Seth Brown — OGILVIE

Seth BrownLF Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 34 L/L 6'1" / 223 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION208 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7172vR 72

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .283 / .426

PA138

HR6

K%32

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO205

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

2014.4%

xwOBA

500.308

POWER50

Barrel%

6310.2

Avg EV

6290.0

Bat Spd

6472.8

EYE45

Chase%

3634.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 470 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

442

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

290

292

—

ISO

111

140

▶▶R

BABIP

375

285

◀◀L

35.7%

27.4%

▶▶R

BB%

3.6%

7.5%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.1M	-$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	23	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	23	21	3	1	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	143	217	286	503	143	167	13	9	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	23	20	4	1	2	0	3	2	0	0	0	200	304	450	754	250	222	9	13	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	Stockton Ports	—	532	477	102	20	4	7	41	155	6	13	2	214	284	317	601	103	296	29	8	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	Stockton Ports	—	532	453	109	21	5	8	65	124	6	13	2	241	344	362	706	121	309	23	12	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	A+	Stockton Ports	—	579	542	108	14	6	15	32	192	1	7	7	199	245	330	575	131	274	33	6	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	A+	Stockton Ports	—	579	518	140	18	7	30	56	146	1	7	7	270	343	506	848	236	318	25	10	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	555	516	108	27	2	14	33	196	1	5	0	209	258	351	609	141	302	35	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	555	502	142	38	3	14	47	142	1	5	0	283	345	454	800	171	365	26	8	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	2 teams	—	583	537	119	31	6	22	34	190	5	9	1	222	274	425	699	203	292	33	6	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	2 teams	—	583	526	156	37	8	37	45	150	5	9	1	297	358	608	966	312	344	26	8	411	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	307	281	61	13	1	21	23	89	1	4	1	217	279	495	773	278	231	29	7	327	109	+3	+0	+2	-3	+9	1.1
2021	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	307	281	60	13	1	20	23	89	1	4	1	214	275	480	756	267	230	29	7	327	108	+3	+0	+2	-3	+9	1.1
2022	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	555	500	118	27	3	26	51	146	3	11	2	236	310	458	768	222	280	26	9	330	111	+7	+1	-10	-10	+16	0.4
2022	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	555	500	115	26	3	25	51	146	3	11	2	230	305	444	749	214	273	26	9	330	111	+7	+1	-10	-10	+16	0.4
2023	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	378	343	78	20	1	15	30	101	2	3	1	227	293	423	716	195	275	27	8	307	93	-3	+0	-6	-4	+11	-0.2
2023	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	378	343	76	19	1	14	30	101	2	3	1	222	288	405	693	184	270	27	8	306	92	-3	+0	-6	-4	+11	-0.3
2024	32	MLB	2 teams	—	477	445	113	13	1	20	27	131	2	6	2	254	300	422	722	169	313	27	6	316	100	+0	+0	-9	-5	+14	-0.0
2024	32	MLB	2 teams	—	477	444	115	14	1	21	28	127	2	6	2	259	306	437	743	178	314	27	6	327	108	+4	+0	-9	-5	+14	0.4
2025	33	AAA	2 teams	—	237	214	55	8	1	13	20	61	3	1	1	257	329	486	815	229	300	26	8	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA	2 teams	—	237	210	63	11	1	14	24	54	3	1	1	300	380	562	942	262	345	23	10	411	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	34	AAA	NYY	—	208	190	34	4	1	7	16	83	2	3	0	179	250	321	571	142	270	40	8	256	54	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.7
YTD	34	AAA	NYY	—	208	183	43	6	1	9	23	69	2	3	0	235	327	426	753	191	324	33	11	337	116	+4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.8
ROS	34	AAA	NYY	10%	138	126	28	6	1	6	10	44	1	2	0	221	283	426	710	205	276	32	7	299	87	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	34	MLB	NYY	10%	14	13	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	308	357	615	973	308	278	29	7	297	85	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	34	AAA	NYY	—	222	203	38	5	1	8	17	87	2	3	0	187	257	340	597	153	278	39	8	259	56	-11	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.7
TOT	34	AAA	NYY	—	346	316	62	10	2	13	26	127	3	5	0	196	263	363	626	167	276	37	8	273	67	-13	+1	-1	-4	+10	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	35	MLB	NYY	100%	274	250	51	10	1	11	20	89	2	2	0	204	268	384	652	180	266	32	7	287	78	-7	+0	-7	-3	+8	-0.9
2027	35	MLB	NYY	100%	274	250	51	10	1	11	20	89	2	2	0	204	268	384	652	180	268	32	7	285	76	-7	+0	-7	-3	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2087	1899	426	90	9	86	166	587	13	26	6	224	291	417	708	193	276	28	8	311	96	-8	+3	-32	-34	+59	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	133	28	3	27	52	183	4	8	2	225	292	420	712	195	277	28	8	311	96	-3	+1	-10	-11	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4638	4252	944	190	28	170	323	1397	27	63	17	222	281	400	681	178	285	30	7	294	83	-88	+6	-33	-54	+131	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	133	27	4	24	45	196	4	9	2	223	282	403	685	180	287	30	7	294	83	-12	+1	-5	-8	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	23	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	23	20	4	1	2	0	3	2	0	0	0	200	304	450	754	250	222	9	13	327	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2016	24	A+	Stockton Ports	—	532	453	109	21	5	8	65	124	6	13	2	241	344	362	706	121	309	23	12	318	102	+1	+2	—	—	+15	1.8
2017	25	A+	Stockton Ports	—	579	518	140	18	7	30	56	146	1	7	7	270	343	506	848	236	318	25	10	369	140	+26	-1	—	—	+16	4.2
2018	26	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	555	502	142	38	3	14	47	142	1	5	0	283	345	454	800	171	365	26	8	351	127	+17	+1	—	—	+16	3.4
2019	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	83	75	22	8	2	0	7	23	1	1	0	293	361	453	815	160	423	28	8	361	135	+3	+0	+1	-6	+2	0.0
2019	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	500	451	134	29	6	37	38	127	4	8	1	297	357	634	991	337	330	25	8	419	179	+44	+1	—	—	+14	6.1
2021	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	307	281	60	13	1	20	23	89	1	4	1	214	275	480	756	267	230	29	7	327	108	+3	+0	+2	-3	+9	1.1
2022	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	555	500	115	26	3	25	51	146	3	11	2	230	305	444	749	214	273	26	9	330	111	+7	+1	-10	-10	+16	0.4
2023	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	378	343	76	19	1	14	30	101	2	3	1	222	288	405	693	184	270	27	8	306	92	-3	+0	-6	-4	+11	-0.3
2024	32	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	400	372	86	11	1	14	25	112	2	4	2	231	283	379	662	148	291	28	6	295	84	-7	+0	-9	-5	+11	-1.0
2024	32	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	77	72	29	3	0	7	3	15	0	2	0	403	427	736	1.163	333	423	19	4	490	233	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2025	33	MLB	Athletics	—	76	65	12	2	0	1	9	23	2	1	0	185	303	262	564	77	268	30	12	270	65	-3	+0	-3	-3	+2	-0.6
2025	33	AAA	Reno Aces	—	161	145	51	9	1	13	15	31	1	0	1	352	416	697	1.113	345	376	19	9	477	223	+22	-0	—	—	+5	2.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1799	1636	371	79	8	74	145	494	11	24	6	227	294	421	715	194	277	27	8	316	100	-1	+2	-25	-31	+51	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,106	86	27	226	289	419	-23	-34	2.7	2.9
	/162	664	27	8	226	289	419	-7.1	-10.6	0.9	pk7: 3
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seth Brown (OGILVIE)	34	45	50	55	45	196/263/363	167	276	13	5	37%	8%	67	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yadiel Hernandez 2022 · MLB	34	50→55	55	46→45	46	261/316/438	177	310	24	7	24%	7%	113	+2.6	251/298/392	141	314	17	7	25%	6%	93	+1.3	267/312/407	140	326	16	4	23%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Garrett Jones 2014 · MLB	33	48→53	57→60	49→50	48	251/307/455	204	285	24	5	22%	7%	114	+2.7	245/303/417	172	291	19	3	22%	8%	102	+1.8	244/304/409	165	291	18	0	22%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Brad Snyder 2017 · MLB	35	48→53	57→60	50	41	246/300/435	189	329	26	8	33%	7%	105	+2.1	244/302/442	198	317	25	7	30%	7%	108	+2.3	233/297/459	227	291	30	0	31%	8%	108	+1.0
✕Chris Richard 2010 · MLB	36	43→53	56→60	48→50	46	231/300/421	190	276	24	6	26%	7%	102	+1.9	229/292/391	162	283	18	5	25%	7%	91	+1.1	226/290/380	154	280	16	0	25%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Kevin Pillar 2023 · MLB	34	46→56	55	48→55	44	243/297/430	187	268	24	9	20%	5%	103	+1.9	234/282/402	168	272	20	15	22%	5%	89	+1.0	227/275/392	165	266	20	18	23%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Brad Miller 2023 · MLB	33	43→53	54→60	48→50	50	226/305/397	171	284	23	8	29%	10%	98	+1.6	225/305/372	147	291	18	8	27%	10%	92	+1.2	177/289/298	120	233	14	0	28%	13%	66	-0.1
✕Jeff Liefer 2008 · MLB	33	49→52	54→60	48→30	44	253/300/432	179	295	21	8	22%	6%	105	+2.1	220/276/346	126	302	13	9	30%	7%	72	-0.2	195/253/303	108	270	10	3	30%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Cody Ransom 2009 · MLB	33	39→42	54→55	48→50	44	213/277/392	179	263	23	11	29%	7%	85	+0.7	220/281/396	176	280	21	10	29%	7%	88	+0.9	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	228/277/396	168	275	22	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	218/284/360	142	274	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	182/274/295	113	227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Brian Burgamy 2015 · AAA	34	47	57→55	46→50	50	251/319/445	195	292	25	7	24%	9%	116	+2.8	233/302/370	137	308	15	7	27%	9%	89	+0.9	225/297/338	113	307	11	6	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Brett Harper 2016 · AAA	35	49→50	58→60	46→30	45	259/320/449	190	310	28	6	26%	7%	118	+3.0	236/289/392	156	297	21	5	27%	6%	89	+1.0	221/274/363	142	276	21	0	28%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Miguel Olivo 2012 · MLB	34	44→51	53→60	45→50	39	233/273/405	171	288	22	8	28%	5%	86	+0.8	239/272/408	169	299	22	6	27%	4%	87	+0.8	243/276/391	148	320	17	9	29%	4%	81	+0.2
●Scott McClain 2006 · MLB	34	43→45	58→55	45→40	45	233/287/433	199	259	26	4	22%	6%	100	+1.7	218/274/396	178	251	24	5	24%	7%	85	+0.7	215/275/391	176	244	24	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5
●Kevin Barker 2010 · MLB	35	44→47	54→55	43→40	47	233/295/411	178	274	23	3	24%	8%	97	+1.5	256/319/421	165	298	17	4	20%	8%	109	+2.4	270/338/431	161	311	15	1	17%	9%	118	+1.7
●Cory Aldridge 2013 · AAA	34	37→47	53→55	46→45	38	200/255/367	167	284	23	9	38%	7%	69	-0.4	229/291/395	166	327	24	6	35%	8%	92	+1.2	245/315/420	175	330	27	1	33%	9%	107	+1.0
●Andy Tracy 2010 · AAA	36	43→48	54→60	48→45	49	229/300/407	178	268	23	6	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/302/419	187	292	23	6	28%	9%	102	+1.9	228/304/423	194	289	24	4	29%	9%	102	+1.3
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2022 · MLB	34	45	54→55	47→30	41	234/286/406	173	300	23	5	30%	6%	92	+1.2	221/291/370	149	288	17	5	28%	8%	85	+0.7	195/281/332	138	249	15	0	27%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Matt Clark 2019 · AAA	32	45→49	54→60	44→30	42	236/287/415	179	296	23	5	29%	6%	95	+1.4	240/299/439	199	287	25	6	25%	7%	107	+2.2	234/300/461	228	264	30	0	24%	8%	115	+1.5
✕Aaron Guiel 2006 · MLB	33	44→53	54→60	44→45	47	233/306/416	184	264	22	6	22%	7%	104	+2.0	233/319/423	190	270	23	6	23%	9%	111	+2.5	221/327/429	208	248	25	3	22%	10%	115	+2.0
✕Mitch Moreland 2020 · MLB	34	45→55	58→60	49→40	54	240/319/446	206	269	25	3	22%	10%	116	+2.8	249/318/469	220	281	28	4	22%	9%	122	+3.3	247/314/482	235	271	32	0	22%	8%	120	+1.0