Abraham Almonte

PosOF
B/TS/R
Born1989-06-27
Age (2027)38
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTL
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202334AAA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs242.216/.367/.44814568—.171/.263/.330
202334MLBNYM16.067/.125/.13300-27-0.5
202435INTLEstrellas Ori…69.111/.304/.1671254—
202536INTLEstrellas Ori…35.167/.429/.20800112—
202637No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023
Avg EV51
Barrel%43
xwOBA40
Bat Spd37
Speed30

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200617 ROKDSL Yankees 1 — 265209 531138 55450 3614 254409450859 196288 1721 385 56 — — — — — —
200718 ROKGCL Yankees — 185160 46433 21341 89 287374406780 119347 1811 347 55 — — — — — —
200819 ACharleston RiverDogs — 495443 1012078 471011 2910 228303359662 131278 209 297 49 — — — — — —
200920 ACharleston RiverDogs — 484440 12314105 35812 365 280335391726 111331 177 321 77 — — — — — —
201021 A+Tampa Yankees — 6357 15310 6160 53 263333351684 88366 2510 311 51 — — — — — —
201122 A+Tampa Yankees — 598537 14427114 521002 3011 268335382717 114320 179 319 82 — — — — — —
201122 INTLLeones del Escogido — 4239 6000 260 22 154195154349 182 145 163 -4 — — — — — —
201223 AATrenton Thunder — 359319 881744 37590 305 276351392743 116327 1610 333 94 — — — — — —
201223 ROKGCL Yankees — 2018 4200 240 20 222300333633 111286 2010 289 13 — — — — — —
201223 INTLDominican Republic — 114102 22320 10240 82 216286284570 69282 219 258 61 — — — — — —
201324 MLBSeattle Mariners — 8272 19402 6210 10 264321403723 139333 267 308 97 -0 +0 -3 +2 +2 0.1
201324 AAATacoma Rainiers — 396338 10617511 49662 207 314404491895 178363 1712 390 121 — — — — — —
201324 AAJackson Generals — 120102 26614 18280 61 255367451818 196314 2315 365 82 — — — — — —
201324 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2824 6100 480 11 250357292649 42375 2914 307 94 — — — — — —
201425 MLBSan Diego Padres — 220204 471013 12601 43 230276333610 103310 275 271 73 -7 -0 +7 +2 +5 0.6
201425 AAATacoma Rainiers — 312277 741036 28660 74 267334390724 123330 219 319 72 — — — — — —
201425 INTLToros del Este — 1919 4100 050 00 211211263474 53286 260 210 29 — — — — — —
201526 MLBCleveland Indians — 258232 581255 21520 71 250312409722 159299 208 314 102 +1 +1 +1 +2 +6 1.0
201526 AAAColumbus Clippers — 291252 691834 34480 114 274360417777 143325 1612 343 87 — — — — — —
201526 INTLToros del Este — 8173 18201 7100 12 247312315628 68274 129 285 79 — — — — — —
201627 MLBCleveland Indians — 194182 482011 8421 80 264298401700 137331 224 305 90 -2 +2 +2 -3 +4 0.2
201627 AAAColumbus Clippers — 3327 12211 541 20 4445457041.249 259500 1215 537 193 — — — — — —
201627 INTLToros del Este — 9985 28500 11120 53 329406388794 59378 1211 353 125 — — — — — —
201728 MLBCleveland Indians — 195172 40833 20461 21 233316366682 134298 2410 306 95 -1 +0 -1 -3 +4 -0.1
201728 AAAColumbus Clippers — 9277 20612 15130 31 260380442822 182290 1416 368 90 — — — — — —
201829 MLBKansas City Royals — 151134 24123 15360 22 179262284545 104219 2410 248 56 -8 -0 -3 +1 +3 -0.8
201829 INTLToros del Este — 8568 18220 13151 72 265390353743 88333 1815 333 111 — — — — — —
201930 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 3831 9311 780 00 290421548969 258364 2118 422 161 +3 +0 -0 -5 +1 -0.1
201930 AAAReno Aces — 382319 8633417 60700 123 270385558943 288294 1816 406 82 — — — — — —
201930 INTLDominican Republic — 2920 7400 860 20 3505365501.086 200467 2128 463 200 — — — — — —
202031 INTLToros del Este — 4234 3100 8120 30 88262118380 29136 2919 207 26 — — — — — —
202132 MLBAtlanta Braves — 175148 321205 26380 11 216333399732 182255 2215 329 109 +2 -0 -4 -4 +4 -0.2
202132 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 8362 25403 21140 33 4035546131.167 210489 1725 510 155 — — — — — —
202132 INTLToros del Este — 10582 15200 22261 51 183362207569 24268 2521 290 82 — — — — — —
202233 MLBBoston Red Sox — 3735 9201 1121 10 257297400697 143364 323 311 91 -0 +0 -1 +1 +1 0.1
202233 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 360294 8615118 61773 62 293419534953 241338 2117 417 97 — — — — — —
202334 MLBNew York Mets — 1615 1100 180 00 67125133258 67143 506 124 -27 -2 +0 -0 -3 +0 -0.5
202334 AAASyracuse Mets — 159134 271011 24410 10 201323455778 254193 2615 343 46 — — — — — —
202334 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 3121 7001 960 20 3335334761.010 143400 1929 445 130 — — — — — —
202334 ASt. Lucie Mets — 1813 3101 560 00 231444538983 308333 3328 431 66 — — — — — —
202334 INTLLeones del Escogido — 3426 5101 860 20 192382346729 154211 1824 343 118 — — — — — —
202435 INTLEstrellas Orientales — 6954 6001 15180 20 111304167471 56143 2622 247 54 — — — — — —
202536 INTLEstrellas Orientales — 3524 4100 11100 00 167429208637 42286 2931 334 112 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 13661225 287731324 1173234 268 234303374677 140296 249 300 89 -18 +2 -4 -9 +30 0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200617 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 1 — 265226 36724 38550 3614 159280261541 102189 2114 251 56 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 185168 35322 13491 89 208269286555 77276 267 250 55 — — — — — —
200819 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 495458 891667 321351 2910 194248301550 107257 276 241 49 — — — — — —
200920 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 484451 11612104 241082 365 257298355652 98322 225 282 77 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLETampa Yankees — 6359 13310 4230 53 220270305575 85346 376 243 51 — — — — — —
201122 A+ MLETampa Yankees — 598549 1372794 401382 3011 250303353656 104320 237 289 82 — — — — — —
201223 AA MLETrenton Thunder — 359330 901553 26730 305 273326376702 103336 207 307 94 — — — — — —
201223 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 2019 2100 160 20 105150158308 53212 305 187 13 — — — — — —
201324 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 8272 19402 6210 10 264321403723 139333 267 311 97 -0 +0 -3 +2 +2 0.1
201324 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 396355 10416510 32832 207 293355451805 158349 218 347 121 — — — — — —
201324 AA MLEJackson Generals — 120109 24613 11340 61 220292376668 156286 289 290 82 — — — — — —
201425 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 220204 481113 12601 43 235281343624 108310 275 276 73 -7 -0 +7 +2 +5 0.6
201425 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 312285 69935 20840 74 242292347639 105314 276 274 72 — — — — — —
201526 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 258232 591265 21520 71 254316422739 168299 208 319 102 +1 +1 +1 +2 +6 1.0
201526 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 291264 681643 22570 114 258315383697 125309 208 297 87 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 194183 482011 7421 80 262293399692 137331 224 301 90 -2 +2 +2 -3 +4 0.2
201627 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 3329 12211 351 20 4144856551.140 241450 159 454 193 — — — — — —
201728 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 195172 41843 20461 21 238321384705 145298 2410 309 95 -1 +0 -1 -3 +4 -0.1
201728 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 9285 19511 7160 31 224283341624 118268 178 301 90 — — — — — —
201829 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 151134 24123 15360 22 179262284545 104219 2410 251 56 -8 -0 -3 +1 +3 -0.8
201930 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 3831 9311 780 00 290421548969 258364 2118 406 161 +3 +0 -0 -5 +1 -0.1
201930 AAA MLEReno Aces — 382338 6524312 41930 123 192280388667 195220 2411 289 82 — — — — — —
202132 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 175148 321205 26380 11 216333399732 182255 2215 329 109 +2 -0 -4 -4 +4 -0.2
202132 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 8369 22302 14170 33 319434449883 130409 2017 397 155 — — — — — —
202233 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 3735 9201 1121 10 257297400697 143364 323 303 91 -0 +0 -1 +1 +1 0.1
202233 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 360315 7110113 40913 62 225318387706 162272 2511 312 97 — — — — — —
202334 MLB MLENew York Mets — 1615 1100 180 00 67125133258 67143 506 129 -27 -2 +0 -0 -3 +0 -0.5
202334 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 159143 21107 15510 10 147228301529 154155 329 236 46 — — — — — —
202334 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 3125 7001 580 20 280400400800 120335 2616 361 130 — — — — — —
202334 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 1815 3101 390 00 200333467800 267251 5017 266 66 — — — — — —
200617 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 1 — 265226 36724 38550 3614 159280261541 102192 2114 251 56 — — — — — —
200617 ROK RAWDSL Yankees 1 — 265209 531138 55450 3614 254409450859 196288 1721 385 56 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 185168 35322 13491 89 208269286555 77280 267 250 55 — — — — — —
200718 ROK RAWGCL Yankees — 185160 46433 21341 89 287374406780 119347 1811 347 55 — — — — — —
200819 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 495458 891667 321351 2910 194248301550 107259 276 241 49 — — — — — —
200819 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 495443 1012078 471011 2910 228303359662 131278 209 297 49 — — — — — —
200920 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 484451 11612104 241082 365 257298355652 98327 225 282 77 — — — — — —
200920 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 484440 12314105 35812 365 280335391726 111331 177 321 77 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLETampa Yankees — 6359 13310 4230 53 220270305575 85361 376 243 51 — — — — — —
201021 A+ RAWTampa Yankees — 6357 15310 6160 53 263333351684 88366 2510 311 51 — — — — — —
201122 A+ MLE2 teams — 640587 14729104 431472 3213 250304354658 104325 237 289 82 — — — — — —
201122 A+ RAW2 teams — 640576 15027114 541062 3213 260326366692 106311 178 309 82 — — — — — —
201223 AA MLE3 teams — 493452 1202164 361020 407 265320365685 100334 217 301 90 — — — — — —
201223 AA RAW3 teams — 493439 1142264 49870 407 260334364698 105315 1810 314 90 — — — — — —
201324 AAA MLE4 teams — 626561 15427616 521452 289 275338430768 155342 238 331 110 — — — — — —
201324 AAA RAW4 teams — 626536 15728617 771232 289 293384463846 170351 2012 371 110 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLE3 teams — 551507 1222148 331491 117 241288345634 105324 276 275 72 — — — — — —
201425 AAA RAW3 teams — 551500 1252149 401311 117 250307362669 112320 247 296 72 — — — — — —
201526 AAA MLE3 teams — 630570 14532119 491250 197 254313396710 142311 208 307 94 — — — — — —
201526 AAA RAW3 teams — 630557 14532810 621100 197 260334400735 140308 1710 324 94 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLE3 teams — 326303 853133 15672 153 281319432751 152346 215 323 105 +2 +2 +2 -3 +7 0.9
201627 MLB RAW3 teams — 326294 882722 24582 153 299356425781 126361 187 343 105 +2 +2 +2 -3 +7 0.9
201728 MLB MLE2 teams — 287257 601354 27621 52 233309370678 136292 229 306 93 -2 +0 -1 -3 +6 0.1
201728 MLB RAW2 teams — 287249 601445 35591 52 241337390726 149296 2112 326 93 -2 +0 -1 -3 +6 0.1
201829 MLB MLE2 teams — 236207 38235 23561 94 184268295563 111223 2410 251 56 -12 +0 -3 +1 +5 -1.0
201829 MLB RAW2 teams — 236202 42343 28511 94 208307307614 99260 2212 279 56 -12 +0 -3 +1 +5 -1.0
201930 AAA MLE3 teams — 449393 7929414 521080 143 201294402696 201236 2412 300 89 — — — — — —
201930 AAA RAW3 teams — 449370 10240518 75840 143 276398557955 281309 1917 411 89 — — — — — —
202031 INTL MLEToros del Este — 4234 3100 8120 30 88262118380 29136 2919 — — — — — — — —
202031 INTL RAWToros del Este — 4234 3100 8120 30 88262118380 29136 2919 207 26 — — — — — —
202132 MLB MLE3 teams — 363305 7722010 56781 95 252370423793 170307 2115 351 123 +10 -0 -4 -4 +8 1.0
202132 MLB RAW3 teams — 363292 721808 69781 95 247392390783 144309 2119 359 123 +10 -0 -4 -4 +8 1.0
202233 AAA MLE2 teams — 397350 8012114 411034 72 229316389705 160281 2610 311 97 — — — — — —
202233 AAA RAW2 teams — 397329 9517119 62894 72 289408520927 231341 2216 407 97 — — — — — —
202334 AAA MLE5 teams — 258227 353010 29870 50 154250300550 145189 3411 248 54 — — — — — —
202334 AAA RAW5 teams — 258209 434014 47670 50 206352426777 220223 2618 348 54 — — — — — —
202435 INTL MLEEstrellas Orientales — 6954 6001 15180 20 111304167471 56143 2622 — — — — — — — —
202435 INTL RAWEstrellas Orientales — 6954 6001 15180 20 111304167471 56143 2622 247 54 — — — — — —
202536 INTL MLEEstrellas Orientales — 3524 4100 11100 00 167429208637 42286 2931 — — — — — — — —
202536 INTL RAWEstrellas Orientales — 3524 4100 11100 00 167429208637 42286 2931 334 112 — — — — — —
200617 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 1 — 265225 36724 38550 3614 160280262543 102189 2114 251 56 — — — — — —
200718 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 185169 35322 13491 89 207269284553 77276 267 250 55 — — — — — —
200819 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 495459 891667 321351 2910 194248301549 107257 276 241 49 — — — — — —
200920 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 484455 11612104 241082 365 255298352649 97322 225 282 77 — — — — — —
201021 A+ MLETampa Yankees — 6359 13310 4230 53 220270305575 85346 376 243 51 — — — — — —
201122 A+ MLE2 teams — 640590 14729104 431472 3213 249304353656 103320 237 289 82 — — — — — —
201223 AA MLE3 teams — 493454 1202164 361020 407 264320363683 99329 217 301 90 — — — — — —
201324 AAA MLE4 teams — 626567 15427616 521452 289 272338425763 153334 238 331 110 — — — — — —
201425 AAA MLE3 teams — 551512 1222148 331491 117 238288342630 104312 276 275 72 — — — — — —
201526 AAA MLE3 teams — 630576 14532119 491250 197 252313392706 141305 208 307 94 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLE3 teams — 326306 853133 15672 153 278319428747 150348 215 323 105 — — — — — —
201728 MLB MLE2 teams — 287257 601354 27621 52 233309370678 136289 229 306 93 — — — — — —
201829 MLB MLE2 teams — 236210 38235 23561 94 181268290559 110219 2410 251 56 — — — — — —
201930 AAA MLE3 teams — 449394 7929414 521080 143 201294401695 201233 2412 300 89 — — — — — —
202132 MLB MLE3 teams — 363303 7722010 56781 95 254370426796 172304 2115 351 123 — — — — — —
202233 AAA MLE2 teams — 397349 8012114 411034 72 229316390706 160281 2610 311 97 — — — — — —
202334 AAA MLE5 teams — 258227 353010 29870 50 154250300550 145187 3411 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13661225 287731324 1173234 268 234303374677 140296 249 300 80 -18 +2 -4 -9 +30 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 13635611 561542 124 233303370673 137296 249 300 80 -9 +1 -2 -4 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 68946193 144428574119 601163918 313103 233303361664 128297 249 286 80 -18 +2 -4 -9 +30 0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 13627711 571552 3010 233304360663 127297 249 286 80 -9 +1 -2 -4 +14 0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 159 PAwOBA .333 → .236 (−97)K% 25.8% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.79%÷0.961×1.200——32.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.47%÷0.967×0.690—×0.9409.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷0.997×0.930×0.963×0.94013.62%
Doubles /BIP1.08%÷0.933×0.830×0.963×0.9400.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×0.963×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP11.83%÷1.003×0.700—×0.9407.76%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .333 → .236; ISO .254 → .166; BABIP .193 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 31 PAwOBA .450 → .361 (−88)K% 19.4% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.35%÷1.018×1.310——24.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA29.03%÷0.970×0.600—×0.94016.88%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷0.973×0.870—×0.94033.61%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.058×0.780—×0.9400.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.054×0.880—×0.9405.23%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .450 → .361; ISO .143 → .135; BABIP .400 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASt. Lucie Mets · 18 PAwOBA .421 → .266 (−155)K% 33.3% → 47.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.947×1.360——47.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA27.78%÷0.977×0.690—×0.94018.44%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.054×0.920—×0.94011.72%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷0.987×0.830—×0.94011.29%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP14.29%÷1.274×0.800—×0.9408.43%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 89, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .421 → .266; ISO .308 → .171; BABIP .333 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 360 PAwOBA .409 → .312 (−97)K% 21.4% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.39%÷1.013×1.200——25.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.94%÷0.987×0.690—×0.94211.15%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.940—×0.9420.74%
Singles /BIP23.96%÷1.010×0.930×1.001×0.94220.80%
Doubles /BIP6.91%÷1.179×0.830×1.001×0.9424.59%
Triples /BIP0.46%÷1.000×0.970×1.001×0.9420.42%
Home runs /BIP8.29%÷0.939×0.700—×0.9425.82%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .409 → .312; ISO .241 → .176; BABIP .338 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 83 PAwOBA .498 → .397 (−101)K% 16.9% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.87%÷0.975×1.200——20.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.30%÷1.014×0.690—×0.95216.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9520.00%
Singles /BIP37.50%÷1.011×0.930—×0.95232.84%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.039×0.830—×0.9526.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920—×0.9520.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.001×0.700—×0.9524.16%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .498 → .397; ISO .210 → .158; BABIP .489 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAReno Aces · 382 PAwOBA .398 → .289 (−109)K% 18.3% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.32%÷0.970×1.290——24.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.45%÷0.986×0.710—×0.97210.81%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×0.9720.00%
Singles /BIP12.85%÷1.035×0.900×0.959×0.97210.41%
Doubles /BIP13.25%÷1.025×0.810×0.959×0.9729.76%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷1.150×0.810×0.959×0.9721.05%
Home runs /BIP6.83%÷1.077×0.780—×0.9724.81%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .398 → .289; ISO .288 → .204; BABIP .294 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 92 PAwOBA .345 → .301 (−44)K% 14.1% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.13%÷0.989×1.200——17.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.96%÷1.089×0.690—×0.9927.52%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9920.00%
Singles /BIP17.19%÷0.945×0.930×1.009×0.99216.93%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷1.018×0.830×1.009×0.9927.65%
Triples /BIP1.56%÷0.900×0.970×1.009×0.9921.69%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.231×0.840—×0.9922.11%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .345 → .301; ISO .182 → .156; BABIP .290 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 33 PAwOBA .523 → .454 (−69)K% 12.1% → 15.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.12%÷0.965×1.200——15.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.15%÷1.077×0.690—×1.0039.73%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.940—×1.0032.86%
Singles /BIP34.78%÷1.018×0.930—×1.00331.89%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷1.043×0.830—×1.0036.94%
Triples /BIP4.35%÷0.901×0.970—×1.0034.70%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.113×0.840—×1.0033.29%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .523 → .454; ISO .259 → .232; BABIP .500 → .450. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .