Garrett Jones
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 32 | MLBPIT | 440 | .233/.291/.419 | 15 | 2 | 99 | -0.8 | |
| 2014 | 33 | MLBMIA | 547 | .246/.311/.411 | 15 | 0 | 107 | -0.6 | |
| 2015 | 34 | MLBNYY | 152 | .215/.257/.361 | 5 | 0 | 69 | -0.8 | |
| 2016 | 35 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2017 | 36 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2018 | 37 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2019 | 38 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2020 | 39 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2021 | 40 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2022 | 41 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2023 | 42 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2024 | 43 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2025 | 44 | No MLB games played | |||||||
| 2026 | 45 | No MLB games played | |||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 527 | 488 | 119 | 22 | 2 | 24 | 36 | 109 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 297 | 445 | 742 | 201 | 267 | 21 | 7 | 325 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 582 | 525 | 125 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 121 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 238 | 306 | 430 | 736 | 192 | 267 | 21 | 8 | 323 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 84 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 265 | 338 | 603 | 130 | 250 | 24 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -3 | -0 | -2 | -9 | +2 | -1.4 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 446 | 400 | 112 | 32 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 83 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 280 | 341 | 472 | 813 | 192 | 316 | 19 | 7 | 352 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 587 | 527 | 147 | 33 | 3 | 23 | 50 | 98 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 279 | 343 | 484 | 826 | 205 | 299 | 17 | 9 | 358 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 358 | 314 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 21 | 40 | 76 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 293 | 375 | 567 | 942 | 274 | 323 | 21 | 11 | 406 | 150 | +21 | +1 | -5 | -7 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 299 | 277 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 47 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 307 | 351 | 502 | 853 | 195 | 330 | 16 | 6 | 372 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 654 | 592 | 146 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 53 | 123 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 247 | 310 | 414 | 723 | 167 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 318 | 102 | +2 | +0 | -15 | -12 | +14 | -1.0 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 478 | 423 | 103 | 30 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 104 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 243 | 323 | 433 | 755 | 189 | 283 | 22 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -8 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 515 | 475 | 130 | 28 | 3 | 27 | 33 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 321 | 516 | 837 | 242 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 360 | 132 | +20 | +0 | -14 | -9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 440 | 403 | 94 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 419 | 711 | 186 | 271 | 23 | 7 | 312 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -10 | -8 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 547 | 496 | 122 | 33 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 311 | 411 | 723 | 165 | 290 | 21 | 8 | 320 | 107 | +5 | -0 | -13 | -10 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 257 | 361 | 618 | 146 | 255 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3228 | 2924 | 734 | 178 | 12 | 122 | 265 | 680 | 7 | 28 | 10 | 251 | 315 | 445 | 760 | 194 | 284 | 21 | 8 | 333 | 111 | +43 | +2 | -70 | -62 | +70 | -1.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 527 | 501 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 131 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 248 | 381 | 629 | 170 | 241 | 25 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 582 | 541 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 18 | 33 | 145 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 211 | 259 | 372 | 630 | 161 | 246 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 84 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 265 | 338 | 603 | 130 | 250 | 24 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -3 | -0 | -2 | -9 | +2 | -1.4 |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 446 | 412 | 101 | 27 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 99 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 288 | 405 | 694 | 160 | 283 | 22 | 4 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 587 | 546 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 117 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 247 | 289 | 419 | 708 | 172 | 270 | 20 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 358 | 322 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 76 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 286 | 352 | 553 | 905 | 267 | 323 | 21 | 9 | 390 | 150 | +21 | +1 | -5 | -7 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2009 | 28 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 299 | 288 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 264 | 284 | 420 | 704 | 156 | 289 | 19 | 2 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 654 | 594 | 147 | 33 | 1 | 23 | 51 | 123 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 247 | 308 | 423 | 731 | 175 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 319 | 102 | +2 | +0 | -15 | -12 | +14 | -1.0 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 478 | 426 | 103 | 29 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 104 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 242 | 319 | 434 | 753 | 192 | 283 | 22 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -8 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 515 | 477 | 131 | 27 | 3 | 29 | 31 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 319 | 526 | 845 | 252 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 132 | +20 | +0 | -14 | -9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 440 | 403 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 424 | 716 | 191 | 271 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -10 | -8 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 547 | 500 | 127 | 36 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 313 | 430 | 743 | 176 | 290 | 21 | 8 | 327 | 107 | +5 | -0 | -13 | -10 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 257 | 361 | 618 | 146 | 255 | 24 | 5 | 271 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 527 | 501 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 131 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 248 | 381 | 629 | 170 | 243 | 25 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 527 | 488 | 119 | 22 | 2 | 24 | 36 | 109 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 297 | 445 | 742 | 201 | 267 | 21 | 7 | 325 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 582 | 541 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 18 | 33 | 145 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 211 | 259 | 372 | 630 | 161 | 250 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 582 | 525 | 125 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 121 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 238 | 306 | 430 | 736 | 192 | 267 | 21 | 8 | 323 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 530 | 489 | 117 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 119 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 285 | 395 | 679 | 155 | 283 | 22 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 530 | 477 | 128 | 34 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 103 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 268 | 329 | 451 | 780 | 182 | 306 | 19 | 7 | 338 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 587 | 546 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 117 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 247 | 289 | 419 | 708 | 172 | 275 | 20 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 587 | 527 | 147 | 33 | 3 | 23 | 50 | 98 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 279 | 343 | 484 | 826 | 205 | 299 | 17 | 9 | 358 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 657 | 610 | 168 | 36 | 1 | 31 | 39 | 133 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 275 | 321 | 490 | 811 | 215 | 303 | 20 | 6 | 354 | 126 | +20 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 657 | 591 | 177 | 39 | 1 | 33 | 58 | 123 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 299 | 364 | 536 | 900 | 237 | 327 | 19 | 9 | 390 | 126 | +20 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 654 | 594 | 147 | 33 | 1 | 23 | 51 | 123 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 247 | 308 | 423 | 731 | 175 | 272 | 19 | 8 | 319 | 102 | +2 | +0 | -15 | -12 | +14 | -1.0 |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 654 | 592 | 146 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 53 | 123 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 247 | 310 | 414 | 723 | 167 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 318 | 102 | +2 | +0 | -15 | -12 | +14 | -1.0 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 478 | 426 | 103 | 29 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 104 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 242 | 319 | 434 | 753 | 192 | 278 | 22 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -8 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 478 | 423 | 103 | 30 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 104 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 243 | 323 | 433 | 755 | 189 | 283 | 22 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -8 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 515 | 477 | 131 | 27 | 3 | 29 | 31 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 319 | 526 | 845 | 252 | 290 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 132 | +20 | +0 | -14 | -9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 515 | 475 | 130 | 28 | 3 | 27 | 33 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 321 | 516 | 837 | 242 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 360 | 132 | +20 | +0 | -14 | -9 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 440 | 403 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 424 | 716 | 191 | 269 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -10 | -8 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 440 | 403 | 94 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 419 | 711 | 186 | 271 | 23 | 7 | 312 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -10 | -8 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 547 | 500 | 127 | 36 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 313 | 430 | 743 | 176 | 298 | 21 | 8 | 327 | 107 | +5 | -0 | -13 | -10 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB RAW | Miami Marlins | — | 547 | 496 | 122 | 33 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 311 | 411 | 723 | 165 | 290 | 21 | 8 | 320 | 107 | +5 | -0 | -13 | -10 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 257 | 361 | 618 | 146 | 255 | 24 | 5 | 271 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 144 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 257 | 361 | 618 | 146 | 255 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2005 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 527 | 498 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 21 | 23 | 131 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 248 | 384 | 631 | 171 | 241 | 25 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 582 | 542 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 18 | 33 | 145 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 210 | 259 | 371 | 630 | 161 | 246 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 530 | 494 | 117 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 119 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 237 | 285 | 391 | 675 | 154 | 278 | 22 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 587 | 550 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 117 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 245 | 289 | 416 | 705 | 171 | 270 | 20 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 657 | 611 | 168 | 36 | 1 | 31 | 39 | 133 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 275 | 321 | 489 | 810 | 214 | 307 | 20 | 6 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 29 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 654 | 597 | 147 | 33 | 1 | 23 | 51 | 123 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 246 | 308 | 420 | 728 | 174 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 30 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 478 | 427 | 103 | 29 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 104 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 241 | 319 | 433 | 752 | 192 | 283 | 22 | 10 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 31 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 515 | 479 | 131 | 27 | 3 | 29 | 31 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 319 | 524 | 843 | 251 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 440 | 404 | 94 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 423 | 715 | 191 | 271 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 33 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 547 | 499 | 127 | 36 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 313 | 431 | 744 | 176 | 290 | 21 | 8 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 34 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 152 | 143 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 257 | 364 | 620 | 147 | 255 | 24 | 5 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3228 | 2924 | 734 | 178 | 12 | 122 | 265 | 680 | 7 | 28 | 10 | 251 | 315 | 445 | 760 | 194 | 284 | 21 | 8 | 333 | 99 | +43 | +2 | -70 | -62 | +70 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 148 | 36 | 2 | 25 | 53 | 137 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 251 | 314 | 447 | 760 | 195 | 284 | 21 | 8 | 333 | 99 | +9 | +0 | -14 | -12 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5669 | 5231 | 1273 | 292 | 23 | 209 | 361 | 1229 | 17 | 61 | 23 | 243 | 294 | 428 | 722 | 184 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 315 | 99 | +43 | +2 | -70 | -62 | +70 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 146 | 33 | 3 | 24 | 41 | 141 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 243 | 294 | 428 | 722 | 185 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 315 | 99 | +9 | +0 | -14 | -12 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2009 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 299 PAwOBA .357 → .310 (−47)K% 15.7% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.72% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×0.992 | 21.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.992 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 4.35% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .357 → .310; ISO .195 → .164; BABIP .330 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAARochester Red Wings · 587 PAwOBA .351 → .306 (−45)K% 16.7% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.70% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.17% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×1.003 | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.003 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×1.003 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.52% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .351 → .306; ISO .205 → .177; BABIP .299 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAARochester Red Wings · 446 PAwOBA .346 → .303 (−43)K% 18.6% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 18.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .346 → .303; ISO .193 → .167; BABIP .316 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAARochester Red Wings · 582 PAwOBA .315 → .274 (−41)K% 20.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 16.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 6.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.033 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.51% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .315 → .274; ISO .192 → .167; BABIP .267 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAARochester Red Wings · 527 PAwOBA .314 → .270 (−44)K% 20.7% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 17.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 5.57% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .314 → .270; ISO .201 → .172; BABIP .267 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).