Emmanuel Valdez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 35 | AAASaraperos de … | 424 | .290/.424/.547 | 20 | 4 | 95 | — | .214/.312/.384 |
| 2015 | 36 | AAAToros de Tiju… | 150 | .207/.287/.304 | 3 | 1 | 13 | — | .157/.213/.221 |
| 2016 | 37 | AAAToros de Tiju… | 118 | .227/.359/.258 | 1 | 0 | 42 | — | .194/.291/.223 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA | Potros de Tijuana | — | 383 | 331 | 100 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 42 | 90 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 387 | 517 | 904 | 215 | 358 | 23 | 11 | 393 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 267 | 215 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 379 | 335 | 714 | 98 | 292 | 19 | 16 | 332 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 336 | 268 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 61 | 66 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 295 | 434 | 519 | 953 | 224 | 347 | 20 | 18 | 419 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 363 | 300 | 78 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 82 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 375 | 450 | 825 | 190 | 305 | 23 | 13 | 362 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 462 | 383 | 118 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 72 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 308 | 420 | 499 | 919 | 191 | 349 | 17 | 16 | 404 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 452 | 356 | 118 | 31 | 0 | 16 | 83 | 86 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 331 | 466 | 553 | 1.020 | 222 | 392 | 19 | 18 | 443 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 252 | 204 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 386 | 412 | 797 | 162 | 295 | 21 | 16 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 375 | 319 | 101 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 76 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 317 | 412 | 524 | 936 | 207 | 370 | 20 | 13 | 409 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 99 | 86 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 354 | 430 | 784 | 174 | 321 | 26 | 13 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 266 | 234 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 327 | 427 | 754 | 184 | 297 | 27 | 9 | 333 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 124 | 108 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 339 | 491 | 829 | 250 | 269 | 27 | 12 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 411 | 340 | 102 | 24 | 0 | 25 | 57 | 115 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 300 | 412 | 591 | 1.004 | 291 | 374 | 28 | 14 | 429 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 141 | 120 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 312 | 408 | 720 | 217 | 213 | 27 | 13 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 424 | 338 | 98 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 105 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 290 | 424 | 547 | 972 | 257 | 358 | 25 | 17 | 419 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 150 | 135 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 287 | 304 | 590 | 96 | 284 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 118 | 97 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 359 | 258 | 617 | 31 | 304 | 23 | 14 | 298 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 383 | 344 | 85 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 108 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 313 | 392 | 705 | 145 | 313 | 28 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 267 | 229 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 311 | 279 | 590 | 74 | 258 | 23 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 336 | 290 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 234 | 335 | 390 | 725 | 155 | 287 | 24 | 12 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 363 | 316 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 98 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 133 | 256 | 27 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 462 | 409 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 244 | 324 | 374 | 698 | 130 | 286 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 452 | 391 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 108 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 256 | 348 | 419 | 767 | 164 | 306 | 24 | 11 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 375 | 336 | 79 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 98 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 307 | 366 | 673 | 131 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 266 | 245 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 228 | 286 | 514 | 114 | 232 | 35 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 411 | 361 | 76 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 143 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 296 | 388 | 684 | 177 | 280 | 35 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 424 | 365 | 78 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 130 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 312 | 384 | 695 | 170 | 274 | 31 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 150 | 140 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 213 | 221 | 435 | 64 | 231 | 36 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 118 | 103 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 291 | 223 | 514 | 29 | 260 | 26 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 383 | 344 | 85 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 108 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 313 | 392 | 705 | 145 | 317 | 28 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA RAW | Potros de Tijuana | — | 383 | 331 | 100 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 42 | 90 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 387 | 517 | 904 | 215 | 358 | 23 | 11 | 393 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 267 | 229 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 311 | 279 | 590 | 74 | 265 | 23 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA RAW | Piratas de Campeche | — | 267 | 215 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 379 | 335 | 714 | 98 | 292 | 19 | 16 | 332 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 336 | 290 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 234 | 335 | 390 | 725 | 155 | 291 | 24 | 12 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 336 | 268 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 61 | 66 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 295 | 434 | 519 | 953 | 224 | 347 | 20 | 18 | 419 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 363 | 316 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 98 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 133 | 266 | 27 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 363 | 300 | 78 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 82 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 375 | 450 | 825 | 190 | 305 | 23 | 13 | 362 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 462 | 409 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 244 | 324 | 374 | 698 | 130 | 290 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 462 | 383 | 118 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 72 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 308 | 420 | 499 | 919 | 191 | 349 | 17 | 16 | 404 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 704 | 608 | 155 | 38 | 0 | 20 | 75 | 168 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 348 | 416 | 764 | 161 | 315 | 24 | 11 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 704 | 560 | 169 | 40 | 0 | 24 | 123 | 139 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 302 | 437 | 502 | 939 | 200 | 357 | 20 | 17 | 413 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 474 | 427 | 101 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 124 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 306 | 370 | 676 | 133 | 300 | 26 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 474 | 405 | 123 | 19 | 1 | 20 | 61 | 102 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 304 | 400 | 504 | 904 | 200 | 360 | 22 | 13 | 397 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 361 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 135 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 227 | 285 | 513 | 114 | 237 | 35 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 390 | 342 | 83 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 40 | 104 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 331 | 447 | 778 | 205 | 288 | 27 | 10 | 344 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 486 | 101 | 25 | 0 | 20 | 49 | 192 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 295 | 383 | 678 | 175 | 289 | 35 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 552 | 460 | 125 | 29 | 0 | 32 | 75 | 153 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 272 | 386 | 543 | 930 | 272 | 331 | 28 | 14 | 402 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 424 | 365 | 78 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 130 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 312 | 384 | 695 | 170 | 283 | 31 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 424 | 338 | 98 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 105 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 290 | 424 | 547 | 972 | 257 | 358 | 25 | 17 | 419 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 150 | 140 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 213 | 221 | 435 | 64 | 238 | 36 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA RAW | Toros de Tijuana | — | 150 | 135 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 287 | 304 | 590 | 96 | 284 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 118 | 103 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 291 | 223 | 514 | 29 | 268 | 26 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA RAW | Toros de Tijuana | — | 118 | 97 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 359 | 258 | 617 | 31 | 304 | 23 | 14 | 298 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 383 | 347 | 85 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 108 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 313 | 389 | 702 | 144 | 313 | 28 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 267 | 230 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 311 | 278 | 589 | 74 | 258 | 23 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 336 | 289 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 335 | 391 | 726 | 156 | 287 | 24 | 12 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 363 | 321 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 98 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 299 | 340 | 638 | 131 | 256 | 27 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 462 | 411 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 243 | 324 | 372 | 696 | 129 | 286 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 704 | 611 | 155 | 38 | 0 | 20 | 75 | 168 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 348 | 414 | 762 | 160 | 306 | 24 | 11 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 474 | 428 | 101 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 124 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 306 | 369 | 676 | 133 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 361 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 135 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 227 | 285 | 513 | 114 | 232 | 35 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 552 | 487 | 101 | 25 | 0 | 20 | 49 | 192 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 295 | 382 | 677 | 175 | 280 | 35 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 424 | 369 | 78 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 47 | 130 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 312 | 379 | 691 | 168 | 274 | 31 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 150 | 139 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 213 | 223 | 436 | 65 | 231 | 36 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 37 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 118 | 103 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 291 | 223 | 514 | 29 | 260 | 26 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4623 | 4078 | 906 | 176 | 4 | 126 | 424 | 1277 | 67 | 17 | 15 | 222 | 306 | 360 | 666 | 138 | 287 | 28 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -80 | -3 | +0 | -116 | +100 | -10.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 128 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 60 | 180 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 306 | 365 | 671 | 141 | 289 | 28 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -11 | -0 | +0 | -16 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 118 PAwOBA .291 → .230 (−62)K% 22.9% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.88% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.41% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 2.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 25.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.278 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.74% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .230; ISO .031 → .017; BABIP .304 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 150 PAwOBA .266 → .188 (−78)K% 29.3% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.33% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.67% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 19.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.208 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .266 → .188; ISO .096 → .055; BABIP .284 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 424 PAwOBA .411 → .308 (−103)K% 24.8% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.76% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.51% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 10.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.89% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.982 | ×0.940 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.59% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×0.940 | 8.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.58% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .411 → .308; ISO .257 → .186; BABIP .358 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 411 PAwOBA .421 → .299 (−122)K% 28.0% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.98% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.65% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷1.057 | ×0.930 | ×0.956 | ×0.940 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.67% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×0.956 | ×0.940 | 8.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.129 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 6.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 111, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 93, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .421 → .299; ISO .291 → .184; BABIP .374 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 266 PAwOBA .328 → .229 (−99)K% 26.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.69% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.40% | ÷1.136 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.965 | ×0.940 | 17.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×0.940 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.75% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 107, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 86, BB 127 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .328 → .229; ISO .184 → .121; BABIP .297 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 375 PAwOBA .401 → .297 (−104)K% 20.3% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.27% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.53% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.98% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.942 | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.942 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.942 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 4.16% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 95, 3B 119, K 86, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .401 → .297; ISO .207 → .139; BABIP .370 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 452 PAwOBA .437 → .334 (−103)K% 19.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.03% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.92% | ÷1.099 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 10.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.30% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 21.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.48% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 8.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.911 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 4.33% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .437 → .334; ISO .222 → .175; BABIP .392 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAVaqueros Laguna · 462 PAwOBA .396 → .311 (−85)K% 17.3% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.953 | ×0.962 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.962 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.962 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.56% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .396 → .311; ISO .191 → .141; BABIP .349 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .