Skye Bolt — OGILVIE

Skye BoltCF Gwinnett Stripers

Age 32 S/R 6'2" / 194 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .287 / .314

PA200

HR3

K%27

BB%9

ISO108

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 41

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2019-2022

CONTACT—

Whiff%

4511.5%

xwOBA

100.250

POWER41

Barrel%

244.8

Avg EV

3688.1

EYE50

Chase%

4932.0%

SPEED58

Sprint

5827.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Beloit Snappers	—	402	360	65	18	2	4	24	122	7	10	5	181	246	275	521	94	249	30	6	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Beloit Snappers	—	402	342	79	20	2	5	42	88	7	10	5	231	327	345	672	114	285	22	10	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Stockton Ports	—	496	455	87	20	6	7	30	176	3	9	8	191	246	308	554	116	290	35	6	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Stockton Ports	—	496	432	105	24	7	15	53	134	3	9	8	243	330	435	765	192	314	27	11	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	3 teams	—	609	553	112	24	6	18	45	198	5	26	4	203	269	365	634	163	276	33	7	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	3 teams	—	609	527	136	30	11	21	70	144	5	26	4	258	350	476	826	218	314	24	11	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	315	60	15	2	6	27	124	2	7	5	190	259	308	567	117	289	36	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	305	82	19	3	11	37	94	2	7	5	269	352	459	811	190	351	27	11	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	259	234	58	12	2	10	19	67	3	7	0	248	312	444	757	197	304	26	7	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	259	220	68	13	2	10	33	58	3	7	0	309	406	523	929	214	379	22	13	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	220	203	46	7	0	7	12	59	4	6	1	227	283	365	648	138	283	27	5	279	72	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	220	201	52	9	0	8	14	53	4	6	1	259	320	423	743	164	312	24	6	330	111	+3	+1	+0	+1	+6	1.1
2023	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	248	220	54	9	2	3	23	75	2	3	1	245	322	345	668	100	352	30	9	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	248	210	54	10	2	3	33	60	2	3	1	257	363	367	730	110	340	24	13	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	127	112	24	4	1	2	12	43	0	1	0	214	290	321	612	107	314	34	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	127	106	25	4	1	2	18	33	0	1	0	236	347	349	696	113	311	26	14	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	ATL	—	200	177	37	7	1	3	19	55	2	4	1	209	293	311	604	102	279	28	10	276	70	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	ATL	27%	170	151	32	6	1	3	16	47	1	2	1	212	292	325	616	113	276	28	9	275	68	-6	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.5
2028	34	MLB	ATL	23%	129	115	23	4	1	2	12	36	1	1	0	200	281	304	586	104	272	28	9	270	65	-5	+0	-5	+0	+4	-0.6
2027	33	MLB	ATL	27%	46	42	9	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	214	283	333	616	119	276	28	9	269	64	-2	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	34	MLB	ATL	23%	29	26	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	192	276	231	507	38	272	28	10	264	61	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	251	231	40	6	0	6	15	66	2	8	0	173	230	277	507	104	212	26	6	230	34	-19	+2	-1	+2	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	105	16	0	16	39	171	5	21	0	176	232	283	515	107	215	26	6	230	34	-49	+4	-1	+5	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	3207	2895	598	126	24	65	239	1002	30	76	26	207	274	334	608	127	287	31	7	268	63	-133	+5	-8	+11	+91	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	26	5	13	48	203	6	15	5	208	274	336	610	128	289	31	7	268	63	-27	+1	-2	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	Beloit Snappers	—	402	342	79	20	2	5	42	88	7	10	5	231	327	345	672	114	285	22	10	301	88	-5	+0	—	—	+11	0.6
2017	23	A+	Stockton Ports	—	496	432	105	24	7	15	53	134	3	9	8	243	330	435	765	192	314	27	11	334	114	+8	-1	—	—	+14	2.1
2018	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	315	285	73	18	3	10	27	75	2	10	1	256	325	446	770	189	315	24	9	340	118	+7	+2	—	—	+9	1.7
2018	24	A+	Stockton Ports	—	209	169	45	8	4	9	31	47	3	9	3	266	387	521	908	254	308	22	15	388	155	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.0
2018	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	85	73	18	4	4	2	12	22	0	7	0	247	353	493	846	247	327	26	14	369	141	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2019	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	305	82	19	3	11	37	94	2	7	5	269	352	459	811	190	351	27	11	357	131	+12	-1	—	—	+10	2.2
2021	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	60	57	5	1	0	1	1	15	0	2	0	88	103	158	261	70	98	25	2	113	-55	-11	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.6
2021	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	199	163	63	12	2	9	32	43	3	5	0	387	495	650	1.145	264	482	22	16	493	235	+30	+1	—	—	+6	3.8
2022	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	116	106	21	2	0	4	7	30	2	5	0	198	261	330	591	132	233	26	6	266	62	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2022	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	104	95	31	7	0	4	7	23	2	1	1	326	385	526	911	200	397	22	7	402	165	+8	-0	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	248	210	54	10	2	3	33	60	2	3	1	257	363	367	730	110	340	24	13	331	112	+3	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2024	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	127	106	25	4	1	2	18	33	0	1	0	236	347	349	696	113	311	26	14	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	176	163	26	3	0	5	8	45	2	7	0	160	208	270	478	110	184	26	5	214	22	-16	+1	+2	+2	+5	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	272	7	8	175	233	284	-0	+1	-0.9	-0.8
	/162	664	16	20	175	233	284	-0.3	+2.4	-2.1	pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Skye Bolt (OGILVIE)	32	—	41	58	50	207/287/314	107	279	3	4	27%	9%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Matranga 2008 · AAA	31	40	46→45	51→50	43	206/273/329	123	265	14	13	28%	7%	67	-0.5	218/294/343	125	294	13	9	29%	8%	79	+0.3	211/297/329	119	288	12	5	29%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Tim Torres 2016 · AAA	32	46→51	43→45	55	43	222/285/339	116	316	10	16	32%	8%	73	-0.1	246/309/377	131	329	13	19	27%	8%	94	+1.3	257/323/389	132	338	13	23	26%	9%	102	+0.8
✕Koyie Hill 2011 · MLB	32	46→43	42→45	48→40	45	224/280/333	109	296	8	4	26%	7%	69	-0.4	203/254/290	87	269	7	5	26%	6%	47	-1.9	189/238/264	75	248	6	1	25%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	41→40	45	51→50	39	203/265/328	124	281	12	14	31%	6%	63	-0.8	211/268/328	117	268	12	13	25%	6%	64	-0.8	199/258/303	104	244	11	12	23%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Donnie Sadler 2007 · MLB	32	48	40→45	53→55	47	229/286/332	103	297	6	13	24%	7%	72	-0.2	219/286/336	117	286	9	15	25%	8%	73	-0.1	178/269/293	116	231	7	19	24%	10%	54	-0.3
✕Kristopher Negrón 2018 · MLB	32	44→51	44→45	55	39	219/272/337	118	290	11	17	28%	5%	68	-0.5	225/283/348	123	327	14	14	33%	6%	76	+0.0	221/284/340	119	329	14	14	35%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Wilson Delgado 2004 · MLB	32	47	42→45	47→40	51	228/292/326	98	261	10	6	17%	8%	73	-0.1	246/302/354	108	293	9	6	18%	7%	84	+0.6	250/301/354	104	301	8	4	19%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler LaTorre 2014 · AAA	31	42	43→40	48→40	42	207/266/314	107	282	11	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	220/277/308	88	311	7	8	29%	7%	62	-0.9	236/285/293	57	335	3	4	29%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Myles Schroder 2018 · AAA	30	44→46	43→45	49→50	39	215/268/325	110	277	10	9	26%	5%	63	-0.8	220/269/348	128	298	13	9	30%	4%	69	-0.4	213/250/343	130	292	14	8	31%	2%	57	-0.6
✕Steven Lerud 2016 · AAA	31	46→41	39→45	48→40	45	217/291/300	83	297	7	4	28%	8%	67	-0.5	220/293/306	86	316	7	6	30%	8%	69	-0.4	207/296/258	52	316	3	0	32%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Pete Orr 2011 · MLB	32	46→45	43→45	56→55	41	223/268/343	119	269	9	21	21%	4%	67	-0.5	227/267/327	100	279	7	20	21%	4%	63	-0.9	242/269/332	90	309	6	16	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Victor Mendez 2011 · AAA	31	46	44→45	46→50	44	227/285/345	118	293	12	11	26%	7%	76	+0.0	244/316/384	140	321	15	14	27%	9%	98	+1.6	269/360/420	152	344	20	20	26%	12%	123	+0.6
✕Luke Carlin 2012 · MLB	31	44	42→45	45	51	212/294/311	99	274	10	6	25%	10%	71	-0.3	210/284/299	89	261	8	6	21%	9%	63	-0.8	201/278/282	81	246	7	4	20%	9%	53	-0.6
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	213/292/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	196/273/336	140	263	16	15	30%	9%	69	-0.4	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Tomas Perez 2006 · MLB	32	48→47	43→45	47→40	47	234/286/352	118	273	10	4	18%	6%	77	+0.1	222/256/307	85	264	6	5	18%	4%	52	-1.6	221/249/291	71	263	4	3	18%	4%	43	-1.4
✕Yamid Haad 2009 · AAA	31	42	41→45	48→40	41	206/252/295	89	263	9	7	25%	5%	48	-1.9	228/267/335	107	292	11	5	25%	5%	65	-0.7	237/274/342	105	300	10	2	24%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Anthony Bemboom 2023 · MLB	33	41	46→45	48→45	46	209/278/336	127	264	14	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	214/282/331	117	278	11	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	202/279/310	107	265	9	1	25%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Beau Taylor 2022 · MLB	32	43→45	43→45	47→30	44	208/284/314	107	301	11	4	33%	8%	68	-0.5	210/293/322	112	303	12	6	32%	9%	74	-0.1	170/285/261	91	250	11	0	33%	12%	53	-0.5
✕Bobby Smith 2006 · AAA	32	48→49	45→50	54→50	44	239/288/361	121	287	13	11	22%	6%	80	+0.4	230/273/362	132	309	14	11	29%	5%	74	-0.1	214/247/354	141	308	14	7	35%	4%	58	-0.4
✕Pedro Florimón 2018 · MLB	31	46→52	43→45	50→55	39	221/274/333	112	320	10	13	33%	6%	67	-0.5	214/276/342	128	328	13	7	36%	7%	71	-0.3	186/257/301	115	297	12	8	39%	8%	50	-0.9