Brett Harper

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1981-07-31

Age (2027)46

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	32	AAAAcereros del …	21	.125/.333/.125	0	7	—	.111/.238/.111
2015	34	AAAAcereros del …	224	.294/.386/.557	16	97	—	.234/.296/.390
2016	35	AAAGuerreros de …	381	.316/.401/.557	22	77	—	.224/.277/.357

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	24	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	256	227	62	11	0	16	26	85	2	0	0	273	353	533	886	260	362	33	10	386	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	264	239	67	11	1	20	21	64	1	0	1	280	341	586	927	305	297	24	8	396	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	75	65	22	7	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	338	427	446	873	108	478	25	9	395	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	517	476	141	25	0	24	34	119	6	2	0	296	351	500	851	204	350	23	7	374	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	371	353	111	32	0	20	13	57	1	0	1	314	341	575	916	261	325	15	4	393	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	423	390	114	25	1	19	26	48	1	0	0	292	338	508	846	215	289	11	6	365	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	56	52	12	3	0	1	2	12	2	0	0	231	286	346	632	115	282	21	4	286	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	20	17	3	0	0	1	1	5	1	0	0	176	263	353	616	176	167	25	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	369	321	110	16	0	27	40	71	7	1	4	343	427	645	1.071	302	371	19	11	462	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	61	57	13	0	0	3	3	15	0	0	0	228	267	386	653	158	250	25	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	21	16	2	0	0	0	5	6	0	0	1	125	333	125	458		200	29	24	252	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	224	194	57	3	0	16	26	54	3	0	0	294	386	557	942	263	328	24	12	410	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	AAA	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	381	332	105	14	0	22	43	80	4	0	0	316	401	557	958	241	358	21	11	418	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	256	237	54	9	0	12	16	104	2	0	0	228	282	418	700	190	344	41	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	264	247	54	9	1	16	13	91	1	0	1	219	261	457	718	239	262	34	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	75	68	20	6	0	0	4	23	3	1	0	294	360	382	742	88	446	31	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	517	491	126	21	0	18	19	145	6	2	0	257	293	409	702	153	328	28	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	371	358	92	25	0	15	8	73	1	0	1	257	275	453	728	196	280	20	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	423	400	100	21	1	15	16	62	1	0	0	250	281	420	701	170	252	15	4	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	56	53	10	2	0	1	1	15	2	0	0	189	232	283	515	94	247	27	2	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	369	342	88	12	0	16	19	90	7	1	4	257	310	433	743	175	301	24	5	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	21	18	2	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	111	238	111	349		176	33	14	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	224	205	48	2	0	10	15	61	3	0	0	234	296	390	686	156	286	27	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	381	353	79	11	0	12	22	101	4	0	0	224	277	357	634	133	275	27	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	483	109	19	1	28	30	194	3	0	1	226	275	443	718	217	306	37	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	520	466	129	22	1	36	47	149	3	0	1	277	347	560	907	283	326	29	9	391	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	75	68	20	6	0	0	4	23	3	1	0	294	360	382	742	88	444	31	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA RAW	Binghamton Mets	—	75	65	22	7	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	338	427	446	873	108	478	25	9	395	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	517	491	126	21	0	18	19	145	6	2	0	257	293	409	702	153	328	28	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Mets	—	517	476	141	25	0	24	34	119	6	2	0	296	351	500	851	204	350	23	7	374	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	371	358	92	25	0	15	8	73	1	0	1	257	275	453	728	196	281	20	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	371	353	111	32	0	20	13	57	1	0	1	314	341	575	916	261	325	15	4	393	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	423	400	100	21	1	15	16	62	1	0	0	250	281	420	701	170	258	15	4	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	423	390	114	25	1	19	26	48	1	0	0	292	338	508	846	215	289	11	6	365	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	76	70	13	3	0	1	2	20	3	0	0	186	240	271	511	86	240	26	3	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	76	69	15	3	0	2	3	17	3	0	0	217	280	348	628	130	255	22	4	281	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	399	102	14	0	18	22	105	7	1	4	256	306	426	732	170	302	24	5	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	430	378	123	16	0	30	43	86	7	1	4	325	404	606	1.010	280	352	20	10	437	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	21	18	2	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	111	238	111	349		182	33	14	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	21	16	2	0	0	0	5	6	0	0	1	125	333	125	458		200	29	24	252	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	224	205	48	2	0	10	15	61	3	0	0	234	296	390	686	156	281	27	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	224	194	57	3	0	16	26	54	3	0	0	294	386	557	942	263	328	24	12	410	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	381	353	79	11	0	12	22	101	4	0	0	224	277	357	634	133	277	27	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	AAA RAW	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	381	332	105	14	0	22	43	80	4	0	0	316	401	557	958	241	358	21	11	418	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	482	109	19	1	28	30	194	3	0	1	226	275	444	719	218	302	37	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	75	68	20	6	0	0	4	23	3	1	0	294	360	382	742	88	446	31	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	517	487	126	21	0	18	19	145	6	2	0	259	293	413	705	154	328	28	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	27	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	371	359	92	25	0	15	8	73	1	0	1	256	275	451	726	195	280	20	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	28	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	423	403	100	21	1	15	16	62	1	0	0	248	281	417	697	169	252	15	4	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	76	71	13	3	0	1	2	20	3	0	0	183	240	268	508	85	247	26	3	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	430	398	102	14	0	18	22	105	7	1	4	256	306	427	733	171	301	24	5	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	21	18	2	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	111	238	111	349		176	33	14	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	224	204	48	2	0	10	15	61	3	0	0	235	296	392	688	157	286	27	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	35	AAA MLE	Guerreros de Oaxaca	—	381	352	79	11	0	12	22	101	4	0	0	224	277	358	635	134	275	27	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3038	2845	691	122	2	117	141	791	31	4	7	243	286	411	697	168	293	26	5	304	92	-29	-2	+0	-54	+66	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	609	147	26	0	25	30	169	7	1	1	241	285	407	692	166	291	26	5	304	92	-6	-0	+0	-12	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 381 PAwOBA .405 → .282 (−122)K% 21.0% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.00%	÷0.956	×1.200	—	—	26.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.97%	÷1.092	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.92%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.93%
Singles /BIP	27.38%	÷1.086	×0.930	×1.007	×0.940	22.18%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.007	×0.940	4.17%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.007	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.73%	÷1.190	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.83%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 117, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .405 → .282; ISO .241 → .143; BABIP .358 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 224 PAwOBA .397 → .311 (−86)K% 24.1% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.11%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	27.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.27%	÷0.979	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.80%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.18%
Singles /BIP	27.14%	÷0.988	×0.930	×1.046	×0.940	25.12%
Doubles /BIP	2.14%	÷1.051	×0.830	×1.046	×0.940	1.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.046	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.43%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.940	7.15%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .397 → .311; ISO .263 → .173; BABIP .328 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 21 PAwOBA .248 → .179 (−69)K% 28.6% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	35.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.81%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.952	14.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.004	×0.930	—	×0.952	17.64%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.942	×0.830	—	×0.952	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.066	×0.920	—	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .248 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAAcereros del Norte · 369 PAwOBA .442 → .328 (−114)K% 19.2% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.24%	÷0.946	×1.200	—	—	24.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.59%	÷0.982	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.13%
HBP% /PA	1.90%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.72%
Singles /BIP	26.80%	÷0.994	×0.930	×0.979	×0.962	23.61%
Doubles /BIP	6.40%	÷1.062	×0.830	×0.979	×0.962	4.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.100	×0.920	×0.979	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.80%	÷1.173	×0.700	—	×0.962	6.20%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 120, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .442 → .328; ISO .302 → .184; BABIP .371 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAASacramento River Cats · 56 PAwOBA .279 → .228 (−50)K% 21.4% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.43%	÷1.038	×1.290	—	—	26.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.57%	÷1.067	×0.710	—	×0.982	2.33%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	3.44%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.998	×0.900	—	×0.982	17.72%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷0.920	×0.810	—	×0.982	6.49%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷0.950	×0.780	—	×0.982	2.02%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 100, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 108, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .279 → .228; ISO .115 → .091; BABIP .282 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 423 PAwOBA .358 → .299 (−59)K% 11.3% → 14.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.35%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	14.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.44%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.992	3.83%
HBP% /PA	0.24%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.23%
Singles /BIP	20.18%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.016	×0.992	18.30%
Doubles /BIP	7.31%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.016	×0.992	5.97%
Triples /BIP	0.29%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.016	×0.992	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.992	4.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .358 → .299; ISO .215 → .171; BABIP .289 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 371 PAwOBA .384 → .313 (−71)K% 15.4% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.36%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	19.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.96%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.003	2.11%
HBP% /PA	0.27%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.26%
Singles /BIP	19.93%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.005	×1.003	18.08%
Doubles /BIP	10.81%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.005	×1.003	8.83%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.005	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.003	5.29%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .384 → .313; ISO .261 → .202; BABIP .325 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AABinghamton Mets · 517 PAwOBA .360 → .306 (−54)K% 23.0% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.02%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	28.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.22%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.988	3.61%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.97%
Singles /BIP	25.77%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.017	×0.988	25.12%
Doubles /BIP	7.00%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.017	×0.988	6.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.017	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.72%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.988	5.18%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .360 → .306; ISO .204 → .158; BABIP .350 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .