Christian Zazueta

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1984-10-20

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2020	35	INTLMayos de Navo…	218	.209/.249/.340	7	5	64	—
2022	37	INTLMayos de Navo…	43	.214/.233/.214	0	0	25	—
2023	38	INTLMayos de Navo…	51	.140/.140/.260	1	0	1	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	20	AAA	Langosteros de Cancun	—	97	96	25	7	0	1	1	21	0	3	0	260	268	365	633	104	324	22	1	280	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	AAA	Cafeteros de Cordoba	—	203	184	42	4	0	1	9	28	3	3	2	228	276	266	542	38	259	14	4	242	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	78	75	18	6	3	0	0	18	0	2	0	240	240	400	640	160	316	23	0	265	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	385	354	90	11	4	1	16	53	9	9	6	254	303	316	620	62	296	14	4	279	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	396	380	112	15	2	3	7	47	2	7	3	295	311	368	679	74	329	12	2	299	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	290	273	84	12	2	5	9	33	1	13	4	308	332	421	753	114	335	11	3	327	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	127	123	25	3	0	1	2	26	0	4	1	203	216	252	468	49	250	20	2	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	432	410	126	34	2	5	8	53	4	14	3	307	327	437	764	129	340	12	2	330	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	210	200	57	7	1	5	1	42	2	4	6	285	296	405	701	120	338	20	0	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	468	443	131	18	5	18	13	92	7	5	2	296	326	481	807	185	336	20	3	351	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	62	60	7	1	0	1	0	14	1	0	1	117	131	183	314	67	133	23	0	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	416	394	109	14	0	8	5	74	11	8	5	277	305	373	678	96	322	18	1	300	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	341	315	89	11	4	8	10	56	3	7	2	283	311	419	730	137	319	16	3	311	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	419	381	118	27	2	9	21	61	4	18	4	310	352	462	814	152	346	15	5	350	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	19	19	6	1	0	1	0	3	0	2	0	316	316	526	842	211	333	16	0	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	457	436	126	27	3	15	9	76	5	39	6	289	311	468	779	179	318	17	2	337	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	146	139	33	3	0	2	2	33	0	4	2	237	248	302	550	65	295	23	1	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	432	119	20	1	6	9	69	8	30	13	275	303	368	671	93	314	15	2	298	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	111	108	27	8	0	0	0	13	0	7	0	250	250	324	574	74	281	12	0	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	125	121	33	5	0	0	1	20	0	7	1	273	279	314	593	41	324	16	1	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	275	258	77	16	1	7	12	29	3	9	2	298	337	450	787	151	315	11	4	346	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	INTL	Mexico	—	258	245	76	11	1	4	7	33	1	10	3	310	332	412	744	102	343	13	3	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	35	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	218	206	43	6	0	7	10	38	1	5	0	209	249	340	589	131	222	17	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	43	42	9	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	1	214	233	214	447		281	23	2	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	38	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	51	50	7	3	0	1	0	15	0	0	0	140	140	260	400	120	176	29	0	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	20	AAA MLE	Langosteros de Cancun	—	97	96	24	6	0	1	1	25	0	3	0	250	258	344	601	94	321	26	1	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	AAA MLE	Cafeteros de Cordoba	—	203	187	44	4	0	1	6	34	3	3	2	235	270	273	543	37	263	17	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	78	75	17	5	3	0	0	22	0	2	0	227	227	373	600	147	312	28	0	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	385	361	90	10	4	1	9	64	9	9	6	249	285	307	592	58	295	17	2	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	396	382	109	13	2	2	5	56	2	7	3	285	298	346	644	60	324	14	1	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	290	278	82	11	2	3	4	40	1	13	4	295	307	381	689	86	321	14	1	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	432	413	109	27	2	4	5	65	4	14	3	264	280	368	648	104	292	15	1	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	468	448	110	13	5	11	8	111	7	5	2	246	270	371	641	125	297	24	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	416	397	91	12	0	5	2	92	11	8	5	229	254	297	551	68	279	22	0	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	341	319	77	8	4	6	6	69	3	7	2	241	262	348	610	107	275	20	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	419	388	102	23	2	6	14	74	4	18	4	263	296	379	674	116	296	18	3	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	457	441	101	18	2	10	4	96	5	39	6	229	244	347	591	118	263	21	1	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	436	95	16	1	4	5	86	8	30	13	218	241	287	527	69	255	19	1	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	275	263	61	12	1	4	7	35	3	9	2	232	260	331	591	99	251	13	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	AAA MLE	Langosteros de Cancun	—	97	96	24	6	0	1	1	25	0	3	0	250	258	344	601	94	329	26	1	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	AAA RAW	Langosteros de Cancun	—	97	96	25	7	0	1	1	21	0	3	0	260	268	365	633	104	324	22	1	280	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	AAA MLE	Cafeteros de Cordoba	—	203	187	44	4	0	1	6	34	3	3	2	235	270	273	543	37	277	17	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	AAA RAW	Cafeteros de Cordoba	—	203	184	42	4	0	1	9	28	3	3	2	228	276	266	542	38	259	14	4	242	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	78	75	17	5	3	0	0	22	0	2	0	227	227	373	600	147	321	28	0	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA RAW	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	78	75	18	6	3	0	0	18	0	2	0	240	240	400	640	160	316	23	0	265	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	385	361	90	10	4	1	9	64	9	9	6	249	285	307	592	58	300	17	2	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA RAW	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	385	354	90	11	4	1	16	53	9	9	6	254	303	316	620	62	296	14	4	279	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	396	382	109	13	2	2	5	56	2	7	3	285	298	346	644	60	329	14	1	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA RAW	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	396	380	112	15	2	3	7	47	2	7	3	295	311	368	679	74	329	12	2	299	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	417	402	117	15	3	4	5	58	1	17	5	291	301	373	675	82	331	14	1	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	417	396	109	15	2	6	11	59	1	17	5	275	297	369	665	93	310	14	3	291	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	642	611	160	40	2	5	8	96	6	18	9	262	278	358	637	97	301	15	1	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	642	610	183	41	3	10	9	95	6	18	9	300	317	426	743	126	339	15	1	320	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	530	507	124	15	5	12	9	126	8	5	3	245	269	365	634	120	301	24	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	530	503	138	19	5	19	13	106	8	5	3	274	303	445	749	171	312	20	2	326	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	416	397	91	12	0	5	2	92	11	8	5	229	254	297	551	68	285	22	0	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	416	394	109	14	0	8	5	74	11	8	5	277	305	373	678	96	322	18	1	300	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	341	319	77	8	4	6	6	69	3	7	2	241	262	348	610	107	287	20	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	341	315	89	11	4	8	10	56	3	7	2	283	311	419	730	137	319	16	3	311	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	407	106	24	2	6	14	78	4	20	4	260	292	373	665	113	306	18	3	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	438	400	124	28	2	10	21	64	4	20	4	310	351	465	816	155	345	15	5	351	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	603	581	133	24	3	13	5	127	5	43	8	229	242	348	590	119	269	21	1	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	603	575	159	30	3	17	11	109	5	43	8	277	296	428	724	151	313	18	2	313	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	565	542	117	20	1	4	7	107	8	37	13	216	237	279	516	63	260	19	1	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	565	540	146	28	1	6	9	82	8	37	13	270	293	359	652	89	307	15	2	288	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	125	121	33	5	0	0	1	20	0	7	1	273	279	314	593	41	324	16	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	125	121	33	5	0	0	1	20	0	7	1	273	279	314	593	41	324	16	1	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	508	118	23	1	9	14	69	4	19	5	232	259	335	593	102	252	13	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	503	153	27	2	11	19	62	4	19	5	304	335	431	766	127	329	12	4	336	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	35	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	218	206	43	6	0	7	10	38	1	5	0	209	249	340	589	131	222	17	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	35	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	218	206	43	6	0	7	10	38	1	5	0	209	249	340	589	131	222	17	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	43	42	9	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	1	214	233	214	447		281	23	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	37	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	43	42	9	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	1	214	233	214	447		281	23	2	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	38	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	51	50	7	3	0	1	0	15	0	0	0	140	140	260	400	120	176	29	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	38	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	51	50	7	3	0	1	0	15	0	0	0	140	140	260	400	120	176	29	0	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	AAA MLE	Langosteros de Cancun	—	97	96	24	6	0	1	1	25	0	3	0	250	258	344	601	94	321	26	1	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	AAA MLE	Cafeteros de Cordoba	—	203	192	44	4	0	1	6	34	3	3	2	229	270	266	536	36	263	17	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	78	78	17	5	3	0	0	22	0	2	0	218	227	359	586	141	312	28	0	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	385	364	90	10	4	1	9	64	9	9	6	247	285	305	590	58	295	17	2	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	396	386	109	13	2	2	5	56	2	7	3	282	298	342	640	60	324	14	1	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	417	408	117	15	3	4	5	58	1	17	5	287	301	368	669	81	321	14	1	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	642	623	160	40	2	5	8	96	6	18	9	257	278	352	630	95	292	15	1	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	530	508	124	15	5	12	9	126	8	5	3	244	269	364	633	120	297	24	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	416	400	91	12	0	5	2	92	11	8	5	228	254	295	549	67	279	22	0	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	341	329	77	8	4	6	6	69	3	7	2	234	262	337	600	103	275	20	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	417	106	24	2	6	14	78	4	20	4	254	292	365	656	110	296	18	3	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	603	588	133	24	3	13	5	127	5	43	8	226	242	344	586	117	263	21	1	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	565	545	117	20	1	4	7	107	8	37	13	215	237	277	514	62	255	19	1	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	510	118	23	1	9	14	69	4	19	5	231	259	333	592	102	251	13	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	6081	5794	1419	233	30	77	103	1106	65	210	67	245	266	335	602	90	289	18	2	242	50	-360	+15	+0	+22	+132	-19.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	619	151	25	3	8	11	118	7	22	7	244	265	333	598	89	288	18	2	242	50	-38	+2	+0	+2	+14	-2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 275 PAwOBA .335 → .258 (−78)K% 10.5% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.55%	÷0.984	×1.200	—	—	12.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.00%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.63%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.96%
Singles /BIP	23.14%	÷1.007	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	19.08%
Doubles /BIP	6.99%	÷0.984	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	5.26%
Triples /BIP	0.44%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.31%
Home runs /BIP	3.06%	÷1.040	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.93%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .335 → .258; ISO .151 → .104; BABIP .315 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 454 PAwOBA .291 → .226 (−64)K% 15.2% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.20%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	18.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.76%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×0.942	1.15%
HBP% /PA	1.76%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.56%
Singles /BIP	25.34%	÷1.067	×0.930	×1.000	×0.942	20.81%
Doubles /BIP	5.51%	÷0.972	×0.830	×1.000	×0.942	4.43%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.000	×0.942	0.21%
Home runs /BIP	1.65%	÷1.093	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 113, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 92, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .291 → .226; ISO .093 → .065; BABIP .314 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 457 PAwOBA .328 → .255 (−72)K% 16.6% → 21.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.63%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	21.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.31%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×0.952	0.82%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.98%
Singles /BIP	22.50%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.011	×0.952	20.00%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷1.154	×0.830	×1.011	×0.952	5.19%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.059	×0.920	×1.011	×0.952	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷0.966	×0.700	—	×0.952	2.87%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 131, 3B 112, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .328 → .255; ISO .179 → .123; BABIP .318 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 419 PAwOBA .342 → .286 (−56)K% 14.6% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.56%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	17.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.53%	÷0.903	×0.690	—	×0.962	3.33%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.86%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.024	×0.930	×0.996	×0.962	21.75%
Doubles /BIP	8.44%	÷0.948	×0.830	×0.996	×0.962	7.08%
Triples /BIP	0.62%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.996	×0.962	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	2.81%	÷1.099	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.72%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 98, BB 81 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .342 → .286; ISO .152 → .116; BABIP .346 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 341 PAwOBA .304 → .256 (−48)K% 16.4% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.42%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	20.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.64%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×0.972	1.82%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.80%
Singles /BIP	25.48%	÷1.036	×0.930	×1.010	×0.972	22.46%
Doubles /BIP	4.25%	÷1.076	×0.830	×1.010	×0.972	3.21%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷0.933	×0.920	×1.010	×0.972	1.50%
Home runs /BIP	3.09%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.18%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .304 → .256; ISO .137 → .106; BABIP .319 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 416 PAwOBA .291 → .239 (−52)K% 17.8% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.79%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	22.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.72%	÷0.937	×0.690	—	×0.982	0.52%
HBP% /PA	2.64%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	2.44%
Singles /BIP	27.19%	÷1.057	×0.930	×1.016	×0.982	23.87%
Doubles /BIP	4.38%	÷0.956	×0.830	×1.016	×0.982	3.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.016	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.129	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.52%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 111, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 93, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .291 → .239; ISO .096 → .066; BABIP .322 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 468 PAwOBA .342 → .276 (−66)K% 19.7% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.66%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	23.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.35%	÷0.974	×0.690	—	×0.992	1.65%
HBP% /PA	1.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.39%
Singles /BIP	25.64%	÷1.021	×0.930	×1.027	×0.992	23.78%
Doubles /BIP	5.13%	÷1.117	×0.830	×1.027	×0.992	3.88%
Triples /BIP	1.42%	÷0.991	×0.920	×1.027	×0.992	1.35%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷1.110	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.21%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .342 → .276; ISO .185 → .125; BABIP .336 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 432 PAwOBA .324 → .272 (−52)K% 12.3% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.27%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	15.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.85%	÷1.107	×0.690	—	×1.003	1.16%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.87%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.059	×0.930	×1.016	×1.003	21.31%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.085	×0.830	×1.016	×1.003	7.43%
Triples /BIP	0.56%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.016	×1.003	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	1.40%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 112, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 96, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .324 → .272; ISO .129 → .099; BABIP .340 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .