Sam Hilliard — OGILVIE

Sam HilliardLF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 32 L/L 6'5" / 236 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†vL 176127vR 108

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .287 / .411

PA350

HR14

SB16

K%34

BB%9

ISO196

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1017.3%

xwOBA

360.292

POWER60

Barrel%

8613.6

Avg EV

9093.8

Bat Spd

8775.2

EYE50

Chase%

5830.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

8728.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 215 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

172

—

wRC+

177

108

◀◀L

wOBA

416

327

◀◀L

ISO

425

212

◀◀L

BABIP

368

301

◀◀L

41.9%

34.3%

▶▶R

BB%

0.0%

12.8%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$2M
Totals		$2M		$0.1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	262	236	52	9	6	5	22	79	0	12	4	220	287	373	660	153	301	30	8	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	262	222	68	13	8	7	36	55	0	12	4	306	403	532	935	225	372	21	14	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	527	481	93	11	5	8	36	214	3	30	12	193	254	287	541	94	324	41	7	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	527	461	123	23	5	17	56	150	3	30	12	267	350	449	799	182	357	28	11	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	597	553	102	14	3	7	33	260	2	37	17	184	233	259	492	74	328	44	6	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	597	536	161	23	7	21	50	154	2	37	17	300	362	487	849	187	384	26	8	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	556	519	110	18	3	7	28	209	2	25	15	212	255	299	554	87	337	38	5	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	556	499	135	24	5	11	48	166	2	25	15	271	337	405	742	134	382	30	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	—	646	591	102	20	5	24	49	254	3	24	5	173	240	345	585	173	247	39	8	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	—	646	577	152	33	9	42	63	187	3	24	5	263	339	570	909	307	313	29	10	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	114	105	20	2	2	5	9	42	0	3	0	190	254	390	645	200	259	37	8	264	60	-5	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	114	105	22	2	2	6	9	42	0	3	0	210	272	438	710	229	281	37	8	311	96	-1	+1	-0	-1	+3	0.2
2021	27	MLB	3 teams	—	505	461	77	17	3	21	41	187	2	11	1	167	238	354	592	187	220	37	8	258	56	-25	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.8
2021	27	MLB	3 teams	—	505	451	101	21	4	31	51	163	2	11	1	224	306	494	800	271	271	32	10	348	124	+14	+2	-1	+2	+14	3.2
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	358	311	57	8	2	10	40	108	3	9	2	183	282	318	601	135	239	30	11	270	65	-14	+1	-2	-4	+10	-0.9
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	358	307	73	11	3	15	44	96	3	9	2	238	339	440	779	202	290	27	12	343	121	+8	+1	-2	-4	+10	1.4
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	94	86	21	5	0	3	8	39	0	4	0	244	309	407	715	163	409	41	9	315	99	-0	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.3
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	94	85	21	5	0	3	9	38	0	4	0	247	319	412	731	165	409	40	10	327	108	+1	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.4
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	—	463	414	86	15	4	16	40	160	0	18	4	208	278	379	657	171	288	35	9	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	—	463	402	109	20	6	24	52	133	0	18	4	271	355	530	884	259	340	29	11	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	2 teams	—	475	428	80	19	9	13	41	179	1	17	2	187	260	364	624	178	278	38	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	2 teams	—	475	412	114	28	13	19	57	131	1	17	2	277	366	546	912	269	356	28	12	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	COL	—	350	315	69	13	4	14	31	118	1	16	3	219	291	419	710	200	296	34	9	309	95	-2	+2	+1	-4	+10	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	COL	33%	350	316	66	12	4	13	30	120	1	13	3	209	280	396	675	187	289	34	9	301	88	-5	+1	-4	-4	+10	-0.1
2027	33	MLB	COL	33%	114	103	23	4	1	5	10	39	0	4	1	223	292	427	719	204	313	34	9	323	106	+1	+0	-1	-1	+3	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1050	934	204	36	10	49	104	360	3	30	5	218	299	436	735	217	292	34	10	323	105	+6	+4	-7	-12	+30	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	125	22	6	30	64	223	2	19	3	216	296	431	727	215	290	34	10	323	105	+4	+3	-4	-7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5297	4816	935	163	50	146	408	1969	18	219	68	194	260	340	599	146	288	37	8	263	59	-243	+17	-9	-39	+150	-12.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	115	20	6	18	50	242	2	27	8	195	259	340	599	146	290	37	8	263	59	-30	+2	-1	-5	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	262	222	68	13	8	7	36	55	0	12	4	306	403	532	935	225	372	21	14	403	166	+20	+1	—	—	+7	2.8
2016	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	527	461	123	23	5	17	56	150	3	30	12	267	350	449	799	182	357	28	11	351	127	+16	+1	—	—	+15	3.3
2017	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	597	536	161	23	7	21	50	154	2	37	17	300	362	487	849	187	384	26	8	369	141	+27	+1	—	—	+17	4.6
2018	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	484	435	114	22	3	9	41	151	2	23	14	262	328	389	717	126	379	31	8	319	102	+1	-1	—	—	+14	1.4
2018	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	72	64	21	2	2	2	7	15	0	2	1	328	394	516	910	188	396	21	10	395	160	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2019	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	87	77	21	4	2	7	9	23	1	2	0	273	356	649	1.006	377	298	26	10	427	185	+8	+0	-1	+2	+2	1.3
2019	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	559	500	131	29	7	35	54	164	2	22	5	262	336	558	894	296	316	29	10	384	152	+33	+2	—	—	+16	5.2
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	114	105	22	2	2	6	9	42	0	3	0	210	272	438	710	229	281	37	8	311	96	-1	+1	-0	-1	+3	0.2
2021	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	238	214	46	7	2	14	23	87	1	5	0	215	294	463	757	248	283	37	10	332	112	+3	+1	-1	+2	+7	1.2
2021	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	213	188	45	12	2	14	23	61	1	6	1	239	325	548	873	309	272	29	11	375	145	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.8
2021	27	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	54	49	10	2	0	3	5	15	0	0	0	204	278	429	706	224	226	28	9	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	200	174	32	6	1	2	23	57	1	5	1	184	283	264	547	80	256	28	12	255	54	-10	+1	-2	-4	+6	-1.0
2022	28	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	158	133	41	5	2	13	21	39	2	4	1	308	410	669	1.079	361	337	25	13	455	206	+19	+0	—	—	+4	2.4
2023	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	78	72	17	5	0	3	6	33	0	4	0	236	295	431	725	194	389	42	8	320	103	+0	+1	-0	+0	+2	0.3
2023	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	16	13	4	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	308	438	308	745		500	31	19	357	131	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	30	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	158	138	33	5	1	10	14	56	0	5	2	239	309	507	816	268	311	35	9	342	120	+4	+0	-0	-5	+4	0.3
2024	30	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	305	264	76	15	5	14	38	77	0	13	2	288	377	542	919	254	352	25	12	397	162	+21	+2	—	—	+9	3.2
2025	31	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	61	51	10	3	1	2	10	23	0	2	1	196	328	412	740	216	308	38	16	332	112	+1	+0	-1	-5	+2	-0.4
2025	31	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	414	361	104	25	12	17	47	108	1	15	1	288	372	565	937	277	361	26	11	400	164	+30	+3	—	—	+12	4.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	936	831	181	32	9	44	94	321	3	26	4	218	300	437	736	219	291	34	10	322	105	+5	+4	-6	-11	+27	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Laynce Nixlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,038 PA	9	2,038	69	9	243	289	422	-13	+8	4.3	4.9
#1Laynce Nixlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,038 PA	/162	664	22	3	243	289	422	-4.1	+2.5	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	1,085	50	32	218	295	434	-12	-6	2.6	2.9
	/162	664	30	19	218	295	434	-7.1	-3.7	1.6	pk7: 3
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Hilliard (OGILVIE)	32	35	60	60	50	216/287/411	194	296	14	16	34%	9%	95	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	53→60	59→55	42	247/294/428	181	289	19	25	22%	5%	101	+1.8	242/282/405	163	292	15	20	22%	4%	89	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕Drew Stubbs 2017 · MLB	32	46→51	48→50	58→60	47	223/301/364	141	318	16	26	33%	10%	88	+0.9	220/296/336	116	326	12	16	33%	9%	78	+0.2	207/285/298	91	317	9	13	34%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	55→60	52→60	45	231/303/423	192	311	23	15	32%	8%	104	+2.0	214/278/348	134	312	15	9	34%	7%	73	-0.1	199/263/308	108	295	13	6	35%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Justin Leone 2009 · AAA	32	40→41	50	52→55	50	209/290/363	154	264	18	18	27%	10%	83	+0.6	194/263/323	129	274	14	13	32%	8%	61	-1.0	130/199/223	93	194	9	6	37%	8%	8	-1.9
●Andy Tracy 2006 · MLB	32	50→48	54→60	50→45	52	248/334/430	182	330	22	14	30%	11%	118	+3.0	223/294/387	164	269	20	6	24%	9%	91	+1.1	236/305/427	191	278	25	5	25%	8%	106	+1.8
✕Brooks Conrad 2012 · MLB	32	46→44	51→55	53→50	47	233/307/399	166	301	19	13	28%	9%	99	+1.7	227/290/424	197	302	26	5	32%	8%	98	+1.6	188/249/350	162	244	21	1	32%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	226/297/394	168	295	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	232/315/356	124	320	11	15	29%	7%	92	+1.2	233/334/324	91	343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Ryan Langerhans 2012 · MLB	32	43→40	51→50	45→50	51	217/309/375	158	302	19	13	33%	11%	94	+1.3	206/295/357	151	303	17	9	35%	11%	84	+0.6	184/282/331	147	270	16	5	35%	12%	69	-0.2
✕Cody Ransom 2008 · MLB	32	38→42	52→55	49→50	43	204/267/364	160	262	20	13	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/280/392	175	273	21	10	28%	7%	86	+0.8	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Will Venable 2015 · MLB	32	50→55	50→60	54→60	46	252/309/414	162	303	18	20	23%	7%	103	+1.9	227/290/344	117	289	12	16	24%	8%	77	+0.1	215/281/313	97	279	9	17	25%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Matt Carson 2012 · MLB	31	46→50	57→60	52→50	41	244/291/449	204	288	25	15	25%	5%	106	+2.2	235/282/380	145	303	16	13	27%	5%	83	+0.6	227/275/350	123	299	13	13	28%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Brad Snyder 2013 · MLB	31	47→53	52→60	49→50	37	237/279/404	166	328	19	15	33%	5%	89	+0.9	233/282/385	152	340	17	10	35%	6%	85	+0.7	228/288/437	209	301	30	3	34%	8%	99	+0.6
●Trayce Thompson 2022 · MLB	31	37→47	58→65	49→50	41	205/277/402	197	282	27	9	37%	8%	89	+0.9	221/299/433	212	309	28	9	36%	9%	105	+2.1	209/289/418	209	286	28	9	36%	9%	96	+0.8
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2018 · MLB	30	48→54	50→55	60	42	233/293/395	163	335	16	19	34%	8%	92	+1.2	203/267/357	154	322	17	17	40%	7%	72	-0.2	161/230/316	155	256	19	20	43%	7%	42	-1.4
✕Rafael Ortega 2022 · MLB	31	49→54	53→55	49→55	49	254/317/429	176	298	21	17	23%	8%	111	+2.5	232/319/365	133	283	14	20	22%	11%	95	+1.4	217/315/340	123	267	13	24	22%	12%	85	+0.4
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2013 · AAA	32	47→48	53→55	49→60	31	233/290/401	169	337	22	24	36%	3%	93	+1.3	237/286/419	182	334	24	20	35%	4%	96	+1.5	233/273/419	186	321	27	22	35%	3%	89	+0.4
●Adolis García 2023 · MLB	30	46→48	57→65	53→50	41	244/294/445	201	305	25	19	29%	6%	106	+2.2	234/298/437	203	284	27	13	27%	8%	106	+2.2	226/292/422	196	270	27	11	27%	8%	97	+1.6