.6	263/290/383	120	286	12	18	13%	3%	85	+0.4
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Roger Bernadina 2013 · MLB	29	52→62	46→45	56→60	49	254/320/383	129	305	14	28	21%	8%	100	+1.7	214/291/330	116	293	11	18	29%	8%	75	-0.0	221/290/331	110	319	11	20	32%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Pokey Reese 2002 · MLB	29	48→55	45	59→55	51	236/299/363	127	265	12	28	16%	8%	85	+0.7	238/300/337	99	288	8	19	19%	8%	79	+0.3	237/299/315	78	294	6	17	20%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	41→45	57→55	51	224/319/322	98	304	9	27	27%	10%	85	+0.7	224/300/352	128	310	12	17	30%	8%	84	+0.6	213/288/347	134	298	13	14	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Christian Zazueta 2017 · AAA	32	48→55	46→50	58→60	37	242/265/372	130	284	14	29	21%	2%	73	-0.1	229/254/333	104	270	10	27	19%	2%	58	-1.2	227/252/314	87	264	8	27	17%	2%	49	-1.1
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Hernán Pérez 2023 · MLB	32	47→55	46→55	55	40	234/275/356	122	293	14	23	25%	5%	74	-0.1	221/267/355	134	280	16	16	27%	6%	70	-0.3	207/256/341	134	259	17	14	27%	6%	61	-0.5