Ramón Laureano

LF San Diego Padres
Age 33 R/R 5'9" / 203 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 7.924 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
Overview
MLBIL-6040-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202430AAA/INTL2 orgs138.312/.430/.50943132—.300/.354/.467
202430MLBATL309.259/.312/.4371181100.1
202531MLBSD488.281/.345/.5122471402.1
202632MLBSD206.203/.289/.37477870.1
2027PROJ33MLBSD122.252/.321/.464631200.5
2028PROJ34MLBSD174.241/.309/.441821100.0
Last 3 seasons WAR 2.4  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service7.924First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$4M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Barrel%86
xwOBA74
Speed63
Bat Spd57
Avg EV55
CompsJonny Gomes (age 32) · Scott Hairston (age 33) · Josh Willingham (age 33)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 122120vR 113
AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .321 / .464
PA122
HR6
K%27
BB%7
BABIP303
ISO227
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.50.02728
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
450.248
POWER60
Barrel%
8613.5
Avg EV
5589.5
Bat Spd
5772.1
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
6328.0
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 879 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
261
618
—
wRC+
139
120
◀L
wOBA
374
346
◀L
ISO
232
206
◀L
BABIP
346
336
—
K%
24.9%
28.0%
◀L
BB%
6.5%
6.2%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2018
Service   7.924 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$4M+0.5$2M-$2M
Totals $4M $2M -$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201420 ROKGreeneville Astros — 6153 10001 7160 40 189283245529 57250 2611 248 4 — — — — — —
201521 AQuad Cities River Bandits — 314287 761584 21834 183 265324415738 150358 267 326 51 — — — — — —
201622 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 148124 40925 20334 103 323432548981 226407 2214 431 141 — — — — — —
201622 A+Lancaster JetHawks — 357293 9319510 50869 3311 317432519951 201411 2414 415 104 — — — — — —
201622 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 5044 13420 391 51 295354477831 182351 186 351 123 — — — — — —
201723 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 513463 10521611 401108 245 227299369669 143273 218 300 53 — — — — — —
201824 MLBOakland Athletics — 176156 451215 16502 71 288362474836 186388 289 366 137 +8 +1 +2 +2 +4 1.7
201824 AAANashville Sounds — 284246 7312114 31704 112 297384524909 228358 2511 396 107 — — — — — —
201925 MLBOakland Athletics — 481434 12529024 2712311 132 288345521866 233342 266 373 144 +25 +2 +0 +2 +10 4.0
202026 MLBOakland Athletics — 222183 39816 245812 21 213342366709 153270 2611 323 108 +2 +0 +2 +1 +5 1.0
202127 MLBOakland Athletics — 378341 8421214 27989 125 246318443761 196304 267 337 118 +8 +0 +0 +1 +8 1.9
202228 MLBOakland Athletics — 383346 7318013 2510412 116 211287376663 165262 277 299 92 -4 -0 -4 -5 +8 -0.4
202228 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 4437 5200 5112 20 135273189462 54192 2511 233 9 — — — — — —
202329 MLBCleveland Guardians — 404361 811849 331149 121 224305371676 147301 288 305 94 -3 +2 +1 -5 +9 0.5
202329 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 2015 7201 431 10 4676008001.400 333545 1520 590 217 — — — — — —
202430 MLBAtlanta Braves — 309286 7416111 15967 83 259312437749 178350 315 331 110 +4 +0 -5 -5 +7 0.1
202430 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 6658 21313 6171 00 3624316031.034 241462 269 444 124 — — — — — —
202430 INTLLeones del Escogido — 7254 14311 12174 31 259429407836 148342 2417 375 140 — — — — — —
202531 MLBSan Diego Padres — 488441 12426224 351198 74 281345512858 231331 247 373 140 +23 -0 -7 -5 +11 2.1
202632 MLBSan Diego Padres — 206182 37627 20652 72 203289374663 170268 3210 295 87 -3 +1 +1 -2 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 30472730 68215413113 22282772 7925 250323440763 190314 277 337 114 +50 +6 -8 -16 +66 10.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201420 ROK MLEGreeneville Astros — 6156 8001 4230 40 143200196396 54208 387 174 4 — — — — — —
201521 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314294 601073 141184 183 204250316566 112322 384 244 51 — — — — — —
201622 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 148128 38823 16384 103 297392461853 164402 2611 376 141 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLELancaster JetHawks — 357309 781447 341209 3311 252344392735 139366 3410 322 104 — — — — — —
201723 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 513476 921868 271378 245 193249307555 113253 275 247 53 — — — — — —
201824 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 176156 451215 16502 71 288362474836 186388 289 370 137 +8 +1 +2 +2 +4 1.7
201824 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 284253 6310111 24854 112 249324427751 178319 308 326 107 — — — — — —
201925 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 481434 12628026 2712311 132 290347535882 244342 266 381 144 +25 +2 +0 +2 +10 4.0
202026 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 222183 40817 245812 21 219347388735 169270 2611 327 108 +2 +0 +2 +1 +5 1.0
202127 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 378341 8420215 27989 125 246318449767 202304 267 343 118 +8 +0 +0 +1 +8 1.9
202228 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 383346 7317014 2510412 116 211287382669 171262 277 304 92 -4 -0 -4 -5 +8 -0.4
202228 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 4439 4100 3132 20 103205128333 26165 307 182 9 — — — — — —
202329 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 404361 821859 331149 121 227308380687 152301 288 307 94 -3 +2 +1 -5 +9 0.5
202329 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 2017 7201 241 10 4125007061.206 294453 2010 489 217 — — — — — —
202430 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 309286 7416111 15967 83 259312437749 178350 315 331 110 +4 +0 -5 -5 +7 0.1
202430 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 6660 18212 4211 00 300354467821 167408 326 352 124 — — — — — —
202531 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 488442 12628223 341198 74 285347514861 229331 247 375 140 +23 -0 -7 -5 +11 2.1
202632 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 206182 37627 20652 72 203289374663 170268 3210 297 87 -3 +1 +1 -2 +4 0.1
201420 ROK MLEGreeneville Astros — 6156 8001 4230 40 143200196396 54219 387 174 4 — — — — — —
201420 ROK RAWGreeneville Astros — 6153 10001 7160 40 189283245529 57250 2611 248 4 — — — — — —
201521 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314294 601073 141184 183 204250316566 112328 384 244 51 — — — — — —
201521 A RAWQuad Cities River Bandits — 314287 761584 21834 183 265324415738 150358 267 326 51 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLE3 teams — 555480 12824712 5417314 4815 267358421778 154384 3110 338 115 — — — — — —
201622 A+ RAW3 teams — 555461 14632915 7312814 4815 317425523948 206403 2313 414 115 — — — — — —
201723 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 513476 921868 271378 245 193249307555 113252 275 247 53 — — — — — —
201723 AA RAWCorpus Christi Hooks — 513463 10521611 401108 245 227299369669 143273 218 300 53 — — — — — —
201824 AAA MLE2 teams — 460409 10922217 401356 183 267341455795 188351 299 343 118 — — — — — —
201824 AAA RAW2 teams — 460402 11824219 471206 183 294376505881 211369 2610 384 118 — — — — — —
201925 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 481434 12628026 2712311 132 290347535882 244341 266 381 144 +25 +2 +0 +2 +10 4.0
201925 MLB RAWOakland Athletics — 481434 12529024 2712311 132 288345521866 233342 266 373 144 +25 +2 +0 +2 +10 4.0
202026 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 222183 40817 245812 21 219347388735 169273 2611 327 108 +2 +0 +2 +1 +5 1.0
202026 MLB RAWOakland Athletics — 222183 39816 245812 21 213342366709 153270 2611 323 108 +2 +0 +2 +1 +5 1.0
202127 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 378341 8420215 27989 125 246318449767 202301 267 343 118 +8 +0 +0 +1 +8 1.9
202127 MLB RAWOakland Athletics — 378341 8421214 27989 125 246318443761 196304 267 337 118 +8 +0 +0 +1 +8 1.9
202228 MLB MLE2 teams — 427385 7819014 2811714 136 203281361642 158252 277 292 84 -8 +0 -4 -5 +9 -0.7
202228 MLB RAW2 teams — 427383 7820013 3011514 136 204286358643 154255 277 292 84 -8 +0 -4 -5 +9 -0.7
202329 MLB MLE2 teams — 424378 8819510 3511810 131 233314389703 156311 288 315 100 -0 +2 +1 -5 +9 0.8
202329 MLB RAW2 teams — 424376 8820410 3711710 131 234319388707 154312 289 318 100 -0 +2 +1 -5 +9 0.8
202430 MLB MLE3 teams — 447408 11022216 2314012 114 270327451778 181367 315 335 113 +7 +1 -5 -5 +10 0.8
202430 MLB RAW3 teams — 447398 10922315 3313012 114 274348457805 183366 297 355 113 +7 +1 -5 -5 +10 0.8
202531 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 488442 12628223 341198 74 285347514861 229339 247 375 140 +23 -0 -7 -5 +11 2.1
202531 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 488441 12426224 351198 74 281345512858 231331 247 373 140 +23 -0 -7 -5 +11 2.1
202632 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 206182 37627 20652 72 203289374663 170268 3210 297 87 -3 +1 +1 -2 +4 0.1
202632 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 206182 37627 20652 72 203289374663 170268 3210 295 87 -3 +1 +1 -2 +4 0.1
201420 ROK MLEGreeneville Astros — 6157 8001 4230 40 140200193393 53208 387 174 4 — — — — — —
201521 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 314293 601073 141184 183 205250317567 113322 384 244 51 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLE3 teams — 555482 12824712 5417314 4815 266358419777 154377 3110 338 115 — — — — — —
201723 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 513473 921868 271378 245 195249309557 114253 275 247 53 — — — — — —
201824 AAA MLE2 teams — 460411 10922217 401356 183 265341453793 187346 299 343 118 — — — — — —
201925 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 481440 12628026 2712311 132 286347527875 241342 266 381 144 — — — — — —
202026 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 222184 40817 245812 21 217347386733 168270 2611 327 108 — — — — — —
202127 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 378339 8420215 27989 125 248318451770 204304 267 343 118 — — — — — —
202228 MLB MLE2 teams — 427382 7819014 2811714 136 204281364645 160252 277 292 84 — — — — — —
202329 MLB MLE2 teams — 424376 8819510 3511810 131 234314391705 157308 288 315 100 — — — — — —
202430 MLB MLE3 teams — 447409 11022216 2314012 114 269327450777 181360 315 335 113 — — — — — —
202531 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 488443 12628223 341198 74 284347512860 228331 247 375 140 — — — — — —
202632 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 206182 37627 20652 72 203289374663 170268 3210 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202430 MLB MLE3 teams — 447409 11022216 2314012 114 269327450777 181360 315 335 113 — — — — — —
202531 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 488443 12628223 341198 74 284347512860 228331 247 375 140 — — — — — —
202632 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 206182 37627 20652 72 203289374663 170268 3210 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202733 MLB MLESD 100% 292264 6713213 22784 72 255324467791 212310 278 346 120 +7 +1 +2 -3 +6 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202733 MLB CTXSD 100% 122110 28516 9332 31 252321464785 213303 277 344 120 +3 +0 +1 -1 +3 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202834 MLB MLESD 100% 174157 38717 13482 21 244312443755 200299 287 331 110 +2 +0 -4 -2 +4 0.0
202834 MLB CTXSD 100% 174157 39718 13482 21 241309441749 200293 287 329 110 +2 +0 -4 -2 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 32212887 72116114121 23587574 8126 250322441763 191313 277 336 104 +53 +6 -12 -18 +70 10.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 14532324 4717715 165 249321437758 189313 277 336 104 +11 +1 -2 -4 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 52724735 115123638171 3791505114 19553 243314417732 174316 297 322 104 +56 +6 -11 -19 +72 10.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 14229521 4718614 247 243315418733 175317 297 322 104 +11 +1 -2 -4 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 66 PAwOBA .438 → .352 (−86)K% 25.8% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.76%÷0.958×1.200——32.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.001×0.690—×0.9726.09%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.940—×0.9721.38%
Singles /BIP34.15%÷0.977×0.930—×0.97231.61%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷0.961×0.830—×0.9726.14%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷1.150×0.970—×0.9722.00%
Home runs /BIP7.32%÷0.968×0.700—×0.9725.14%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .438 → .352; ISO .241 → .175; BABIP .462 → .408. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 20 PAwOBA .569 → .489 (−80)K% 15.0% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷1.017×1.200——17.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.00%÷1.055×0.690—×0.9829.64%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.940—×0.9824.62%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.993×0.930—×0.98230.65%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷1.124×0.830—×0.98212.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.133×0.970—×0.9820.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷0.996×0.700—×0.9825.75%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .569 → .489; ISO .333 → .266; BABIP .545 → .453. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 44 PAwOBA .228 → .182 (−46)K% 25.0% → 29.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.009×1.200——29.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.36%÷0.992×0.690—×0.9927.84%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.940—×0.9924.24%
Singles /BIP11.54%÷0.995×0.930—×0.99210.69%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.088×0.830—×0.9925.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.075×0.700—×0.9920.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .228 → .182; ISO .054 → .040; BABIP .192 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAANashville Sounds · 284 PAwOBA .389 → .326 (−63)K% 24.6% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.65%÷1.055×1.290——30.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.92%÷0.966×0.710—×1.0488.41%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.980—×1.0481.45%
Singles /BIP26.14%÷0.986×0.900×0.962×1.04824.05%
Doubles /BIP6.82%÷0.937×0.810×0.962×1.0485.94%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷1.150×0.810×0.962×1.0480.40%
Home runs /BIP7.95%÷0.988×0.780—×1.0486.58%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 111, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .389 → .326; ISO .228 → .184; BABIP .358 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 513 PAwOBA .293 → .247 (−46)K% 21.4% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.44%÷0.980×1.220——26.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.80%÷1.056×0.700—×1.0275.31%
HBP% /PA1.56%—×0.870—×1.0271.39%
Singles /BIP18.98%÷1.014×0.920—×1.02717.68%
Doubles /BIP5.95%÷0.964×0.840—×1.0275.32%
Triples /BIP1.70%÷0.900×0.940—×1.0271.82%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.035×0.800—×1.0272.47%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .293 → .247; ISO .143 → .121; BABIP .273 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 357 PAwOBA .410 → .322 (−88)K% 24.1% → 33.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.09%÷0.962×1.340——33.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.73%÷1.046×0.710—×1.0129.43%
HBP% /PA2.52%—×0.790—×1.0122.02%
Singles /BIP28.50%÷0.982×0.910×1.008×1.01226.93%
Doubles /BIP9.18%÷1.070×0.820×1.008×1.0127.17%
Triples /BIP2.42%÷0.900×0.760×1.008×1.0122.08%
Home runs /BIP4.83%÷1.252×0.920—×1.0123.59%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .410 → .322; ISO .201 → .148; BABIP .411 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 148 PAwOBA .420 → .376 (−44)K% 22.3% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.30%÷1.055×1.220——25.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷0.932×0.700—×1.04210.57%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.870—×1.0422.45%
Singles /BIP26.37%÷0.967×0.920×1.049×1.04227.44%
Doubles /BIP9.89%÷1.017×0.840×1.049×1.0428.93%
Triples /BIP2.20%÷0.977×0.940×1.049×1.0422.31%
Home runs /BIP5.49%÷1.196×0.800—×1.0423.83%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 111, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .420 → .376; ISO .226 → .183; BABIP .407 → .402. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 314 PAwOBA .319 → .244 (−75)K% 26.4% → 37.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.43%÷0.960×1.360——37.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.69%÷1.021×0.690—×1.0154.59%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.780—×1.0151.01%
Singles /BIP24.02%÷0.989×0.920×0.986×1.01522.36%
Doubles /BIP7.35%÷1.106×0.830×0.986×1.0155.52%
Triples /BIP3.92%÷0.900×0.910×0.986×1.0153.97%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷1.032×0.800—×1.0151.54%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .319 → .244; ISO .150 → .113; BABIP .358 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .