Alex Dickerson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 32 | AAAATL | 357 | .239/.308/.425 | 12 | 1 | 53 | — | .190/.240/.322 | |
| 2022 | 32 | MLBATL | 36 | .121/.194/.212 | 1 | 0 | 16 | -0.7 | ||
| 2024 | 34 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 158 | .185/.286/.348 | 5 | 0 | 77 | — | ||
| 2025 | 35 | INTLLeones de Pon… | 40 | .188/.350/.219 | 0 | 0 | 81 | — | ||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 538 | 485 | 143 | 31 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 93 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 295 | 356 | 452 | 807 | 157 | 339 | 17 | 7 | 355 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 491 | 451 | 130 | 36 | 3 | 17 | 28 | 89 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 288 | 341 | 494 | 835 | 206 | 325 | 18 | 6 | 364 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 75 | 69 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 347 | 348 | 694 | 58 | 408 | 27 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 137 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 321 | 367 | 496 | 864 | 175 | 387 | 19 | 6 | 381 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 519 | 459 | 141 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 96 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 307 | 379 | 503 | 882 | 196 | 360 | 18 | 9 | 383 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 285 | 253 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 257 | 336 | 455 | 790 | 198 | 274 | 15 | 9 | 348 | 121 | +7 | +1 | -5 | -6 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 241 | 217 | 83 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 382 | 430 | 622 | 1.052 | 240 | 397 | 11 | 6 | 450 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 190 | 174 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 333 | 489 | 822 | 213 | 331 | 22 | 7 | 358 | 131 | +7 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 137 | 114 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 441 | 526 | 967 | 193 | 367 | 15 | 12 | 426 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 170 | 151 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 373 | 576 | 949 | 278 | 312 | 18 | 9 | 410 | 166 | +13 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 312 | 283 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 304 | 420 | 725 | 187 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 323 | 109 | +3 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 45 | 38 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 400 | 526 | 926 | 237 | 321 | 18 | 11 | 409 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 36 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 194 | 212 | 407 | 91 | 130 | 25 | 8 | 191 | 16 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 357 | 322 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 76 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 308 | 425 | 733 | 186 | 274 | 21 | 8 | 323 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 34 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 158 | 135 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 286 | 348 | 634 | 163 | 198 | 21 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 40 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 219 | 569 | 31 | 316 | 32 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 993 | 894 | 228 | 49 | 8 | 40 | 81 | 201 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 255 | 327 | 462 | 789 | 207 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 347 | 121 | +25 | +1 | -16 | -19 | +22 | 1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 538 | 500 | 124 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 137 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 248 | 292 | 364 | 656 | 116 | 314 | 25 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 491 | 463 | 124 | 33 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 120 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 268 | 304 | 456 | 760 | 188 | 322 | 24 | 3 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 284 | 313 | 418 | 731 | 135 | 375 | 24 | 3 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 519 | 471 | 120 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 127 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 314 | 408 | 722 | 153 | 317 | 24 | 6 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 285 | 255 | 66 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 44 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 259 | 332 | 459 | 791 | 200 | 274 | 15 | 8 | 347 | 121 | +7 | +1 | -5 | -6 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 241 | 226 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 342 | 478 | 820 | 168 | 334 | 15 | 2 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 190 | 175 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 328 | 486 | 814 | 211 | 331 | 22 | 6 | 362 | 131 | +7 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 137 | 120 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 417 | 770 | 150 | 303 | 20 | 8 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 170 | 153 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 367 | 595 | 962 | 294 | 312 | 18 | 8 | 413 | 166 | +13 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 312 | 284 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 308 | 437 | 744 | 197 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 329 | 109 | +3 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 45 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 311 | 375 | 686 | 150 | 270 | 20 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 36 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 194 | 212 | 407 | 91 | 130 | 25 | 8 | 191 | 16 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 357 | 332 | 63 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 240 | 322 | 562 | 133 | 232 | 25 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 538 | 500 | 124 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 137 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 248 | 292 | 364 | 656 | 116 | 322 | 25 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 538 | 485 | 143 | 31 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 93 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 295 | 356 | 452 | 807 | 157 | 339 | 17 | 7 | 355 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 534 | 142 | 38 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 138 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 266 | 302 | 449 | 752 | 184 | 325 | 24 | 3 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 566 | 520 | 150 | 40 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 109 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 288 | 342 | 475 | 817 | 187 | 335 | 19 | 6 | 358 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 284 | 313 | 418 | 731 | 135 | 369 | 24 | 3 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 137 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 321 | 367 | 496 | 864 | 175 | 387 | 19 | 6 | 381 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 519 | 471 | 120 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 127 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 314 | 408 | 722 | 153 | 323 | 24 | 6 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 519 | 459 | 141 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 96 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 307 | 379 | 503 | 882 | 196 | 360 | 18 | 9 | 383 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 481 | 136 | 30 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 81 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 283 | 337 | 468 | 804 | 185 | 306 | 15 | 6 | 355 | 126 | +17 | +1 | -5 | -6 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 526 | 470 | 148 | 32 | 5 | 20 | 40 | 71 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 315 | 379 | 532 | 911 | 217 | 332 | 13 | 8 | 395 | 126 | +17 | +1 | -5 | -6 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 295 | 81 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 69 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 342 | 461 | 803 | 186 | 326 | 21 | 7 | 351 | 123 | +9 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 327 | 288 | 86 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 62 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 378 | 503 | 882 | 205 | 346 | 19 | 9 | 387 | 123 | +9 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 170 | 153 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 367 | 595 | 962 | 294 | 310 | 18 | 8 | 413 | 166 | +13 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB RAW | San Francisco Giants | — | 170 | 151 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 373 | 576 | 949 | 278 | 312 | 18 | 9 | 410 | 166 | +13 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 324 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 85 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 308 | 429 | 737 | 191 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +3 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 357 | 321 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 84 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 317 | 433 | 750 | 193 | 279 | 24 | 8 | 334 | 108 | +3 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 365 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 236 | 312 | 548 | 129 | 224 | 25 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 393 | 355 | 81 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 297 | 406 | 703 | 177 | 262 | 22 | 8 | 311 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 34 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 158 | 135 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 286 | 348 | 634 | 163 | 198 | 21 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 34 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 158 | 135 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 286 | 348 | 634 | 163 | 198 | 21 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | INTL MLE | Leones de Ponce | — | 40 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 219 | 569 | 31 | 316 | 32 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | INTL RAW | Leones de Ponce | — | 40 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 219 | 569 | 31 | 316 | 32 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 538 | 502 | 124 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 137 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 247 | 292 | 363 | 654 | 116 | 314 | 25 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 533 | 142 | 38 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 138 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 266 | 302 | 450 | 753 | 184 | 322 | 24 | 3 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 147 | 140 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 313 | 421 | 734 | 136 | 375 | 24 | 3 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 519 | 473 | 120 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 127 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 254 | 314 | 406 | 720 | 152 | 317 | 24 | 6 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 482 | 136 | 30 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 81 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 282 | 337 | 467 | 803 | 185 | 301 | 15 | 6 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 294 | 81 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 69 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 342 | 463 | 804 | 187 | 319 | 21 | 7 | 351 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 170 | 152 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 367 | 599 | 966 | 296 | 312 | 18 | 8 | 413 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 321 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 85 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 308 | 433 | 741 | 193 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 365 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 236 | 312 | 548 | 129 | 223 | 25 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 993 | 894 | 228 | 49 | 8 | 40 | 81 | 201 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 255 | 327 | 462 | 789 | 207 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 347 | 91 | +25 | +1 | -16 | -19 | +22 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 149 | 32 | 5 | 26 | 53 | 132 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 255 | 326 | 460 | 786 | 205 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 347 | 91 | +16 | +0 | -11 | -12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3741 | 3431 | 864 | 199 | 27 | 105 | 213 | 849 | 63 | 35 | 18 | 252 | 308 | 417 | 725 | 166 | 303 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 91 | +25 | +1 | -16 | -19 | +22 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 151 | 35 | 5 | 18 | 37 | 148 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 253 | 309 | 419 | 728 | 166 | 306 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 91 | +16 | +0 | -11 | -12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 357 PAwOBA .317 → .246 (−70)K% 21.3% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.29% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.48% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 15.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×0.952 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 3.31% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .317 → .246; ISO .186 → .136; BABIP .274 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 45 PAwOBA .398 → .318 (−80)K% 17.8% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷1.034 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 4.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 17.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 8.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 4.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .398 → .318; ISO .237 → .178; BABIP .321 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 137 PAwOBA .414 → .335 (−79)K% 14.6% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.60% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 7.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.65% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 3.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.72% | ÷0.982 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 24.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷0.981 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.008 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .414 → .335; ISO .193 → .147; BABIP .367 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 241 PAwOBA .439 → .364 (−74)K% 11.2% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.20% | ÷0.951 | ×1.290 | — | — | 15.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.32% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 2.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.42% | ÷1.026 | ×0.900 | ×0.977 | ×1.018 | 24.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.42% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×1.018 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×1.018 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.160 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .439 → .364; ISO .240 → .180; BABIP .397 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 519 PAwOBA .377 → .317 (−61)K% 18.5% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.50% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷0.972 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.92% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 8.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .377 → .317; ISO .196 → .160; BABIP .360 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AASan Antonio Missions · 147 PAwOBA .368 → .325 (−43)K% 19.0% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.942 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.44% | ÷1.083 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.69% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 26.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.09% | ÷1.020 | ×0.840 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 8.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.065 | ×0.940 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 90, 2B 104, 3B 113, K 88, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .368 → .325; ISO .175 → .146; BABIP .387 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAltoona Curve · 491 PAwOBA .353 → .323 (−30)K% 18.1% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.13% | ÷0.905 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.89% | ÷1.073 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 20.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.94% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 9.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.006 | ×0.950 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.70% | ÷0.836 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 81, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .353 → .323; ISO .206 → .190; BABIP .325 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Bradenton Marauders · 538 PAwOBA .347 → .285 (−62)K% 17.3% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.29% | ÷0.962 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.167 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.49% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.012 | 22.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.91% | ÷0.969 | ×0.960 | ×1.011 | ×1.012 | 8.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.074 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.32% | ÷1.385 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 115, K 92, BB 133 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .347 → .285; ISO .157 → .119; BABIP .339 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .