Cory Aldridge

PosRF

B/TL/R

Born1979-06-13

Age (2027)48

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	34	AAA/INTL2 orgs	376	.327/.429/.544	17	0	156	—	.173/.243/.255
2014	35	AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs	642	.289/.405/.491	31	4	112	—	.253/.323/.438
2015	36	AAASultanes de M…	74	.273/.351/.364	1	0	58	—	.232/.284/.304

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	26	AAA	Omaha Royals	—	88	82	16	4	0	3	6	28	0	4	0	195	250	354	604	159	255	32	7	269	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AA	Wichita Wranglers	—	423	388	105	20	4	27	29	94	2	9	4	271	325	552	876	281	289	22	7	376	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	88	83	13	2	0	0	2	31	0	3	0	157	176	181	357	24	241	35	2	158	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	328	293	84	17	4	4	29	85	2	7	6	287	355	413	768	126	385	26	9	341	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	500	421	109	33	5	9	70	117	3	4	3	259	368	425	794	166	332	23	14	353	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	195	167	45	6	1	10	25	37	0	2	4	269	365	497	862	228	287	19	13	374	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA	Omaha Royals	—	385	354	112	20	4	22	24	86	3	0	1	316	365	582	947	266	360	22	6	407	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	338	299	95	24	1	13	35	83	1	2	1	318	391	535	926	217	398	25	10	403	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	201	164	49	9	1	7	37	47	0	1	3	299	428	494	922	195	382	23	18	411	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	24	20	3	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	150	292	150	442		231	29	17	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	367	331	83	13	0	26	33	115	0	7	3	251	319	526	844	275	295	31	9	364	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	270	223	60	10	0	18	43	86	2	3	0	269	392	556	948	287	347	32	16	410	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	107	92	21	2	0	3	15	45	0	0	1	228	336	348	684	120	409	42	14	315	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL	Venezuela	—	269	226	83	14	1	14	38	60	4	0	2	367	466	624	1.090	257	451	22	14	472	206	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	344	276	89	12	0	21	59	67	4	1	1	322	448	594	1.043	272	352	19	17	447	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	89	85	23	1	0	5	4	20	0	0	1	271	303	459	762	188	300	22	4	336	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	209	171	42	1	0	5	34	43	2	3	0	246	377	339	716	94	296	21	16	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	74	66	18	3	0	1	8	21	0	0	0	273	351	364	715	91	386	28	11	327	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	88	84	12	3	0	2	4	36	0	4	0	143	182	250	432	107	212	41	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wranglers	—	423	399	85	15	3	21	18	115	2	9	4	213	251	424	674	211	239	27	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	88	84	12	2	0	0	1	37	0	3	0	143	153	167	320	24	220	42	1	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	328	304	74	15	3	3	18	104	2	7	6	243	290	342	632	99	347	32	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	500	448	94	29	4	7	44	142	3	4	3	210	285	339	625	129	280	28	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	195	177	41	5	1	8	15	45	0	2	4	232	292	407	698	175	255	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	385	361	89	15	3	16	17	111	3	0	1	247	286	438	724	191	302	29	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	338	314	70	17	1	9	20	109	1	2	1	223	272	369	641	146	300	32	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	367	341	58	9	0	17	23	148	0	7	3	170	223	346	569	176	222	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	107	98	17	2	0	2	9	56	0	0	1	173	243	255	498	82	348	52	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	344	301	79	10	0	17	34	85	4	1	1	262	345	465	810	203	295	25	10	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	89	87	19	1	0	3	2	25	0	0	1	218	236	333	569	115	271	28	2	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	74	69	16	2	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	232	284	304	588	72	334	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	511	482	97	18	3	23	23	151	2	13	4	201	241	394	635	193	238	30	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	511	470	121	24	4	30	35	122	2	13	4	257	312	517	829	260	283	24	7	357	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	416	388	86	17	3	3	19	141	2	10	6	222	262	304	566	82	332	34	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	416	376	97	19	4	4	31	116	2	10	6	258	318	362	680	104	355	28	7	302	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	500	447	94	29	4	7	44	142	3	4	3	210	285	340	625	130	286	28	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	—	500	421	109	33	5	9	70	117	3	4	3	259	368	425	794	166	332	23	14	353	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	195	177	41	5	1	8	15	45	0	2	4	232	292	407	698	175	262	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	195	167	45	6	1	10	25	37	0	2	4	269	365	497	862	228	287	19	13	374	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	385	361	89	15	3	16	17	111	3	0	1	247	286	438	724	191	307	29	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA RAW	Omaha Royals	—	385	354	112	20	4	22	24	86	3	0	1	316	365	582	947	266	360	22	6	407	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	503	111	27	1	15	32	174	1	3	4	221	269	368	636	147	303	32	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	539	463	144	33	2	20	72	130	1	3	4	311	405	521	925	210	392	24	13	406	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	24	20	3	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	150	292	150	442		231	29	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	24	20	3	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	150	292	150	442		231	29	17	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	637	591	100	15	0	29	39	256	2	10	3	169	223	342	565	173	228	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	637	554	143	23	0	44	76	201	2	10	3	258	350	538	888	280	315	32	12	384	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	376	341	57	5	0	7	30	196	4	0	3	167	243	243	486	76	360	52	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	376	318	104	16	1	17	53	105	4	0	3	327	429	544	973	217	442	28	14	428	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	642	574	146	16	0	31	55	164	6	4	2	254	326	444	770	190	298	26	9	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	642	532	154	14	0	31	97	130	6	4	2	289	405	491	895	201	325	20	15	394	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	74	69	16	2	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	232	284	304	588	72	341	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	74	66	18	3	0	1	8	21	0	0	0	273	351	364	715	91	386	28	11	327	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	511	481	97	18	3	23	23	151	2	13	4	202	241	395	636	193	234	30	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	416	392	86	17	3	3	19	141	2	10	6	219	262	301	563	82	320	34	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	500	449	94	29	4	7	44	142	3	4	3	209	285	339	624	129	280	28	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	195	178	41	5	1	8	15	45	0	2	4	230	292	404	696	174	255	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Omaha Royals	—	385	362	89	15	3	16	17	111	3	0	1	246	286	436	723	191	302	29	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	539	501	111	27	1	15	32	174	1	3	4	222	269	369	638	148	300	32	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	637	591	100	15	0	29	39	256	2	10	3	169	223	342	565	173	222	40	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	376	339	57	5	0	7	30	196	4	0	3	168	243	245	488	77	348	52	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	642	576	146	16	0	31	55	164	6	4	2	253	326	443	769	189	290	26	9	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	74	69	16	2	0	1	5	24	0	0	0	232	284	304	588	72	334	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4299	3953	840	149	15	140	283	1411	23	46	30	212	269	364	633	152	287	33	7	274	72	-144	-3	-1	-46	+93	-10.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	127	23	2	21	43	213	3	7	5	212	269	363	632	151	286	33	7	274	72	-22	-1	-0	-7	+14	-1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 74 PAwOBA .314 → .254 (−60)K% 28.4% → 32.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.38%	÷1.042	×1.200	—	—	32.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.46%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	31.11%	÷0.977	×0.930	—	×0.940	27.83%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.018	×0.830	—	×0.940	5.11%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.48%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 95, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 108, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .314 → .254; ISO .091 → .065; BABIP .386 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 344 PAwOBA .439 → .355 (−85)K% 19.5% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.48%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	24.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.99%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.96%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.03%
Singles /BIP	26.79%	÷0.968	×0.930	×0.969	×0.940	23.46%
Doubles /BIP	5.74%	÷0.985	×0.830	×0.969	×0.940	4.41%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.969	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.05%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×0.940	7.89%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .439 → .355; ISO .272 → .225; BABIP .352 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 89 PAwOBA .326 → .252 (−73)K% 22.5% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.47%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	28.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.49%	÷1.062	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.78%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.15%	÷1.012	×0.970	×1.033	×0.940	24.35%
Doubles /BIP	1.54%	÷0.952	×0.860	×1.033	×0.940	1.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.921	×0.950	×1.033	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.066	×0.780	—	×0.940	5.29%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .326 → .252; ISO .188 → .125; BABIP .300 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 107 PAwOBA .304 → .216 (−88)K% 42.1% → 52.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	42.06%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	51.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.08%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.96%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	34.04%	÷1.004	×0.930	—	×0.940	29.65%
Doubles /BIP	4.26%	÷0.942	×0.830	—	×0.940	3.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.066	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.38%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .304 → .216; ISO .120 → .082; BABIP .409 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASalt Lake Bees · 367 PAwOBA .355 → .242 (−113)K% 31.3% → 40.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.34%	÷1.005	×1.290	—	—	40.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.45%	÷0.914	×0.710	—	×0.942	6.18%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.37%	÷1.029	×0.900	×0.970	×0.942	16.27%
Doubles /BIP	6.02%	÷1.022	×0.810	×0.970	×0.942	4.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.970	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.04%	÷1.053	×0.780	—	×0.942	8.40%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 101, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .355 → .242; ISO .275 → .176; BABIP .295 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAASalt Lake Bees · 338 PAwOBA .391 → .282 (−109)K% 24.6% → 32.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.56%	÷0.980	×1.290	—	—	32.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.88%	÷1.016	×0.710	—	×0.962	5.96%
HBP% /PA	0.30%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.28%
Singles /BIP	26.39%	÷1.060	×0.900	×0.953	×0.962	20.55%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.999	×0.810	×0.953	×0.962	8.26%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷1.035	×0.810	×0.953	×0.962	0.33%
Home runs /BIP	6.02%	÷1.011	×0.780	—	×0.962	4.47%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .391 → .282; ISO .217 → .155; BABIP .398 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAOmaha Royals · 385 PAwOBA .399 → .308 (−91)K% 22.3% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.34%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	28.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.23%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.30%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.74%
Singles /BIP	24.63%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.007	×0.972	21.70%
Doubles /BIP	7.46%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.007	×0.972	5.92%
Triples /BIP	1.49%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.007	×0.972	1.18%
Home runs /BIP	8.21%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.972	6.22%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .399 → .308; ISO .266 → .194; BABIP .360 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 195 PAwOBA .364 → .303 (−61)K% 19.0% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.97%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	23.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.79%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.958	7.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.54%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.042	×0.958	19.78%
Doubles /BIP	4.62%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.042	×0.958	3.87%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.042	×0.958	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.958	5.90%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .364 → .303; ISO .228 → .185; BABIP .287 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .